Constraining uncertainty of multi decadal climate projections

Risultati finali

D5.1 (M16, IMPERIAL, CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Emission pathway tool published online (Task 5.1.1).

Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on aerosol-cloud interactions

D1.2 (M24, Met Office, ULEI): Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on aerosol-cloud interactions from models vs. observations after volcanic eruptions and other constraints for aerosol-cloud interactions. Participants of this two day workshop will include 7 CONSTRAIN scientists and 2 international participants (for whom costs will be covered by the programme) and up to 9 other participants (who will be expected to cover their own travel, accommodation and subsistence costs) (Tasks 1.1.2 and 1.1.4).

Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on understanding of rapid adjustment processes

D1.5 (M36, UNIVLEEDS, ULEI, CICERO): Short report on main outcomes of the workshop on understanding rapid adjustment processes: participating organisations: representatives from the H2020 FORCES project, ECMWF CAMS aerosol and radiative forcing projects, and 1-2 non-EU key laboratories. Participants of this two day workshop will include 7 CONSTRAIN scientists and 2 international participants (for whom costs will be covered by the programme) and up to 9 other participants (who will be expected to cover their own travel, accommodation and subsistence costs) (Tasks 1.2.1, 1.2.2 and 1.2.3).

Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on frameworks for characterizing mesoscale organisation of shallow convection

D2.2 (M12, TU DELFT, CNRS, MPG, ETH, METEO-FRANCE): Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on frameworks for characterizing mesoscale organisation of shallow convection from observations and assessing their role for cloud feedbacks using a hierarchy of models. Participants of this two day workshop will include 12 CONSTRAIN scientists and 3 international participants (for whom costs will be covered by the programme) and up to 15 other participants (who will be expected to cover their own travel, accommodation and subsistence costs) (Task 2.2.2.1).

Online GitHub Code documenting the improvements made to the emulators regarding their use of climate patterns for climate impact (FAIR) and feedbacks (OSCAR) studies

D4.10 (M30, CNRS, IASA, UNIVLEEDS): Online GitHub code of the emulators with improvements made regarding their use of climate patterns for climate impact (FAIR) and feedbacks (OSCAR) studies (Task 4.3.1).

End-of-project KGSIR on the improved physical understanding and quantification of tropical low-cloud feedbacks

D2.4 (M48, CNRS, MPG, TU DELFT): End-of-project KGSIR on the improved physical understanding and quantification of tropical low-cloud feedbacks (Task 2.2 and 2.3 and all related subtasks), and their implications for WP-4 by revisiting the plausible range of climate sensitivity estimates in the light of new observational constraints.

End-of-Project KGSIR on interaction of ocean heat uptake and radiative feedback change via SST-pattern change

D3.2 (M42, MET OFFICE, STOCKHOLM, MPG): End-of-Project KGSIR on interaction of ocean heat uptake and radiative feedback change via SST-pattern change. Quantifying the likelihood of future periods, which are similar to the last 30 years (strong ocean heat uptake combined with negative feedback parameter) (Tasks 3.1.2, 3.1.3).

Annual CONSTRAIN report 3 on adaptation and mitigation choices

D58 M30 CLIMATE ANALYTICS Annual CONSTRAIN report 3 on adaptation and mitigation choices launched at annual December side event at UNFCCC COP Task 521

End-of-project KGSIR on ERF developments

D1.3 (M48, CICERO, UNIVLEEDS, ULEI): End-of-project KGSIR on ERF developments, including time evolution, causes on diversity in ERF of CO2 and quantification of model errors, constrained ERF for aerosol-cloud interactions from models vs. observations after volcanic eruptions (Tasks. 1.1.1 and 1.1.3).

Annual CONSTRAIN report 2 on adaptation and mitigation choices

D5.7 (M18; CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Annual CONSTRAIN report 2 on adaptation and mitigation choices launched at annual December side event at UNFCCC COP. (Task 5.2.1).

KGSIR aimed at adaptation planners with info graphics on the robustness of 20-30 year projections

D5.2 (M36, CNRS, UNIVLEEDS, CLIMATE ANALYTICS, IMPERIAL): KGSIR aimed at adaptation planners characterising how scenario, policy and geophysical uncertainties affect projections over the next 20 to 30 years (Task 5.1.2).

Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on approaches to constraining climate sensitivity and integrating new insights on climate sensitivity

D43 M24 UNIVLEEDS ETH MPG STOCKHOLM Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop for the scientific community on the various approaches to constrain climate sensitivity and integrating new insights on climate sensitivity developed by the midterm of the project in WPs 13 Participants of this two day workshop will include 7 CONSTRAIN scientists and 2 international participants for whom costs will be covered by the programme and up to 9 other participants who will be expected to cover their own travel accommodation and subsistence costs Task 422

KGSIR outlining the CONSTRAIN journal publications used by IPCC AR6 and the overall contribution to IPCC AR6

D4.1 (M16, UNIVLEEDS, MPG): A KGSIR outlining the CONSTRAIN journal publications used by IPCC AR6 and the overall contribution to IPCC AR6 (Tasks 4.1.1 and 4.1.2). This is expected to include at least 7 journal publications for relevant chapters as detailed in Section 2.

KGSIR on knowledge gained in understanding of climate sensitivity and its role in projections

D4.8 (M42, ETH, UNIVLEEDS, MPG, SU): A KGSIR on knowledge gained in understanding of climate sensitivity, TCRE and its role in projections (Task 4.2.2, 4.2.3).

Annual CONSTRAIN report 1 on adaptation and mitigation choices

D5.6 (M7; CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Annual CONSTRAIN report 1 on adaptation and mitigation choices launched at annual December side event at UNFCCC COP. (Task 5.2.1).

End-of-project KGSIR on rapid adjustment processes and constraint of ERF from spatiotemporal patterns

D1.6 (M48, ULEI, UNIVLEEDS, CICERO): End-of-project KGSIR on relative role of rapid adjustment processes and their timescales and constraint of ERF from spatiotemporal patterns (Tasks 1.2.1, 1.2.2 and 1.2.3)

Annual CONSTRAIN report 4 on adaptation and mitigation choices

D5.9 (M42; CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Annual CONSTRAIN report 4 on adaptation and mitigation choices launched at annual December side event at UNFCCC COP. (Task 5.2.1).

End-of-project KGSIR on robust circulation responses to climate change in the tropical Atlantic sector and in the mid-latitude European sector

D2.7 (M48, MPG, STOCKHOLM, WEIZMANN, CNRS): End-of-project KGSIR on robust circulation responses to climate change in the tropical Atlantic sector and in the mid-latitude European sector (all of Task 2.3).

End-of-Project KGSIR on the role of the ocean in setting the transient climate sensitivity

D3.3 (M48, METEO-FRANCE, MPG): End-of-Project KGSIR on the role of the ocean in setting the transient climate sensitivity to cumulative emissions, including the relative role of variations in SST patterns, the changes in ocean heat and carbon uptake (Tasks 3.1.2, 3.1.3, 3.2.2 and 3.2.3)

KGSIR on improved characterisation and understanding of the ERF concept.

D1.1 (M9, CICERO, UNIVLEEDS, MET OFFICE): KGSIR on improved characterisation and understanding of the ERF concept. This will be based on peer-reviewed publications to be assessed by IPCC AR6 on characterisation of model diversity of ERF due to CO2, on efficacy of climate drivers, and on time evolution of ERF (Task 1.1.1, 1.1.2, 1.1.3 and 1.1.4).

KGSIR on carbon budget estimates updates with the latest insights on forcing, variability and feedbacks

D5.3 (M48, IMPERIAL, CLIMATE ANALYTICS, UNIVLEEDS, CNRS): KGSIR on carbon budget estimates updates with the latest insights on forcing, variability and feedbacks, showing clearly how different uncertainties and short-lived climate forcer pathways affect budgets. Timed to meet IPCC AR6 WGI literature cut-off date and feed into Chapter 5 (Global carbon and other biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks). (Task 5.1.3 and 4.3.1).

Full documentation of the improved emulators in the form of a technical report or a model presentation publication for FAIR and OSCAR.

D4.11 (M36, CNRS, IASA, UNIVLEEDS): Full documentation of the improved emulators in the form of a technical report or a model presentation publication for FAIR and OSCAR (Task 4.3.1).

KGSIR assessing the skill of climate emulators

D4.12 (M36 ETH, IPSL-CNRS, UNIVLEEDS): KGSIR assessing the skill of climate emulators having participated in the intercomparison and how they should be used. This will examine the credibility of these tools and their limitations, which depends on the timescale, scenario and variable to inform scientists on how to use these emulators and inform policy makers where to trust their results (Task 4.3.2).

Online interactive infographics created such as the Climate Action Tracker, but targeting both adaptation and mitigation decisions

D5.12 (M48, CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Online interactive infographics created such as the Climate Action Tracker, but targeting both adaptation and mitigation decisions (Task 5.2.1).

Stakeholder driven and bespoke communication tools for general audience (e.g. graphic novel) on near term climate change

D5.11 (M48, UNIVLEEDS): A stakeholder driven and bespoke communication tool for general audience (e.g. graphic novel) on near term climate change. (Task 5.2.2).

Final CONSTRAIN summary input into the global stocktake

D5.10 (M44, CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Final CONSTRAIN summary input into the Global Stocktake. Whenever appropriate opportunities arise within the UNFCCC policy process leading up to the 2023 Global Stocktake. Depending on the modalities of the Global Stocktake process this deliverable could occur between M36 – M48 (Task 5.2.1).

Pubblicazioni

Understanding the Extreme Spread in Climate Sensitivity within the Radiative‐Convective Equilibrium Model Intercomparison Project

Autori: Becker T., Wing A.A.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero Vol. 12, Numero 10, 2020, Pagina/e Pages e2020MS002165, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002165

Modifying Emissions Scenario Projections to Account for the Effects of COVID-19: Protocol for CovidMIP

Autori: Lamboll R.D., Jones C.D., Skeie R.B., Fiedler S., Samset B.H., Gillett N.P., Rogelj J., Forster P.M.
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero Vol. 14, Numero 6, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 3683-3695, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-3683-2021

Inter-Model Variability in Convection-Resolving Simulations of Subtropical Marine Low Clouds

Autori: Heim C., Hentgen L., Ban N., Schär C.
Pubblicato in: Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Ser. II, Numero Vol. 99, Numero 5, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 1271-1295, ISSN 2186-9057
Editore: Nihon kisho gakkai
DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2021-062

Multiple Drivers of the North Atlantic Warming Hole

Autori: Keil P., Mauritsen T., Jungclaus J., Hedemann C., Olonscheck D., Ghosh R.
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero Vol. 10, Numero 7, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 667-671, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0819-8

Assessing the Size and Uncertainty of Remaining Carbon Budgets

Autori: Lamboll R.D., Nicholls Z.R.J., Smith C.J., Kikstra J.S., Byers E., Rogelj J.
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01848-5

Projected Land Ice Contributions to Twenty-First-Century Sea Level Rise

Autori: Edwards T.L., Nowicki S., Marzeion B., Hock R., Goelzer H., Seroussi H., Jourdain N.C., Slater D.A., Turner F.E., Smith C.J., McKenna C.M., Simon E., Abe-Ouchi A., Gregory J.M., Larour E., Lipscomb W.H., Payne A.J., Shepherd A., Agosta C., Alexander P., Albrecht T., Anderson B., Asay-Davis X., Aschwanden A., Barthel A., Bliss A., Calov R., Chambers C., Champollion N., Choi Y., Cullather R., Cuzzon
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero Vol. 593, Numero 7857, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 74-82, ISSN 1476-4687
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y

Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Modulates the Climate Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation in Australia

Autori: Trascasa-Castro P., Maycock A.C., Ruprich-Robert Y., Turco M., Staten P.W.
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero Vol. 18, Numero 8, 2023, Pagina/e Pages 084029, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace920

Evaluating Large-Domain, Hecto-Meter, Large-Eddy Simulations of Trade-Wind Clouds Using EUREC4A Data

Autori: Schulz H. and Stevens B.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero Vol. 15, Numero 10, 2023, Pagina/e Pages e2023MS003648, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003648

Quantifying Uncertainty in Aggregated Climate Change Risk Assessments

Autori: Harrington L.J., Schleussner C.-F., Otto F.E.L.
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero Vol. 12, Numero 1, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 7140, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-27491-2

Effects of Local and Remote Black Carbon Aerosols on Summer Monsoon Precipitation Over India

Autori: Krishnamohan K.S., Modak A., Bala G.
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Communications, Numero Vol. 3, Numero 8, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 081003, ISSN 2515-7620
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ac18d1

Scientific Data from Precipitation Driver Response Model Intercomparison Project

Autori: Myhre G., Samset B., Forster P.M., Hodnebrog Ø., Sandstad M., Mohr C.W., Sillmann J., Stjern C.W., Andrews T., Boucher O., Faluvegi G., Iversen T., Lamarque J.-F., Kasoar M., Kirkevåg A., Kramer R., Liu L., Mülmenstädt J., Olivié D., Quaas J., Richardson T.B., Shawki D., Shindell D., Smith C., Stier P., Tang T., Takemura T., Voulgarakis A., Watson-Parris D.
Pubblicato in: Nature Scientific Data, Numero Vol. 9, Numero 1, 2022, Pagina/e Pages 123, ISSN 2052-4463
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-022-01194-9

The Impact of CO2-Driven Climate Change on the Arctic Atmospheric Energy Budget in CMIP6 Climate Model Simulations

Autori: Linke O., Quaas J.
Pubblicato in: Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Numero Vol. 74, Numero 1, 2022, Pagina/e Pages 106–118, ISSN 1600-0870
Editore: Taylor & Francis
DOI: 10.16993/tellusa.29

On the Structure of Instantaneous Radiative Forcing Kernels for Greenhouse Gases

Autori: Maycock A.C., Smith C.J., Rap A., Rutherford O.
Pubblicato in: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Numero Vol. 78, Numero 3, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 949-965, ISSN 0022-4928
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jas-d-19-0267.1

Application of the Pseudo-Global Warming Approach in a Kilometer-Resolution Climate Simulation of the Tropics

Autori: Heim C., Leutwyler D., Schär C.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Numero Vol. 128, Numero 5, 2023, Pagina/e Pages e2022JD037958, ISSN 2169-897X
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd037958

The Pseudo-Global-Warming (PGW) Approach: Methodology, Software Package PGW4ERA5 v1.1, Validation and Sensitivity Analysis

Autori: Brogli R., Heim C., Mensch J., Sørland S.L., Schär C.
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero Vol. 16, Numero 3, 2023, Pagina/e Pages 907-926, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-907-2023

Biased Estimates of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity and Transient Climate Response Derived From Historical CMIP6 Simulations

Autori: Dong Y., Armour K.C., Proistosescu C., Andrews T., Battisti D.S., Forster P.M., Paynter D., Smith C.J., Shiogama H.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 48, Numero 24, 2021, Pagina/e Pages e2021GL095778, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl095778

Path Independence of Carbon Budgets When Meeting a Stringent Global Mean Temperature Target After an Overshoot

Autori: Tokarska K.B., Zickfeld K., Rogelj J.
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero Vol. 7, Numero 12, 2019, Pagina/e Pages 1283-1295, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001312

Clouds and Convective Self‐Aggregation in a Multimodel Ensemble of Radiative‐Convective Equilibrium Simulations

Autori: Wing A.A., Stauffer C.L., Becker T., Reed K.A., Ahn M.-S., Arnold N.P., Bony S., Branson M., Bryan G.H., Chaboureau J.-P., De Roode S.R., Gayatri K., Hohenegger C., Hu I.-K., Jansson F., Jones T.R., Khairoutdinov M., Kim D., Martin Z.K., Matsugishi S., Medeiros B., Miura H., Moon Y., Müller S.K., Ohno T., Popp M., Prabhakaran T., Randall D., Rios‐Berrios R., Rochetin N., Roehrig R., Romps D.M.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero Vol. 12, Numero 9, 2020, Pagina/e Pages e2020MS002138, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002138

Understanding Top‐of‐Atmosphere Flux Bias in the AeroCom Phase III Models: A Clear‐Sky Perspective

Autori: Su W., Liang L., Myhre G., Thorsen T.J., Loeb N.G., Schuster G.L., Ginoux P., Paulot F., Neubauer D., Checa-Garcia R., Matsui H., Tsigaridis K., Skeie R.B., Takemura T., Bauer S.E., Schulz M.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero Vol. 13, Numero 9, 2021, Pagina/e Pages e2021MS002584, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002584

Northern-High-Latitude Permafrost and Terrestrial Carbon Response to Two Solar Geoengineering Scenarios

Autori: Chen Y., Ji D., Zhang Q., Moore J.C., Boucher O., Jones A., Lurton T., Mills M.J., Niemeier U., Séférian R., Tilmes S.
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero Vol. 14, Numero 1, 2023, Pagina/e Pages 55-79, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-55-2023

Present‐Day and Historical Aerosol and Ozone Characteristics in CNRM CMIP6 Simulations

Autori: Michou M., Nabat P., Saint‐Martin D., Bock J., Decharme B., Mallet M., Roehrig R., Séférian R., Sénési S., Voldoire A.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero Vol. 12, Numero 1, 2019, Pagina/e Pages e2019MS001816, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001816

ICON-Sapphire: Simulating the Components of the Earth System and Their Interactions at Kilometer and Subkilometer Scales

Autori: Hohenegger C., Korn P., Linardakis L., Redler R., Schnur R., Adamidis P., Bao J., Bastin S., Behravesh M., Bergemann M., Biercamp J., Bockelmann H., Brokopf R., Brüggemann N., Casaroli L., Chegini F., Datseris G., Esch M., George G., Giorgetta M., Gutjahr O., Haak H., Hanke M., Ilyina T., Jahns T., Jungclaus J., Kern M., Klocke D., Kluft L., Kölling T., Kornblueh L., Kosukhin S., Kroll C., Lee J
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero Vol. 16, Numero 2, 2023, Pagina/e Pages 779-811, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-779-2023

Ten New Insights in Climate Science 2021: A Horizon Scan

Autori: Martin M.A., Sendra O.A., Bastos A., Bauer N., Bertram C., Blenckner T., Bowen K., Brando P.M., Rudolph T.B., Büchs M., Bustamante M., Chen D., Cleugh H., Dasgupta P., Denton F., Donges J.F., Donkor F.K., Duan H., Duarte C.M., Ebi K.L., Edwards C.M., Engel A., Fisher E., Fuss S., Gaertner J., Gettelman A., Girardin C.A.J., Golledge N.R., Green J.F., Grose M.R., Hashizume M., Hebden S., Hepach H.,
Pubblicato in: Global Sustainability, Numero Vol. 4, 2021, Pagina/e Pages e25, ISSN 2059-4798
Editore: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2021.25

Sources of Uncertainty in Multimodel Large Ensemble Projections of the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation

Autori: McKenna C.M., Maycock A.C.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 48, Numero 14, 2021, Pagina/e Pages e2021GL093258, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093258

Silicone v1.0.0: An Open-Source Python Package for Inferring Missing Emissions Data for Climate Change Research

Autori: Lamboll R.D., Nicholls Z.R.J., Kikstra J.S., Meinshausen M., Rogelj J.
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero Vol. 13, Numero 11, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 5259-5275, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-5259-2020

Broad Consistency Between Observed and Simulated Trends in Sea Surface Temperature Patterns

Autori: Olonscheck D., Rugenstein M., Marotzke J.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 47, Numero 10, 2020, Pagina/e Pages e2019GL086773, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086773

Attribution of Multi-Annual to Decadal Changes in the Climate System: The Large Ensemble Single Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (LESFMIP)

Autori: Smith D.M., Gillett N.P., Simpson I.R., Athanasiadis P.J., Baehr J., Bethke I., Bilge T.A., Bonnet R., Boucher O., Findell K.L., Gastineau G., Gualdi S., Hermanson L., Leung L.R., Mignot J., Müller W.A., Osprey S., Otterå O.H., Persad G.G., Scaife A.A., Schmidt G.A., Shiogama H., Sutton R.T., Swingedouw D., Yang S., Zhou T., Ziehn T.
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Climate, Numero Vol. 4, 2022, ISSN 2624-9553
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2022.955414

Climate Model Projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6

Autori: Tebaldi C., Debeire K., Eyring V., Fischer E., Fyfe J., Friedlingstein P., Knutti R., Lowe J., O'Neill B., Sanderson B., van Vuuren D., Riahi K., Meinshausen M., Nicholls Z., Tokarska K.B., Hurtt G., Kriegler E., Lamarque J.-F., Meehl G., Moss R., Bauer S.E., Boucher O., Brovkin V., Byun Y.-H., Dix M., Gualdi S., Guo H., John J.G., Kharin S., Kim Y., Koshiro T., Ma L., Olivié D., Panickal S., Qia
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero Vol. 12, Numero 1, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 253-293, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-253-2021

Global Carbon Budget 2021

Autori: Friedlingstein P., Jones M.W., O'Sullivan M., Andrew R.M., Bakker D.C.E., Hauck J., Le Quéré C., Peters G.P., Peters W., Pongratz J., Sitch S., Canadell J.G., Ciais P., Jackson R.B., Alin S.R., Anthoni P., Bates N.R., Becker M., Bellouin N., Bopp L., Chau T.T.T., Chevallier F., Chini L.P., Cronin M., Currie K.I., Decharme B., Djeutchouang L.M., Dou X., Evans W., Feely R.A., Feng L., Gasser T., G
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, Numero Vol. 14, Numero 4, 2022, Pagina/e Pages 1917-2005, ISSN 1866-3516
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-14-1917-2022

Effective Radiative Forcing and Adjustments in CMIP6 Models

Autori: Smith C.J., Kramer R.J., Myhre G., Alterskjær K., Collins W., Sima A., Boucher O., Dufresne J.-L., Nabat P., Michou M., Yukimoto S., Cole J., Paynter D., Shiogama H., O'Connor F.M., Robertson E., Wiltshire A., Andrews T., Hannay C., Miller R., Nazarenko L., Kirkevåg A., Olivié D., Fiedler S., Lewinschal A., Mackallah C., Dix M., Pincus R., Forster P.M.
Pubblicato in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numero Vol. 20, Numero 16, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 9591-9618, ISSN 1680-7324
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-9591-2020

Climate Model Selection by Independence, Performance, and Spread (ClimSIPS v1.0.1) for Regional Applications

Autori: Merrifield A.L., Brunner L., Lorenz R., Humphrey V., Knutti R.
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero Vol. 16, Numero 16, 2023, Pagina/e Pages 4715-4747, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-4715-2023

Global Carbon Budget 2020

Autori: Friedlingstein P., O'Sullivan M., Jones M.W., Andrew R.M., Hauck J., Olsen A., Peters G.P., Peters W., Pongratz J., Sitch S., Le Quéré C., Canadell J.G., Ciais P., Jackson R.B., Alin S., Aragão L.E.O., Arneth A., Arora V., Bates N.R., Becker M., Benoit-Cattin A., Bittig H.C., Bopp L., Bultan S., Chandra N., Chevallier F., Chini L.P., Evans W., Florentie L., Forster P.M., Gasser T., Gehlen M., G
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, Numero Vol. 12, Numero 4, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 3269-3340, ISSN 1866-3516
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-3269-2020

The Effect of Rapid Adjustments to Halocarbons and N2O on Radiative Forcing

Autori: Hodnebrog Ø., Myhre G., Kramer R.J., Shine K.P., Andrews T., Faluvegi G., Kasoar M., Kirkevåg A., Lamarque J.-F., Mülmenstädt J., Olivié D., Samset B.H., Shindell D., Smith C.J., Takemura T., Voulgarakis A.
Pubblicato in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Numero Vol. 3, Numero 1, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 43, ISSN 2397-3722
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-00150-x

Widespread Shallow Mesoscale Circulations Observed in the Trades

Autori: George G., Stevens B., Bony S., Vogel R., Naumann A.K.
Pubblicato in: Nature Geoscience, Numero Vol. 16, Numero 7, 2023, Pagina/e 584-589, ISSN 1752-0908
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-023-01215-1

Stratospheric Ozone Response to Sulfate Aerosol and Solar Dimming Climate Interventions based on the G6 Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) Simulations

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Emissions Estimations Should Embed a Precautionary Principle

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Climate Impact of Aircraft-Induced Cirrus Assessed from Satellite Observations Before and During COVID-19

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Identifying the Sources of Uncertainty in Climate Model Simulations of Solar Radiation Modification with the G6sulfur and G6solar Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) Simulations

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Strong Aerosol Cooling Alone Does Not Explain Cold-Biased Mid-Century Temperatures in CMIP6 models

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On the Daily Cycle of Mesoscale Cloud Organization in the Winter Trades

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Nonlinearity of the Cloud Response Postpones Climate Penalty of Mitigating Air Pollution in Polluted Regions

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Clear-Sky Control of Anvils in Response to Increased CO2 or Surface Warming or Volcanic Eruptions

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The 2000–2012 Global Warming Hiatus More Likely With a Low Climate Sensitivity

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The Contribution of Global Aviation to Anthropogenic Climate Forcing for 2000 to 2018

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Reducing Uncertainty in Local Temperature Projections

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Observed and CMIP6 Modeled Internal Variability Feedbacks and Their Relation to Forced Climate Feedbacks

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Pathways of Climate Resilience Over the 21st Century

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Comparing Different Generations of Idealized Solar Geoengineering Simulations in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)

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Current-Climate Sea Ice Amount and Seasonality As Constraints for Future Arctic Amplification

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Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing

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Incremental Improvements of 2030 Targets Insufficient to Achieve the Paris Agreement Goals

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Strong Cloud-Circulation Coupling Explains Weak Trade Cumulus Feedback

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A Cloud-Controlling Factor Perspective on the Hemispheric Asymmetry of Extratropical Cloud Albedo

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Carbon-Concentration and Carbon-Climate Feedbacks in CMIP6 Models and Their Comparison to CMIP5 Models

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Cloud Transition Across the Daily Cycle Illuminates Model Responses of Trade Cumuli to Warming

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The Role of Baroclinic Activity in Controlling Earth’s Albedo in the Present and Future Climates

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Making Climate Projections Conditional on Historical Observations

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An Underestimated Negative Cloud Feedback from Cloud Lifetime Changes

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Constraining Uncertainty in Aerosol Direct Forcing

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Robust Evidence for Reversal of the Trend in Aerosol Effective Climate Forcing

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Minimal Recipes for Global Cloudiness

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Stringent Mitigation Substantially Reduces Risk of Unprecedented Near-Term Warming Rates

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Future Summer Warming Pattern Under Climate Change is Affected by Lapse-Rate Changes

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Low-Level Marine Tropical Clouds in Six CMIP6 Models Are Too Few, Too Bright but Also Too Compact and Too Homogeneous

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Net Zero Targets in Science and Policy

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A Sensitivity Study of Arctic Air-Mass Transformation Using Large Eddy Simulation

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Enhanced Warming Constrained by Past Trends in Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Gradient

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Variations of Tropical Lapse Rates in Climate Models and Their Implications for Upper-Tropospheric Warming

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Cloud Botany: Shallow Cumulus Clouds in an Ensemble of Idealized Large-Domain Large-Eddy Simulations of the Trades

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A Drier Than Expected Future, Supported by Near-Surface Relative Humidity Observations

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Causes of the Weak Emergent Constraint on Climate Sensitivity at the Last Glacial Maximum

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Emergent Constraints on Earth's Transient and Equilibrium Response to Doubled CO2 from Post-1970s Global Warming

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A New Perspective for Future Precipitation Change from Intense Extratropical Cyclones

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CERESMIP: A Climate Modeling Protocol to Investigate Recent Trends in the Earth's Energy Imbalance

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Sensitivity of Bias Adjustment Methods to Low-Frequency Internal Climate Variability Over the Reference Period: An Ideal Model Study

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Suppressed Late‐20th Century Warming in CMIP6 Models Explained by Forcing and Feedbacks

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Inequalities in Air Pollution Exposure and Attributable Mortality in a Low Carbon Future

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Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled

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Past and Future Response of the North Atlantic Warming Hole to Anthropogenic Forcing

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Errors in Simple Climate Model Emulations of Past and Future Global Temperature Change

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Tropospheric Ozone Radiative Forcing Uncertainty Due to Pre-Industrial Fire and Biogenic Emissions

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Reply to Comment on 'Unintentional Unfairness When Applying New Greenhouse Gas Emissions Metrics at Country Level'

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Opportunities and Challenges in Using Remaining Carbon Budgets to Guide Climate Policy

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Better-Constrained Climate Sensitivity When Accounting for Dataset Dependency on Pattern Effect Estimates

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An Assessment of Earth's Climate Sensitivity Using Multiple Lines of Evidence

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Effective Radiative Forcing from Emissions of Reactive Gases and Aerosols – A Multi-Model Comparison

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Efficacy of Climate Forcings in PDRMIP Models

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Stronger Response to the Aerosol Indirect Effect due to Cooling in Remote Regions

Autori: Huusko L., Modak A., Mauritsen T.
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Assessing Precipitation Over the Amazon Basin as Simulated by a Storm-Resolving Model

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Temperature-Dependence of the Clear-Sky Feedback in Radiative-Convective Equilibrium

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Northern Hemisphere Cold Air Outbreaks Are More Likely to be Severe During Weak Polar Vortex Conditions

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The HadGEM3-GA7.1 Radiative Kernel: The Importance of a Well-Resolved Stratosphere

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How the Glasgow Declaration on Forests Can Help Keep Alive the 1.5 °C Target

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Role of Sea Surface Temperature Patterns for the Southern Hemisphere Jet Stream Response to CO2 Forcing

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The Contributions of Individual Countries and Regions to the Global Radiative Forcing

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Wave of Net Zero Emission Targets Opens Window to Meeting the Paris Agreement

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Current and Future Global Climate Impacts Resulting from COVID-19

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Quantification of Chaotic Intrinsic Variability of Sea‐Air CO2 Fluxes at Interannual Timescales

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Assessing Carbon Cycle Projections from Complex and Simple Models Under SSP Scenarios

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An Updated Assessment of Past and Future Warming Over France Based on a Regional Observational Constraint

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Energy Budget Constraints on the Time History of Aerosol Forcing and Climate Sensitivity

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Climate Warming Mitigation from Nationally Determined Contributions

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Observational Evidence of Increasing Global Radiative Forcing

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Is There Warming in the Pipeline? A Multi-Model Analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO2

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The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions

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Large-Scale Emergence of Regional Changes in Year-to-Year Temperature Variability by the End of the 21st Century

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Uncertainty in Near-Term Temperature Evolution Must Not Obscure Assessments of Climate Mitigation Benefits

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Reconciling Conflicting Accounts of Local Radiative Feedbacks in Climate Models

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New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES

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Non-Precipitating Shallow Cumulus Convection is Intrinsically Unstable to Length-Scale Growth

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Uncertainty in Carbon Budget Estimates Due to Internal Climate Variability

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Indicators of Global Climate Change 2022: Annual Update of Large-Scale Indicators of the State of the Climate System and Human Influence

Autori: Forster P.M., Smith C.J., Walsh T., Lamb W.F., Lamboll R., Hauser M., Ribes A., Rosen D., Gillett N., Palmer M.D., Rogelj J., von Schuckmann K., Seneviratne S.I., Trewin B., Zhang X., Allen M., Andrew R., Birt A., Borger A., Boyer T., Broersma J.A., Cheng L., Dentener F., Friedlingstein P., Gutiérrez J.M., Gütschow J., Hall B., Ishii M., Jenkins S., Lan X., Lee J.Y., Morice C., Kadow C., Kennedy
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, Numero Vol. 15, Numero 6, 2023, Pagina/e 2295-2327, ISSN 1866-3516
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-15-2295-2023

The Effect of Convective Injection of Ice on Stratospheric Water Vapor in a Changing Climate

Autori: Smith J.W., Bushell A.C., Butchart N., Haynes P.H., Maycock A.C.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 49, Numero 9, 2022, Pagina/e e2021GL097386, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl097386

How Large Does a Large Ensemble Need to Be?

Autori: Milinski S., Maher N., Olonscheck D.
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero Vol. 11, Numero 4, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 885-901, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-885-2020

Historical Ocean Heat Uptake in Two Pairs of CMIP6 Models: Global and Regional Perspectives

Autori: Kuhlbrodt T., Voldoire A., Palmer M.D., Geoffroy O., Killick R.E.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero Vol. 36, Numero 7, 2023, Pagina/e Pages 2183-2203, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0468.1

Observational Evidence for a Stability Iris Effect in the Tropics

Autori: Saint‐Lu M., Bony S., Dufresne J.-L.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 47, Numero 14, 2020, Pagina/e Pages e2020GL089059, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl089059

Shallow Cumulus Cloud Feedback in Large Eddy Simulations – Bridging the Gap to Storm-Resolving Models

Autori: Radtke J., Mauritsen T., Hohenegger C.
Pubblicato in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numero Vol. 21, Numero 5, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 3275-3288, ISSN 1680-7324
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-3275-2021

An Integrated Approach to Quantifying Uncertainties in the Remaining Carbon Budget

Autori: Matthews H.D., Tokarska K.B., Rogelj J., Smith C.J., MacDougall A.H., Haustein K., Mengis N., Sippel S., Forster P.M., Knutti R.
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero Vol. 2, Numero 1, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 7, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-020-00064-9

Negligible Unforced Historical Pattern Effect on Climate Feedback Strength Found in HadISST-Based AMIP Simulations

Autori: Lewis N., Mauritsen T.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero Vol. 34, Numero 1, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 39-55, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0941.1

The New Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble With CMIP6 Forcing and High-Frequency Model Output

Autori: Olonscheck D., Suarez-Gutierrez L., Milinski S., Beobide-Arsuaga G., Baehr J., Fröb F., Ilyina T., Kadow C., Krieger D., Li H., Marotzke J., Plésiat É., Schupfner M., Wachsmann F., Wallberg L., Wieners K.-H., Brune S.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero Vol. 15, Numero 10, 2023, Pagina/e e2023MS003790, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003790

Institutional Decarbonization Scenarios Evaluated Against the Paris Agreement 1.5 °C Goal

Autori: Brecha R.J., Ganti G., Lamboll R.D., Nicholls Z., Hare B., Lewis J., Meinshausen M., Schaeffer M., Smith C.J., Gidden M.J.
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero Vol. 13, Numero 1, 2022, Pagina/e Pages 4304, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-31734-1

Guidance on Emissions Metrics for Nationally Determined Contributions Under the Paris Agreement

Autori: Denison S., Forster P.M., Smith C.J.
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero Vol. 14, Numero 12, 2019, Pagina/e 124002, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4df4

Understanding Pattern Scaling Errors Across a Range of Emissions Pathways

Autori: Wells C.D., Jackson L.S., Maycock A.C., Forster P.M.
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero Vol. 14, Numero 4, 2023, Pagina/e Pages 817-834, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-817-2023

A Comprehensive and Synthetic Dataset for Global, Regional, and National Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector 1970–2018 with an Extension to 2019

Autori: Minx J.C., Lamb W.F., Andrew R.M., Canadell J.G., Crippa M., Döbbeling N., Forster P.M., Guizzardi D., Olivier J., Peters G.P., Pongratz J., Reisinger A., Rigby M., Saunois M., Smith, S.J., Solazzo E.,Tian H
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, Numero Vol. 13, Numero 11, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 5213-5252, ISSN 1866-3516
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-13-5213-2021

The Impact of Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention on the North Atlantic and Quasi-Biennial Oscillations in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) G6sulfur Experiment

Autori: Jones A., Haywood J.M., Scaife A.A., Boucher O., Henry M., Kravitz B., Lurton T., Nabat P., Niemeier U., Séférian R., Tilmes S., Visioni D.
Pubblicato in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numero Vol. 22, Numero 5, 2022, Pagina/e Pages 2999-3016, ISSN 1680-7324
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-22-2999-2022

Uncompensated Claims to Fair Emission Space Risk Putting Paris Agreement Goals Out of Reach

Autori: Ganti G., Gidden M.J., Smith C.J., Fyson C., Nauels A., Riahi K., Schleussner C.-F.
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero Vol. 18, Numero 2, 2023, Pagina/e Pages 024040, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb502

Energy Budget Constraints on Historical Radiative Forcing

Autori: Andrews T., Forster P.M.
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero Vol. 10, Numero 4, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 313-316, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0696-1

Sensitivity of Tropical Extreme Precipitation to Surface Warming in Aquaplanet Experiments Using a Global Nonhydrostatic Model

Autori: Uribe A., Vial J., Mauritsen T.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 48, Numero 9, 2021, Pagina/e Pages e2020GL091371, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091371

Climate Change Response of Tropical Atlantic Clouds in a Kilometer-Resolution Model

Autori: Heim C., Schär C.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Numero Vol. 129, Numero 1, 2023, Pagina/e Pages e2023JD038947, ISSN 2169-897X
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2023jd038947

The Climate Response to Emissions Reductions Due to COVID‐19: Initial Results From CovidMIP

Autori: Jones C.D., Hickman J.E., Rumbold S.T., Walton J., Lamboll R.D., Skeie R.B., Fiedler S., Forster P.M., Rogelj J., Abe M., Botzet M., Calvin K., Cassou C., Cole J.N.S., Davini P., Deushi M., Dix M., Fyfe J.C., Gillett N.P., Ilyina T., Kawamiya M., Kelley M., Kharin S., Koshiro T., Li H., Mackallah C., Müller W.A., Nabat P., van Noije T., Nolan P., Ohgaito R., Olivié D., Oshima N., Parodi J., Reer
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 48, Numero 8, 2021, Pagina/e Pages e2020GL091883, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091883

Inconsistencies When Applying Novel Metrics for Emissions Accounting to the Paris Agreement

Autori: Schleussner C.-F., Nauels A., Schaeffer M., Hare W., Rogelj J.
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero Vol. 14, Numero 12, 2019, Pagina/e Pages 124055, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab56e7

Early Development and Tuning of a Global Coupled Cloud Resolving Model, and its Fast Response to Increasing CO2

Autori: Mauritsen T., Redler R., Esch M., Stevens B., Hohenegger C., Klocke D., Brokopf R., Haak H., Linardakis L., Röber N., Schnur R.
Pubblicato in: Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Numero Vol. 74, Numero 1, 2022, Pagina/e Pages 346–363, ISSN 1600-0870
Editore: Taylor and Francis Ltd.
DOI: 10.16993/tellusa.54

Increased Risk of Near Term Global Warming due to a Recent AMOC Weakening

Autori: Bonnet R., Swingedouw D., Gastineau G., Boucher O., Deshayes J., Hourdin F., Mignot J., Servonnat J., Sima A.
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero Vol. 12, Numero 1, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 6108, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-26370-0

Carbon Cycle Response to Temperature Overshoot Beyond 2°C: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models

Autori: Melnikova I., Boucher O., Cadule P., Ciais P., Gasser T., Quilcaille Y., Shiogama H., Tachiiri K., Yokohata T., Tanaka K.
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero Vol. 9, Numero 5, 2021, Pagina/e Pages e2020EF001967, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001967

A Bayesian Framework for Emergent Constraints: Case Studies of Climate Sensitivity With PMIP

Autori: Renoult M., Annan J.D., Hargreaves J.C., Sagoo N., Flynn C., Kapsch M.-L., Li Q., Lohmann G., Mikolajewicz U., Ohgaito R., Shi X., Zhang Q., Mauritsen T.
Pubblicato in: Climate of the Past, Numero Vol. 16, Numero 5, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 1715-1735, ISSN 1814-9332
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-16-1715-2020

On the Effect of Historical SST Patterns on Radiative Feedback

Autori: Andrews T., Bodas-Salcedo A., Gregory J.M., Dong Y., Armour K.C., Paynter D., Lin P., Modak A., Mauritsen T., Cole J.N.S., Medeiros B., Benedict J.J., Douville H., Roehrig R., Koshiro T., Kawai H., Ogura T., Dufresne J.-L., Allan R.P., Liu C.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Numero Vol. 127, Numero 18, 2022, Pagina/e Pages e2022JD036675, ISSN 2169-897X
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd036675

Historical Total Ozone Radiative Forcing Derived from CMIP6 Simulations

Autori: Skeie R.B., Myhre G., Hodnebrog Ø., Cameron-Smith P.J., Deushi M., Hegglin M.I., Horowitz L.W., Kramer R.J., Michou M., Mills M.J., Olivié D.J.L., O'Connor F.M., Paynter D., Samset B.H., Sellar A., Shindell D., Takemura T., Tilmes S., Wu T.
Pubblicato in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Numero Vol. 3, Numero 1, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 32, ISSN 2397-3722
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-00131-0

Connecting the SST Pattern Problem and the Hot Model Problem

Autori: Rugenstein M., Dhame S., Olonscheck D., Wills R.J., Watanabe M., Seager R.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 50, Numero 22, 2023, Pagina/e Pages e2023GL105488, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105488

The Effect of Anthropogenic Aerosols on the Aleutian Low

Autori: Dow W.J., Maycock A., Lofverstrom M., Smith C.J.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero Vol. 34, Numero 5, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 1725-1741, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0423.1

Eddy Activity Response to Global Warming-Like Temperature Changes

Autori: Yuval J., Kaspi Y.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero Vol. 33, Numero 4, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 1381-1404, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0190.1

The Deployment Length of Solar Radiation Modification: An Interplay of Mitigation, Net-negative Emissions and Climate Uncertainty

Autori: Baur S., Nauels A., Nicholls Z., Sanderson B.M., Schleussner C.-F.`
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero Vol. 14, Numero 2, 2023, Pagina/e Pages 367-381, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-367-2023

Cloud Patterns in the Trades Have Four Interpretable Dimensions

Autori: Janssens M., Vilà-Guerau de Arellano J., Scheffer M., Antonissen C., Siebesma P.A., Glassmeier F.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 48, Numero 5, 2021, Pagina/e Pages e2020GL091001, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091001

Impact of Holuhraun Volcano Aerosols on Clouds in Cloud-System-Resolving Simulations

Autori: Haghighatnasab M., Kretzschmar J., Block K., Quaas J.
Pubblicato in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numero Vol. 22, Numero 13, 2022, Pagina/e Pages 8457-8472, ISSN 1680-7324
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-22-8457-2022

Climate-Driven Chemistry and Aerosol Feedbacks in CMIP6 Earth System Models

Autori: Thornhill G., Collins W., Olivié D., Skeie R.B., Archibald A., Bauer S., Checa-Garcia R., Fiedler S., Folberth G., Gjermundsen A., Horowitz L., Lamarque J.-F., Michou M., Mulcahy J., Nabat P., Naik V., O'Connor F.M., Paulot F., Schulz M., Scott C.E., Séférian R., Smith C., Takemura T., Tilmes S., Tsigaridis K., Weber J.
Pubblicato in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numero Vol. 21, Numero 2, 2021, Pagina/e Pages 1105-1126, ISSN 1680-7324
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-1105-2021

Global Warming at Near-Constant Tropospheric Relative Humidity is Supported by Observations

Autori: Douville H., Qasmi S., Ribes A., Bock O.
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero Vol. 3, Numero 1, 2022, Pagina/e Pages 237, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00561-z

The Time Scale of Shallow Convective Self-Aggregation in Large-Eddy Simulations Is Sensitive to Numerics

Autori: Janssens M., Vilà-Guerau de Arellano J., van Heerwaarden C.C., van Stratum B.J.H., de Roode S.R., Siebesma A.P., Glassmeier F.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero Vol. 15, Numero 1, 2022, Pagina/e Pages e2022MS003292, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022ms003292

Past Warming Trend Constrains Future Warming in CMIP6 Models

Autori: Tokarska K.B., Stolpe M.B., Sippel S., Fischer E.M., Smith C.J., Lehner F., Knutti R.
Pubblicato in: Science Advances, Numero Vol. 6, Numero 12, 2020, Pagina/e Pages eaaz9549, ISSN 2375-2548
Editore: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549

Changes in Poleward Atmospheric Energy Transport Over a Wide Range of Climates: Energetic and Diffusive Perspectives and A Priori Theories

Autori: Merlis T.M., Feldl N., Caballero R.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero Vol. 35, Numero 20, 2022, Pagina/e Pages 2933-2948, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0682.1

Sugar, Gravel, Fish, and Flowers: Dependence of Mesoscale Patterns of Trade‐Wind Clouds on Environmental Conditions

Autori: Bony S., Schulz H., Vial J., Stevens B.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 47, Numero 7, 2020, Pagina/e e2019GL085988, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl085988

Dependence of Climate Sensitivity on the Given Distribution of Relative Humidity

Autori: Bourdin S., Kluft L., Stevens B.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 48, Numero 8, 2021, Pagina/e Pages e2021GL092462, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl092462

On the Climate Sensitivity and Historical Warming Evolution in Recent Coupled Model Ensembles

Autori: Flynn C.M., Mauritsen T.
Pubblicato in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numero Vol. 20, Numero 13, 2020, Pagina/e Pages 7829-7842, ISSN 1680-7324
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-7829-2020

Tuning the MPI-ESM1.2 Global Climate Model to Improve the Match With Instrumental Record Warming by Lowering Its Climate Sensitivity

Autori: Mauritsen T., Roeckner E.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numero Vol. 12, Numero 5, 2020, Pagina/e Pages e2019MS002037, ISSN 1942-2466
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms002037

Responsibility of Major Emitters for Country-Level Warming and Extreme Hot Years

Autori: Beusch L., Nauels A., Gudmundsson L., Gütschow J., Schleussner C.-F., Seneviratne S.I.
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero Vol. 3, Numero 1, 2022, Pagina/e Pages 7, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00320-6

Trade Wind Boundary Layer Turbulence and Shallow Precipitating Convection: New Insights Combining SAR Images, Satellite Brightness Temperature, and Airborne In Situ Measurements

Autori: Brilouet P.-E., Bouniol D., Couvreux F., Ayet A., Granero-Belinchon C., Lothon M., Mouche A.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero Vol. 50, Numero 2, 2022, Pagina/e Pages e2022GL102180, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl102180

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