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PROjecTing sEa-level rise : from iCe sheets to local implicaTions

Deliverables

Publications

Modelling supraglacial debris-cover evolution from the single glacier to the regional scale: an application to High Mountain Asia

Author(s): Loris Compagno, Matthias Huss, Evan Stewart Miles, Michael James McCarthy, Harry Zekollari, Amaury Dehecq, Francesca Pellicciotti, and Daniel Farinotti
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1697-2022

Observing the Near-Surface Properties of the Greenland Ice Sheet

Author(s): Scanlan, K.M., Rutishauser, A. and Simonsen, B.S.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl101702

Spatial Variability of the Snowmelt-Albedo Feedback in Antarctica

Author(s): C. L. Jakobs, C. H. Reijmer, M. R. van den Broeke, W. J. van de Berg, J. M. van Wessem
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, Vol 126, 2021, ISSN 2169-9011
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020jf005696

The evolving landscape of sea-level rise science from 1990 to 2021

Author(s): Khojasteh, D., Haghani, M., Nicholls, R.J. et al.
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-00920-4

Climate learning scenarios for adaptation decision analyses: Review and classification

Author(s): Völz, V. and Hinkel, J.
Published in: Climate Risk Management, 2023, ISSN 2212-0963
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100512

Subglacial hydrology modulates basal sliding response of the Antarctic ice sheet to climate forcing

Author(s): Kazmierczak, Elise; Sun, Sainan; Coulon, Violaine; Pattyn, Frank
Published in: The Crysophere, Issue 47, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-4537-2022

The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple

Author(s): Julius Garbe, Maria Zeitz, Uta Krebs-Kanzow, Ricarda Winkelmann
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 17, 2023, Page(s) 4571-4599, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-4571-2023

The timing of decreasing coastal flood protection due to sea-level rise

Author(s): Tim H. J. Hermans; Víctor Malagón-Santos; Caroline A. Katsman; Robert A. Jane; D. J. Rasmussen; Marjolijn Haasnoot; Gregory G. Garner; Robert E. Kopp; Michael Oppenheimer; Aimée B. A. Slangen
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 9, 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01616-5

Amundsen Sea Embayment ice-sheet mass-loss predictions to 2050 calibrated using observations of velocity and elevation change

Author(s): Bevan, S., Cornford, S., Gilbert, L. et al.
Published in: Journal of Glaciology, 2023, ISSN 0022-1430
Publisher: International Glaciological Society
DOI: 10.1017/jog.2023.57

Understanding the Drivers of Coastal Flood Exposure and Risk From 1860 to 2100

Author(s): Lincke, D., Hinkel, J., Mengel, M., Nicholls, RJ.
Published in: Earth's Future, 2022, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2021ef002584

Improving statistical projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change using pattern recognition techniques

Author(s): Víctor Malagón-Santos; Aimée B. A. Slangen; Tim H. J. Hermans; Sönke Dangendorf; Marta Marcos; Nicola Maher
Published in: Ocean Sciences, Issue 41, 2023, ISSN 1812-0784
Publisher: Copernicus Gesellschaften
DOI: 10.5194/os-19-499-2023

Response of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet to past and future climate change

Author(s): Stokes, C.R., Abram, N.J., Bentley, M.J., Edwards, T.L., et al.
Published in: Nature, 2022, ISSN 1476-4687
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-04946-0

Strong impact of sub-shelf melt parameterisation on ice-sheet retreat in idealised and realistic Antarctic topography

Author(s): Berends, C., Stap, L., & Van de Wal, R.
Published in: Journal of Glaciology, 2023, ISSN 0022-1430
Publisher: International Glaciological Society
DOI: 10.1017/jog.2023.33

GrSMBMIP: intercomparison of the modelled 1980-2012 surface mass balance over the Greenland Ice Sheet

Author(s): X. Fettweis; S. Hofer; S. Hofer; U. Krebs-Kanzow; C. Amory; T. Aoki; T. Aoki; C. J. Berends; A. Born; A. Born; J. E. Box; A. Delhasse; K. Fujita; P. Gierz; H. Goelzer; H. Goelzer; H. Goelzer; E. Hanna; A. Hashimoto; P. Huybrechts; M.-L. Kapsch; M. D. King; C. Kittel; C. Lang; P. L. Langen; P. L. Langen; J. T. M. Lenaerts; G. E. Liston; G. Lohmann; S. H. Mernild; S. H. Mernild; S. H. Mernild; S. H.
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2020, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3935-2020

Brief communication: Impact of common ice mask in surface mass balance estimates over the Antarctic ice sheet

Author(s): Nicolaj Hansen, Sebastian Bjerregaard Simonsen, Fredrik Boberg, et al.
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-2021-317

How Does the Southern Annular Mode Control Surface Melt in East Antarctica?

Author(s): Dominic Saunderson, Andrew N. Mackintosh, Felicity S. McCormack, Richard S. Jones, Christiaan T. van Dalum
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105475

Improving surface melt estimation over the Antarctic Ice Sheet using deep learning: a proof of concept over the Larsen Ice Shelf

Author(s): Zhongyang, H., Kuipers Munneke, P., Lhermitte, S., Izeboud, M., Van den Broeke, M.
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-5639-2021

Ice-Dynamical Glacier Evolution Modeling—A Review

Author(s): Zekollari, Harry; Huss, Matthias; Farinotti, Daniel; Lhermitte, Stef
Published in: Reviews of Geophysics, 2022, ISSN 8755-1209
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000549719

Coastal Migration due to 21st Century Sea‐Level Rise

Author(s): Daniel Lincke, Jochen Hinkel
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 9, 2023, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001965

Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

Author(s): Ann Kristin Klose, Jonathan F. Donges, Ulrike Feudel, Ricarda Winkelmann
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 15, 2024, Page(s) 635-652, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-635-2024

Rethinking Sea‐Level Projections Using Families and Timing Differences

Author(s): A. B. A. Slangen; M. Haasnoot; G. Winter
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 49, 2022, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2021ef002576

Adaptation to sea level rise in France

Author(s): Le Cozannet, G., Cazenave, A.
Published in: Rendiconti Lincei, 2024, ISSN 1720-0776
Publisher: Rendicoti Lincei
DOI: 10.1007/s12210-024-01225-0

Increased warm water intrusions could cause mass loss in East Antarctica during the next 200 years

Author(s): Jordan, J., Gudmundsson, G.H., Jenkins, A., Stokes, C.R. et al.
Published in: Nature communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37553-2

Simulation of a fully coupled 3D glacial isostatic adjustment – ice sheet model for the Antarctic ice sheet over a glacial cycle.

Author(s): van Calcar, C.J., van de Wal, R.S.W., Blank, B., de Boer, B. and van der Wal, W.
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publishing Group
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5473-2023

Downscaled surface mass balance in Antarctica: impacts of subsurface processes and large-scale atmospheric circulation

Author(s): Nicolaj Hansen, Peter L. Langena, Fredrik Boberg, Rene Forsberg, Sebastian B. Simonsen, Peter Thejll, Baptiste Vandecrux, and Ruth Mottram
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-2021-69

Sensitivity of Antarctic surface climate to a new spectral snow albedo and radiative transfer scheme in RACMO2.3p3

Author(s): Christiaan T. van Dalum, Willem Jan van de Berg, and Michiel R. van den Broeke
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1071-2022

A High-End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners

Author(s): van de Wal, R. S. W., Nicholls, R. J.,Behar, D. et al.
Published in: Earth's Future, 2022, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022ef002751

Adaptation to multi-meter sea-level rise should start now

Author(s): Le Cozannet, G., Nicholls, R.J., Durand, G., Slangen, A., Lincke, D. and Chapuis, A.
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acef3f

An exploratory modelling study of perennial firn aquifers in the Antarctic Peninsula for the period 1979-2016

Author(s): J. Melchior van Wessem; Christian Steger; Nander Wever; Michiel R. van den Broeke
Published in: The Cryosphere, Vol 15, Pp 695-714 (2021), Issue 2, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-695-2021

The acceleration of sea-level rise along the coast of the Netherlands started in the 1960s

Author(s): Keizer, I., Le Bars, D., de Valk, C., Jüling, A., van de Wal, R., and Drijfhout, S.
Published in: Ocean Science, 2023, ISSN 1812-0792
Publisher: Copernicus Publishing Group
DOI: 10.5194/os-19-991-2023

Climatic Drivers of Ice Slabs and Firn Aquifers in Greenland

Author(s): M. Brils, P. Kuipers Munneke, N. Jullien, A. J. Tedstone, H. Machguth, W. J. van de Berg, M. R. van den Broeke
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl106613

Multi-centennial projections of global mean sea-level rise and their application

Author(s): Fiona E Turner; Victor Malagón-Santos; Tamsin Edwards; Aimée Slangen; Robert James Nicholls; Gonéri Le Cozannet; James O'Neill; Mira Adhikari
Published in: Crossref, Issue 3, 2023, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: Earth's Future
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef003550

Peak refreezing in the Greenland rn layer under future warming scenarios

Author(s): Noël, B., Lenaerts, J.T. M., Lipscomb, W.H., Thayer-Calder, K., and van den Broeke, M.R. Peak
Published in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-34524-x

Antarctic contribution to future sea level from ice shelf basal melt as constrained by ice discharge observations

Author(s): Eveline C. van der Linden, Dewi Le Bars, Erwin Lambert, Sybren Drijfhout
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 17, 2023, Page(s) 79-103, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-79-2023

Coupling MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional) with PISM (Parallel Ice Sheet Model) mitigates the positive melt–elevation feedback

Author(s): Alison Delhasse, Johanna Beckmann, Christoph Kittel, Xavier Fettweis
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 18, 2024, Page(s) 633-651, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-633-2024

Mapping Antarctic crevasses and their evolution with deep learning applied to satellite radar imagery

Author(s): Trystan Surawy-Stepney, Anna E. Hogg, Stephen L. Cornford, David C. Hogg
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 17, 2023, Page(s) 4421-4445, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-4421-2023

Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points

Author(s): Armstrong McKay, D.I. et al.
Published in: Science, 2022, ISSN 1095-9203
Publisher: AAAS
DOI: 10.1126/science.abn7950

Assessment of methods for reconstructing Little Ice Age glacier surfaces on the examples of Novaya Zemlya and the Swiss Alps

Author(s): Johannes Reinthaler, Frank Paul
Published in: Geomorphology, 2024, ISSN 0169-555X
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2024.109321

Using a Web Map Service to map Little Ice Age glacier extents at regional scales

Author(s): Reinthaler, J. and Paul, F.
Published in: Annals of Glaciology, 2023, ISSN 0260-3055
Publisher: International Glaciological Society
DOI: 10.1017/aog.2023.39

Antarctic meteorites threatened by climate warming

Author(s): Veronica Tollenaar; Harry Zekollari; Christoph Kittel; Daniel Farinotti; Stef Lhermitte; Vinciane Debaille; Steven Goderis; Philippe Claeys; Katherine Helen Joy; Frank Pattyn
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 14 (4), Issue 16, 2024, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Nature Climate Change
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-01954-y

Earth’s sinking surface

Author(s): Robert J. Nicholls, Manoochehr Shirzaei
Published in: Science, Issue 384, 2024, Page(s) 268-269, ISSN 0036-8075
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.ado9986

Revisiting temperature sensitivity: how does Antarctic precipitation change with temperature?

Author(s): Lena Nicola, Dirk Notz, Ricarda Winkelmann
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 17, 2023, Page(s) 2563-2583, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-2563-2023

Social science to accelerate coastal adaptation to sea-level rise

Author(s): Philippenko X, Le Cozannet G.
Published in: Coastal Futures, 2023, ISSN 2754-7205
Publisher: Cambridge Prisms
DOI: 10.1017/cft.2023.25

The evolution of 21st century sea-level projections from IPCC AR5 to AR6 and beyond

Author(s): Slangen, A.B.A., Palmer, M.D., Camargo, C.M.L. et al.
Published in: Coastal Futures, 2022, ISSN 2754-7205
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/cft.2022.8

Variable temperature thresholds of melt pond formation on Antarctic ice shelves

Author(s): van Wessem, J.M., van den Broeke, M.R., Wouters, B. and Lhermitte. S.
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1758-6798
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01577-1

Benchmarking the vertically integrated ice-sheet model IMAU-ICE (version 2.0)

Author(s): Berends, Constantijn J.; Goelzer, Heiko; Reerink, Thomas J.; Stap, Lennert B.; Wal, Roderik S. W.
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 69, 2022, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-15-5667-2022

Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise

Author(s): Tamsin L. Edwards, Sophie Nowicki, Ben Marzeion, Regine Hock, Heiko Goelzer, Hélène Seroussi, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Donald A. Slater, Fiona E. Turner, Christopher J. Smith, Christine M. McKenna, Erika Simon, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Jonathan M. Gregory, Eric Larour, William H. Lipscomb, Antony J. Payne, Andrew Shepherd, Cécile Agosta, Patrick Alexander, Torsten Albrecht, Brian Anderson, Xylar Asay-Davis
Published in: Nature, Vol 593, Pp 74-82 (2021), 2021, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y

Global survey shows planners use widely varying sea-level rise projections for coastal adaptation

Author(s): Hirschfeld, D., Bell, R., Behar, D., Nicholls, R. et al.
Published in: Communications earth & environment, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-00703-x

Quantifying rainfall in Greenland: a combined observational and modelling approach

Author(s): Huai, B., van den Broeke, M.R., Reijmer, C.H. and, Cappellen, J.
Published in: Journal of Applied, Meteorology and Climatology, 2021, Page(s) 1171–1188, ISSN 1558-8424
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jamc-d-20-0284.1

Shear-margin melting causes stronger transient ice discharge than ice-stream melting in idealized simulations

Author(s): Johannes Feldmann, Ronja Reese, Ricarda Winkelmann, Anders Levermann
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 16, 2022, Page(s) 1927-1940, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1927-2022

Uncertainties in projected surface mass balance over the polar ice sheets from dynamically downscaled EC-Earth models

Author(s): Boberg, F., Mottram, R., Hansen, N., Yang, S. and Langen, P.L.
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-17-2022

Net effect of ice-sheet–atmosphere interactions reduces simulated transient Miocene Antarctic ice-sheet variability

Author(s): Stap, Lennert B.; Berends, Constantijn J.; Scherrenberg, Meike D. W.; Wal, Roderik S. W.; Gasson, Edward G. W.
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1315-2022

Coupled ice–ocean interactions during future retreat of West Antarctic ice streams in the Amundsen Sea sector

Author(s): David T. Bett, Alexander T. Bradley, C. Rosie Williams, Paul R. Holland, Robert J. Arthern, and Daniel N. Goldberg
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2024, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-2653-2024

Greater Greenland Ice Sheet contribution to global sea level rise in CMIP6.

Author(s): Stefan Hofer; Stefan Hofer; Charlotte Lang; Charles Amory; Christoph Kittel; Alison Delhasse; A. J. Tedstone; Xavier Fettweis
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 5, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20011-8

Miocene Antarctic Ice Sheet area adapts significantly faster than volume to CO2-induced climate change

Author(s): Stap, L. B., Berends, C. J., and van de Wal, R. S. W.
Published in: Climate of the Past, 2024, ISSN 1814-9324
Publisher: European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI: 10.5194/cp-20-257-2024

Sea-level rise induced change in exposure of low-lying coastal land: implications for coastal conservation strategies

Author(s): Thiéblemont, Rémi; Le Cozannet, Gonéri; Rohmer, Jérémy; Privat, Adrien; Guidez, Romain; Negulescu, Caterina; Philippenko, Xénia; Luijendijk, Arjen; Calkoen, Floris; Nicholls, Robert, J
Published in: "Anthropocene Coasts, 2024, 7 (1), pp.8. ⟨10.1007/s44218-024-00041-1⟩", Issue 32, 2024, ISSN 2561-4150
Publisher: Springer Link
DOI: 10.1007/s44218-024-00041-1

Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically calibrated ice-sheet model

Author(s): Violaine Coulon, Ann Kristin Klose, Christoph Kittel, Tamsin Edwards, Fiona Turner, Ricarda Winkelmann, Frank Pattyn
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 18, 2024, Page(s) 653-681, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-653-2024

Committed Ice Loss in the European Alps Until 2050 Using a Deep‐Learning‐Aided 3D Ice‐Flow Model With Data Assimilation

Author(s): Samuel J. Cook, Guillaume Jouvet, Romain Millan, Antoine Rabatel, Harry Zekollari, Inés Dussaillant
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 50, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105029

River Deltas and Sea-Level Rise

Author(s): Nienhuis, J.H., Kim, W., Milne, G.A. et al.
Published in: Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 2022, ISSN 0084-6597
Publisher: Annual Reviews, Inc.
DOI: 10.1146/annurev-earth-031621-093732

A framework for estimating the anthropogenic part of Antarctica’s sea level contribution in a synthetic setting

Author(s): Alexander T. Bradley, David T. Bett, Paul R. Holland, C. Rosie Williams, Robert J. Arthern & Jan De Rydt
Published in: Communications earth & environment, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Communications earth and environment
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01287-w

Greenland and Canadian Arctic ice temperature profiles database

Author(s): Anja Løkkegaard, Kenneth D. Mankoff, Christian Zdanowicz, Gary D. Clow, Martin P. Lüthi, Samuel H. Doyle, Henrik H. Thomsen, David Fisher, Joel Harper, Andy Aschwanden, Bo M. Vinther, Dorthe Dahl-Jensen, Harry Zekollari, Toby Meierbachtol, Ian McDowell, Neil Humphrey, Anne Solgaard, Nanna B. Karlsson, Shfaqat A. Khan, Benjamin Hills, Robert Law, Bryn Hubbard, Poul Christoffersen, Mylène Jacquem
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 17, 2023, Page(s) 3829-3845, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-3829-2023

The diurnal Energy Balance Model (dEBM): a convenient surface mass balance solution for ice sheets in Earth system modeling

Author(s): Uta Krebs-Kanzow, Paul Gierz, Christian B. Rodehacke, Shan Xu, Hu Yang, and Gerrit Lohmann
Published in: The Cryosphere, Vol 15, Pp 2295-3313 (2021), 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-2295-2021

Editorial: Climate Services for Adaptation to Sea-Level Rise

Author(s): Le Cozannet, G., Nicholls, R.J., Van de Wal, R., Sparrow, M.D., Li, J. and Billy, J.
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Sciences, 2022, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2022.943079

Uncertainty and Bias in Global to Regional Scale Assessments of Current and Future Coastal Flood Risk

Author(s): J. Hinkel, L. Feyen, M. Hemer, G. Le Cozannet, D. Lincke, M. Marcos, L. Mentaschi, J. L. Merkens, H. de Moel, S. Muis, R. J. Nicholls, A. T. Vafeidis, R. S. W. van de Wal, M. I. Vousdoukas, T. Wahl, P. J. Ward, C. Wolff
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 9, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001882

Diverging future surface mass balance between the Antarctic ice shelves and grounded ice sheet

Author(s): Christoph Kittel; Charles Amory; Charles Amory; Cécile Agosta; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Stefan Hofer; Alison Delhasse; Sébastien Doutreloup; Pierre-Vincent Huot; Charlotte Lang; Charlotte Lang; Thierry Fichefet; Xavier Fettweis
Published in: The Cryosphere, Vol. 15, no.3, p. 1215-1236 (2021), Issue 2, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-291

A 21st Century Warming Threshold for Sustained Greenland Ice Sheet Mass Loss

Author(s): B. Noël, L. van Kampenhout, J. T. M. Lenaerts, W. J. van de Berg, M. R. van den Broeke
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 48, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl090471

Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision-Making Based on IPCC AR6

Author(s): Völz, V. and Hinkel, J.
Published in: Earth’s Future, 2023, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef003662

Higher Antarctic ice sheet accumulation and surface melt rates revealed at 2 km resolution

Author(s): Brice Noël, J. Melchior van Wessem, Bert Wouters, Luke Trusel, Stef Lhermitte & Michiel R. van den Broeke
Published in: Nature Communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-43584-6

Global climate services: a typology of global decisions influenced by climate risk

Author(s): Bisaro, A., Hinkel, J., Le Cozannet, G. et al.
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Sciences, 2021, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.728687

Episodic dynamic change linked to damage on the Thwaites Glacier Ice Tongue

Author(s): Trystan Surawy-Stepney, Anna E. Hogg, Stephen L. Cornford, Benjamin J. Davison
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 16, 2023, Page(s) 37-43, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-022-01097-9

Stabilizing effect of mélange buttressing on the marine ice-cliff instability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Author(s): Tanja Schlemm, Johannes Feldmann, Ricarda Winkelmann, Anders Levermann
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 16, 2022, Page(s) 1979-1996, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1979-2022

Tipping point in ice-sheet grounding-zone melting due to ocean water intrusion

Author(s): Alexander T. Bradley & Ian J. Hewitt
Published in: Nature geoscience, 2024, ISSN 1752-0908
Publisher: Nature geoscience
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01465-7

Improving interpretation of sea-level projections through a machine-learning-based local explanation approach

Author(s): Rohmer, J., Thieblemont, R., Le Cozannet, G., Goelzer, H. and Durand, G.
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-4637-2022

Distinct Central and Eastern Pacific El Niño Influence on Antarctic Surface Mass Balance

Author(s): J. M. A. Macha, A. N. Mackintosh, F. S. McCormack, B. J. Henley, H. V. McGregor, C. T. van Dalum, A. Purich
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2024gl109423

Long-term surface energy balance of the western Greenland ice sheet and the role of large-scale circulation variability

Author(s): Baojuan Huai; Michiel R. van den Broeke; Carleen Reijmer
Published in: The Cryosphere, Vol 14, Pp 4181-4199 (2020), Issue 2, 2020, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-138

The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-level (FACTS) v1.0: a platform for characterizing parametric and structural uncertainty in future global, relative, and extreme sea-level change

Author(s): Kopp, R. E., Garner, G. G., Hermans, T. H. J., Jha, S., Kumar, P., Reedy, A., Slangen, A. B. A., Turilli, M., Edwards, T. L., Gregory, J. M., Koubbe, G., Levermann, A., Merzky, A., Nowicki, S., Palmer, M. D., and Smith, C.
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, 2023, ISSN 1991-959X
Publisher: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-7461-2023

Anthropogenic and internal drivers of wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, during the 20th and 21st centuries

Author(s): Holland, P. et al.
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-5085-2022

Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty

Author(s): Hélène Seroussi, Vincent Verjans, Sophie Nowicki, Antony J. Payne, Heiko Goelzer, William H. Lipscomb, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Cécile Agosta, Torsten Albrecht, Xylar Asay-Davis, Alice Barthel, Reinhard Calov, Richard Cullather, Christophe Dumas, Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi, Rupert Gladstone, Nicholas R. Golledge, Jonathan M. Gregory, Ralf Greve, Tore Hattermann, Matthew J. Hoffman, Angelika Humbert, Phil
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 17, 2023, Page(s) 5197-5217, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023

An assessment of basal melt parameterisations for Antarctic ice shelves

Author(s): Clara Burgard; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Ronja Reese; Adrian Jenkins; Pierre Mathiot
Published in: The Crysophere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-4931-2022

Significant additional Antarctic warming in atmospheric bias-corrected ARPEGE projections with respect to control run

Author(s): Julien Beaumet; Michel Déqué; Gerhard Krinner; Cécile Agosta; Antoinette Alias; Vincent Favier
Published in: The Cryosphere, Vol 15, Pp 3615-3635 (2021), Issue 1, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-3615-2021

Southern Ocean warming and Antarctic ice shelf melting in conditions plausible by late 23rd century in a high-end scenario

Author(s): Pierre Mathiot, Nicolas C. Jourdain
Published in: Ocean Science, Issue 19, 2023, Page(s) 1595-1615, ISSN 1812-0792
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/os-19-1595-2023

North Atlantic Cooling is Slowing Down Mass Loss of Icelandic Glaciers

Author(s): Brice Noël, Guðfinna Aðalgeirsdóttir, Finnur Pálsson, Bert Wouters, Stef Lhermitte, Jan M. Haacker, Michiel R. van den Broeke
Published in: Geographical Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl095697

Ice Shelf Basal Melt Rates in the Amundsen Sea at the End of the 21st Century

Author(s): Jourdain, N.C., Mathiot, P., Burgard, C., Caillet, J. and Kittle, C.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl100629

Where the White Continent Is Blue: Deep Learning Locates Bare Ice in Antarctica

Author(s): Veronica Tollenaar, Harry Zekollari, Frank Pattyn, Marc Rußwurm, Benjamin Kellenberger, Stef Lhermitte, Maaike Izeboud, Devis Tuia
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl106285

Emulating Present and Future Simulations of Melt Rates at the Base of Antarctic Ice Shelves With Neural Networks

Author(s): C. Burgard, N. C. Jourdain, P. Mathiot, R. S. Smith, R. Schäfer, J. Caillet, T. S. Finn, J. E. Johnson
Published in: Journal of Advance in Modeling Earth Systems, 2023, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ms003829

Co-creating a coastal climate service to prioritise investments in erosion prevention and sea-level rise adaptation in the Maldives

Author(s): Hinkel, J., Garcin, M., Gussmann, G., et al.
Published in: Climate services, 2023, ISSN 2405-8807
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100401

A global analysis of subsidence, relative sea-level change and coastal flood exposure

Author(s): Daniel Lincke; Robert J. Nicholls; Jochen Hinkel; Sally Brown; Athanasios T. Vafeidis; Benoit Meyssignac; Susan Hanson; Jan Merkens; Jiayi Fang
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Vol 11, Pp 338-342 (2021), Issue 1, 2021, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-00993-z

Observed and Parameterized Roughness Lengths for Momentum and Heat Over Rough Ice Surfaces

Author(s): van Tiggelen, M., Smeets, P.C.J.P., Reijmer, C.H.,et al.
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmosphere, 2023, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd036970

Historically-based run-time bias corrections substantially improve model projections of 100 years of future climate change

Author(s): Gerhard Krinner, Viatcheslav Kharin, Romain Roehrig, John Scinocca, Francis Codron
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 1/1, 2020, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-020-00035-0

Contrasting Response of West and East Antarctic Ice Sheets to Glacial Isostatic Adjustment

Author(s): Violaine Coulon, Kevin Bulthuis, Pippa L. Whitehouse, Sainan Sun, Konstanze Haubner, Lars Zipf, Frank Pattyn
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, Vol 126, 2021, ISSN 2169-9003
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020jf006003

Decision-support for land reclamation location and design choices in the Maldives

Author(s): van der Pol, T., Gussmann, G., Hinkel, J. et al.
Published in: Climate risk management, 2023, ISSN 2212-0963
Publisher: Elsevier Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100514

Chronic flooding events due to sea-level rise in French Guiana

Author(s): Rémi Thiéblemont, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Maurizio D’Anna, Déborah Idier, Ali Belmadani, Aimée B. A. Slangen & François Longueville
Published in: Scientific reports, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-48807-w

Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users

Author(s): Kopp, R.E., et al.
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01691-8

A Daily 1-km Resolution Greenland Rainfall Climatology (1958–2020) From Statistical Downscaling of a Regional Atmospheric Climate Model

Author(s): Huai, B., van den Broeke, M.R., Reijmer, C.H. and Noël. B.
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmosphere, 2022, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022jd036688

The macroeconomic effects of adapting to high-end sea-level rise via protection and migration

Author(s): Gabriel Bachner, Daniel Lincke, Jochen Hinkel
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 13, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-33043-z

Brief communication: CMIP6 does not suggest any atmospheric blocking increase in summer over Greenland by 2100

Author(s): Alison Delhasse, Edward Hanna, Christoph Kittel, Xavier Fettweis
Published in: International Journal of Climatology, Vol 41, 2020, ISSN 0899-8418
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6977

Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models

Author(s): Tim H. J. Hermans, Julius J. M. Busecke, Thomas Wahl, Víctor Malagón-Santos, Michael G. Tadesse, Robert A. Jane, Roderik S. W. van de Wal
Published in: Earth's Future, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef004188

Integrating new sea-level scenarios into coastal risk and adaptation assessments: An ongoing process

Author(s): Robert J. Nicholls, Susan E. Hanson, Jason A. Lowe, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Thomas Wahl, Jochen Hinkel, Antony J. Long
Published in: WIREs Climate Change, Vol 12, 2021, ISSN 1757-7780
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.706

Performance of MAR (v3.11) in simulating the drifting-snow climate and surface mass balance of Adélie Land, East Antarctica

Author(s): Charles Amory, Christoph Kittel, Louis Le Toumelin, Cécile Agosta, Alison Delhasse, Vincent Favier, Xavier Fettweis
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol 14, 2021, ISSN 1991-959X
Publisher: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-3487-2021

Coastal landfills and rising sea levels: a challenge for the 21st century

Author(s): Robert J. Nicholls, Richard P. Beaven, Anne Stringfellow, Daniel Monfort, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Thomas Wahl, Julia Gebert, Matthew Wadey, Arne Arns, Kate L. Spencer, Debra Reinhart, Timo Heimovaara, Víctor M. Santos, Alejandra R. Enríquez and Samantha Cope
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Sciences, 2021, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.710342

Projected West Antarctic Ocean Warming Caused by an Expansion of the Ross Gyre

Author(s): Gómez-Valdivia, F., Holland, P.R., Siahaan, A. et al.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl102978

Effects of extreme melt events on ice flow and sea level rise of the Greenland Ice Sheet

Author(s): Johanna Beckmann, Ricarda Winkelmann
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 17, 2023, Page(s) 3083-3099, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-3083-2023

Practitioner Needs to Adapt to Sea-Level Rise: Distilling Information from Global Workshops

Author(s): Hirschfeld, D. et al.
Published in: Social Science Research Network, 2023, ISSN 1556-5068
Publisher: Elsevier publishing group
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4442045

Contrasting current and future surface melt rates on the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica: Lessons from in situ observations and climate models

Author(s): van den Broeke, M.R., Kuipers Munneke, P. and Noël, B.
Published in: PLOS Climate, 2023, ISSN 2767-3200
Publisher: PLOS
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000203

Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review

Author(s): Nico Wunderling, Anna S. von der Heydt, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stephen Barker, Robbin Bastiaansen, Victor Brovkin, Maura Brunetti, Victor Couplet, Thomas Kleinen, Caroline H. Lear, Johannes Lohmann, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Sacha Sinet, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Pallavi Anand, Jonathan Barichivich, Sebastian Bathiany, Mara Baudena, John T. Bruun, Cristiano M. Chiessi, Helen K. Coxall, David
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 15, 2024, Page(s) 41-74, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-41-2024

Short- and long-term variability of the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets

Author(s): Edward Hanna, Dániel Topál, Jason E. Box, Sammie Buzzard, Frazer D. W. Christie, Christine Hvidberg, Mathieu Morlighem, Laura De Santis, Alessandro Silvano, Florence Colleoni, Ingo Sasgen, Alison F. Banwell, Michiel R. van den Broeke, Robert DeConto, Jan De Rydt, Heiko Goelzer, Alexandra Gossart, G. Hilmar Gudmundsson, Katrin Lindbäck, Bertie Miles, Ruth Mottram, Frank Pattyn, Ronja Reese, Eric
Published in: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Issue 5, 2024, Page(s) 193-210, ISSN 2662-138X
Publisher: SpringerLink
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-023-00509-7

Future surface mass balance and surface melt in the Amundsen sector of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Author(s): Marion Donat-Magnin; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Christoph Kittel; Cécile Agosta; Charles Amory; Charles Amory; Hubert Gallée; Gerhard Krinner; Mondher Chekki
Published in: The Cryosphere, Vol 15, Pp 571-593 (2021), Issue 3, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-571-2021

Processes explaining increased ocean dynamic sea level in the North Sea in CMIP6

Author(s): Franka Jesse, Dewi Le Bars and Sybren Drijfhout
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad33d4

Compensating errors in inversions for subglacial bed roughness: same steady state, different dynamic response

Author(s): Berends, C.J., van de Wal, R.S.W., van den Akker, T. and Lipscomb, W.H.
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2023, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-1585-2023

Sea-Level Rise: From Global Perspectives to Local Services

Author(s): Gaël Durand? Michiel R. van den Broeke, Goneri Le Cozannet, Tamsin L. Edwards, Paul R. Holland, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Ben Marzeion, Ruth Mottram, Robert J. Nicholls, Frank Pattyn, Frank Paul, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Ricarda Winkelmann, Clara Burgard, Caroline J. van Calcar,Jean-Baptiste Barré, Amélie Bataille and Anne Chapuis
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, 2022, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.709595

The effect of the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle on steric sea level changes

Author(s): Sterre V. Bult; Dewi Le Bars; Ivan D. Haigh; Theo Gerkema
Published in: Crossref, Issue 9, 2024, ISSN 1944-8007
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.22541/essoar.169602462.22006692/v1

Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan

Author(s): Maria A. Martin, Olga Alcaraz Sendra, Ana Bastos, Nico Bauer, Christoph Bertram, Thorsten Blenckner, Kathryn Bowen, Paulo M. Brando, Tanya Brodie Rudolph, Milena Büchs, Mercedes Bustamante, Deliang Chen, Helen Cleugh, Purnamita Dasgupta, Fatima Denton, Jonathan F. Donges, Felix Kwabena Donkor, Hongbo Duan, Carlos M. Duarte, Kristie L. Ebi, Clea M. Edwards, Anja Engel, Eleanor Fisher, Sabine Fuss,
Published in: Global Sustainability, Issue 4, 2023, ISSN 2059-4798
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2021.25

What is the Surface Mass Balance of Antarctica? An Intercomparison of Regional Climate Model Estimates

Author(s): Ruth Mottram, Nicolaj Hansen, Christoph Kittel, J. Melchior van Wessem, Cécile Agosta, Charles Amory, Fredrik Boberg, Willem Jan van de Berg, Xavier Fettweis, Alexandra Gossart, Nicole P. M. van Lipzig, Erik van Meijgaard, Andrew Orr, Tony Phillips, Stuart Webster, Sebastian B. Simonsen, Niels Souverijns
Published in: The Cryosphere, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-3751-2021

Future growth and decline of high mountain Asia's ice-dammed lakes and associated risk

Author(s): Loris Compagno; Matthias Huss; Harry Zekollari; Evan S. Miles; Daniel Farinotti
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 46, 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00520-8

Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets

Author(s): Antony J. Payne, Sophie Nowicki, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Cécile Agosta, Patrick Alexander, Torsten Albrecht, Xylar Asay-Davis, Andy Aschwanden, Alice Barthel, Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Reinhard Calov, Christopher Chambers, Youngmin Choi, Richard Cullather, Joshua Cuzzone, Christophe Dumas, Tamsin L. Edwards, Denis Felikson, Xavier Fettweis, Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi, Heiko Goelzer, Rupert Gladstone, Nichola
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 48, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091741

Spatially heterogeneous effect of climate warming on the Arctic land ice

Author(s): Damien Maure, Christoph Kittel, Clara Lambin, Alison Delhasse, Xavier Fettweis
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 17, 2023, Page(s) 4645-4659, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-4645-2023

Uncertain Pathways to a Future Safe Climate

Author(s): S. C. Sherwood, G. Hegerl, P. Braconnot, P. Friedlingstein, H. Goelzer, N. R. P. Harris, E. Holland, H. Kim, M. Mitchell, T. Naish, P. Nobre, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, K. A. Reed, J. Renwick, N. P. M. van der Wel
Published in: Earth's Future, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef004297

What do we mean, ’tipping cascade’?

Author(s): Ann Kristin Klose; Nico Wunderling; Ricarda Winkelmann; Jonathan F. Donges
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 3, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3955

Modelling feedbacks between the Northern Hemisphere ice sheets and climate during the last glacial cycle

Author(s): Scherrenberg, Meike D. W.; Berends, Constantijn J.; Stap, Lennert B.; Wal, Roderik S. W.
Published in: Climate of the Past, Issue 36, 2023, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/cp-19-399-2023

Benefits of subsidence control for coastal flooding in China

Author(s): Fang, J., Nicholls,R.J., Brown, S., Lincke, D., Hinkel, J. et al.
Published in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-34525-w

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