Our common future ocean in the Earth system – quantifying coupled cycles of carbon, oxygen, and nutrients for determining and achieving safe operating spaces with respect to tipping points | COMFORT | Project | Results | H2020 | CORDIS

Risultati finali

The data management plan (DMP) will be conform with international standards as set by e.g. the Digital Curation Centre (DCC), address what data will be generated, what best practises will be followed and applied, how data will be curated, shared and accessed within the consortium, what measures are taking into account to protect Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) and when, how and where data will be long-term preserved and published.

Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of results (PEDR), including communication plan

To achieve maximizing societal and policy impact as requested in the topic call COMFORT will facilitate for the best possible exploitation of project results by the different stakeholders see DoA section 22a

Report on constraining the CMIP6 model ensemble and appropriate model weighting schemes.

Report related to task 62

Report on reversibility and irreversibility of tipping points

Report related to task 24

Report on assessment of the new processes through simulations with new parameterisations

Report related to task 13

Report on dynamics of processes that can trigger tipping points from sensitivity studies

Report related to task 21

Summarized report from clustering events with other projects

The deliverable relates to Task 97 Thematic clustering and exchange with related H2020 projects

Report on derived impact metrics and multiple mitigation targets

Report related to task 5.1

Report on past and future vulnerabilities of selected fish stocks (Arctic stocks, tuna stocks, Indian-coast stocks) to tipping points

Report related to task 33

Report on identified processes behind tipping points, abrupt changes and hot-spots derived

Report related to task 12

Report on initial analysis of critical thresholds and rates of changes in selected physical-chemical stressors (pH, O2, NPP, temperature, salinity, saturation state for calcite & aragonite) based on current knowledge
Report on identified tipping points, abrupt changes and hot-spots from observations and models, including an assessment of their probability

Report related to task 11

Report on past and future tipping points in ecosystem components (low- to mid-trophic carbon flow and end-to-end tipping points up to highest trophic level)

Report related to task 32

Report on ecological and evolutionary dimensions of tipping points

Report related to task 43

List of communication contact points at all partner institutions

The list will enable smooth communications between partners and enable a smooth decision making progress (see also DoA section 3.2).

Report on proximity and early warning indicators of tipping points

Report related to task 23

Report on available observational data and selected model data

Report related to tasks 82 and 83

Report on future risks of tipping points and the related impacts

Report related to task 44

Report on potential, risks and side effects of mitigation measures

Report related to task 52

Report of the interaction with the SRG during the Special session at kick-off and annual project meetings

Report related to tasks 71 and 74

Report on the role of extreme conditions and variability for crossing thresholds

Report related to task 22

Report on past and future tipping points in habitats (surface ocean, mesopelagic, and deep habitats)

Report related to task 31

Report on feasibility of investigated mitigation methods and scenario choices to meet multiple climate targets; this will inform WP7

Report related to task 53

Report on robustness of ESM simulations and uncertainties with respect to thresholds defined by the impact metrics developed in WP6.

Report related to task 62

Policy event

Policy event related to task 74

Run selected mitigation scenarios in ESMs, synthesis report on ESM projections with and without mitigation pathways

Report related to task 63

First version of project's data portal

Related to tasks 8.1, 8.3, and 8.4. Web-portal.

Web-based SRG interaction-platform

Related to task 7.2.

Dissemination materials

Dissemination materials related to task 72 and task 71

Vulnerability maps for diverse habitats and ecosystems

Vulnerability maps related to task 4.2.

Additional high frequency ESM output

Related to task 6.1 (mainly for selected 2-D fields of model output).

Methods identified for tipping point intercomparison complient for implementation into ESMValTool

Report and/or code to be forwarded also to ESMValTool community. Related to task 1.1.

Pubblicazioni

Hotspots and drivers of compound marine heatwaves and low net primary production extremes

Autori: Le Grix N., Zscheischler J., Rodgers K.B., Yamaguchi R., Frolicher T.L.
Pubblicato in: Biogeosciences, Numero 19(24), 2023, ISSN 1726-4170
Editore: European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI: 10.5194/bg-19-5807-2022

Ocean planning for species on the move provides substantial benefits and requires few trade-offs

Autori: M. L. Pinsky, L. A. Rogers, J. W. Morley, T. L. Frölicher
Pubblicato in: Science Advances, Numero 6/50, 2020, Pagina/e eabb8428, ISSN 2375-2548
Editore: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abb8428

Contrasting drivers and trends of ocean acidification in the subarctic Atlantic

Autori: Fiz F. Pérez, Jon Olafsson, Solveig R. Ólafsdóttir, Marcos Fontela, Taro Takahashi
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Numero 11/1, 2021, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-93324-3

Impact of Remineralization Profile Shape on the Air‐Sea Carbon Balance

Autori: Jonathan Maitland Lauderdale, B. B. Cael
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 48/7, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091746

Circulation timescales of Atlantic Water in the Arctic Ocean determined from anthropogenic radionuclides

Autori: Anne-Marie Wefing, Núria Casacuberta, Marcus Christl, Nicolas Gruber, John N. Smith
Pubblicato in: Ocean Science, Numero 17/1, 2021, Pagina/e 111-129, ISSN 1812-0792
Editore: Göttingen: Copernicus Publ.
DOI: 10.5194/os-17-111-2021

Possible future scenarios for two major Arctic Gateways connecting Subarctic and Arctic marine systems: I. Climate and physical–chemical oceanography

Autori: Drinkwater, Ken; Harada, Naomi; Nishino, Shigeto; Chierici, Melissa; Danielson, Seth L
Pubblicato in: ICES Journal od Marine Science, Numero 3, 2021, ISSN 1095-9289
Editore: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fsab182

Biogeochemical extremes and compound events in the ocean

Autori: Gruber, N., Boyd, P. W., Frölicher, T. L., & Vogt, M.
Pubblicato in: Nature, 2022, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03981-7

Compound high-temperature and low-chlorophyll extremes in the ocean over the satellite period

Autori: Natacha Le Grix, Jakob Zscheischler, Charlotte Laufkötter, Cecile S. Rousseaux, Thomas L. Frölicher
Pubblicato in: Biogeosciences, Numero 18/6, 2021, Pagina/e 2119-2137, ISSN 1726-4189
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-2119-2021

Sharing the Burdens of Climate Mitigation and Adaptation: Incorporating Fairness Perspectives into Policy Optimization Models

Autori: Żebrowski, P.; Dieckmann, U.; Brännström, Å.; Franklin, O.; Rovenskaya, E.
Pubblicato in: Sustainability, Numero 1, 2022, ISSN 2071-1050
Editore: MDPI Open Access Publishing
DOI: 10.3390/su14073737

Improved Arctic Sea Ice Freeboard Retrieval From Satellite Altimetry Using Optimized Sea Surface Decorrelation Scales

Autori: Jack C. Landy, Jerome Bouffard, Chris Wilson, Stefanie Rynders, Yevgeny Aksenov, Michel Tsamados
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 2021, ISSN 2169-9275
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021jc017466

Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections

Autori: Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Torres, Laurent Bopp, Olivier Aumont, Matthew Chamberlain, James R. Christian, John P. Dunne, Marion Gehlen, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G. John, Andrew Lenton, Hongmei Li, Nicole S. Lovenduski, James C. Orr, Julien Palmieri, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Charles A. Stock, Alessandro Tagliabue, Yohei Takano, Jerry Tjiputra, Katsuya Toyama, Hiroyu
Pubblicato in: Biogeosciences, Numero 17/13, 2020, Pagina/e 3439-3470, ISSN 1726-4189
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-3439-2020

Log-skew-normality of ocean turbulence

Autori: B. B. Cael; Ali Mashayek
Pubblicato in: Physical Review Letters, 2021, ISSN 1079-7114
Editore: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.126.224502

Sparse observations induce large biases in estimates of the global ocean CO 2 sink: An ocean model subsampling experiment

Autori: Hauck J., Nissen C., Landschutzer P., Rodenbeck C., Bushinsky S., Olsen A.
Pubblicato in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Numero 381(2249), 20220063, 2023, ISSN 1364-503X
Editore: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2022.0063

Information content of absorption spectra and implications for ocean color inversion

Autori: B. B. Cael, Alison Chase, Emmanuel Boss
Pubblicato in: Applied Optics, Numero 59/13, 2020, Pagina/e 3971, ISSN 1559-128X
Editore: OSA Publishing
DOI: 10.1364/AO.389189

Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6

Autori: Roland Séférian, Sarah Berthet, Andrew Yool, Julien Palmiéri, Laurent Bopp, Alessandro Tagliabue, Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Aumont, James Christian, John Dunne, Marion Gehlen, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G. John, Hongmei Li, Matthew C. Long, Jessica Y. Luo, Hideyuki Nakano, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Charles Stock, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Yohei Takano, Jerry Tjiputra, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Mic
Pubblicato in: Current Climate Change Reports, Numero 6/3, 2020, Pagina/e 95-119, ISSN 2198-6061
Editore: Springer Nature Switzerland AG
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0

Clarifying the Relation between AMOC and Thermal Wind: Application to the Centennial Variability in a Coupled Climate Model

Autori: Robin Waldman, Joël Hirschi, Aurore Voldoire, Christophe Cassou, Rym Msadek
Pubblicato in: Journal of Physical Oceanography, Numero 51/2, 2021, Pagina/e 343-364, ISSN 0022-3670
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jpo-d-19-0284.1

Restructuring of plankton genomic biogeography in the surface ocean under climate change

Autori: Paul Frémont, Marion Gehlen, Mathieu Vrac, Jade Leconte, Tom O. Delmont, Patrick Wincker, Daniele Iudicone & Olivier Jaillon
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, 2022, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01314-8

Constraining Global Marine Iron Sources and Ligand‐Mediated Scavenging Fluxes With GEOTRACES Dissolved Iron Measurements in an Ocean Biogeochemical Model

Autori: Christopher J. Somes, Andrew W. Dale, Klaus Wallmann, Florian Scholz, Wanxuan Yao, Andreas Oschlies, Juan Muglia, Andreas Schmittner, Eric P. Achterberg
Pubblicato in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Numero 35/8, 2021, ISSN 0886-6236
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gb006948

Ocean Biogeochemical Signatures of the North Pacific Blob

Autori: Samuel C. Mogen, Nicole S. Lovenduski, Allysa R. Dallmann, Luke Gregor, Adrienne J. Sutton, Steven J. Bograd, Nathali Cordero Quiros, Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Elliott L. Hazen, Michael G. Jacox, Mercedes Pozo Buil, Stephen Yeager
Pubblicato in: Geophysical research Letters, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl096938

How many independent quantities can be extracted from ocean color?

Autori: Cael B.B., Bisson K., Boss E., Erickson Z.K.
Pubblicato in: Limnology And Oceanography Letters, Numero 8(4), 2023, ISSN 2378-2242
Editore: John Wiley and Sons Inc
DOI: 10.1002/lol2.10319

The Sensitivity of the Marine Carbonate System to Regional Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement

Autori: Daniel J. Burt; Friederike Fröb; Tatiana Ilyina
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Climate, 2021, ISSN 2624-9553
Editore: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2021.624075

What Controls the Large-Scale Efficiency of Carbon Transfer Through the Ocean's Mesopelagic Zone? Insights From a New, Mechanistic Model (MSPACMAM)

Autori: Dinauer A., Laufkotter C., Doney S.C., Joos F.
Pubblicato in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Numero 36(10), e2021GB007131, 2022, ISSN 0886-6236
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gb007131

Current and projected patterns of warming and marine heatwaves in the Southern Indian Ocean

Autori: Azarian C., Bopp L., Pietri A., Sallee J.-B., d'Ovidio F.
Pubblicato in: Progress in Oceanography, Numero 215, 103036, 2023, ISSN 0079-6611
Editore: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2023.103036

Timing and magnitude of climate-driven range shifts in transboundary fish stocks challenge their management

Autori: Juliano Palacios-Abrantes, Thomas L. Frölicher, Gabriel Reygondeau, U. Rashid Sumaila, Alessandro Tagliabue, Colette C. C. Wabnitz, William W. L. Cheung
Pubblicato in: Global Change Biology, 2022, ISSN 1354-1013
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16058

The rise of novelty in marine ecosystems: The Baltic Sea case

Autori: Yosr Ammar, Susa Niiranen, Saskia A. Otto, Christian Möllmann, Walter Finsinger, Thorsten Blenckner
Pubblicato in: Global Change Biology, 2021, ISSN 1354-1013
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15503

Marine heatwaves exacerbate climate change impacts for fisheries in the northeast Pacific

Autori: William W. L. Cheung, Thomas L. Frölicher
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Numero 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-63650-z

State-dependence of Cenozoic thermal extremes

Autori: Cael B.B., Goodwin P.
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth and Environment, Numero 4(1), 88, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-00753-1

Marine Ecosystem Changepoints Spread Under Ocean Warming in an Earth System Model

Autori: B. B. Cael, Charlotte Begouen Demeaux, Stephanie Henson, Charles A. Stock, Fernando González Taboada, Jasmin G. John, Andrew D. Barton
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophyscial Research: Biogeosciences, 2022, ISSN 2169-8961
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021jg006571

Automated Plankton Classification With a Dynamic Optimization and Adaptation Cycle.

Autori: Conradt J., Borner G., Lopez-Urrutia A., Mollmann C., Moyano M.
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Numero 9, 2022, ISSN 2296-7745
Editore: Frontiers Media S.A.
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2022.868420

North Atlantic Western Boundary Currents Are Intense Dissolved Organic Carbon Streams

Autori: Marcos Fontela, Fiz F. Pérez, Herlé Mercier, Pascale Lherminier
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Numero 7, 2020, ISSN 2296-7745
Editore: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2020.593757

Reconciling the Size‐Dependence of Marine Particle Sinking Speed

Autori: B. B. Cael, Emma L. Cavan, Gregory L. Britten
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Numero 48/5, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091771

Feedbacks Between Ocean Productivity and Organic Iron Complexation in Reaction to Changes in Ocean Iron Supply

Autori: Völker, Christoph; Ye, Ying
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Marine Science, 2022, ISSN 2296-7745
Editore: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2022.777334

OceanSODA-ETHZ: a global gridded data set of the surface ocean carbonate system for seasonal to decadal studies of ocean acidification

Autori: Luke Gregor, Nicolas Gruber
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, Numero 13/2, 2021, Pagina/e 777-808, ISSN 1866-3516
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-13-777-2021

The Risk for Novel and Disappearing Environmental Conditions in the Baltic Sea

Autori: Thorsten Blenckner, Yosr Ammar, Bärbel Müller-Karulis, Susa Niiranen, Lars Arneborg, Qiang Li
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Numero 8, 2021, ISSN 2296-7745
Editore: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.745722

Future phytoplankton diversity in a changing climate

Autori: Stephanie A. Henson, B. B. Cael, Stephanie R. Allen, Stephanie Dutkiewicz
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 12/1, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-25699-w

The Northeast Atlantic is running out of excess carbonate in the horizon of cold-water corals communities

Autori: Marcos Fontela, Fiz F. Pérez, Lidia I. Carracedo, Xosé A. Padín, Antón Velo, Maribel I. García-Ibañez, Pascale Lherminier
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Numero 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-71793-2

Significant variability of structure and predictability of Arctic Ocean surface pathways affects basin-wide connectivity

Autori: Chris Wilson, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stefanie Rynders, Stephen J. Kelly, Thomas Krumpen, Andrew C. Coward
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero 2/1, 2021, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00237-0

A committed fourfold increase in ocean oxygen loss

Autori: Andreas Oschlies
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 12/1, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22584-4

Projecting coral responses to intensifying marine heatwaves under ocean acidification

Autori: Shannon G. Klein, Nathan R. Geraldi, Andrea Anton, Sebastian Schmidt-Roach, Maren Ziegler, Maha J. Cziesielski, Cecilia Martin, Nils Rädecker, Thomas L. Frölicher, Peter J. Mumby, John M. Pandolfi, David J. Suggett, Christian R. Voolstra, Manuel Aranda, Carlos. M. Duarte
Pubblicato in: Global change Biology, 2021, ISSN 1354-1013
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15818

Climate change, tropical fisheries and prospects for sustainable development

Autori: Vicky W. Y. Lam, Edward H. Allison, Johann D. Bell, Jessica Blythe, William W. L. Cheung, Thomas L. Frölicher, Maria A. Gasalla, U. Rashid Sumaila
Pubblicato in: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Numero 1/9, 2020, Pagina/e 440-454, ISSN 2662-138X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-020-0071-9

Open Ocean Particle Flux Variability From Surface to Seafloor

Autori: B. B. Cael, Kelsey Bisson, Maureen Conte, Manon T. Duret, Christopher L. Follett, Stephanie A. Henson, Makio C. Honda, Morten H. Iversen, David M. Karl, Richard S. Lampitt, Colleen B. Mouw, Frank Muller-Karger, Corinne A. Pebody, Kenneth L. Smith Jr., David Talmy
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl092895

Global Carbon Budget 2022

Autori: Pierre Friedlingstein, Michael O'Sullivan, Matthew W. Jones, Robbie M. Andrew, Luke Gregor, Judith Hauck, Corinne Le Quéré, Ingrid T. Luijkx, Are Olsen, Glen P. Peters, Wouter Peters, Julia Pongratz, Clemens Schwingshackl, Stephen Sitch, Josep G. Canadell, Philippe Ciais, Robert B. Jackson, Simone R. Alin, Ramdane Alkama, Almut Arneth, Vivek K. Arora, Nicholas R. Bates, Meike Becker, Nicolas Bel
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, Numero 14(11), 2022, ISSN 1866-3508
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-14-4811-2022

Carbon Cycle Responses to Changes in Weathering and the Long-Term Fate of Stable Carbon Isotopes

Autori: Jeltsch-Thommes A., Joos F.
Pubblicato in: Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, Numero 38(2), e2022PA004577, 2023, ISSN 2572-4525
Editore: John Wiley and Sons Inc
DOI: 10.1029/2022pa004577

An evolutionary explanation of female-biased sexual size dimorphism in North Sea plaice, Pleuronectes platessa L.

Autori: Mollet F.M., Enberg K., Boukal D.S., Rijnsdorp A.D., Dieckmann U.
Pubblicato in: Ecology and Evolution, Numero 13(1), e8070, 2023, ISSN 2045-7758
Editore: John Wiley and Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1002/ece3.8070

Cold-water corals in the Subpolar North Atlantic Ocean exposed to aragonite undersaturation if the 2 °C global warming target is not met

Autori: Maribel I. García-Ibáñez, Nicholas R. Bates, Dorothee C.E. Bakker, Marcos Fontela, Antón Velo
Pubblicato in: Global and Planetary Change, Numero 201, 2021, Pagina/e 103480, ISSN 0921-8181
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2021.103480

The climate sensitivity of northern Greenland fjords is amplified through sea-ice damming

Autori: Christian Stranne, Johan Nilsson, Adam Ulfsbo, Matt O’Regan, Helen K. Coxall, Lorenz Meire, Julia Muchowski, Larry A. Mayer, Volker Brüchert, Jonas Fredriksson, Brett Thornton, Julek Chawarski, Gabriel West, Elizabeth Weidner, Martin Jakobsson
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero 2/1, 2021, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00140-8

Simulated stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation during the Last Glacial Maximum

Autori: Frerk Pöppelmeier, Jeemijn Scheen, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Thomas F. Stocker
Pubblicato in: Climate of the Past, Numero 17/2, 2021, Pagina/e 615-632, ISSN 1814-9332
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-17-615-2021

Hotter and Weaker Mediterranean Outflow as a Response to Basin-Wide Alterations

Autori: Jesús García-Lafuente, Simone Sammartino, I. Emma Huertas, Susana Flecha, Ricardo F. Sánchez-Leal, Cristina Naranjo, Irene Nadal, María Jesús Bellanco
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Numero 8, 2021, ISSN 2296-7745
Editore: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.613444

Destabilisation of the Subpolar North Atlantic prior to the Little Ice Age

Autori: Beatriz Arellano-Nava, Paul R. Halloran, Chris A. Boulton, James Scourse, Paul G. Butler, David J. Reynolds & Timothy M. Lenton
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-32653-x

Compound marine heatwaves and ocean acidity extremes

Autori: Friedrich A. Burger, Jens Terhaar & Thomas L. Frölicher
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-32120-7

Cascading effects augment the direct impact of CO2 on phytoplankton growth in a biogeochemical model

Autori: Miriam Seifert, Cara Nissen, Björn Rost, Judith Hauck
Pubblicato in: Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, Numero 23251026, 2022, ISSN 2325-1026
Editore: Elementa
DOI: 10.1525/elementa.2021.00104

Linking observed changes in pelagic catches to temperature and oxygen in the Eastern Tropical Pacific

Autori: Clarke T.M., Wabnitz C.C.C., Frolicher T.L., Reygondeau G., Pauly D., Cheung W.W.L
Pubblicato in: Fish and Fisheries, Numero 23(6), 2023, ISSN 1467-2979
Editore: John Wiley and Sons Inc
DOI: 10.1111/faf.12694

Riverine nitrogen supply to the global ocean and its limited impact on global marine primary production: a feedback study using an Earth system model

Autori: Miriam Tivig, David P. Keller, Andreas Oschlies
Pubblicato in: Biogeosciences, Numero 18/19, 2021, Pagina/e 5327-5350, ISSN 1726-4189
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-5327-2021

Persistent Uncertainties in Ocean Net Primary Production Climate Change Projections at Regional Scales Raise Challenges for Assessing Impacts on Ecosystem Services

Autori: Alessandro Tagliabue; Lester Kwiatkowski; Laurent Bopp; Momme Butenschön; William W. L. Cheung; Matthieu Lengaigne; Jérôme Vialard
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Climate, 2021, ISSN 2624-9553
Editore: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2021.738224

Drivers of surface ocean acidity extremes in an Earth system model

Autori: Friedrich A. Burger, Thomas L. Frölicher
Pubblicato in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 2023, ISSN 1944-9224
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gb007785

Decadal acidification in Atlantic and Mediterranean water masses exchanging at the Strait of Gibraltar

Autori: Susana Flecha, Fiz F. Pérez, Akihiko Murata, Ahmed Makaoui, I. Emma Huertas
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Numero 9/1, 2019, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-52084-x

Marine high temperature extremes amplify the impacts of climate change on fish and fisheries

Autori: William W. L. Cheung, Thomas L. Frölicher, Vicky W. Y. Lam, Muhammed A. Oyinlola, Gabriel Reygondeau, U. Rashid Sumaila, Travis C. Tai, Lydia C. L. Teh, Colette C. C. Wabnitz
Pubblicato in: Science Advances, Numero 7/40, 2021, ISSN 2375-2548
Editore: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abh0895

A unified theory for organic matter accumulation

Autori: Emily J. Zakem, B. B. Cael, Naomi M. Levine
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Numero 118/6, 2021, Pagina/e e2016896118, ISSN 0027-8424
Editore: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2016896118

Can we project changes in fish abundance and distribution in response to climate?

Autori: Jose A. Fernandes, Louise Rutterford, Stephen D. Simpson, Momme Butenschön, Thomas L. Frölicher, Andrew Yool, William W. L. Cheung, Alastair Grant
Pubblicato in: Global Change Biology, Numero 26/7, 2020, Pagina/e 3891-3905, ISSN 1354-1013
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15081

Underestimation of oceanic carbon uptake in the Arctic Ocean: ice melt as predictor of the sea ice carbon pump

Autori: Richaud, B., Fennel, K., Oliver, E. C. J., DeGrandpre, M. D., Bourgeois, T., Hu, X., and Lu, Y.
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A strong mitigation scenario maintains climate neutrality of northern peatlands

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Quantitative modelling of the spatial dynamics of South Pacific and Atlantic albacore tuna populations

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Including filter-feeding gelatinous macrozooplankton in a global marine biogeochemical model: model-data comparison and impact on the ocean carbon cycle

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Diazotrophy as a key driver of the response of marine net primary productivity to climate change

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Local Drivers of Marine Heatwaves: A Global Analysis With an Earth System Model

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Magnitude and uncertainty of nitrous oxide emissions from North America based on bottom-up and top-down approaches: Informing future research and national inventories

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Iron and copper complexation in Macaronesian coastal waters

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Trends and variability in the ocean carbon sink

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Advancing real-time pH sensing capabilities to monitor coastal acidification as measured in a productive and dynamic estuary (Ría de Arousa, NW Spain)

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Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations

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Anthropogenic CO2 and ocean acidification in Argentine Basin Water Masses over almost five decades of observations

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Ocean Heat Uptake Efficiency Increase Since 1970

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Climate change impacts the vertical structure of marine ecosystem thermal ranges

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Climate warming is predicted to enhance the negative effects of harvesting on high‐latitude lake fish

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Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO2 flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario

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Radiocarbon in the Land and Ocean Components of the Community Earth System Model

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Ocean Acidification Effect on the Iron-Gallic Acid Redox Interaction in Seawater

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The Pan-Arctic Continental Slope as an Intensifying Conveyer Belt for Nutrients in the Central Arctic Ocean (1985–2015)

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Arctic Ocean acidification over the 21st century co-driven by anthropogenic carbon increases and freshening in the CMIP6 model ensemble

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High trophic level feedbacks on global ocean carbon uptake and marine ecosystem dynamics under climate change

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Possibility for strong northern hemisphere high-latitude cooling under negative emissions

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Ocean dynamics and biological feedbacks limit the potential of macroalgae carbon dioxide removal

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The evaluation of the North Atlantic climate system in UKESM1 historical simulations for CMIP6

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Characterizing Mean and Extreme Diurnal Variability of Ocean CO 2 System Variables Across Marine Environments

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Testing the Skill of a Species Distribution Model Using a 21st Century Virtual Ecosystem

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The carbonate system and air-sea CO2 fluxes in coastal and open-ocean waters of the Macaronesia

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Strong Habitat Compression by Extreme Shoaling Events of Hypoxic Waters in the Eastern Pacific

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Global vulnerability of marine mammals to global warming.

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Committed and projected future changes in global peatlands – continued transient model simulations since the Last Glacial Maximum

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Climate Change-Induced Emergence of Novel Biogeochemical Provinces

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Climate-driven variability of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink

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Pathways to sustaining tuna-dependent Pacific Island economies during climate change

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Freshwater in the Arctic Ocean 2010–2019

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Rapid fCO2 rise in the northern Barents Sea and Nansen Basin

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Is deoxygenation detectable before warming in the thermocline?

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Operationalizing Ocean Health: Toward Integrated Research on Ocean Health and Recovery to Achieve Ocean Sustainability

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Exploring the Effects of Organic Matter Characteristics on Fe(II) Oxidation Kinetics in Coastal Seawater

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Impact of deoxygenation and warming on global marine species in the 21st century

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Seasonality of Dissolved Organic Carbon Exchange Across the Strait of Gibraltar

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Global climate-change trends detected in indicators of ocean ecology

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Energy budget diagnosis of changing climate feedback

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Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning

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The representation of alkalinity and the carbonate pump from CMIP5 to CMIP6 Earth system models and implications for the carbon cycle

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Consistency and Challenges in the Ocean Carbon Sink Estimate for the Global Carbon Budget

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Evaluation of Data‐Based Estimates of Anthropogenic Carbon in the Arctic Ocean

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Interaction matters: Bottom-up driver interdependencies alter the projected response of phytoplankton communities to climate change

Autori: Seifert M., Nissen C., Rost B., Vogt M., Volker C., Hauck J.
Pubblicato in: Global Change Biology, Numero 29(15), 2023, ISSN 1354-1013
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16799

Contrasting Upper and Deep Ocean Oxygen Response to Protracted Global Warming

Autori: T. L. Frölicher, M. T. Aschwanden, N. Gruber, S. L. Jaccard, J. P. Dunne, D. Paynter
Pubblicato in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Numero 34/8, 2020, ISSN 0886-6236
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006601

Tracking the Space-Time Evolution of Ocean Acidification Extremes in the California Current System and Northeast Pacific

Autori: Flora Desmet; Nicolas Gruber; Eike E. Köhn; Matthias Münnich; Meike Vogt
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Numero 2, 2022, ISSN 2169-9275
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000549160

ARIOS: a database for ocean acidification assessment in the Iberian upwelling system (1976–2018)

Autori: Xosé Antonio Padin, Antón Velo, Fiz F. Pérez
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, Numero 12/4, 2020, Pagina/e 2647-2663, ISSN 1866-3516
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-2647-2020

Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior

Autori: Tjiputra J.F., Negrel J., Olsen A.
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Numero 13(1), 3006, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-30159-0

They Came From the Pacific: How Changing Arctic Currents Could Contribute to an Ecological Regime Shift in the Atlantic Ocean

Autori: S. J. Kelly, E. Popova, Y. Aksenov, R. Marsh, A. Yool
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 8/4, 2020, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001394

Arctic Ocean annual high in pCO2 could shift from winter to summer

Autori: James C. Orr, Lester Kwiatkowski & Hans-Otto Pörtner
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 00280836, 2022, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-05205-y

Climate intervention on a high-emissions pathway could delay but not prevent West Antarctic Ice Sheet demise

Autori: Sutter J., Jones A., Frolicher T.L., Wirths C., Stocker T.F.
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01738-w

Technical note: Interpreting pH changes

Autori: Andrea J. Fassbender, James C. Orr, Andrew G. Dickson
Pubblicato in: Biogeosciences, Numero 18/4, 2021, Pagina/e 1407-1415, ISSN 1726-4189
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-1407-2021

Global Carbon Budget 2021

Autori: Pierre Friedlingstein, Matthew W. Jones, Michael O'Sullivan, Robbie M. Andrew, Dorothee, C. E. Bakker, Judith Hauck, Corinne Le Quéré, Glen P. Peters, Wouter Peters, Julia Pongratz, Stephen Sitch, Josep G. Canadell, Philippe Ciais, Rob B. Jackson, Simone R. Alin, Peter Anthoni, Nicholas R. Bates, Meike Becker, Nicolas Bellouin, Laurent Bopp, Thi Tuyet Trang Chau, Frédéric Chevallier, Louis
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, 2022, ISSN 1866-3516
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-14-1917-2022

Rebuilding fish biomass for the world's marine ecoregions under climate change.

Autori: Cheung, William W L; Palacios-Abrantes, Juliano; Frölicher, Thomas L; Palomares, Maria Lourdes; Clarke, Tayler; Lam, Vicky W Y; Oyinlola, Muhammed A; Pauly, Daniel; Reygondeau, Gabriel; Sumaila, U Rashid; Teh, Lydia C L; Wabnitz, Colette C C
Pubblicato in: Global Change Biology, 2022, ISSN 1354-1013
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.48350/172627

Policy Brief and Key Findings from the H2020 COMFORT project: Tipping Points and Regime Shifts in Regional Marine Ecosystems

Autori: Rusiecka, D., Blenckner, T., Heinze, C., Martins, H., Mongwe, P., Beatriz Arellano-Nava, B., Halloran, P., Oziel L., Powley, H
Pubblicato in: 2023
Editore: Unknown
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7939918

Climate change increases marine heatwaves harming marine ecosystems

Autori: Wernberg, Thomas; Smale, Dan A.; Frölicher, Thomas L.; Smith, Adam J. P.
Pubblicato in: ScienceBrief, 2021
Editore: ScienceBrief
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.5596820

Integrated Ocean Carbon Research: A Summary of Ocean Carbon Research, and Vision of Coordinated Ocean Carbon Research and Observations for the Next Decade

Autori: IOC Working Group on Integrated Ocean Carbon Research (IOC-R); Aricò, Salvatore; Arrieta, Jesús M.; Bakker, Dorothée C.E.; Boyd, Philip W.; Cotrim da Cunha, Leticia; Chai, Fei; Dai, Minhan; Gruber, Nicolas ; Isensee, Kirsten; Ishii, Masao; Jiao, Nianzhi; Lauvset, Siv K.; McKinley, Galen A.; Monteiro, Pedro; Robinson, Carol; Sabine, Christopher; Sanders, Richard; Schoo, Katherina L.; Schust
Pubblicato in: IOC Technical Series, Numero IOC/2021/TS/158 Rev, 2021
Editore: UNESCO
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The ICON Earth System Model Version 1.0

Autori: Johann H. Jungclaus; Stephan Lorenz; Hauke Schmidt; Oliver Gutjahr; Helmuth Haak; Carolin Mehlmann; Uwe Mikolajewicz; Dirk Notz; Dian Putrashan; Jin-Song von Storch; Linardakis Leonidas; Victor Brokvin; Fatemeh Chegini; Veronika Gayler; Marco Giorgetta; Stefan Hagemann; Tatiana Ilyina; Peter Korn; Jürgen Kröger; Wolfgang A. Müller; Holger Pohlmann; Thomas Raddatz; Lennart Ramme; Reick H. Christ
Pubblicato in: 2021
Editore: UNESCO
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10507989.1

Safer Operations in Changing Ice-Covered Seas: Approaches and Perspectives

Autori: Yevgeny Aksenov, Stefanie Rynders, Danny L. Feltham, Lucia Hosekova, Robert Marsh, Nikolaos Skliris, Laurent Bertino, Timothy D. Williams, Ekaterina Popova, Andrew Yool, A. J. George Nurser, Andrew Coward, Lucy Bricheno, Meric Srokosz & Harold Heorton
Pubblicato in: IUTAM Symposium on Physics and Mechanics of Sea Ice, 2022, ISBN 978-3-030-80439-8
Editore: Springer Link

Detection of Changepoints in Ocean Time Series

Autori: Severin Kaderli; Thomas L. Frölicher; Friedrich Burger
Pubblicato in: 2020
Editore: Univrsity of Bern
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4564623

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