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Linking Climate Change, Habitability and Social Tipping Points: Scenarios for Climate Migration

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Risultati finali

Methodological report on using model-based scenarios to inform policy options

Report synthesising findings of initial stakeholder dialogues to inform the model development as well as the the modelling results to feed into subsequent stakeholder dialogues

Quantitative coefficients on the sensitivity of tipping points

Report analysing the results of a predictive model on the association of coefficients on the sensitivity of tipping points in migration behaviour under climate change.

Policy Brief on legal and policy options

Policy brief identifying and testing legal/policy options and best practices on global climate-migration challenges from a European perspective.

Input towards an empirically calibrated predictive model

Report on predictive models, created by combining D.1.3 with, for example, Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSP).

Interdependency diagram between climate change, migration and other relevant variables

Report on cocreated interdependency diagram of the interactions between climate change migration and other relevant variables

Conceptual model of linkages between climate change, tipping points, migration and displacement

Report on a conceptual model, which will integrate a range of tipping points that impact on a) climate adaptation in situ and migration; b) differential effects of sudden- and/or slow-onset climate hazards on migration; c) group migration dynamics; and d) community and individual level assets.

Reports on gendered causes and impacts of migration

Reports analysing the type, extent, and dimensions of gendered causes and impacts of migration in the context of environmental change. These reports will include a detailed description of the data collection processes.

Case Study Methods & Participation Handbook

This Guidance note will outline WP4s research by applying the projects conceptual and methodological framework to local level strategies and by providing a stepbystep guide to WP4s approach

Report on factors influencing the probability of migration

Report identifying the key factors that influence the probability of migration in the study areas.

Scenarios of future disaster-induced internal displacement under climate change

The report will analyse the scenarios of future disaster-induced internal displacement under climate change, which will also include estimations of future displacement risk associated with (1) rapid-onset hazards and (2) slow-onset hazards.

Report on a Feminist Political Ecology of Migration

Report on the analytical framework to understand how gender and social inequity shape the multi-scalar causes and effects of climate change on migration.

Indicators of climate hazards and potential consequences on key sectors in case study sites/regions

Report on the design of climateimpacts indicators which will quantify climaterelated hazards and potential consequences on key sectors eg agriculture water resources public health in combination with socioeconomic and demographic variables

Scenarios of future community-specific migration in Senegal under climate change

Report on the results of quantitative scenarios of future community-specific migration flows under climate change. These scenarios will be based on model of community-specific internal and subregional migrations in small-scale coastal fishing communities of Dakar (Senegal).

Scenarios of future international migration under climate change

Report on the results of quantitative scenarios of future migration flows under climate change and socio-economic change. These scenarios will be based on an empirically calibrated gravity model and will use the latest available estimates of historical bilateral migration.

Modeling results on past climate effects on migration in West Africa

The report will contain geographically disaggregated analyses taking localities as units of observation and will estimate the incidence of migration in a locality as a function of weather shocks and environmental conditions

Report for expert audiences and policymakers

Report summarizing the results of WP7, including the analysis of scenario narratives with workshop participants, directed at expert audiences and policymakers.

Practitioner's Tool on Migration for Adaptation

This deliverable will expand the practitioner's tool on Migration for Adaptation - from the TransRe project - by integrating a gender perspective within local development contexts.

Quantitative longitudinal survey instrument

This deliverable consists of a longitudinal survey instrument to collect a broad array of demographic, socioeconomic, environmental information on individuals, households, and communities.

Short animation video directed at non-expert audiences presenting the scenario narratives

Short animation video summarising the scenario narratives developed in WP7, directed at non-expert audiences.

Pubblicazioni

Livestock exposure to future cumulated climate-related stressors in West Africa

Autori: Audrey Brouillet, Benjamin Sultan
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Numero 13, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-22544-y

The effects of environmental and non-environmental shocks on livelihoods and migration in Tanzania

Autori: Julia M. Blocher, Roman Hoffmann, Helga Weisz
Pubblicato in: Population and Environment, Numero 46, 2024, ISSN 0199-0039
Editore: Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s11111-024-00449-4

More people too poor to move: divergent effects of climate change on global migration patterns

Autori: Albano Rikani, Christian Otto, Anders Levermann, Jacob Schewe
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 18, 2023, Pagina/e 024006, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aca6fe

Climate change and international migration: Exploring the macroeconomic channel

Autori: Albano Rikani, Katja Frieler, Jacob Schewe
Pubblicato in: PLOS ONE, Numero 17, 2022, Pagina/e e0276764, ISSN 1932-6203
Editore: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0276764

Theorizing (im)mobility in the face of environmental change

Autori: Caroline Zickgraf
Pubblicato in: Regional Environmental Change, Numero 21, 2021, ISSN 1436-3798
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-021-01839-2

Evaluation and extension of the radiation model for internal migration

Autori: Lucas Kluge; Jacob Schewe
Pubblicato in: Physical Review E, Numero 24700053, 2021, ISSN 2470-0053
Editore: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/physreve.104.054311

Evaluation of river flood extent simulated with multiple global hydrological models and climate forcings

Autori: Benedikt Mester, Sven Norman Willner, Katja Frieler, Jacob Schewe
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 16, 2021, Pagina/e 094010, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac188d

Gravity models do not explain, and cannot predict, international migration dynamics

Autori: Robert M. Beyer, Jacob Schewe, Hermann Lotze-Campen
Pubblicato in: Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Numero 9, 2022, ISSN 2662-9992
Editore: Nature
DOI: 10.1057/s41599-022-01067-x

Towards a feminist political ecology of migration in a changing climate

Autori: Sara Vigil
Pubblicato in: Geoforum, Numero 155, 2024, Pagina/e 104076, ISSN 0016-7185
Editore: Pergamon Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.geoforum.2024.104076

Linking climate change, environmental degradation, and migration: An update after 10 years

Autori: Etienne Piguet
Pubblicato in: WIREs Climate Change, Numero 13, 2023, ISSN 1757-7780
Editore: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.746

Migration as Adaptation?

Autori: Kira Vinke, Jonas Bergmann, Julia Blocher, Himani Upadhyay, Roman Hoffmann
Pubblicato in: Migration Studies, Numero 8, 2022, Pagina/e 626-634, ISSN 2049-5838
Editore: Oxford Academics
DOI: 10.1093/migration/mnaa029

FisherMob : Un modèle bioéconomique de la mobilité des pêcheurs

Autori: Timothée Brochier, Alassane Bah
Pubblicato in: 2021
Editore: HAL

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