PROjecTing sEa-level rise : from iCe sheets to local implicaTions

Resultado final

Second video following end of Fast-Track

CAMIP: Calving Model Intercomparison Project

Project website and social media implementation

Policy briefs based on Fast-Track outcomes

Validated by the steering committee

Publicaciones

Modelling supraglacial debris-cover evolution from the single glacier to the regional scale: an application to High Mountain Asia

Autores: Loris Compagno, Matthias Huss, Evan Stewart Miles, Michael James McCarthy, Harry Zekollari, Amaury Dehecq, Francesca Pellicciotti, and Daniel Farinotti
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1697-2022

Observing the Near-Surface Properties of the Greenland Ice Sheet

Autores: Scanlan, K.M., Rutishauser, A. and Simonsen, B.S.
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1944-8007
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl101702

Spatial Variability of the Snowmelt-Albedo Feedback in Antarctica

Autores: C. L. Jakobs, C. H. Reijmer, M. R. van den Broeke, W. J. van de Berg, J. M. van Wessem
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, Vol 126, 2021, ISSN 2169-9011
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020jf005696

The evolving landscape of sea-level rise science from 1990 to 2021

Autores: Khojasteh, D., Haghani, M., Nicholls, R.J. et al.
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-00920-4

Climate learning scenarios for adaptation decision analyses: Review and classification

Autores: Völz, V. and Hinkel, J.
Publicado en: Climate Risk Management, 2023, ISSN 2212-0963
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100512

Subglacial hydrology modulates basal sliding response of the Antarctic ice sheet to climate forcing

Autores: Kazmierczak, Elise; Sun, Sainan; Coulon, Violaine; Pattyn, Frank
Publicado en: The Crysophere, Edición 47, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-4537-2022

The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple

Autores: Julius Garbe, Maria Zeitz, Uta Krebs-Kanzow, Ricarda Winkelmann
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 17, 2023, Página(s) 4571-4599, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-4571-2023

The timing of decreasing coastal flood protection due to sea-level rise

Autores: Tim H. J. Hermans; Víctor Malagón-Santos; Caroline A. Katsman; Robert A. Jane; D. J. Rasmussen; Marjolijn Haasnoot; Gregory G. Garner; Robert E. Kopp; Michael Oppenheimer; Aimée B. A. Slangen
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 9, 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01616-5

Amundsen Sea Embayment ice-sheet mass-loss predictions to 2050 calibrated using observations of velocity and elevation change

Autores: Bevan, S., Cornford, S., Gilbert, L. et al.
Publicado en: Journal of Glaciology, 2023, ISSN 0022-1430
Editor: International Glaciological Society
DOI: 10.1017/jog.2023.57

Understanding the Drivers of Coastal Flood Exposure and Risk From 1860 to 2100

Autores: Lincke, D., Hinkel, J., Mengel, M., Nicholls, RJ.
Publicado en: Earth's Future, 2022, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2021ef002584

Improving statistical projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change using pattern recognition techniques

Autores: Víctor Malagón-Santos; Aimée B. A. Slangen; Tim H. J. Hermans; Sönke Dangendorf; Marta Marcos; Nicola Maher
Publicado en: Ocean Sciences, Edición 41, 2023, ISSN 1812-0784
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaften
DOI: 10.5194/os-19-499-2023

Response of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet to past and future climate change

Autores: Stokes, C.R., Abram, N.J., Bentley, M.J., Edwards, T.L., et al.
Publicado en: Nature, 2022, ISSN 1476-4687
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-04946-0

Strong impact of sub-shelf melt parameterisation on ice-sheet retreat in idealised and realistic Antarctic topography

Autores: Berends, C., Stap, L., & Van de Wal, R.
Publicado en: Journal of Glaciology, 2023, ISSN 0022-1430
Editor: International Glaciological Society
DOI: 10.1017/jog.2023.33

GrSMBMIP: intercomparison of the modelled 1980-2012 surface mass balance over the Greenland Ice Sheet

Autores: X. Fettweis; S. Hofer; S. Hofer; U. Krebs-Kanzow; C. Amory; T. Aoki; T. Aoki; C. J. Berends; A. Born; A. Born; J. E. Box; A. Delhasse; K. Fujita; P. Gierz; H. Goelzer; H. Goelzer; H. Goelzer; E. Hanna; A. Hashimoto; P. Huybrechts; M.-L. Kapsch; M. D. King; C. Kittel; C. Lang; P. L. Langen; P. L. Langen; J. T. M. Lenaerts; G. E. Liston; G. Lohmann; S. H. Mernild; S. H. Mernild; S. H. Mernild; S. H.
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2020, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3935-2020

Brief communication: Impact of common ice mask in surface mass balance estimates over the Antarctic ice sheet

Autores: Nicolaj Hansen, Sebastian Bjerregaard Simonsen, Fredrik Boberg, et al.
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-2021-317

How Does the Southern Annular Mode Control Surface Melt in East Antarctica?

Autores: Dominic Saunderson, Andrew N. Mackintosh, Felicity S. McCormack, Richard S. Jones, Christiaan T. van Dalum
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105475

Improving surface melt estimation over the Antarctic Ice Sheet using deep learning: a proof of concept over the Larsen Ice Shelf

Autores: Zhongyang, H., Kuipers Munneke, P., Lhermitte, S., Izeboud, M., Van den Broeke, M.
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-5639-2021

Ice-Dynamical Glacier Evolution Modeling—A Review

Autores: Zekollari, Harry; Huss, Matthias; Farinotti, Daniel; Lhermitte, Stef
Publicado en: Reviews of Geophysics, 2022, ISSN 8755-1209
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000549719

Coastal Migration due to 21st Century Sea‐Level Rise

Autores: Daniel Lincke, Jochen Hinkel
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 9, 2023, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001965

Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

Autores: Ann Kristin Klose, Jonathan F. Donges, Ulrike Feudel, Ricarda Winkelmann
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 15, 2024, Página(s) 635-652, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-635-2024

Rethinking Sea‐Level Projections Using Families and Timing Differences

Autores: A. B. A. Slangen; M. Haasnoot; G. Winter
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 49, 2022, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2021ef002576

Adaptation to sea level rise in France

Autores: Le Cozannet, G., Cazenave, A.
Publicado en: Rendiconti Lincei, 2024, ISSN 1720-0776
Editor: Rendicoti Lincei
DOI: 10.1007/s12210-024-01225-0

Increased warm water intrusions could cause mass loss in East Antarctica during the next 200 years

Autores: Jordan, J., Gudmundsson, G.H., Jenkins, A., Stokes, C.R. et al.
Publicado en: Nature communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37553-2

Simulation of a fully coupled 3D glacial isostatic adjustment – ice sheet model for the Antarctic ice sheet over a glacial cycle.

Autores: van Calcar, C.J., van de Wal, R.S.W., Blank, B., de Boer, B. and van der Wal, W.
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus Publishing Group
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5473-2023

Downscaled surface mass balance in Antarctica: impacts of subsurface processes and large-scale atmospheric circulation

Autores: Nicolaj Hansen, Peter L. Langena, Fredrik Boberg, Rene Forsberg, Sebastian B. Simonsen, Peter Thejll, Baptiste Vandecrux, and Ruth Mottram
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-2021-69

Sensitivity of Antarctic surface climate to a new spectral snow albedo and radiative transfer scheme in RACMO2.3p3

Autores: Christiaan T. van Dalum, Willem Jan van de Berg, and Michiel R. van den Broeke
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1071-2022

A High-End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners

Autores: van de Wal, R. S. W., Nicholls, R. J.,Behar, D. et al.
Publicado en: Earth's Future, 2022, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022ef002751

Adaptation to multi-meter sea-level rise should start now

Autores: Le Cozannet, G., Nicholls, R.J., Durand, G., Slangen, A., Lincke, D. and Chapuis, A.
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acef3f

An exploratory modelling study of perennial firn aquifers in the Antarctic Peninsula for the period 1979-2016

Autores: J. Melchior van Wessem; Christian Steger; Nander Wever; Michiel R. van den Broeke
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Vol 15, Pp 695-714 (2021), Edición 2, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-695-2021

The acceleration of sea-level rise along the coast of the Netherlands started in the 1960s

Autores: Keizer, I., Le Bars, D., de Valk, C., Jüling, A., van de Wal, R., and Drijfhout, S.
Publicado en: Ocean Science, 2023, ISSN 1812-0792
Editor: Copernicus Publishing Group
DOI: 10.5194/os-19-991-2023

Climatic Drivers of Ice Slabs and Firn Aquifers in Greenland

Autores: M. Brils, P. Kuipers Munneke, N. Jullien, A. J. Tedstone, H. Machguth, W. J. van de Berg, M. R. van den Broeke
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1944-8007
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl106613

Multi-centennial projections of global mean sea-level rise and their application

Autores: Fiona E Turner; Victor Malagón-Santos; Tamsin Edwards; Aimée Slangen; Robert James Nicholls; Gonéri Le Cozannet; James O'Neill; Mira Adhikari
Publicado en: Crossref, Edición 3, 2023, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: Earth's Future
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef003550

Peak refreezing in the Greenland rn layer under future warming scenarios

Autores: Noël, B., Lenaerts, J.T. M., Lipscomb, W.H., Thayer-Calder, K., and van den Broeke, M.R. Peak
Publicado en: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-34524-x

Antarctic contribution to future sea level from ice shelf basal melt as constrained by ice discharge observations

Autores: Eveline C. van der Linden, Dewi Le Bars, Erwin Lambert, Sybren Drijfhout
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 17, 2023, Página(s) 79-103, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-79-2023

Coupling MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional) with PISM (Parallel Ice Sheet Model) mitigates the positive melt–elevation feedback

Autores: Alison Delhasse, Johanna Beckmann, Christoph Kittel, Xavier Fettweis
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 18, 2024, Página(s) 633-651, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-633-2024

Mapping Antarctic crevasses and their evolution with deep learning applied to satellite radar imagery

Autores: Trystan Surawy-Stepney, Anna E. Hogg, Stephen L. Cornford, David C. Hogg
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 17, 2023, Página(s) 4421-4445, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-4421-2023

Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points

Autores: Armstrong McKay, D.I. et al.
Publicado en: Science, 2022, ISSN 1095-9203
Editor: AAAS
DOI: 10.1126/science.abn7950

Assessment of methods for reconstructing Little Ice Age glacier surfaces on the examples of Novaya Zemlya and the Swiss Alps

Autores: Johannes Reinthaler, Frank Paul
Publicado en: Geomorphology, 2024, ISSN 0169-555X
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2024.109321

Using a Web Map Service to map Little Ice Age glacier extents at regional scales

Autores: Reinthaler, J. and Paul, F.
Publicado en: Annals of Glaciology, 2023, ISSN 0260-3055
Editor: International Glaciological Society
DOI: 10.1017/aog.2023.39

Antarctic meteorites threatened by climate warming

Autores: Veronica Tollenaar; Harry Zekollari; Christoph Kittel; Daniel Farinotti; Stef Lhermitte; Vinciane Debaille; Steven Goderis; Philippe Claeys; Katherine Helen Joy; Frank Pattyn
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, 14 (4), Edición 16, 2024, ISSN 1758-6798
Editor: Nature Climate Change
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-01954-y

Earth’s sinking surface

Autores: Robert J. Nicholls, Manoochehr Shirzaei
Publicado en: Science, Edición 384, 2024, Página(s) 268-269, ISSN 0036-8075
Editor: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.ado9986

Revisiting temperature sensitivity: how does Antarctic precipitation change with temperature?

Autores: Lena Nicola, Dirk Notz, Ricarda Winkelmann
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 17, 2023, Página(s) 2563-2583, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-2563-2023

Social science to accelerate coastal adaptation to sea-level rise

Autores: Philippenko X, Le Cozannet G.
Publicado en: Coastal Futures, 2023, ISSN 2754-7205
Editor: Cambridge Prisms
DOI: 10.1017/cft.2023.25

The evolution of 21st century sea-level projections from IPCC AR5 to AR6 and beyond

Autores: Slangen, A.B.A., Palmer, M.D., Camargo, C.M.L. et al.
Publicado en: Coastal Futures, 2022, ISSN 2754-7205
Editor: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/cft.2022.8

Variable temperature thresholds of melt pond formation on Antarctic ice shelves

Autores: van Wessem, J.M., van den Broeke, M.R., Wouters, B. and Lhermitte. S.
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1758-6798
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01577-1

Benchmarking the vertically integrated ice-sheet model IMAU-ICE (version 2.0)

Autores: Berends, Constantijn J.; Goelzer, Heiko; Reerink, Thomas J.; Stap, Lennert B.; Wal, Roderik S. W.
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, Edición 69, 2022, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-15-5667-2022

Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise

Autores: Tamsin L. Edwards, Sophie Nowicki, Ben Marzeion, Regine Hock, Heiko Goelzer, Hélène Seroussi, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Donald A. Slater, Fiona E. Turner, Christopher J. Smith, Christine M. McKenna, Erika Simon, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Jonathan M. Gregory, Eric Larour, William H. Lipscomb, Antony J. Payne, Andrew Shepherd, Cécile Agosta, Patrick Alexander, Torsten Albrecht, Brian Anderson, Xylar Asay-Davis
Publicado en: Nature, Vol 593, Pp 74-82 (2021), 2021, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y

Global survey shows planners use widely varying sea-level rise projections for coastal adaptation

Autores: Hirschfeld, D., Bell, R., Behar, D., Nicholls, R. et al.
Publicado en: Communications earth & environment, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-00703-x

Quantifying rainfall in Greenland: a combined observational and modelling approach

Autores: Huai, B., van den Broeke, M.R., Reijmer, C.H. and, Cappellen, J.
Publicado en: Journal of Applied, Meteorology and Climatology, 2021, Página(s) 1171–1188, ISSN 1558-8424
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jamc-d-20-0284.1

Shear-margin melting causes stronger transient ice discharge than ice-stream melting in idealized simulations

Autores: Johannes Feldmann, Ronja Reese, Ricarda Winkelmann, Anders Levermann
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 16, 2022, Página(s) 1927-1940, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1927-2022

Uncertainties in projected surface mass balance over the polar ice sheets from dynamically downscaled EC-Earth models

Autores: Boberg, F., Mottram, R., Hansen, N., Yang, S. and Langen, P.L.
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-17-2022

Net effect of ice-sheet–atmosphere interactions reduces simulated transient Miocene Antarctic ice-sheet variability

Autores: Stap, Lennert B.; Berends, Constantijn J.; Scherrenberg, Meike D. W.; Wal, Roderik S. W.; Gasson, Edward G. W.
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1315-2022

Coupled ice–ocean interactions during future retreat of West Antarctic ice streams in the Amundsen Sea sector

Autores: David T. Bett, Alexander T. Bradley, C. Rosie Williams, Paul R. Holland, Robert J. Arthern, and Daniel N. Goldberg
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2024, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-2653-2024

Greater Greenland Ice Sheet contribution to global sea level rise in CMIP6.

Autores: Stefan Hofer; Stefan Hofer; Charlotte Lang; Charles Amory; Christoph Kittel; Alison Delhasse; A. J. Tedstone; Xavier Fettweis
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 5, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20011-8

Miocene Antarctic Ice Sheet area adapts significantly faster than volume to CO2-induced climate change

Autores: Stap, L. B., Berends, C. J., and van de Wal, R. S. W.
Publicado en: Climate of the Past, 2024, ISSN 1814-9324
Editor: European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI: 10.5194/cp-20-257-2024

Sea-level rise induced change in exposure of low-lying coastal land: implications for coastal conservation strategies

Autores: Thiéblemont, Rémi; Le Cozannet, Gonéri; Rohmer, Jérémy; Privat, Adrien; Guidez, Romain; Negulescu, Caterina; Philippenko, Xénia; Luijendijk, Arjen; Calkoen, Floris; Nicholls, Robert, J
Publicado en: "Anthropocene Coasts, 2024, 7 (1), pp.8. ⟨10.1007/s44218-024-00041-1⟩", Edición 32, 2024, ISSN 2561-4150
Editor: Springer Link
DOI: 10.1007/s44218-024-00041-1

Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically calibrated ice-sheet model

Autores: Violaine Coulon, Ann Kristin Klose, Christoph Kittel, Tamsin Edwards, Fiona Turner, Ricarda Winkelmann, Frank Pattyn
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 18, 2024, Página(s) 653-681, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-653-2024

Committed Ice Loss in the European Alps Until 2050 Using a Deep‐Learning‐Aided 3D Ice‐Flow Model With Data Assimilation

Autores: Samuel J. Cook, Guillaume Jouvet, Romain Millan, Antoine Rabatel, Harry Zekollari, Inés Dussaillant
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 50, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105029

River Deltas and Sea-Level Rise

Autores: Nienhuis, J.H., Kim, W., Milne, G.A. et al.
Publicado en: Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 2022, ISSN 0084-6597
Editor: Annual Reviews, Inc.
DOI: 10.1146/annurev-earth-031621-093732

A framework for estimating the anthropogenic part of Antarctica’s sea level contribution in a synthetic setting

Autores: Alexander T. Bradley, David T. Bett, Paul R. Holland, C. Rosie Williams, Robert J. Arthern & Jan De Rydt
Publicado en: Communications earth & environment, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Communications earth and environment
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01287-w

Greenland and Canadian Arctic ice temperature profiles database

Autores: Anja Løkkegaard, Kenneth D. Mankoff, Christian Zdanowicz, Gary D. Clow, Martin P. Lüthi, Samuel H. Doyle, Henrik H. Thomsen, David Fisher, Joel Harper, Andy Aschwanden, Bo M. Vinther, Dorthe Dahl-Jensen, Harry Zekollari, Toby Meierbachtol, Ian McDowell, Neil Humphrey, Anne Solgaard, Nanna B. Karlsson, Shfaqat A. Khan, Benjamin Hills, Robert Law, Bryn Hubbard, Poul Christoffersen, Mylène Jacquem
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 17, 2023, Página(s) 3829-3845, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-3829-2023

The diurnal Energy Balance Model (dEBM): a convenient surface mass balance solution for ice sheets in Earth system modeling

Autores: Uta Krebs-Kanzow, Paul Gierz, Christian B. Rodehacke, Shan Xu, Hu Yang, and Gerrit Lohmann
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Vol 15, Pp 2295-3313 (2021), 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-2295-2021

Editorial: Climate Services for Adaptation to Sea-Level Rise

Autores: Le Cozannet, G., Nicholls, R.J., Van de Wal, R., Sparrow, M.D., Li, J. and Billy, J.
Publicado en: Frontiers in Marine Sciences, 2022, ISSN 2296-7745
Editor: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2022.943079

Uncertainty and Bias in Global to Regional Scale Assessments of Current and Future Coastal Flood Risk

Autores: J. Hinkel, L. Feyen, M. Hemer, G. Le Cozannet, D. Lincke, M. Marcos, L. Mentaschi, J. L. Merkens, H. de Moel, S. Muis, R. J. Nicholls, A. T. Vafeidis, R. S. W. van de Wal, M. I. Vousdoukas, T. Wahl, P. J. Ward, C. Wolff
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 9, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001882

Diverging future surface mass balance between the Antarctic ice shelves and grounded ice sheet

Autores: Christoph Kittel; Charles Amory; Charles Amory; Cécile Agosta; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Stefan Hofer; Alison Delhasse; Sébastien Doutreloup; Pierre-Vincent Huot; Charlotte Lang; Charlotte Lang; Thierry Fichefet; Xavier Fettweis
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Vol. 15, no.3, p. 1215-1236 (2021), Edición 2, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-291

A 21st Century Warming Threshold for Sustained Greenland Ice Sheet Mass Loss

Autores: B. Noël, L. van Kampenhout, J. T. M. Lenaerts, W. J. van de Berg, M. R. van den Broeke
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 48, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl090471

Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision-Making Based on IPCC AR6

Autores: Völz, V. and Hinkel, J.
Publicado en: Earth’s Future, 2023, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef003662

Higher Antarctic ice sheet accumulation and surface melt rates revealed at 2 km resolution

Autores: Brice Noël, J. Melchior van Wessem, Bert Wouters, Luke Trusel, Stef Lhermitte & Michiel R. van den Broeke
Publicado en: Nature Communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-43584-6

Global climate services: a typology of global decisions influenced by climate risk

Autores: Bisaro, A., Hinkel, J., Le Cozannet, G. et al.
Publicado en: Frontiers in Marine Sciences, 2021, ISSN 2296-7745
Editor: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.728687

Episodic dynamic change linked to damage on the Thwaites Glacier Ice Tongue

Autores: Trystan Surawy-Stepney, Anna E. Hogg, Stephen L. Cornford, Benjamin J. Davison
Publicado en: Nature Geoscience, Edición 16, 2023, Página(s) 37-43, ISSN 1752-0894
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-022-01097-9

Stabilizing effect of mélange buttressing on the marine ice-cliff instability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Autores: Tanja Schlemm, Johannes Feldmann, Ricarda Winkelmann, Anders Levermann
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 16, 2022, Página(s) 1979-1996, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1979-2022

Tipping point in ice-sheet grounding-zone melting due to ocean water intrusion

Autores: Alexander T. Bradley & Ian J. Hewitt
Publicado en: Nature geoscience, 2024, ISSN 1752-0908
Editor: Nature geoscience
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01465-7

Improving interpretation of sea-level projections through a machine-learning-based local explanation approach

Autores: Rohmer, J., Thieblemont, R., Le Cozannet, G., Goelzer, H. and Durand, G.
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-4637-2022

Distinct Central and Eastern Pacific El Niño Influence on Antarctic Surface Mass Balance

Autores: J. M. A. Macha, A. N. Mackintosh, F. S. McCormack, B. J. Henley, H. V. McGregor, C. T. van Dalum, A. Purich
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Edición 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024gl109423

Long-term surface energy balance of the western Greenland ice sheet and the role of large-scale circulation variability

Autores: Baojuan Huai; Michiel R. van den Broeke; Carleen Reijmer
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Vol 14, Pp 4181-4199 (2020), Edición 2, 2020, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-138

The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-level (FACTS) v1.0: a platform for characterizing parametric and structural uncertainty in future global, relative, and extreme sea-level change

Autores: Kopp, R. E., Garner, G. G., Hermans, T. H. J., Jha, S., Kumar, P., Reedy, A., Slangen, A. B. A., Turilli, M., Edwards, T. L., Gregory, J. M., Koubbe, G., Levermann, A., Merzky, A., Nowicki, S., Palmer, M. D., and Smith, C.
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, 2023, ISSN 1991-959X
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-7461-2023

Anthropogenic and internal drivers of wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, during the 20th and 21st centuries

Autores: Holland, P. et al.
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-5085-2022

Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty

Autores: Hélène Seroussi, Vincent Verjans, Sophie Nowicki, Antony J. Payne, Heiko Goelzer, William H. Lipscomb, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Cécile Agosta, Torsten Albrecht, Xylar Asay-Davis, Alice Barthel, Reinhard Calov, Richard Cullather, Christophe Dumas, Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi, Rupert Gladstone, Nicholas R. Golledge, Jonathan M. Gregory, Ralf Greve, Tore Hattermann, Matthew J. Hoffman, Angelika Humbert, Phil
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 17, 2023, Página(s) 5197-5217, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023

An assessment of basal melt parameterisations for Antarctic ice shelves

Autores: Clara Burgard; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Ronja Reese; Adrian Jenkins; Pierre Mathiot
Publicado en: The Crysophere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-4931-2022

Significant additional Antarctic warming in atmospheric bias-corrected ARPEGE projections with respect to control run

Autores: Julien Beaumet; Michel Déqué; Gerhard Krinner; Cécile Agosta; Antoinette Alias; Vincent Favier
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Vol 15, Pp 3615-3635 (2021), Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-3615-2021

Southern Ocean warming and Antarctic ice shelf melting in conditions plausible by late 23rd century in a high-end scenario

Autores: Pierre Mathiot, Nicolas C. Jourdain
Publicado en: Ocean Science, Edición 19, 2023, Página(s) 1595-1615, ISSN 1812-0792
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/os-19-1595-2023

North Atlantic Cooling is Slowing Down Mass Loss of Icelandic Glaciers

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Publicado en: Geographical Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl095697

Ice Shelf Basal Melt Rates in the Amundsen Sea at the End of the 21st Century

Autores: Jourdain, N.C., Mathiot, P., Burgard, C., Caillet, J. and Kittle, C.
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 1944-8007
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl100629

Where the White Continent Is Blue: Deep Learning Locates Bare Ice in Antarctica

Autores: Veronica Tollenaar, Harry Zekollari, Frank Pattyn, Marc Rußwurm, Benjamin Kellenberger, Stef Lhermitte, Maaike Izeboud, Devis Tuia
Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1944-8007
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl106285

Emulating Present and Future Simulations of Melt Rates at the Base of Antarctic Ice Shelves With Neural Networks

Autores: C. Burgard, N. C. Jourdain, P. Mathiot, R. S. Smith, R. Schäfer, J. Caillet, T. S. Finn, J. E. Johnson
Publicado en: Journal of Advance in Modeling Earth Systems, 2023, ISSN 1942-2466
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003829

Co-creating a coastal climate service to prioritise investments in erosion prevention and sea-level rise adaptation in the Maldives

Autores: Hinkel, J., Garcin, M., Gussmann, G., et al.
Publicado en: Climate services, 2023, ISSN 2405-8807
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100401

A global analysis of subsidence, relative sea-level change and coastal flood exposure

Autores: Daniel Lincke; Robert J. Nicholls; Jochen Hinkel; Sally Brown; Athanasios T. Vafeidis; Benoit Meyssignac; Susan Hanson; Jan Merkens; Jiayi Fang
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Vol 11, Pp 338-342 (2021), Edición 1, 2021, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-00993-z

Observed and Parameterized Roughness Lengths for Momentum and Heat Over Rough Ice Surfaces

Autores: van Tiggelen, M., Smeets, P.C.J.P., Reijmer, C.H.,et al.
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmosphere, 2023, ISSN 2169-897X
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd036970

Historically-based run-time bias corrections substantially improve model projections of 100 years of future climate change

Autores: Gerhard Krinner, Viatcheslav Kharin, Romain Roehrig, John Scinocca, Francis Codron
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición 1/1, 2020, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-020-00035-0

Contrasting Response of West and East Antarctic Ice Sheets to Glacial Isostatic Adjustment

Autores: Violaine Coulon, Kevin Bulthuis, Pippa L. Whitehouse, Sainan Sun, Konstanze Haubner, Lars Zipf, Frank Pattyn
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, Vol 126, 2021, ISSN 2169-9003
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020jf006003

Decision-support for land reclamation location and design choices in the Maldives

Autores: van der Pol, T., Gussmann, G., Hinkel, J. et al.
Publicado en: Climate risk management, 2023, ISSN 2212-0963
Editor: Elsevier Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100514

Chronic flooding events due to sea-level rise in French Guiana

Autores: Rémi Thiéblemont, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Maurizio D’Anna, Déborah Idier, Ali Belmadani, Aimée B. A. Slangen & François Longueville
Publicado en: Scientific reports, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-48807-w

Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users

Autores: Kopp, R.E., et al.
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01691-8

A Daily 1-km Resolution Greenland Rainfall Climatology (1958–2020) From Statistical Downscaling of a Regional Atmospheric Climate Model

Autores: Huai, B., van den Broeke, M.R., Reijmer, C.H. and Noël. B.
Publicado en: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmosphere, 2022, ISSN 2169-897X
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd036688

The macroeconomic effects of adapting to high-end sea-level rise via protection and migration

Autores: Gabriel Bachner, Daniel Lincke, Jochen Hinkel
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 13, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-33043-z

Brief communication: CMIP6 does not suggest any atmospheric blocking increase in summer over Greenland by 2100

Autores: Alison Delhasse, Edward Hanna, Christoph Kittel, Xavier Fettweis
Publicado en: International Journal of Climatology, Vol 41, 2020, ISSN 0899-8418
Editor: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6977

Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models

Autores: Tim H. J. Hermans, Julius J. M. Busecke, Thomas Wahl, Víctor Malagón-Santos, Michael G. Tadesse, Robert A. Jane, Roderik S. W. van de Wal
Publicado en: Earth's Future, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef004188

Integrating new sea-level scenarios into coastal risk and adaptation assessments: An ongoing process

Autores: Robert J. Nicholls, Susan E. Hanson, Jason A. Lowe, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Thomas Wahl, Jochen Hinkel, Antony J. Long
Publicado en: WIREs Climate Change, Vol 12, 2021, ISSN 1757-7780
Editor: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.706

Performance of MAR (v3.11) in simulating the drifting-snow climate and surface mass balance of Adélie Land, East Antarctica

Autores: Charles Amory, Christoph Kittel, Louis Le Toumelin, Cécile Agosta, Alison Delhasse, Vincent Favier, Xavier Fettweis
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol 14, 2021, ISSN 1991-959X
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-3487-2021

Coastal landfills and rising sea levels: a challenge for the 21st century

Autores: Robert J. Nicholls, Richard P. Beaven, Anne Stringfellow, Daniel Monfort, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Thomas Wahl, Julia Gebert, Matthew Wadey, Arne Arns, Kate L. Spencer, Debra Reinhart, Timo Heimovaara, Víctor M. Santos, Alejandra R. Enríquez and Samantha Cope
Publicado en: Frontiers in Marine Sciences, 2021, ISSN 2296-7745
Editor: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.710342

Projected West Antarctic Ocean Warming Caused by an Expansion of the Ross Gyre

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Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1944-8007
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl102978

Effects of extreme melt events on ice flow and sea level rise of the Greenland Ice Sheet

Autores: Johanna Beckmann, Ricarda Winkelmann
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 17, 2023, Página(s) 3083-3099, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-3083-2023

Practitioner Needs to Adapt to Sea-Level Rise: Distilling Information from Global Workshops

Autores: Hirschfeld, D. et al.
Publicado en: Social Science Research Network, 2023, ISSN 1556-5068
Editor: Elsevier publishing group
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4442045

Contrasting current and future surface melt rates on the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica: Lessons from in situ observations and climate models

Autores: van den Broeke, M.R., Kuipers Munneke, P. and Noël, B.
Publicado en: PLOS Climate, 2023, ISSN 2767-3200
Editor: PLOS
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000203

Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review

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Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 15, 2024, Página(s) 41-74, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-41-2024

Short- and long-term variability of the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets

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Publicado en: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Edición 5, 2024, Página(s) 193-210, ISSN 2662-138X
Editor: SpringerLink
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-023-00509-7

Future surface mass balance and surface melt in the Amundsen sector of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet

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Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Vol 15, Pp 571-593 (2021), Edición 3, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-571-2021

Processes explaining increased ocean dynamic sea level in the North Sea in CMIP6

Autores: Franka Jesse, Dewi Le Bars and Sybren Drijfhout
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad33d4

Compensating errors in inversions for subglacial bed roughness: same steady state, different dynamic response

Autores: Berends, C.J., van de Wal, R.S.W., van den Akker, T. and Lipscomb, W.H.
Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2023, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-1585-2023

Sea-Level Rise: From Global Perspectives to Local Services

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Publicado en: Frontiers in Marine Science, 2022, ISSN 2296-7745
Editor: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.709595

The effect of the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle on steric sea level changes

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Publicado en: Crossref, Edición 9, 2024, ISSN 1944-8007
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.22541/essoar.169602462.22006692/v1

Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan

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Editor: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2021.25

What is the Surface Mass Balance of Antarctica? An Intercomparison of Regional Climate Model Estimates

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Publicado en: The Cryosphere, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-3751-2021

Future growth and decline of high mountain Asia's ice-dammed lakes and associated risk

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Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición 46, 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00520-8

Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets

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Publicado en: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 48, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091741

Spatially heterogeneous effect of climate warming on the Arctic land ice

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Publicado en: The Cryosphere, Edición 17, 2023, Página(s) 4645-4659, ISSN 1994-0424
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-4645-2023

Uncertain Pathways to a Future Safe Climate

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Publicado en: Earth's Future, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef004297

What do we mean, ’tipping cascade’?

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Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 3, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3955

Modelling feedbacks between the Northern Hemisphere ice sheets and climate during the last glacial cycle

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Publicado en: Climate of the Past, Edición 36, 2023, ISSN 1814-9332
Editor: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/cp-19-399-2023

Benefits of subsidence control for coastal flooding in China

Autores: Fang, J., Nicholls,R.J., Brown, S., Lincke, D., Hinkel, J. et al.
Publicado en: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-34525-w

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