PROjecTing sEa-level rise : from iCe sheets to local implicaTions

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Risultati finali

Teaser Video

Second video following end of Fast-Track

CAMIP: Calving Model Intercomparison Project

Project website and social media implementation

Policy briefs based on Fast-Track outcomes

Validated by the steering committee

Pubblicazioni

Modelling supraglacial debris-cover evolution from the single glacier to the regional scale: an application to High Mountain Asia

Autori: Loris Compagno, Matthias Huss, Evan Stewart Miles, Michael James McCarthy, Harry Zekollari, Amaury Dehecq, Francesca Pellicciotti, and Daniel Farinotti
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1697-2022

Observing the Near-Surface Properties of the Greenland Ice Sheet

Autori: Scanlan, K.M., Rutishauser, A. and Simonsen, B.S.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1944-8007
Editore: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl101702

Spatial Variability of the Snowmelt-Albedo Feedback in Antarctica

Autori: C. L. Jakobs, C. H. Reijmer, M. R. van den Broeke, W. J. van de Berg, J. M. van Wessem
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, Vol 126, 2021, ISSN 2169-9011
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020jf005696

The evolving landscape of sea-level rise science from 1990 to 2021

Autori: Khojasteh, D., Haghani, M., Nicholls, R.J. et al.
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-00920-4

Climate learning scenarios for adaptation decision analyses: Review and classification

Autori: Völz, V. and Hinkel, J.
Pubblicato in: Climate Risk Management, 2023, ISSN 2212-0963
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100512

Subglacial hydrology modulates basal sliding response of the Antarctic ice sheet to climate forcing

Autori: Kazmierczak, Elise; Sun, Sainan; Coulon, Violaine; Pattyn, Frank
Pubblicato in: The Crysophere, Numero 47, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-4537-2022

The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple

Autori: Julius Garbe, Maria Zeitz, Uta Krebs-Kanzow, Ricarda Winkelmann
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 17, 2023, Pagina/e 4571-4599, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-4571-2023

The timing of decreasing coastal flood protection due to sea-level rise

Autori: Tim H. J. Hermans; Víctor Malagón-Santos; Caroline A. Katsman; Robert A. Jane; D. J. Rasmussen; Marjolijn Haasnoot; Gregory G. Garner; Robert E. Kopp; Michael Oppenheimer; Aimée B. A. Slangen
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 9, 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01616-5

Amundsen Sea Embayment ice-sheet mass-loss predictions to 2050 calibrated using observations of velocity and elevation change

Autori: Bevan, S., Cornford, S., Gilbert, L. et al.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Glaciology, 2023, ISSN 0022-1430
Editore: International Glaciological Society
DOI: 10.1017/jog.2023.57

Understanding the Drivers of Coastal Flood Exposure and Risk From 1860 to 2100

Autori: Lincke, D., Hinkel, J., Mengel, M., Nicholls, RJ.
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, 2022, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2021ef002584

Improving statistical projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change using pattern recognition techniques

Autori: Víctor Malagón-Santos; Aimée B. A. Slangen; Tim H. J. Hermans; Sönke Dangendorf; Marta Marcos; Nicola Maher
Pubblicato in: Ocean Sciences, Numero 41, 2023, ISSN 1812-0784
Editore: Copernicus Gesellschaften
DOI: 10.5194/os-19-499-2023

Response of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet to past and future climate change

Autori: Stokes, C.R., Abram, N.J., Bentley, M.J., Edwards, T.L., et al.
Pubblicato in: Nature, 2022, ISSN 1476-4687
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-04946-0

Strong impact of sub-shelf melt parameterisation on ice-sheet retreat in idealised and realistic Antarctic topography

Autori: Berends, C., Stap, L., & Van de Wal, R.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Glaciology, 2023, ISSN 0022-1430
Editore: International Glaciological Society
DOI: 10.1017/jog.2023.33

GrSMBMIP: intercomparison of the modelled 1980-2012 surface mass balance over the Greenland Ice Sheet

Autori: X. Fettweis; S. Hofer; S. Hofer; U. Krebs-Kanzow; C. Amory; T. Aoki; T. Aoki; C. J. Berends; A. Born; A. Born; J. E. Box; A. Delhasse; K. Fujita; P. Gierz; H. Goelzer; H. Goelzer; H. Goelzer; E. Hanna; A. Hashimoto; P. Huybrechts; M.-L. Kapsch; M. D. King; C. Kittel; C. Lang; P. L. Langen; P. L. Langen; J. T. M. Lenaerts; G. E. Liston; G. Lohmann; S. H. Mernild; S. H. Mernild; S. H. Mernild; S. H.
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, 2020, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3935-2020

Brief communication: Impact of common ice mask in surface mass balance estimates over the Antarctic ice sheet

Autori: Nicolaj Hansen, Sebastian Bjerregaard Simonsen, Fredrik Boberg, et al.
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0416
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-2021-317

How Does the Southern Annular Mode Control Surface Melt in East Antarctica?

Autori: Dominic Saunderson, Andrew N. Mackintosh, Felicity S. McCormack, Richard S. Jones, Christiaan T. van Dalum
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105475

Improving surface melt estimation over the Antarctic Ice Sheet using deep learning: a proof of concept over the Larsen Ice Shelf

Autori: Zhongyang, H., Kuipers Munneke, P., Lhermitte, S., Izeboud, M., Van den Broeke, M.
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-5639-2021

Ice-Dynamical Glacier Evolution Modeling—A Review

Autori: Zekollari, Harry; Huss, Matthias; Farinotti, Daniel; Lhermitte, Stef
Pubblicato in: Reviews of Geophysics, 2022, ISSN 8755-1209
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000549719

Coastal Migration due to 21st Century Sea‐Level Rise

Autori: Daniel Lincke, Jochen Hinkel
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 9, 2023, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001965

Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

Autori: Ann Kristin Klose, Jonathan F. Donges, Ulrike Feudel, Ricarda Winkelmann
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 15, 2024, Pagina/e 635-652, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-635-2024

Rethinking Sea‐Level Projections Using Families and Timing Differences

Autori: A. B. A. Slangen; M. Haasnoot; G. Winter
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 49, 2022, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2021ef002576

Adaptation to sea level rise in France

Autori: Le Cozannet, G., Cazenave, A.
Pubblicato in: Rendiconti Lincei, 2024, ISSN 1720-0776
Editore: Rendicoti Lincei
DOI: 10.1007/s12210-024-01225-0

Increased warm water intrusions could cause mass loss in East Antarctica during the next 200 years

Autori: Jordan, J., Gudmundsson, G.H., Jenkins, A., Stokes, C.R. et al.
Pubblicato in: Nature communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37553-2

Simulation of a fully coupled 3D glacial isostatic adjustment – ice sheet model for the Antarctic ice sheet over a glacial cycle.

Autori: van Calcar, C.J., van de Wal, R.S.W., Blank, B., de Boer, B. and van der Wal, W.
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus Publishing Group
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5473-2023

Downscaled surface mass balance in Antarctica: impacts of subsurface processes and large-scale atmospheric circulation

Autori: Nicolaj Hansen, Peter L. Langena, Fredrik Boberg, Rene Forsberg, Sebastian B. Simonsen, Peter Thejll, Baptiste Vandecrux, and Ruth Mottram
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-2021-69

Sensitivity of Antarctic surface climate to a new spectral snow albedo and radiative transfer scheme in RACMO2.3p3

Autori: Christiaan T. van Dalum, Willem Jan van de Berg, and Michiel R. van den Broeke
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0416
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1071-2022

A High-End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners

Autori: van de Wal, R. S. W., Nicholls, R. J.,Behar, D. et al.
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, 2022, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022ef002751

Adaptation to multi-meter sea-level rise should start now

Autori: Le Cozannet, G., Nicholls, R.J., Durand, G., Slangen, A., Lincke, D. and Chapuis, A.
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acef3f

An exploratory modelling study of perennial firn aquifers in the Antarctic Peninsula for the period 1979-2016

Autori: J. Melchior van Wessem; Christian Steger; Nander Wever; Michiel R. van den Broeke
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Vol 15, Pp 695-714 (2021), Numero 2, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-695-2021

The acceleration of sea-level rise along the coast of the Netherlands started in the 1960s

Autori: Keizer, I., Le Bars, D., de Valk, C., Jüling, A., van de Wal, R., and Drijfhout, S.
Pubblicato in: Ocean Science, 2023, ISSN 1812-0792
Editore: Copernicus Publishing Group
DOI: 10.5194/os-19-991-2023

Climatic Drivers of Ice Slabs and Firn Aquifers in Greenland

Autori: M. Brils, P. Kuipers Munneke, N. Jullien, A. J. Tedstone, H. Machguth, W. J. van de Berg, M. R. van den Broeke
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1944-8007
Editore: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl106613

Multi-centennial projections of global mean sea-level rise and their application

Autori: Fiona E Turner; Victor Malagón-Santos; Tamsin Edwards; Aimée Slangen; Robert James Nicholls; Gonéri Le Cozannet; James O'Neill; Mira Adhikari
Pubblicato in: Crossref, Numero 3, 2023, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: Earth's Future
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef003550

Peak refreezing in the Greenland rn layer under future warming scenarios

Autori: Noël, B., Lenaerts, J.T. M., Lipscomb, W.H., Thayer-Calder, K., and van den Broeke, M.R. Peak
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-34524-x

Antarctic contribution to future sea level from ice shelf basal melt as constrained by ice discharge observations

Autori: Eveline C. van der Linden, Dewi Le Bars, Erwin Lambert, Sybren Drijfhout
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 17, 2023, Pagina/e 79-103, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-79-2023

Coupling MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional) with PISM (Parallel Ice Sheet Model) mitigates the positive melt–elevation feedback

Autori: Alison Delhasse, Johanna Beckmann, Christoph Kittel, Xavier Fettweis
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 18, 2024, Pagina/e 633-651, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-633-2024

Mapping Antarctic crevasses and their evolution with deep learning applied to satellite radar imagery

Autori: Trystan Surawy-Stepney, Anna E. Hogg, Stephen L. Cornford, David C. Hogg
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 17, 2023, Pagina/e 4421-4445, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-4421-2023

Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points

Autori: Armstrong McKay, D.I. et al.
Pubblicato in: Science, 2022, ISSN 1095-9203
Editore: AAAS
DOI: 10.1126/science.abn7950

Assessment of methods for reconstructing Little Ice Age glacier surfaces on the examples of Novaya Zemlya and the Swiss Alps

Autori: Johannes Reinthaler, Frank Paul
Pubblicato in: Geomorphology, 2024, ISSN 0169-555X
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2024.109321

Using a Web Map Service to map Little Ice Age glacier extents at regional scales

Autori: Reinthaler, J. and Paul, F.
Pubblicato in: Annals of Glaciology, 2023, ISSN 0260-3055
Editore: International Glaciological Society
DOI: 10.1017/aog.2023.39

Antarctic meteorites threatened by climate warming

Autori: Veronica Tollenaar; Harry Zekollari; Christoph Kittel; Daniel Farinotti; Stef Lhermitte; Vinciane Debaille; Steven Goderis; Philippe Claeys; Katherine Helen Joy; Frank Pattyn
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, 14 (4), Numero 16, 2024, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: Nature Climate Change
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-01954-y

Earth’s sinking surface

Autori: Robert J. Nicholls, Manoochehr Shirzaei
Pubblicato in: Science, Numero 384, 2024, Pagina/e 268-269, ISSN 0036-8075
Editore: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.ado9986

Revisiting temperature sensitivity: how does Antarctic precipitation change with temperature?

Autori: Lena Nicola, Dirk Notz, Ricarda Winkelmann
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 17, 2023, Pagina/e 2563-2583, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-2563-2023

Social science to accelerate coastal adaptation to sea-level rise

Autori: Philippenko X, Le Cozannet G.
Pubblicato in: Coastal Futures, 2023, ISSN 2754-7205
Editore: Cambridge Prisms
DOI: 10.1017/cft.2023.25

The evolution of 21st century sea-level projections from IPCC AR5 to AR6 and beyond

Autori: Slangen, A.B.A., Palmer, M.D., Camargo, C.M.L. et al.
Pubblicato in: Coastal Futures, 2022, ISSN 2754-7205
Editore: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/cft.2022.8

Discussion d'un scénario fictif extrême sur la Péninsule Antarctique : l'effet d'une fonte intense sur le bilan de masse en surface

Autori: Quentin GLAUDE, Thomas DETHINNE, Clara LAMBIN, Xavier FETTWEIS
Pubblicato in: Bulletin de la Société Géographique de Liège, 2024, ISSN 2507-0711
Editore: Liège University
DOI: 10.25518/0770-7576.7039

Variable temperature thresholds of melt pond formation on Antarctic ice shelves

Autori: van Wessem, J.M., van den Broeke, M.R., Wouters, B. and Lhermitte. S.
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1758-6798
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01577-1

Benchmarking the vertically integrated ice-sheet model IMAU-ICE (version 2.0)

Autori: Berends, Constantijn J.; Goelzer, Heiko; Reerink, Thomas J.; Stap, Lennert B.; Wal, Roderik S. W.
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 69, 2022, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-15-5667-2022

Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise

Autori: Tamsin L. Edwards, Sophie Nowicki, Ben Marzeion, Regine Hock, Heiko Goelzer, Hélène Seroussi, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Donald A. Slater, Fiona E. Turner, Christopher J. Smith, Christine M. McKenna, Erika Simon, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Jonathan M. Gregory, Eric Larour, William H. Lipscomb, Antony J. Payne, Andrew Shepherd, Cécile Agosta, Patrick Alexander, Torsten Albrecht, Brian Anderson, Xylar Asay-Davis
Pubblicato in: Nature, Vol 593, Pp 74-82 (2021), 2021, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y

Global survey shows planners use widely varying sea-level rise projections for coastal adaptation

Autori: Hirschfeld, D., Bell, R., Behar, D., Nicholls, R. et al.
Pubblicato in: Communications earth & environment, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-00703-x

Quantifying rainfall in Greenland: a combined observational and modelling approach

Autori: Huai, B., van den Broeke, M.R., Reijmer, C.H. and, Cappellen, J.
Pubblicato in: Journal of Applied, Meteorology and Climatology, 2021, Pagina/e 1171–1188, ISSN 1558-8424
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jamc-d-20-0284.1

Shear-margin melting causes stronger transient ice discharge than ice-stream melting in idealized simulations

Autori: Johannes Feldmann, Ronja Reese, Ricarda Winkelmann, Anders Levermann
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 16, 2022, Pagina/e 1927-1940, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1927-2022

Uncertainties in projected surface mass balance over the polar ice sheets from dynamically downscaled EC-Earth models

Autori: Boberg, F., Mottram, R., Hansen, N., Yang, S. and Langen, P.L.
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-17-2022

Net effect of ice-sheet–atmosphere interactions reduces simulated transient Miocene Antarctic ice-sheet variability

Autori: Stap, Lennert B.; Berends, Constantijn J.; Scherrenberg, Meike D. W.; Wal, Roderik S. W.; Gasson, Edward G. W.
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, 2022, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1315-2022

Coupled ice–ocean interactions during future retreat of West Antarctic ice streams in the Amundsen Sea sector

Autori: David T. Bett, Alexander T. Bradley, C. Rosie Williams, Paul R. Holland, Robert J. Arthern, and Daniel N. Goldberg
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, 2024, ISSN 1994-0416
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-2653-2024

Greater Greenland Ice Sheet contribution to global sea level rise in CMIP6.

Autori: Stefan Hofer; Stefan Hofer; Charlotte Lang; Charles Amory; Christoph Kittel; Alison Delhasse; A. J. Tedstone; Xavier Fettweis
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 5, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20011-8

Miocene Antarctic Ice Sheet area adapts significantly faster than volume to CO2-induced climate change

Autori: Stap, L. B., Berends, C. J., and van de Wal, R. S. W.
Pubblicato in: Climate of the Past, 2024, ISSN 1814-9324
Editore: European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI: 10.5194/cp-20-257-2024

Sea-level rise induced change in exposure of low-lying coastal land: implications for coastal conservation strategies

Autori: Thiéblemont, Rémi; Le Cozannet, Gonéri; Rohmer, Jérémy; Privat, Adrien; Guidez, Romain; Negulescu, Caterina; Philippenko, Xénia; Luijendijk, Arjen; Calkoen, Floris; Nicholls, Robert, J
Pubblicato in: "Anthropocene Coasts, 2024, 7 (1), pp.8. ⟨10.1007/s44218-024-00041-1⟩", Numero 32, 2024, ISSN 2561-4150
Editore: Springer Link
DOI: 10.1007/s44218-024-00041-1

Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically calibrated ice-sheet model

Autori: Violaine Coulon, Ann Kristin Klose, Christoph Kittel, Tamsin Edwards, Fiona Turner, Ricarda Winkelmann, Frank Pattyn
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 18, 2024, Pagina/e 653-681, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-18-653-2024

Committed Ice Loss in the European Alps Until 2050 Using a Deep‐Learning‐Aided 3D Ice‐Flow Model With Data Assimilation

Autori: Samuel J. Cook, Guillaume Jouvet, Romain Millan, Antoine Rabatel, Harry Zekollari, Inés Dussaillant
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 50, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105029

River Deltas and Sea-Level Rise

Autori: Nienhuis, J.H., Kim, W., Milne, G.A. et al.
Pubblicato in: Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 2022, ISSN 0084-6597
Editore: Annual Reviews, Inc.
DOI: 10.1146/annurev-earth-031621-093732

A framework for estimating the anthropogenic part of Antarctica’s sea level contribution in a synthetic setting

Autori: Alexander T. Bradley, David T. Bett, Paul R. Holland, C. Rosie Williams, Robert J. Arthern & Jan De Rydt
Pubblicato in: Communications earth & environment, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Communications earth and environment
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01287-w

Greenland and Canadian Arctic ice temperature profiles database

Autori: Anja Løkkegaard, Kenneth D. Mankoff, Christian Zdanowicz, Gary D. Clow, Martin P. Lüthi, Samuel H. Doyle, Henrik H. Thomsen, David Fisher, Joel Harper, Andy Aschwanden, Bo M. Vinther, Dorthe Dahl-Jensen, Harry Zekollari, Toby Meierbachtol, Ian McDowell, Neil Humphrey, Anne Solgaard, Nanna B. Karlsson, Shfaqat A. Khan, Benjamin Hills, Robert Law, Bryn Hubbard, Poul Christoffersen, Mylène Jacquem
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 17, 2023, Pagina/e 3829-3845, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-3829-2023

The diurnal Energy Balance Model (dEBM): a convenient surface mass balance solution for ice sheets in Earth system modeling

Autori: Uta Krebs-Kanzow, Paul Gierz, Christian B. Rodehacke, Shan Xu, Hu Yang, and Gerrit Lohmann
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Vol 15, Pp 2295-3313 (2021), 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-2295-2021

Editorial: Climate Services for Adaptation to Sea-Level Rise

Autori: Le Cozannet, G., Nicholls, R.J., Van de Wal, R., Sparrow, M.D., Li, J. and Billy, J.
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Marine Sciences, 2022, ISSN 2296-7745
Editore: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2022.943079

Uncertainty and Bias in Global to Regional Scale Assessments of Current and Future Coastal Flood Risk

Autori: J. Hinkel, L. Feyen, M. Hemer, G. Le Cozannet, D. Lincke, M. Marcos, L. Mentaschi, J. L. Merkens, H. de Moel, S. Muis, R. J. Nicholls, A. T. Vafeidis, R. S. W. van de Wal, M. I. Vousdoukas, T. Wahl, P. J. Ward, C. Wolff
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 9, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001882

Diverging future surface mass balance between the Antarctic ice shelves and grounded ice sheet

Autori: Christoph Kittel; Charles Amory; Charles Amory; Cécile Agosta; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Stefan Hofer; Alison Delhasse; Sébastien Doutreloup; Pierre-Vincent Huot; Charlotte Lang; Charlotte Lang; Thierry Fichefet; Xavier Fettweis
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Vol. 15, no.3, p. 1215-1236 (2021), Numero 2, 2021, ISSN 1994-0416
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-291

A 21st Century Warming Threshold for Sustained Greenland Ice Sheet Mass Loss

Autori: B. Noël, L. van Kampenhout, J. T. M. Lenaerts, W. J. van de Berg, M. R. van den Broeke
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 48, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl090471

Sea Level Rise Learning Scenarios for Adaptive Decision-Making Based on IPCC AR6

Autori: Völz, V. and Hinkel, J.
Pubblicato in: Earth’s Future, 2023, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef003662

Higher Antarctic ice sheet accumulation and surface melt rates revealed at 2 km resolution

Autori: Brice Noël, J. Melchior van Wessem, Bert Wouters, Luke Trusel, Stef Lhermitte & Michiel R. van den Broeke
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-43584-6

Global climate services: a typology of global decisions influenced by climate risk

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Improving interpretation of sea-level projections through a machine-learning-based local explanation approach

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The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-level (FACTS) v1.0: a platform for characterizing parametric and structural uncertainty in future global, relative, and extreme sea-level change

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Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty

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An assessment of basal melt parameterisations for Antarctic ice shelves

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Southern Ocean warming and Antarctic ice shelf melting in conditions plausible by late 23rd century in a high-end scenario

Autori: Pierre Mathiot, Nicolas C. Jourdain
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North Atlantic Cooling is Slowing Down Mass Loss of Icelandic Glaciers

Autori: Brice Noël, Guðfinna Aðalgeirsdóttir, Finnur Pálsson, Bert Wouters, Stef Lhermitte, Jan M. Haacker, Michiel R. van den Broeke
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Ice Shelf Basal Melt Rates in the Amundsen Sea at the End of the 21st Century

Autori: Jourdain, N.C., Mathiot, P., Burgard, C., Caillet, J. and Kittle, C.
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Where the White Continent Is Blue: Deep Learning Locates Bare Ice in Antarctica

Autori: Veronica Tollenaar, Harry Zekollari, Frank Pattyn, Marc Rußwurm, Benjamin Kellenberger, Stef Lhermitte, Maaike Izeboud, Devis Tuia
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Emulating Present and Future Simulations of Melt Rates at the Base of Antarctic Ice Shelves With Neural Networks

Autori: C. Burgard, N. C. Jourdain, P. Mathiot, R. S. Smith, R. Schäfer, J. Caillet, T. S. Finn, J. E. Johnson
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Co-creating a coastal climate service to prioritise investments in erosion prevention and sea-level rise adaptation in the Maldives

Autori: Hinkel, J., Garcin, M., Gussmann, G., et al.
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A global analysis of subsidence, relative sea-level change and coastal flood exposure

Autori: Daniel Lincke; Robert J. Nicholls; Jochen Hinkel; Sally Brown; Athanasios T. Vafeidis; Benoit Meyssignac; Susan Hanson; Jan Merkens; Jiayi Fang
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Observed and Parameterized Roughness Lengths for Momentum and Heat Over Rough Ice Surfaces

Autori: van Tiggelen, M., Smeets, P.C.J.P., Reijmer, C.H.,et al.
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Historically-based run-time bias corrections substantially improve model projections of 100 years of future climate change

Autori: Gerhard Krinner, Viatcheslav Kharin, Romain Roehrig, John Scinocca, Francis Codron
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Contrasting Response of West and East Antarctic Ice Sheets to Glacial Isostatic Adjustment

Autori: Violaine Coulon, Kevin Bulthuis, Pippa L. Whitehouse, Sainan Sun, Konstanze Haubner, Lars Zipf, Frank Pattyn
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, Vol 126, 2021, ISSN 2169-9003
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Decision-support for land reclamation location and design choices in the Maldives

Autori: van der Pol, T., Gussmann, G., Hinkel, J. et al.
Pubblicato in: Climate risk management, 2023, ISSN 2212-0963
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Chronic flooding events due to sea-level rise in French Guiana

Autori: Rémi Thiéblemont, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Maurizio D’Anna, Déborah Idier, Ali Belmadani, Aimée B. A. Slangen & François Longueville
Pubblicato in: Scientific reports, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
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Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users

Autori: Kopp, R.E., et al.
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Abrupt increase in Greenland melt enhanced by atmospheric wave changes

Autori: Rune Grand Graversen, Tuomas Heiskanen, Richard Bintanja, Heiko Goelzer
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2024, ISSN 0930-7575
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A Daily 1-km Resolution Greenland Rainfall Climatology (1958–2020) From Statistical Downscaling of a Regional Atmospheric Climate Model

Autori: Huai, B., van den Broeke, M.R., Reijmer, C.H. and Noël. B.
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The macroeconomic effects of adapting to high-end sea-level rise via protection and migration

Autori: Gabriel Bachner, Daniel Lincke, Jochen Hinkel
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 13, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
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Brief communication: CMIP6 does not suggest any atmospheric blocking increase in summer over Greenland by 2100

Autori: Alison Delhasse, Edward Hanna, Christoph Kittel, Xavier Fettweis
Pubblicato in: International Journal of Climatology, Vol 41, 2020, ISSN 0899-8418
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Projecting Changes in the Drivers of Compound Flooding in Europe Using CMIP6 Models

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Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: AGU
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Integrating new sea-level scenarios into coastal risk and adaptation assessments: An ongoing process

Autori: Robert J. Nicholls, Susan E. Hanson, Jason A. Lowe, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Thomas Wahl, Jochen Hinkel, Antony J. Long
Pubblicato in: WIREs Climate Change, Vol 12, 2021, ISSN 1757-7780
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Performance of MAR (v3.11) in simulating the drifting-snow climate and surface mass balance of Adélie Land, East Antarctica

Autori: Charles Amory, Christoph Kittel, Louis Le Toumelin, Cécile Agosta, Alison Delhasse, Vincent Favier, Xavier Fettweis
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Coastal landfills and rising sea levels: a challenge for the 21st century

Autori: Robert J. Nicholls, Richard P. Beaven, Anne Stringfellow, Daniel Monfort, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Thomas Wahl, Julia Gebert, Matthew Wadey, Arne Arns, Kate L. Spencer, Debra Reinhart, Timo Heimovaara, Víctor M. Santos, Alejandra R. Enríquez and Samantha Cope
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Marine Sciences, 2021, ISSN 2296-7745
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Projected West Antarctic Ocean Warming Caused by an Expansion of the Ross Gyre

Autori: Gómez-Valdivia, F., Holland, P.R., Siahaan, A. et al.
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Effects of extreme melt events on ice flow and sea level rise of the Greenland Ice Sheet

Autori: Johanna Beckmann, Ricarda Winkelmann
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Practitioner Needs to Adapt to Sea-Level Rise: Distilling Information from Global Workshops

Autori: Hirschfeld, D. et al.
Pubblicato in: Social Science Research Network, 2023, ISSN 1556-5068
Editore: Elsevier publishing group
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Contrasting current and future surface melt rates on the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica: Lessons from in situ observations and climate models

Autori: van den Broeke, M.R., Kuipers Munneke, P. and Noël, B.
Pubblicato in: PLOS Climate, 2023, ISSN 2767-3200
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Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review

Autori: Nico Wunderling, Anna S. von der Heydt, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stephen Barker, Robbin Bastiaansen, Victor Brovkin, Maura Brunetti, Victor Couplet, Thomas Kleinen, Caroline H. Lear, Johannes Lohmann, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Sacha Sinet, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Pallavi Anand, Jonathan Barichivich, Sebastian Bathiany, Mara Baudena, John T. Bruun, Cristiano M. Chiessi, Helen K. Coxall, David
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Short- and long-term variability of the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets

Autori: Edward Hanna, Dániel Topál, Jason E. Box, Sammie Buzzard, Frazer D. W. Christie, Christine Hvidberg, Mathieu Morlighem, Laura De Santis, Alessandro Silvano, Florence Colleoni, Ingo Sasgen, Alison F. Banwell, Michiel R. van den Broeke, Robert DeConto, Jan De Rydt, Heiko Goelzer, Alexandra Gossart, G. Hilmar Gudmundsson, Katrin Lindbäck, Bertie Miles, Ruth Mottram, Frank Pattyn, Ronja Reese, Eric
Pubblicato in: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Numero 5, 2024, Pagina/e 193-210, ISSN 2662-138X
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Future surface mass balance and surface melt in the Amundsen sector of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Autori: Marion Donat-Magnin; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Christoph Kittel; Cécile Agosta; Charles Amory; Charles Amory; Hubert Gallée; Gerhard Krinner; Mondher Chekki
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Processes explaining increased ocean dynamic sea level in the North Sea in CMIP6

Autori: Franka Jesse, Dewi Le Bars and Sybren Drijfhout
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
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Compensating errors in inversions for subglacial bed roughness: same steady state, different dynamic response

Autori: Berends, C.J., van de Wal, R.S.W., van den Akker, T. and Lipscomb, W.H.
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, 2023, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: Copernicus Group
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Sea-Level Rise: From Global Perspectives to Local Services

Autori: Gaël Durand? Michiel R. van den Broeke, Goneri Le Cozannet, Tamsin L. Edwards, Paul R. Holland, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Ben Marzeion, Ruth Mottram, Robert J. Nicholls, Frank Pattyn, Frank Paul, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Ricarda Winkelmann, Clara Burgard, Caroline J. van Calcar,Jean-Baptiste Barré, Amélie Bataille and Anne Chapuis
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Marine Science, 2022, ISSN 2296-7745
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The effect of the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle on steric sea level changes

Autori: Sterre V. Bult; Dewi Le Bars; Ivan D. Haigh; Theo Gerkema
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Editore: AGU
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Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan

Autori: Maria A. Martin, Olga Alcaraz Sendra, Ana Bastos, Nico Bauer, Christoph Bertram, Thorsten Blenckner, Kathryn Bowen, Paulo M. Brando, Tanya Brodie Rudolph, Milena Büchs, Mercedes Bustamante, Deliang Chen, Helen Cleugh, Purnamita Dasgupta, Fatima Denton, Jonathan F. Donges, Felix Kwabena Donkor, Hongbo Duan, Carlos M. Duarte, Kristie L. Ebi, Clea M. Edwards, Anja Engel, Eleanor Fisher, Sabine Fuss,
Pubblicato in: Global Sustainability, Numero 4, 2023, ISSN 2059-4798
Editore: Cambridge University Press
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What is the Surface Mass Balance of Antarctica? An Intercomparison of Regional Climate Model Estimates

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Future growth and decline of high mountain Asia's ice-dammed lakes and associated risk

Autori: Loris Compagno; Matthias Huss; Harry Zekollari; Evan S. Miles; Daniel Farinotti
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero 46, 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
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Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets

Autori: Antony J. Payne, Sophie Nowicki, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Cécile Agosta, Patrick Alexander, Torsten Albrecht, Xylar Asay-Davis, Andy Aschwanden, Alice Barthel, Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Reinhard Calov, Christopher Chambers, Youngmin Choi, Richard Cullather, Joshua Cuzzone, Christophe Dumas, Tamsin L. Edwards, Denis Felikson, Xavier Fettweis, Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi, Heiko Goelzer, Rupert Gladstone, Nichola
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 48, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
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Spatially heterogeneous effect of climate warming on the Arctic land ice

Autori: Damien Maure, Christoph Kittel, Clara Lambin, Alison Delhasse, Xavier Fettweis
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Numero 17, 2023, Pagina/e 4645-4659, ISSN 1994-0424
Editore: EGU
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Uncertain Pathways to a Future Safe Climate

Autori: S. C. Sherwood, G. Hegerl, P. Braconnot, P. Friedlingstein, H. Goelzer, N. R. P. Harris, E. Holland, H. Kim, M. Mitchell, T. Naish, P. Nobre, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, K. A. Reed, J. Renwick, N. P. M. van der Wel
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef004297

What do we mean, ’tipping cascade’?

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Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 3, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3955

Modelling feedbacks between the Northern Hemisphere ice sheets and climate during the last glacial cycle

Autori: Scherrenberg, Meike D. W.; Berends, Constantijn J.; Stap, Lennert B.; Wal, Roderik S. W.
Pubblicato in: Climate of the Past, Numero 36, 2023, ISSN 1814-9332
Editore: Copernicus Group
DOI: 10.5194/cp-19-399-2023

Benefits of subsidence control for coastal flooding in China

Autori: Fang, J., Nicholls,R.J., Brown, S., Lincke, D., Hinkel, J. et al.
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-34525-w

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