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Constraining uncertainty of multi decadal climate projections

Deliverables

Emission pathway tool published online

D5.1 (M16, IMPERIAL, CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Emission pathway tool published online (Task 5.1.1).

Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on aerosol-cloud interactions

D1.2 (M24, Met Office, ULEI): Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on aerosol-cloud interactions from models vs. observations after volcanic eruptions and other constraints for aerosol-cloud interactions. Participants of this two day workshop will include 7 CONSTRAIN scientists and 2 international participants (for whom costs will be covered by the programme) and up to 9 other participants (who will be expected to cover their own travel, accommodation and subsistence costs) (Tasks 1.1.2 and 1.1.4).

Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on understanding of rapid adjustment processes

D1.5 (M36, UNIVLEEDS, ULEI, CICERO): Short report on main outcomes of the workshop on understanding rapid adjustment processes: participating organisations: representatives from the H2020 FORCES project, ECMWF CAMS aerosol and radiative forcing projects, and 1-2 non-EU key laboratories. Participants of this two day workshop will include 7 CONSTRAIN scientists and 2 international participants (for whom costs will be covered by the programme) and up to 9 other participants (who will be expected to cover their own travel, accommodation and subsistence costs) (Tasks 1.2.1, 1.2.2 and 1.2.3).

Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on frameworks for characterizing mesoscale organisation of shallow convection

D2.2 (M12, TU DELFT, CNRS, MPG, ETH, METEO-FRANCE): Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on frameworks for characterizing mesoscale organisation of shallow convection from observations and assessing their role for cloud feedbacks using a hierarchy of models. Participants of this two day workshop will include 12 CONSTRAIN scientists and 3 international participants (for whom costs will be covered by the programme) and up to 15 other participants (who will be expected to cover their own travel, accommodation and subsistence costs) (Task 2.2.2.1).

Online GitHub Code documenting the improvements made to the emulators regarding their use of climate patterns for climate impact (FAIR) and feedbacks (OSCAR) studies

D4.10 (M30, CNRS, IASA, UNIVLEEDS): Online GitHub code of the emulators with improvements made regarding their use of climate patterns for climate impact (FAIR) and feedbacks (OSCAR) studies (Task 4.3.1).

End-of-project KGSIR on the improved physical understanding and quantification of tropical low-cloud feedbacks

D2.4 (M48, CNRS, MPG, TU DELFT): End-of-project KGSIR on the improved physical understanding and quantification of tropical low-cloud feedbacks (Task 2.2 and 2.3 and all related subtasks), and their implications for WP-4 by revisiting the plausible range of climate sensitivity estimates in the light of new observational constraints.

End-of-Project KGSIR on interaction of ocean heat uptake and radiative feedback change via SST-pattern change

D3.2 (M42, MET OFFICE, STOCKHOLM, MPG): End-of-Project KGSIR on interaction of ocean heat uptake and radiative feedback change via SST-pattern change. Quantifying the likelihood of future periods, which are similar to the last 30 years (strong ocean heat uptake combined with negative feedback parameter) (Tasks 3.1.2, 3.1.3).

Annual CONSTRAIN report 3 on adaptation and mitigation choices

D58 M30 CLIMATE ANALYTICS Annual CONSTRAIN report 3 on adaptation and mitigation choices launched at annual December side event at UNFCCC COP Task 521

End-of-project KGSIR on ERF developments

D1.3 (M48, CICERO, UNIVLEEDS, ULEI): End-of-project KGSIR on ERF developments, including time evolution, causes on diversity in ERF of CO2 and quantification of model errors, constrained ERF for aerosol-cloud interactions from models vs. observations after volcanic eruptions (Tasks. 1.1.1 and 1.1.3).

Annual CONSTRAIN report 2 on adaptation and mitigation choices

D5.7 (M18; CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Annual CONSTRAIN report 2 on adaptation and mitigation choices launched at annual December side event at UNFCCC COP. (Task 5.2.1).

KGSIR aimed at adaptation planners with info graphics on the robustness of 20-30 year projections

D5.2 (M36, CNRS, UNIVLEEDS, CLIMATE ANALYTICS, IMPERIAL): KGSIR aimed at adaptation planners characterising how scenario, policy and geophysical uncertainties affect projections over the next 20 to 30 years (Task 5.1.2).

Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop on  approaches to constraining climate sensitivity and integrating new insights on climate sensitivity

D43 M24 UNIVLEEDS ETH MPG STOCKHOLM Short report on main outcomes and participating organisations of the workshop for the scientific community on the various approaches to constrain climate sensitivity and integrating new insights on climate sensitivity developed by the midterm of the project in WPs 13 Participants of this two day workshop will include 7 CONSTRAIN scientists and 2 international participants for whom costs will be covered by the programme and up to 9 other participants who will be expected to cover their own travel accommodation and subsistence costs Task 422

KGSIR outlining the CONSTRAIN journal publications used by IPCC AR6 and the overall contribution to IPCC AR6

D4.1 (M16, UNIVLEEDS, MPG): A KGSIR outlining the CONSTRAIN journal publications used by IPCC AR6 and the overall contribution to IPCC AR6 (Tasks 4.1.1 and 4.1.2). This is expected to include at least 7 journal publications for relevant chapters as detailed in Section 2.

KGSIR on knowledge gained in understanding of climate sensitivity and its role in projections

D4.8 (M42, ETH, UNIVLEEDS, MPG, SU): A KGSIR on knowledge gained in understanding of climate sensitivity, TCRE and its role in projections (Task 4.2.2, 4.2.3).

Annual CONSTRAIN report 1 on adaptation and mitigation choices

D5.6 (M7; CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Annual CONSTRAIN report 1 on adaptation and mitigation choices launched at annual December side event at UNFCCC COP. (Task 5.2.1).

End-of-project KGSIR on rapid adjustment processes and constraint of ERF from spatiotemporal patterns

D1.6 (M48, ULEI, UNIVLEEDS, CICERO): End-of-project KGSIR on relative role of rapid adjustment processes and their timescales and constraint of ERF from spatiotemporal patterns (Tasks 1.2.1, 1.2.2 and 1.2.3)

Annual CONSTRAIN report 4 on adaptation and mitigation choices

D5.9 (M42; CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Annual CONSTRAIN report 4 on adaptation and mitigation choices launched at annual December side event at UNFCCC COP. (Task 5.2.1).

End-of-project KGSIR on robust circulation responses to climate change in the tropical Atlantic sector and in the mid-latitude European sector

D2.7 (M48, MPG, STOCKHOLM, WEIZMANN, CNRS): End-of-project KGSIR on robust circulation responses to climate change in the tropical Atlantic sector and in the mid-latitude European sector (all of Task 2.3).

End-of-Project KGSIR on the role of the ocean in setting the transient climate sensitivity

D3.3 (M48, METEO-FRANCE, MPG): End-of-Project KGSIR on the role of the ocean in setting the transient climate sensitivity to cumulative emissions, including the relative role of variations in SST patterns, the changes in ocean heat and carbon uptake (Tasks 3.1.2, 3.1.3, 3.2.2 and 3.2.3)

KGSIR on improved characterisation and understanding of the ERF concept.

D1.1 (M9, CICERO, UNIVLEEDS, MET OFFICE): KGSIR on improved characterisation and understanding of the ERF concept. This will be based on peer-reviewed publications to be assessed by IPCC AR6 on characterisation of model diversity of ERF due to CO2, on efficacy of climate drivers, and on time evolution of ERF (Task 1.1.1, 1.1.2, 1.1.3 and 1.1.4).

KGSIR on carbon budget estimates updates with the latest insights on forcing, variability and feedbacks

D5.3 (M48, IMPERIAL, CLIMATE ANALYTICS, UNIVLEEDS, CNRS): KGSIR on carbon budget estimates updates with the latest insights on forcing, variability and feedbacks, showing clearly how different uncertainties and short-lived climate forcer pathways affect budgets. Timed to meet IPCC AR6 WGI literature cut-off date and feed into Chapter 5 (Global carbon and other biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks). (Task 5.1.3 and 4.3.1).

Full documentation of the improved emulators in the form of a technical report or a model presentation publication for FAIR and OSCAR.

D4.11 (M36, CNRS, IASA, UNIVLEEDS): Full documentation of the improved emulators in the form of a technical report or a model presentation publication for FAIR and OSCAR (Task 4.3.1).

KGSIR assessing the skill of climate emulators

D4.12 (M36 ETH, IPSL-CNRS, UNIVLEEDS): KGSIR assessing the skill of climate emulators having participated in the intercomparison and how they should be used. This will examine the credibility of these tools and their limitations, which depends on the timescale, scenario and variable to inform scientists on how to use these emulators and inform policy makers where to trust their results (Task 4.3.2).

Online interactive infographics created such as the Climate Action Tracker, but targeting both adaptation and mitigation decisions

D5.12 (M48, CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Online interactive infographics created such as the Climate Action Tracker, but targeting both adaptation and mitigation decisions (Task 5.2.1).

Stakeholder driven and bespoke communication tools for general audience (e.g. graphic novel) on near term climate change

D5.11 (M48, UNIVLEEDS): A stakeholder driven and bespoke communication tool for general audience (e.g. graphic novel) on near term climate change. (Task 5.2.2).

Final CONSTRAIN summary input into the global stocktake

D5.10 (M44, CLIMATE ANALYTICS): Final CONSTRAIN summary input into the Global Stocktake. Whenever appropriate opportunities arise within the UNFCCC policy process leading up to the 2023 Global Stocktake. Depending on the modalities of the Global Stocktake process this deliverable could occur between M36 – M48 (Task 5.2.1).

Publications

Understanding the Extreme Spread in Climate Sensitivity within the Radiative‐Convective Equilibrium Model Intercomparison Project

Author(s): Becker T., Wing A.A.
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 10, 2020, Page(s) Pages e2020MS002165, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002165

Modifying Emissions Scenario Projections to Account for the Effects of COVID-19: Protocol for CovidMIP

Author(s): Lamboll R.D., Jones C.D., Skeie R.B., Fiedler S., Samset B.H., Gillett N.P., Rogelj J., Forster P.M.
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue Vol. 14, Issue 6, 2021, Page(s) Pages 3683-3695, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-3683-2021

Inter-Model Variability in Convection-Resolving Simulations of Subtropical Marine Low Clouds

Author(s): Heim C., Hentgen L., Ban N., Schär C.
Published in: Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Ser. II, Issue Vol. 99, Issue 5, 2021, Page(s) Pages 1271-1295, ISSN 2186-9057
Publisher: Nihon kisho gakkai
DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2021-062

Multiple Drivers of the North Atlantic Warming Hole

Author(s): Keil P., Mauritsen T., Jungclaus J., Hedemann C., Olonscheck D., Ghosh R.
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue Vol. 10, Issue 7, 2020, Page(s) Pages 667-671, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0819-8

Assessing the Size and Uncertainty of Remaining Carbon Budgets

Author(s): Lamboll R.D., Nicholls Z.R.J., Smith C.J., Kikstra J.S., Byers E., Rogelj J.
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01848-5

Projected Land Ice Contributions to Twenty-First-Century Sea Level Rise

Author(s): Edwards T.L., Nowicki S., Marzeion B., Hock R., Goelzer H., Seroussi H., Jourdain N.C., Slater D.A., Turner F.E., Smith C.J., McKenna C.M., Simon E., Abe-Ouchi A., Gregory J.M., Larour E., Lipscomb W.H., Payne A.J., Shepherd A., Agosta C., Alexander P., Albrecht T., Anderson B., Asay-Davis X., Aschwanden A., Barthel A., Bliss A., Calov R., Chambers C., Champollion N., Choi Y., Cullather R., Cuzzon
Published in: Nature, Issue Vol. 593, Issue 7857, 2021, Page(s) Pages 74-82, ISSN 1476-4687
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y

Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Modulates the Climate Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation in Australia

Author(s): Trascasa-Castro P., Maycock A.C., Ruprich-Robert Y., Turco M., Staten P.W.
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Vol. 18, Issue 8, 2023, Page(s) Pages 084029, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace920

Evaluating Large-Domain, Hecto-Meter, Large-Eddy Simulations of Trade-Wind Clouds Using EUREC4A Data

Author(s): Schulz H. and Stevens B.
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue Vol. 15, Issue 10, 2023, Page(s) Pages e2023MS003648, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003648

Quantifying Uncertainty in Aggregated Climate Change Risk Assessments

Author(s): Harrington L.J., Schleussner C.-F., Otto F.E.L.
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 1, 2021, Page(s) Pages 7140, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-27491-2

Effects of Local and Remote Black Carbon Aerosols on Summer Monsoon Precipitation Over India

Author(s): Krishnamohan K.S., Modak A., Bala G.
Published in: Environmental Research Communications, Issue Vol. 3, Issue 8, 2021, Page(s) Pages 081003, ISSN 2515-7620
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ac18d1

Scientific Data from Precipitation Driver Response Model Intercomparison Project

Author(s): Myhre G., Samset B., Forster P.M., Hodnebrog Ø., Sandstad M., Mohr C.W., Sillmann J., Stjern C.W., Andrews T., Boucher O., Faluvegi G., Iversen T., Lamarque J.-F., Kasoar M., Kirkevåg A., Kramer R., Liu L., Mülmenstädt J., Olivié D., Quaas J., Richardson T.B., Shawki D., Shindell D., Smith C., Stier P., Tang T., Takemura T., Voulgarakis A., Watson-Parris D.
Published in: Nature Scientific Data, Issue Vol. 9, Issue 1, 2022, Page(s) Pages 123, ISSN 2052-4463
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-022-01194-9

The Impact of CO2-Driven Climate Change on the Arctic Atmospheric Energy Budget in CMIP6 Climate Model Simulations

Author(s): Linke O., Quaas J.
Published in: Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Issue Vol. 74, Issue 1, 2022, Page(s) Pages 106–118, ISSN 1600-0870
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
DOI: 10.16993/tellusa.29

On the Structure of Instantaneous Radiative Forcing Kernels for Greenhouse Gases

Author(s): Maycock A.C., Smith C.J., Rap A., Rutherford O.
Published in: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Issue Vol. 78, Issue 3, 2021, Page(s) Pages 949-965, ISSN 0022-4928
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jas-d-19-0267.1

Application of the Pseudo-Global Warming Approach in a Kilometer-Resolution Climate Simulation of the Tropics

Author(s): Heim C., Leutwyler D., Schär C.
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue Vol. 128, Issue 5, 2023, Page(s) Pages e2022JD037958, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd037958

The Pseudo-Global-Warming (PGW) Approach: Methodology, Software Package PGW4ERA5 v1.1, Validation and Sensitivity Analysis

Author(s): Brogli R., Heim C., Mensch J., Sørland S.L., Schär C.
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue Vol. 16, Issue 3, 2023, Page(s) Pages 907-926, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-907-2023

Biased Estimates of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity and Transient Climate Response Derived From Historical CMIP6 Simulations

Author(s): Dong Y., Armour K.C., Proistosescu C., Andrews T., Battisti D.S., Forster P.M., Paynter D., Smith C.J., Shiogama H.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 48, Issue 24, 2021, Page(s) Pages e2021GL095778, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl095778

Path Independence of Carbon Budgets When Meeting a Stringent Global Mean Temperature Target After an Overshoot

Author(s): Tokarska K.B., Zickfeld K., Rogelj J.
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue Vol. 7, Issue 12, 2019, Page(s) Pages 1283-1295, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001312

Clouds and Convective Self‐Aggregation in a Multimodel Ensemble of Radiative‐Convective Equilibrium Simulations

Author(s): Wing A.A., Stauffer C.L., Becker T., Reed K.A., Ahn M.-S., Arnold N.P., Bony S., Branson M., Bryan G.H., Chaboureau J.-P., De Roode S.R., Gayatri K., Hohenegger C., Hu I.-K., Jansson F., Jones T.R., Khairoutdinov M., Kim D., Martin Z.K., Matsugishi S., Medeiros B., Miura H., Moon Y., Müller S.K., Ohno T., Popp M., Prabhakaran T., Randall D., Rios‐Berrios R., Rochetin N., Roehrig R., Romps D.M.
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 9, 2020, Page(s) Pages e2020MS002138, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002138

Understanding Top‐of‐Atmosphere Flux Bias in the AeroCom Phase III Models: A Clear‐Sky Perspective

Author(s): Su W., Liang L., Myhre G., Thorsen T.J., Loeb N.G., Schuster G.L., Ginoux P., Paulot F., Neubauer D., Checa-Garcia R., Matsui H., Tsigaridis K., Skeie R.B., Takemura T., Bauer S.E., Schulz M.
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue Vol. 13, Issue 9, 2021, Page(s) Pages e2021MS002584, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021ms002584

Northern-High-Latitude Permafrost and Terrestrial Carbon Response to Two Solar Geoengineering Scenarios

Author(s): Chen Y., Ji D., Zhang Q., Moore J.C., Boucher O., Jones A., Lurton T., Mills M.J., Niemeier U., Séférian R., Tilmes S.
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue Vol. 14, Issue 1, 2023, Page(s) Pages 55-79, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-55-2023

Present‐Day and Historical Aerosol and Ozone Characteristics in CNRM CMIP6 Simulations

Author(s): Michou M., Nabat P., Saint‐Martin D., Bock J., Decharme B., Mallet M., Roehrig R., Séférian R., Sénési S., Voldoire A.
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 1, 2019, Page(s) Pages e2019MS001816, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001816

ICON-Sapphire: Simulating the Components of the Earth System and Their Interactions at Kilometer and Subkilometer Scales

Author(s): Hohenegger C., Korn P., Linardakis L., Redler R., Schnur R., Adamidis P., Bao J., Bastin S., Behravesh M., Bergemann M., Biercamp J., Bockelmann H., Brokopf R., Brüggemann N., Casaroli L., Chegini F., Datseris G., Esch M., George G., Giorgetta M., Gutjahr O., Haak H., Hanke M., Ilyina T., Jahns T., Jungclaus J., Kern M., Klocke D., Kluft L., Kölling T., Kornblueh L., Kosukhin S., Kroll C., Lee J
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue Vol. 16, Issue 2, 2023, Page(s) Pages 779-811, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-779-2023

Ten New Insights in Climate Science 2021: A Horizon Scan

Author(s): Martin M.A., Sendra O.A., Bastos A., Bauer N., Bertram C., Blenckner T., Bowen K., Brando P.M., Rudolph T.B., Büchs M., Bustamante M., Chen D., Cleugh H., Dasgupta P., Denton F., Donges J.F., Donkor F.K., Duan H., Duarte C.M., Ebi K.L., Edwards C.M., Engel A., Fisher E., Fuss S., Gaertner J., Gettelman A., Girardin C.A.J., Golledge N.R., Green J.F., Grose M.R., Hashizume M., Hebden S., Hepach H.,
Published in: Global Sustainability, Issue Vol. 4, 2021, Page(s) Pages e25, ISSN 2059-4798
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2021.25

Sources of Uncertainty in Multimodel Large Ensemble Projections of the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation

Author(s): McKenna C.M., Maycock A.C.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 48, Issue 14, 2021, Page(s) Pages e2021GL093258, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093258

Silicone v1.0.0: An Open-Source Python Package for Inferring Missing Emissions Data for Climate Change Research

Author(s): Lamboll R.D., Nicholls Z.R.J., Kikstra J.S., Meinshausen M., Rogelj J.
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue Vol. 13, Issue 11, 2020, Page(s) Pages 5259-5275, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-5259-2020

Broad Consistency Between Observed and Simulated Trends in Sea Surface Temperature Patterns

Author(s): Olonscheck D., Rugenstein M., Marotzke J.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 47, Issue 10, 2020, Page(s) Pages e2019GL086773, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086773

Attribution of Multi-Annual to Decadal Changes in the Climate System: The Large Ensemble Single Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (LESFMIP)

Author(s): Smith D.M., Gillett N.P., Simpson I.R., Athanasiadis P.J., Baehr J., Bethke I., Bilge T.A., Bonnet R., Boucher O., Findell K.L., Gastineau G., Gualdi S., Hermanson L., Leung L.R., Mignot J., Müller W.A., Osprey S., Otterå O.H., Persad G.G., Scaife A.A., Schmidt G.A., Shiogama H., Sutton R.T., Swingedouw D., Yang S., Zhou T., Ziehn T.
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, Issue Vol. 4, 2022, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2022.955414

Climate Model Projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6

Author(s): Tebaldi C., Debeire K., Eyring V., Fischer E., Fyfe J., Friedlingstein P., Knutti R., Lowe J., O'Neill B., Sanderson B., van Vuuren D., Riahi K., Meinshausen M., Nicholls Z., Tokarska K.B., Hurtt G., Kriegler E., Lamarque J.-F., Meehl G., Moss R., Bauer S.E., Boucher O., Brovkin V., Byun Y.-H., Dix M., Gualdi S., Guo H., John J.G., Kharin S., Kim Y., Koshiro T., Ma L., Olivié D., Panickal S., Qia
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 1, 2021, Page(s) Pages 253-293, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-253-2021

Global Carbon Budget 2021

Author(s): Friedlingstein P., Jones M.W., O'Sullivan M., Andrew R.M., Bakker D.C.E., Hauck J., Le Quéré C., Peters G.P., Peters W., Pongratz J., Sitch S., Canadell J.G., Ciais P., Jackson R.B., Alin S.R., Anthoni P., Bates N.R., Becker M., Bellouin N., Bopp L., Chau T.T.T., Chevallier F., Chini L.P., Cronin M., Currie K.I., Decharme B., Djeutchouang L.M., Dou X., Evans W., Feely R.A., Feng L., Gasser T., G
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue Vol. 14, Issue 4, 2022, Page(s) Pages 1917-2005, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-14-1917-2022

Effective Radiative Forcing and Adjustments in CMIP6 Models

Author(s): Smith C.J., Kramer R.J., Myhre G., Alterskjær K., Collins W., Sima A., Boucher O., Dufresne J.-L., Nabat P., Michou M., Yukimoto S., Cole J., Paynter D., Shiogama H., O'Connor F.M., Robertson E., Wiltshire A., Andrews T., Hannay C., Miller R., Nazarenko L., Kirkevåg A., Olivié D., Fiedler S., Lewinschal A., Mackallah C., Dix M., Pincus R., Forster P.M.
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 20, Issue 16, 2020, Page(s) Pages 9591-9618, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-9591-2020

Climate Model Selection by Independence, Performance, and Spread (ClimSIPS v1.0.1) for Regional Applications

Author(s): Merrifield A.L., Brunner L., Lorenz R., Humphrey V., Knutti R.
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue Vol. 16, Issue 16, 2023, Page(s) Pages 4715-4747, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-4715-2023

Global Carbon Budget 2020

Author(s): Friedlingstein P., O'Sullivan M., Jones M.W., Andrew R.M., Hauck J., Olsen A., Peters G.P., Peters W., Pongratz J., Sitch S., Le Quéré C., Canadell J.G., Ciais P., Jackson R.B., Alin S., Aragão L.E.O., Arneth A., Arora V., Bates N.R., Becker M., Benoit-Cattin A., Bittig H.C., Bopp L., Bultan S., Chandra N., Chevallier F., Chini L.P., Evans W., Florentie L., Forster P.M., Gasser T., Gehlen M., G
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 4, 2020, Page(s) Pages 3269-3340, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-3269-2020

The Effect of Rapid Adjustments to Halocarbons and N2O on Radiative Forcing

Author(s): Hodnebrog Ø., Myhre G., Kramer R.J., Shine K.P., Andrews T., Faluvegi G., Kasoar M., Kirkevåg A., Lamarque J.-F., Mülmenstädt J., Olivié D., Samset B.H., Shindell D., Smith C.J., Takemura T., Voulgarakis A.
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Issue Vol. 3, Issue 1, 2020, Page(s) Pages 43, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-00150-x

Widespread Shallow Mesoscale Circulations Observed in the Trades

Author(s): George G., Stevens B., Bony S., Vogel R., Naumann A.K.
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue Vol. 16, Issue 7, 2023, Page(s) 584-589, ISSN 1752-0908
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-023-01215-1

Stratospheric Ozone Response to Sulfate Aerosol and Solar Dimming Climate Interventions based on the G6 Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) Simulations

Author(s): Tilmes​ S., Visioni D., Jones A., Haywood J., Séférian R., Nabat P., Boucher O., Bednarz E.M., Niemeier U.
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 22, Issue 7, 2022, Page(s) Pages 4557-4579, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-22-4557-2022

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Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Publisher: Springer Nature
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Publisher: Springer Nature
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Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Estimating and Tracking the Remaining Carbon Budget for Stringent Climate Targets

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An Emission Pathway Classification Reflecting the Paris Agreement Climate Objectives

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Publisher: Springer Nature
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Publisher: American Meteorological Society
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Emissions Estimations Should Embed a Precautionary Principle

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Publisher: Springer Nature
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Indicate Separate Contributions of Long-Lived and Short-Lived Greenhouse Gases in Emission Targets

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Publisher: Springer Nature
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Climate Impact of Aircraft-Induced Cirrus Assessed from Satellite Observations Before and During COVID-19

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Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
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Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2: Synthesizing Earth System Knowledge for Probabilistic Climate Projections

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Publisher: Wiley
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Identifying the Sources of Uncertainty in Climate Model Simulations of Solar Radiation Modification with the G6sulfur and G6solar Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) Simulations

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Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Strong Aerosol Cooling Alone Does Not Explain Cold-Biased Mid-Century Temperatures in CMIP6 models

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Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Warm Phase of AMV Damps ENSO Through Weakened Thermocline Feedback

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Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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On the Daily Cycle of Mesoscale Cloud Organization in the Winter Trades

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Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Issue Vol. 147, Issue 738, 2021, Page(s) Pages 2850-2873, ISSN 0035-9009
Publisher: Royal Meteorological Society
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Nonlinearity of the Cloud Response Postpones Climate Penalty of Mitigating Air Pollution in Polluted Regions

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Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 13, 2023, Page(s) 943–950, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Springer Nature
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Clear-Sky Control of Anvils in Response to Increased CO2 or Surface Warming or Volcanic Eruptions

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Publisher: Springer Nature
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Trends in AOD, Clouds, and Cloud Radiative Effects in Satellite Data and CMIP5 and CMIP6 Model Simulations Over Aerosol Source Regions

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Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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What Could We Learn About Climate Sensitivity from Variability in the Surface Temperature Record?

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Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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The 2000–2012 Global Warming Hiatus More Likely With a Low Climate Sensitivity

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Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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A New Look at the Daily Cycle of Trade Wind Cumuli

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Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Unintentional Unfairness When Applying New Greenhouse Gas Emissions Metrics at Country Level

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Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
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Storylines for Unprecedented Heatwaves Based on Ensemble Boosting

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Published in: Nature Communications, Issue Vol. 14, Issue 1, 2023, Page(s) Pages 4643, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
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Effect of Orographic Gravity Wave Drag on Northern Hemisphere Climate in Transient Simulations of the Last Deglaciation

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Publisher: Springer Nature
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The Contribution of Global Aviation to Anthropogenic Climate Forcing for 2000 to 2018

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The Role of the North Atlantic Oscillation for Projections of Winter Mean Precipitation in Europe

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Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Absorbing Aerosol Decreases Cloud Cover in Cloud-Resolving Simulations Over Germany

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Presentation and Evaluation of the IPSL‐CM6A‐LR Ensemble of Extended Historical Simulations

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Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Reducing Uncertainty in Local Temperature Projections

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Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
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The Zero Emissions Commitment and Climate Stabilization

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Published in: Frontiers in Science, Issue 1, 2023, ISSN 2813-6330
Publisher: Frontiers Media
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Simulated Tropical Precipitation Assessed across Three Major Phases of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP)

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Published in: Monthly Weather Review, Issue Vol. 148, Issue 9, 2020, Page(s) Pages 3653-3680, ISSN 0027-0644
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
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Observed and CMIP6 Modeled Internal Variability Feedbacks and Their Relation to Forced Climate Feedbacks

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Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 49, Issue 24, 2022, Page(s) Pages e2022GL100075, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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EUREC4A

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Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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The Time Scales of Climate Responses to Carbon Dioxide and Aerosols

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Publisher: American Meteorological Society
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The Southern Hemisphere Midlatitude Circulation Response to Rapid Adjustments and Sea Surface Temperature Driven Feedbacks

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Publisher: American Meteorological Society
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CMIP6 Simulations With the Compact Earth System Model OSCAR v3.1

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Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Pathways of Climate Resilience Over the 21st Century

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Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
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Analysis of Polarimetric Satellite Measurements Suggests Stronger Cooling Due to Aerosol-Cloud Interactions

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Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
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Impact of Bioenergy Crop Expansion on Climate-Carbon Cycle Feedbacks in Overshoot Scenarios

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Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Pathfinder v1.0.1: A Bayesian-Inferred Simple Carbon-Climate Model to Explore Climate Change Scenarios

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Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Presentation and Evaluation of the IPSL‐CM6A‐LR Climate Model

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Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 7, 2020, Page(s) Pages e2019MS002010, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Comparing Different Generations of Idealized Solar Geoengineering Simulations in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)

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Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 21, Issue 6, 2021, Page(s) Pages 4231-4247, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Current-Climate Sea Ice Amount and Seasonality As Constraints for Future Arctic Amplification

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Published in: Environmental Research: Climate, Issue Vol. 2, Issue 4, 2023, Page(s) 045003, ISSN 2752-5295
Publisher: IOP Publishing
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Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing

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Publisher: Wiley
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Large Variations in Volcanic Aerosol Forcing Efficiency Due to Eruption Source Parameters and Rapid Adjustments

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Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Incremental Improvements of 2030 Targets Insufficient to Achieve the Paris Agreement Goals

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Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Effective Radiative Forcing in a GCM With Fixed Surface Temperatures

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Publisher: Wiley
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Strong Cloud-Circulation Coupling Explains Weak Trade Cumulus Feedback

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Published in: Nature, Issue Vol. 612, Issue 7941, 2022, Page(s) Pages 696-700, ISSN 1476-4687
Publisher: Springer Nature
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A Cloud-Controlling Factor Perspective on the Hemispheric Asymmetry of Extratropical Cloud Albedo

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Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue Vol. 36, Issue 6, 2023, Page(s) Pages 1793-1804, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
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Carbon-Concentration and Carbon-Climate Feedbacks in CMIP6 Models and Their Comparison to CMIP5 Models

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Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue Vol. 17, Issue 16, 2020, Page(s) Pages 4173-4222, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Cloud Transition Across the Daily Cycle Illuminates Model Responses of Trade Cumuli to Warming

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Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue Vol. 120, Issue 8, 2023, Page(s) Pages e2209805120, ISSN 1091-6490
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
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The Role of Baroclinic Activity in Controlling Earth’s Albedo in the Present and Future Climates

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Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
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Making Climate Projections Conditional on Historical Observations

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Published in: Science Advances, Issue Vol. 7, Issue 4, 2021, Page(s) Pages eabc0671, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
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An Underestimated Negative Cloud Feedback from Cloud Lifetime Changes

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Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue Vol. 11, Issue 6, 2021, Page(s) Pages 508-513, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Springer Nature
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Constraining Uncertainty in Aerosol Direct Forcing

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Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Robust Evidence for Reversal of the Trend in Aerosol Effective Climate Forcing

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Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 22, Issue 18, 2022, Page(s) Pages 12221-12239, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII Climate Assessment of Mitigation Pathways: From Emissions to Global Temperatures

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Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue Vol. 15, Issue 24, 2022, Page(s) Pages 9075-9109, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Substantial Reductions in Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions Implied by IPCC Estimates of the Remaining Carbon Budget

Author(s): Rogelj J., Lamboll R.D.
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue Vol. 5, Issue 1, 2024, Page(s) Pages 35, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
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Compatible Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions in the CMIP6 Earth System Models’ Historical and Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Experiments of the Twenty-First Century

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Publisher: American Meteorological Society
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Minimal Recipes for Global Cloudiness

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Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Stringent Mitigation Substantially Reduces Risk of Unprecedented Near-Term Warming Rates

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Publisher: Springer Nature
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Future Summer Warming Pattern Under Climate Change is Affected by Lapse-Rate Changes

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Published in: Weather and Climate Dynamics, Issue Vol. 2, Issue 4, 2021, Page(s) Pages 1093-1110, ISSN 2698-4016
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Low-Level Marine Tropical Clouds in Six CMIP6 Models Are Too Few, Too Bright but Also Too Compact and Too Homogeneous

Author(s): Konsta D., Dufresne J.-L., Chepfer H., Vial J., Koshiro T., Kawai H., Bodas-Salcedo A., Roehrig R., Watanabe M., Ogura T.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 49, Issue 11, 2022, Page(s) Pages e2021GL097593, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Net Zero Targets in Science and Policy

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Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Vol. 18, Issue 2, 2023, Page(s) Pages 021003, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
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A Sensitivity Study of Arctic Air-Mass Transformation Using Large Eddy Simulation

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Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue Vol. 125, Issue 6, 2020, Page(s) Pages e2019JD031738, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: Wiley
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Characterization and Evolution of Organized Shallow Convection in the Downstream North Atlantic Trades

Author(s): Schulz H., Eastman R., Stevens B.
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue Vol. 126, Issue 17, 2021, Page(s) Pages e2021JD034575, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: Wiley
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Enhanced Warming Constrained by Past Trends in Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Gradient

Author(s): Watanabe M., Dufresne J.-L., Kosaka Y., Mauritsen T., Tatebe H.
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue Vol. 11, Issue 1, 2020, Page(s) Pages 33-37, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Springer Nature
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Variations of Tropical Lapse Rates in Climate Models and Their Implications for Upper-Tropospheric Warming

Author(s): Keil P., Schmidt H., Stevens B., Bao J.
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue Vol. 34, Issue 24, 2021, Page(s) 9747-9761, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
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Cloud Botany: Shallow Cumulus Clouds in an Ensemble of Idealized Large-Domain Large-Eddy Simulations of the Trades

Author(s): Jansson F., Janssens M., Grönqvist J.H., Siebesma A.P., Glassmeier F., Attema J., Azizi V., Satoh M., Sato Y., Schulz H., Kölling T.
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue Vol. 15, Issue 11, 2023, Page(s) Pages e2023MS003796, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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A Drier Than Expected Future, Supported by Near-Surface Relative Humidity Observations

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Published in: Science Advances, Issue Vol. 9, Issue 30, 2023, Page(s) eade6253, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
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Causes of the Weak Emergent Constraint on Climate Sensitivity at the Last Glacial Maximum

Author(s): Renoult M., Sagoo N., Zhu J., Mauritsen T.
Published in: Climate of the Past, Issue Vol. 19, Issue 2, 2023, Page(s) Pages 323-356, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Emergent Constraints on Earth's Transient and Equilibrium Response to Doubled CO2 from Post-1970s Global Warming

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Publisher: Springer Nature
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A New Perspective for Future Precipitation Change from Intense Extratropical Cyclones

Author(s): Kodama C., Stevens B., Mauritsen T., Seiki T., Satoh M.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 46, Issue 21, 2019, Page(s) Pages 12435-12444, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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CERESMIP: A Climate Modeling Protocol to Investigate Recent Trends in the Earth's Energy Imbalance

Author(s): Schmidt G.A., Andrews T., Bauer S.E., Durack P.J., Loeb N.G., Ramaswamy V., Arnold N.P., Bosilovich M.G., Cole J., Horowitz L.W., Johnson G.C., Lyman J.M., Medeiros B., Michibata T., Olonscheck D., Paynter D., Raghuraman S.P., Schulz M., Takasuka D., Tallapragada V., Taylor P.C., Ziehn T.
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, Issue 5, 2023, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
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Sensitivity of Bias Adjustment Methods to Low-Frequency Internal Climate Variability Over the Reference Period: An Ideal Model Study

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Published in: Environmental Research: Climate, Issue Vol. 1, Issue 1, 2022, Page(s) Pages 011001, ISSN 2752-5295
Publisher: Elsevier
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Suppressed Late‐20th Century Warming in CMIP6 Models Explained by Forcing and Feedbacks

Author(s): Smith C.J., Forster P.M.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 48, Issue 19, 2021, Page(s) Pages e2021GL094948, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Inequalities in Air Pollution Exposure and Attributable Mortality in a Low Carbon Future

Author(s): Reddington C.L., Turnock S.T., Conibear L., Forster P.M., Lowe J.A., Ford L.B., Weaver C., van Bavel B., Dong H., Alizadeh M.R., Arnold S.R.
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue Vol. 11, Issue 12, 2023, Page(s) Pages e2023EF003697, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: Wiley
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Changes in IPCC Scenario Assessment Emulators Between SR1.5 and AR6 Unraveled

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Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 49, Issue 20, 2022, Page(s) Pages e2022GL099788, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Past and Future Response of the North Atlantic Warming Hole to Anthropogenic Forcing

Author(s): Qasmi S.
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue Vol. 14, Issue 3, 2023, Page(s) 685-695, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Errors in Simple Climate Model Emulations of Past and Future Global Temperature Change

Author(s): Jackson L.S., Maycock A.C., Andrews T., Fredriksen H.-B., Smith C.J., Forster P.M.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 49, Issue 15, 2022, Page(s) Pages e2022GL098808, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Tropospheric Ozone Radiative Forcing Uncertainty Due to Pre-Industrial Fire and Biogenic Emissions

Author(s): Rowlinson M.J., Rap A., Hamilton D.S., Pope R.J., Hantson S., Arnold S.R., Kaplan J.O., Arneth A., Chipperfield M.P., Forster P.M., Nieradzik L.
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 20, Issue 18, 2020, Page(s) 10937-10951, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Reply to Comment on 'Unintentional Unfairness When Applying New Greenhouse Gas Emissions Metrics at Country Level'

Author(s): Rogelj J., Schleussner C.-F.
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Vol. 16, Issue 6, 2021, Page(s) 068002, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
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Opportunities and Challenges in Using Remaining Carbon Budgets to Guide Climate Policy

Author(s): Matthews H.D., Tokarska K.B., Nicholls Z.R.J., Rogelj J., Canadell J.G., Friedlingstein P., Frölicher T.L., Forster P.M., Gillett N.P., Ilyina T., Jackson R.B., Jones C.D., Koven C., Knutti R., MacDougall A.H., Meinshausen M., Mengis N., Séférian R., Zickfeld K.
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue Vol. 13, Issue 12, 2020, Page(s) Pages 769-779, ISSN 1752-0908
Publisher: Springer Nature
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Better-Constrained Climate Sensitivity When Accounting for Dataset Dependency on Pattern Effect Estimates

Author(s): Modak A., Mauritsen T.
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 23, Issue 13, 2023, Page(s) Pages 7535-7549, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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An Assessment of Earth's Climate Sensitivity Using Multiple Lines of Evidence

Author(s): Sherwood S.C., Webb M.J., Annan J.D., Armour K.C., Forster P.M., Hargreaves J.C., Hegerl G., Klein S.A., Marvel K.D., Rohling E.J., Watanabe M., Andrews T., Braconnot, P., Bretherton C.S., Foster G.L., Hausfather Z., Heydt A.S., Knutti R., Mauritsen T., Norris J.R., Proistosescu C., Rugenstein M.,Schmidt G.A.,Tokarska K.B., Zelinka M.D.
Published in: Reviews of Geophysics, Issue Vol. 58, Issue 4, 2020, Page(s) Pages e2019RG000678, ISSN 8755-1209
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Effective Radiative Forcing from Emissions of Reactive Gases and Aerosols – A Multi-Model Comparison

Author(s): Thornhill G.D., Collins W.J., Kramer R.J., Olivié D., Skeie R.B., O'Connor F.M., Abraham N.L., Checa-Garcia R., Bauer S.E., Deushi M., Emmons L.K., Forster P.M., Horowitz L.W., Johnson B., Keeble J., Lamarque J.-F., Michou M., Mills M.J., Mulcahy J.P., Myhre G., Nabat P., Naik V., Oshima N., Schulz M., Smith C.J., Takemura T., Tilmes S., Wu T., Zeng G., Zhang J.
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 21, Issue 2, 2021, Page(s) Pages 853-874, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Efficacy of Climate Forcings in PDRMIP Models

Author(s): Richardson T.B., Forster P.M., Smith C.J., Maycock A.C., Wood T., Andrews T., Boucher O., Faluvegi G., Fläschner D., Hodnebrog Ø., Kasoar M., Kirkevåg A., Lamarque J.-F., Mülmenstädt J., Myhre G., Olivié D., Portmann R.W., Samset B.H., Shawki D., Shindell D., Stier P., Takemura T., Voulgarakis A., Watson‐Parris D.
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue Vol. 124, Issue 23, 2019, Page(s) Pages 12824-12844, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: Wiley
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Stronger Response to the Aerosol Indirect Effect due to Cooling in Remote Regions

Author(s): Huusko L., Modak A., Mauritsen T.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 49, Issue 21, 2022, Page(s) Pages e2022GL101184, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Assessing Precipitation Over the Amazon Basin as Simulated by a Storm-Resolving Model

Author(s): Paccini L., Stevens B.
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue Vol. 128, Issue 4, 2023, Page(s) e2022JD037436, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: Wiley
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Temperature-Dependence of the Clear-Sky Feedback in Radiative-Convective Equilibrium

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Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 48, Issue 22, 2021, Page(s) e2021GL094649, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Northern Hemisphere Cold Air Outbreaks Are More Likely to be Severe During Weak Polar Vortex Conditions

Author(s): Huang J., Hitchcock P., Maycock A.C., McKenna C.M., Tian W.
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue Vol. 2, Issue 1, 2021, Page(s) 147, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
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The HadGEM3-GA7.1 Radiative Kernel: The Importance of a Well-Resolved Stratosphere

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Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 3, 2020, Page(s) Pages 2157-2168, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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How the Glasgow Declaration on Forests Can Help Keep Alive the 1.5 °C Target

Author(s): Gasser T., Ciais P., Lewis S.L.
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue Vol. 119, Issue 23, 2022, Page(s) Pages e2200519119, ISSN 1091-6490
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
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Role of Sea Surface Temperature Patterns for the Southern Hemisphere Jet Stream Response to CO2 Forcing

Author(s): Wood T., McKenna C.M., Chrysanthou A., Maycock A.C.
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Vol. 16, Issue 1, 2020, Page(s) Pages 014020, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
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The Contributions of Individual Countries and Regions to the Global Radiative Forcing

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Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue Vol. 118, Issue 15, 2020, Page(s) e2018211118, ISSN 1091-6490
Publisher: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
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Wave of Net Zero Emission Targets Opens Window to Meeting the Paris Agreement

Author(s): Höhne N., Gidden M.J., den Elzen M., Hans F., Fyson C., Geiges A., Jeffery M.L., Gonzales-Zuñiga S., Mooldijk S., Hare W., Rogelj J.
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue Vol. 11, Issue 10, 2021, Page(s) Pages 820-822, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Springer Nature
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Current and Future Global Climate Impacts Resulting from COVID-19

Author(s): Forster P.M., Forster H.I., Evans M.J., Gidden M.J., Jones C.D., Keller C.A., Lamboll R.D., Le Quéré C., Rogelj J., Rosen D., Schleussner C.-F., Richardson T.B., Smith C.J., Turnock S.T.
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue Vol. 10, Issue 10, 2020, Page(s) Pages 913-919, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Springer Nature
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Quantification of Chaotic Intrinsic Variability of Sea‐Air CO2 Fluxes at Interannual Timescales

Author(s): Gehlen M., Berthet S., Séférian R., Ethé Ch., Penduff T.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 47, Issue 22, 2020, Page(s) Pages e2020GL088304, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Assessing Carbon Cycle Projections from Complex and Simple Models Under SSP Scenarios

Author(s): Melnikova I., Ciais P., Boucher O., Tanaka K.
Published in: Climate Change, Issue Vol. 176, Issue 12, 2023, Page(s) Pages 168, ISSN 1573-1480
Publisher: Springer Publishing
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An Updated Assessment of Past and Future Warming Over France Based on a Regional Observational Constraint

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Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue Vol. 13, Issue 4, 2022, Page(s) Pages 1397-1415, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Energy Budget Constraints on the Time History of Aerosol Forcing and Climate Sensitivity

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Publisher: Wiley
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Climate Warming Mitigation from Nationally Determined Contributions

Author(s): Fu B., Li J., Gasser T., Ciais P., Piao S., Tao S., Shen G., Lai Y., Han L., Li B.
Published in: Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, Issue Vol. 39, Issue 8, 2022, Page(s) Pages 1217-1228, ISSN 1861-9533
Publisher: Springer Science+Business Media
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Observational Evidence of Increasing Global Radiative Forcing

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Published in: Geophysical Research Letters or American Geophysical Union (AGU), Issue Vol. 48, Issue 7, 2021, Page(s) Pages e2020GL091585, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Is There Warming in the Pipeline? A Multi-Model Analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO2

Author(s): MacDougall A.H., Frölicher T.L., Jones C.D., Rogelj J., Matthews H.D., Zickfeld K., Arora V.K., Barrett N.J., Brovkin V., Burger F.A., Eby M., Eliseev A.V., Hajima T., Holden P.B., Jeltsch-Thömmes A., Koven C., Mengis N., Menviel L., Michou M., Mokhov I.I., Oka A., Schwinger J., Séférian R., Shaffer G., Sokolov A., Tachiiri K., Tjiputra J., Wiltshire A., Ziehn T.
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue Vol. 17, Issue 11, 2020, Page(s) Pages 2987-3016, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions

Author(s): Jones C.D., Frölicher T.L., Koven C., MacDougall A.H., Matthews H.D., Zickfeld K., Rogelj J., Tokarska K.B., Gillett N.P., Ilyina T., Meinshausen M., Mengis N., Séférian R., Eby M., Burger F.A.
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 10, 2019, Page(s) Pages 4375-4385, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Large-Scale Emergence of Regional Changes in Year-to-Year Temperature Variability by the End of the 21st Century

Author(s): Olonscheck D., Schurer A.P., Lücke L., Hegerl G.C.
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 1, 2021, Page(s) Pages 7237, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
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Uncertainty in Near-Term Temperature Evolution Must Not Obscure Assessments of Climate Mitigation Benefits

Author(s): Lanson A., Pfleiderer P., Lehner F., Schleussner C.-F.
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue Vol. 13, Issue 1, 2020, Page(s) Pages 4029, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
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Reconciling Conflicting Accounts of Local Radiative Feedbacks in Climate Models

Author(s): Hedemann C., Mauritsen T., Jungclaus J., Marotzke J.
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue Vol. 35, Issue 10, 2022, Page(s) Pages 3131-3146, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
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New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES

Author(s): Loeb N.G., Wang H., Allan R.P., Andrews T., Armour K., Cole J.N.S., Dufresne J.-L., Forster P., Gettelman A., Guo H., Mauritsen T., Ming Y., Paynter D., Proistosescu C., Stuecker M.F., Willén U., Wyser K.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 47, Issue 5, 2020, Page(s) e2019GL086705, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Non-Precipitating Shallow Cumulus Convection is Intrinsically Unstable to Length-Scale Growth

Author(s): Janssens M., de Arellano J.V.-G., van Heerwaarden C.C., de Roode S.R., Siebesma A.P., Glassmeier F.
Published in: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Issue Vol. 80, Issue 3, 2023, Page(s) Pages 849-870, ISSN 0022-4928
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
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Uncertainty in Carbon Budget Estimates Due to Internal Climate Variability

Author(s): Tokarska K.B., Arora V.K., Gillett N.P., Lehner F., Rogelj J., Schleussner C.-F., Séférian R., Knutti R.
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Vol. 15, Issue 10, 2020, Page(s) Pages 104064, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
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Indicators of Global Climate Change 2022: Annual Update of Large-Scale Indicators of the State of the Climate System and Human Influence

Author(s): Forster P.M., Smith C.J., Walsh T., Lamb W.F., Lamboll R., Hauser M., Ribes A., Rosen D., Gillett N., Palmer M.D., Rogelj J., von Schuckmann K., Seneviratne S.I., Trewin B., Zhang X., Allen M., Andrew R., Birt A., Borger A., Boyer T., Broersma J.A., Cheng L., Dentener F., Friedlingstein P., Gutiérrez J.M., Gütschow J., Hall B., Ishii M., Jenkins S., Lan X., Lee J.Y., Morice C., Kadow C., Kennedy
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue Vol. 15, Issue 6, 2023, Page(s) 2295-2327, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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The Effect of Convective Injection of Ice on Stratospheric Water Vapor in a Changing Climate

Author(s): Smith J.W., Bushell A.C., Butchart N., Haynes P.H., Maycock A.C.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 49, Issue 9, 2022, Page(s) e2021GL097386, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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How Large Does a Large Ensemble Need to Be?

Author(s): Milinski S., Maher N., Olonscheck D.
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue Vol. 11, Issue 4, 2020, Page(s) Pages 885-901, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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Historical Ocean Heat Uptake in Two Pairs of CMIP6 Models: Global and Regional Perspectives

Author(s): Kuhlbrodt T., Voldoire A., Palmer M.D., Geoffroy O., Killick R.E.
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue Vol. 36, Issue 7, 2023, Page(s) Pages 2183-2203, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
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Observational Evidence for a Stability Iris Effect in the Tropics

Author(s): Saint‐Lu M., Bony S., Dufresne J.-L.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 47, Issue 14, 2020, Page(s) Pages e2020GL089059, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
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Shallow Cumulus Cloud Feedback in Large Eddy Simulations – Bridging the Gap to Storm-Resolving Models

Author(s): Radtke J., Mauritsen T., Hohenegger C.
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 21, Issue 5, 2021, Page(s) Pages 3275-3288, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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An Integrated Approach to Quantifying Uncertainties in the Remaining Carbon Budget

Author(s): Matthews H.D., Tokarska K.B., Rogelj J., Smith C.J., MacDougall A.H., Haustein K., Mengis N., Sippel S., Forster P.M., Knutti R.
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue Vol. 2, Issue 1, 2021, Page(s) Pages 7, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-020-00064-9

Negligible Unforced Historical Pattern Effect on Climate Feedback Strength Found in HadISST-Based AMIP Simulations

Author(s): Lewis N., Mauritsen T.
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue Vol. 34, Issue 1, 2020, Page(s) Pages 39-55, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0941.1

The New Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble With CMIP6 Forcing and High-Frequency Model Output

Author(s): Olonscheck D., Suarez-Gutierrez L., Milinski S., Beobide-Arsuaga G., Baehr J., Fröb F., Ilyina T., Kadow C., Krieger D., Li H., Marotzke J., Plésiat É., Schupfner M., Wachsmann F., Wallberg L., Wieners K.-H., Brune S.
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue Vol. 15, Issue 10, 2023, Page(s) e2023MS003790, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003790

Institutional Decarbonization Scenarios Evaluated Against the Paris Agreement 1.5 °C Goal

Author(s): Brecha R.J., Ganti G., Lamboll R.D., Nicholls Z., Hare B., Lewis J., Meinshausen M., Schaeffer M., Smith C.J., Gidden M.J.
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue Vol. 13, Issue 1, 2022, Page(s) Pages 4304, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-31734-1

Guidance on Emissions Metrics for Nationally Determined Contributions Under the Paris Agreement

Author(s): Denison S., Forster P.M., Smith C.J.
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Vol. 14, Issue 12, 2019, Page(s) 124002, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4df4

Understanding Pattern Scaling Errors Across a Range of Emissions Pathways

Author(s): Wells C.D., Jackson L.S., Maycock A.C., Forster P.M.
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue Vol. 14, Issue 4, 2023, Page(s) Pages 817-834, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-817-2023

A Comprehensive and Synthetic Dataset for Global, Regional, and National Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector 1970–2018 with an Extension to 2019

Author(s): Minx J.C., Lamb W.F., Andrew R.M., Canadell J.G., Crippa M., Döbbeling N., Forster P.M., Guizzardi D., Olivier J., Peters G.P., Pongratz J., Reisinger A., Rigby M., Saunois M., Smith, S.J., Solazzo E.,Tian H
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue Vol. 13, Issue 11, 2021, Page(s) Pages 5213-5252, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-13-5213-2021

The Impact of Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention on the North Atlantic and Quasi-Biennial Oscillations in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) G6sulfur Experiment

Author(s): Jones A., Haywood J.M., Scaife A.A., Boucher O., Henry M., Kravitz B., Lurton T., Nabat P., Niemeier U., Séférian R., Tilmes S., Visioni D.
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 22, Issue 5, 2022, Page(s) Pages 2999-3016, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-22-2999-2022

Uncompensated Claims to Fair Emission Space Risk Putting Paris Agreement Goals Out of Reach

Author(s): Ganti G., Gidden M.J., Smith C.J., Fyson C., Nauels A., Riahi K., Schleussner C.-F.
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Vol. 18, Issue 2, 2023, Page(s) Pages 024040, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb502

Energy Budget Constraints on Historical Radiative Forcing

Author(s): Andrews T., Forster P.M.
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue Vol. 10, Issue 4, 2020, Page(s) Pages 313-316, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0696-1

Sensitivity of Tropical Extreme Precipitation to Surface Warming in Aquaplanet Experiments Using a Global Nonhydrostatic Model

Author(s): Uribe A., Vial J., Mauritsen T.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 48, Issue 9, 2021, Page(s) Pages e2020GL091371, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091371

Climate Change Response of Tropical Atlantic Clouds in a Kilometer-Resolution Model

Author(s): Heim C., Schär C.
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue Vol. 129, Issue 1, 2023, Page(s) Pages e2023JD038947, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2023jd038947

The Climate Response to Emissions Reductions Due to COVID‐19: Initial Results From CovidMIP

Author(s): Jones C.D., Hickman J.E., Rumbold S.T., Walton J., Lamboll R.D., Skeie R.B., Fiedler S., Forster P.M., Rogelj J., Abe M., Botzet M., Calvin K., Cassou C., Cole J.N.S., Davini P., Deushi M., Dix M., Fyfe J.C., Gillett N.P., Ilyina T., Kawamiya M., Kelley M., Kharin S., Koshiro T., Li H., Mackallah C., Müller W.A., Nabat P., van Noije T., Nolan P., Ohgaito R., Olivié D., Oshima N., Parodi J., Reer
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 48, Issue 8, 2021, Page(s) Pages e2020GL091883, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091883

Inconsistencies When Applying Novel Metrics for Emissions Accounting to the Paris Agreement

Author(s): Schleussner C.-F., Nauels A., Schaeffer M., Hare W., Rogelj J.
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue Vol. 14, Issue 12, 2019, Page(s) Pages 124055, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab56e7

Early Development and Tuning of a Global Coupled Cloud Resolving Model, and its Fast Response to Increasing CO2

Author(s): Mauritsen T., Redler R., Esch M., Stevens B., Hohenegger C., Klocke D., Brokopf R., Haak H., Linardakis L., Röber N., Schnur R.
Published in: Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Issue Vol. 74, Issue 1, 2022, Page(s) Pages 346–363, ISSN 1600-0870
Publisher: Taylor and Francis Ltd.
DOI: 10.16993/tellusa.54

Increased Risk of Near Term Global Warming due to a Recent AMOC Weakening

Author(s): Bonnet R., Swingedouw D., Gastineau G., Boucher O., Deshayes J., Hourdin F., Mignot J., Servonnat J., Sima A.
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 1, 2021, Page(s) Pages 6108, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-26370-0

Carbon Cycle Response to Temperature Overshoot Beyond 2°C: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models

Author(s): Melnikova I., Boucher O., Cadule P., Ciais P., Gasser T., Quilcaille Y., Shiogama H., Tachiiri K., Yokohata T., Tanaka K.
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue Vol. 9, Issue 5, 2021, Page(s) Pages e2020EF001967, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001967

A Bayesian Framework for Emergent Constraints: Case Studies of Climate Sensitivity With PMIP

Author(s): Renoult M., Annan J.D., Hargreaves J.C., Sagoo N., Flynn C., Kapsch M.-L., Li Q., Lohmann G., Mikolajewicz U., Ohgaito R., Shi X., Zhang Q., Mauritsen T.
Published in: Climate of the Past, Issue Vol. 16, Issue 5, 2020, Page(s) Pages 1715-1735, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-16-1715-2020

On the Effect of Historical SST Patterns on Radiative Feedback

Author(s): Andrews T., Bodas-Salcedo A., Gregory J.M., Dong Y., Armour K.C., Paynter D., Lin P., Modak A., Mauritsen T., Cole J.N.S., Medeiros B., Benedict J.J., Douville H., Roehrig R., Koshiro T., Kawai H., Ogura T., Dufresne J.-L., Allan R.P., Liu C.
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue Vol. 127, Issue 18, 2022, Page(s) Pages e2022JD036675, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd036675

Historical Total Ozone Radiative Forcing Derived from CMIP6 Simulations

Author(s): Skeie R.B., Myhre G., Hodnebrog Ø., Cameron-Smith P.J., Deushi M., Hegglin M.I., Horowitz L.W., Kramer R.J., Michou M., Mills M.J., Olivié D.J.L., O'Connor F.M., Paynter D., Samset B.H., Sellar A., Shindell D., Takemura T., Tilmes S., Wu T.
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Issue Vol. 3, Issue 1, 2020, Page(s) Pages 32, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-00131-0

Connecting the SST Pattern Problem and the Hot Model Problem

Author(s): Rugenstein M., Dhame S., Olonscheck D., Wills R.J., Watanabe M., Seager R.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 50, Issue 22, 2023, Page(s) Pages e2023GL105488, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105488

The Effect of Anthropogenic Aerosols on the Aleutian Low

Author(s): Dow W.J., Maycock A., Lofverstrom M., Smith C.J.
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue Vol. 34, Issue 5, 2021, Page(s) Pages 1725-1741, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0423.1

Eddy Activity Response to Global Warming-Like Temperature Changes

Author(s): Yuval J., Kaspi Y.
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue Vol. 33, Issue 4, 2020, Page(s) Pages 1381-1404, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0190.1

The Deployment Length of Solar Radiation Modification: An Interplay of Mitigation, Net-negative Emissions and Climate Uncertainty

Author(s): Baur S., Nauels A., Nicholls Z., Sanderson B.M., Schleussner C.-F.`
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue Vol. 14, Issue 2, 2023, Page(s) Pages 367-381, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-367-2023

Cloud Patterns in the Trades Have Four Interpretable Dimensions

Author(s): Janssens M., Vilà-Guerau de Arellano J., Scheffer M., Antonissen C., Siebesma P.A., Glassmeier F.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 48, Issue 5, 2021, Page(s) Pages e2020GL091001, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091001

Impact of Holuhraun Volcano Aerosols on Clouds in Cloud-System-Resolving Simulations

Author(s): Haghighatnasab M., Kretzschmar J., Block K., Quaas J.
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 22, Issue 13, 2022, Page(s) Pages 8457-8472, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-22-8457-2022

Climate-Driven Chemistry and Aerosol Feedbacks in CMIP6 Earth System Models

Author(s): Thornhill G., Collins W., Olivié D., Skeie R.B., Archibald A., Bauer S., Checa-Garcia R., Fiedler S., Folberth G., Gjermundsen A., Horowitz L., Lamarque J.-F., Michou M., Mulcahy J., Nabat P., Naik V., O'Connor F.M., Paulot F., Schulz M., Scott C.E., Séférian R., Smith C., Takemura T., Tilmes S., Tsigaridis K., Weber J.
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 21, Issue 2, 2021, Page(s) Pages 1105-1126, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-1105-2021

Global Warming at Near-Constant Tropospheric Relative Humidity is Supported by Observations

Author(s): Douville H., Qasmi S., Ribes A., Bock O.
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue Vol. 3, Issue 1, 2022, Page(s) Pages 237, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00561-z

The Time Scale of Shallow Convective Self-Aggregation in Large-Eddy Simulations Is Sensitive to Numerics

Author(s): Janssens M., Vilà-Guerau de Arellano J., van Heerwaarden C.C., van Stratum B.J.H., de Roode S.R., Siebesma A.P., Glassmeier F.
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue Vol. 15, Issue 1, 2022, Page(s) Pages e2022MS003292, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022ms003292

Past Warming Trend Constrains Future Warming in CMIP6 Models

Author(s): Tokarska K.B., Stolpe M.B., Sippel S., Fischer E.M., Smith C.J., Lehner F., Knutti R.
Published in: Science Advances, Issue Vol. 6, Issue 12, 2020, Page(s) Pages eaaz9549, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549

Changes in Poleward Atmospheric Energy Transport Over a Wide Range of Climates: Energetic and Diffusive Perspectives and A Priori Theories

Author(s): Merlis T.M., Feldl N., Caballero R.
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue Vol. 35, Issue 20, 2022, Page(s) Pages 2933-2948, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0682.1

Sugar, Gravel, Fish, and Flowers: Dependence of Mesoscale Patterns of Trade‐Wind Clouds on Environmental Conditions

Author(s): Bony S., Schulz H., Vial J., Stevens B.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 47, Issue 7, 2020, Page(s) e2019GL085988, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl085988

Dependence of Climate Sensitivity on the Given Distribution of Relative Humidity

Author(s): Bourdin S., Kluft L., Stevens B.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 48, Issue 8, 2021, Page(s) Pages e2021GL092462, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl092462

On the Climate Sensitivity and Historical Warming Evolution in Recent Coupled Model Ensembles

Author(s): Flynn C.M., Mauritsen T.
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue Vol. 20, Issue 13, 2020, Page(s) Pages 7829-7842, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-7829-2020

Tuning the MPI-ESM1.2 Global Climate Model to Improve the Match With Instrumental Record Warming by Lowering Its Climate Sensitivity

Author(s): Mauritsen T., Roeckner E.
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue Vol. 12, Issue 5, 2020, Page(s) Pages e2019MS002037, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms002037

Responsibility of Major Emitters for Country-Level Warming and Extreme Hot Years

Author(s): Beusch L., Nauels A., Gudmundsson L., Gütschow J., Schleussner C.-F., Seneviratne S.I.
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue Vol. 3, Issue 1, 2022, Page(s) Pages 7, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00320-6

Trade Wind Boundary Layer Turbulence and Shallow Precipitating Convection: New Insights Combining SAR Images, Satellite Brightness Temperature, and Airborne In Situ Measurements

Author(s): Brilouet P.-E., Bouniol D., Couvreux F., Ayet A., Granero-Belinchon C., Lothon M., Mouche A.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue Vol. 50, Issue 2, 2022, Page(s) Pages e2022GL102180, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl102180

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