Rezultaty
Review of the evidence on individual and interactive/synergistic exposure-response relationships be-tween extreme temperatures, air pollution and cardiovascular and respiratory disease mortality and morbidity (by age, sex, and socio-economic status) for Europe. Output of T2.1.
Report on the design and development of adaptation scenarios for extreme temperature and air pollutionDefinition of a set of adaptation pathways translated in measurable changes in specific vulnerability factors based on the key vulnerability factors identified in WP2 and consistent with broad socioeconomic and emissions trajectories applied in WP3 Output of T42
Methodology for models applicable for health impacts projectionsReport on methods for integration of epidemiological evidence from the threelevel analysis performed in WP2 to derive 1 locationspecific exposureresponse functions informing on geographical variation health risks and 2 effect modification indices of health risks dependent on levels of a set of vulnerability factors The methods will form the basis for developing predictive models for Health impact projections Output of T43 and T44
Design ManualThe Design Manual will ensure that the project has a visual identity which includes design elements that can be used in combination with logo, logo (also negative), colour palette, typefaces, design of template for deliverables, presentations, reports, and fact sheets. Output of T6.2
Epidemiological methods for establishing exposure-responseProtocol on statistical analysis and examples (using samples of our data) to demonstrate protocol feasibility. As a part of the validation and wrt to the testing of novel features in our approach (such as the exposure-response functions for interactions) the report will also include sensitivity analyses to test the how specific parameters affect the performance. Output of T2.2.
Urban scale climate and air pollution projectionsReport on downscaled temperature and air pollution at urban scale (1 km) (current and for future projection)
Wildland fire emission projectionsReport on new highresolution future projections of wildland fire emissions under different SSP scenarios using the IS4FIRES model
Science policy briefsTo ensure active incorporation of the project results in decision-making, the attendees at the stakeholder meetings will produce a science-policy brief on the translation of EXHAUSTION results into political and societal decisions and regulations.Outcome of T6.4
Terms of reference (ToR) for AB and Agenda and Minutes from the first AB meeting.Terms of reference (ToR) for Advisory Board, including confirmation of the composition of the AB and Agenda and Minutes from the first Advisory Board meeting. (Part of T1.3)
Economic impacts of CPD in demographic groups and in health servicesReport on new empirical evidence on the relationship between CPD outcomes and economic consequences that can be applied in economic modelling approaches. The focus of the empirical analyses will be on estimating impacts on CPD on labour supply and on health care utilization and health care costs, by use of micro data from a set of countries. Knowledge gaps will be identified. Output of T5.2.
Exposure-response functions for interactive effects of temperature and air pollutionExposureresponse functions ERF for interactive effects of temperature and air pollution The report presents the finding from the three levels of analyses MCC database with extensions smallarea data and cohort data regarding the potential interaction effects in the exposureresponse relationship for mortality and morbidity outcomes versus nonoptimal temperatures and air pollutants PM25 and O3 Results are presented separately for the different datasets and based on metaanalyses of the full material produced in the project Output of T23 and T24
Literature review on adaptive mechanismsSystematic review of evidence on adaptive mechanisms, ranging from behavioural factors to public health policies, in relation with vulnerability to extreme temperature and air pollution. Output of T4.1.
Exposure-response functions for temperature and CPD mortality and morbidityExposureresponse functions for temperature and CPD mortality and morbidity The report presents the finding from the three levels of analyses MCC database with extensions smallarea data and cohort data regarding the exposureresponse relationship for mortality and morbidity outcomes versus nonoptimal temperatures Results are presented separately for the different datasets and based on metaanalyses of the full material produced in the projectOutput of T23 and T24
Climate and air pollution projections over EuropeReport on 1) downscaled simulations of the CMIP6 climate projections to high spatial and temporal resolution over Europe using the WRF meteorological model; 2) high-resolution simulations of current and future air pollution over Europe using CTMs; and 3) extracted health-relevant metrics for co-occurring extreme temperatures and high air pollution events. Output T3.4 (with support from T3.3)
Dissemination, exploitation and communication strategyDissemination, exploitation and communication strategy. The DEC strategy will be updated annually. Output of T6.1
Assessment report climate change & air pollution linksAssessment of the state-of-the-art on the link and feedbacks between climate change and air pollution, including wildland fires. Output from T3.1.
Exposure-response functions for temperature modified by vulnerability factorsExposure-response functions for temperature modified by vulnerability factors. The report presents the finding from the three levels of analyses (MCC database with extensions, small-area data, and cohort data) regarding how the exposure-response relationship for mortality and morbidity outcomes versus non-optimal temperatures are modified by vulnerability factors. Results are presented separately for the different data-sets and based on meta-analyses of the full material produced in the project. Output of T2.3 and T2.4.
Summary report of health impact projectionsSummary report of projections of future excess mortality and morbidity in Europe under alternative climate change scenarios (including air pollution co-benefits), and analysis of differences across geographical areas and population sub-groups. The report also includes estimates of potential health benefits associated with adaptation pathways defined in the T4.2. Output of T4.2, T4.3 and T4.4.
White PaperWhite Paper with key project findings, macroeconomic indicators for Europe-wide model pro-jections, as well as evaluation of economic benefits of adaptation and socio-economic impacts with geographical resolution.Output of T6.5
Project management planProject management plan (Part of T1.2)
Costs of CPD and benefits from future adaptation (bottom-up)Report on calculate costs related to population exposure, health impacts and associated external costs attributable to temperature and air pollution (for CPD mortality and morbidity), and benefits from future adaptation (bottom-up assessment). Output of T5.1.
Social and economic consequences of CPD under alternative socioeconomic scenariosReport on projected social and economic consequences of changes in the CPD burdens under alternative projections for European countries. The projections provide a reference for evaluations of alternative long-term adaptation strategies. The projections will refer to the socioeconomic pathways underlying the climate projections, and will be based on output both from the EVA and the GRACE models. The projections will show impacts of climate change with attention to the health effects and related adaptation options on main economic indicators by sector and on unemployment rates over the coming decades. Output of T5.3 and T5.4.
Dissemination and communication event at COP28Output of T6.4
Final stakeholder event in BrusselsFinal stakeholder event in BrusselsOutput of T6.5
Data visualisationAppealing data visualisations based on the estimates of the socio-economic impacts related to health risks under alternative climate change scenarios, including global 1.5°C and 2°C scenarios. These will be stand-alone, high-quality communication products that will also feed into the AR6 WG1, and that are intended both for scientific and non-scientific audiences. It has not yet been assessed if an interactive tool or platform will be an efficient solution. We await results from end-user insights to inform of the best solution. An interactive tool remains a potential option.Output of T6.4
Stakeholder meetingsThe project will invite identified policy stakeholders on local and national levels in selected EU and EEA member states to stakeholder meetings. Members of the European Parliament and policy officers in the European Commission will be invited to these stakeholder meetings. Exhaustion will use the Advisory Board to aggregate more interest, multiply the network contact and to reach more relevant high-level representatives to the EU-level stakeholder meeting. Invitees to EU-level stakeholder meeting are selected based on relevant knowledge and opportunity to maximise impact through dissemination and exploitation of project outputs. Partners will be responsible for carrying out additional stakeholder meetings in their respective countries where they will recruit from new and existing networks.Output of T6.4
Two European eventsTwo European events.Event 1: Lead by CICERO in Northern EuropeEvent 2: Lead by UPORTO in Southern EuropeOutput of T6.4
The interactive tool will be released in a newly-developed website and designed with a user-friendly interface. The tool will allow the user to select the type of results (impacts, risks), geographical area of interest and format (figures, maps, tables). It will include instructions of use, a tutorial with examples and a user-survey. As part of the implementation process of the tool, it will be initially released to a limited number of users to test its proper functioning. Output of T4.5.
Final version Citizen engagement toolFinal version Citizen engagement tool, including user survey: To establish the final version, user feedback will be taken into account. The specific modifications of the tool will emerge from the user requirements analysis. In addition, an internal evaluation within the EXHAUSTION team will be taken into account. Thus, D6.4 will describe the first version of the tool that will be offered to EFA, Quercus and the general public for pilot use, whereas from M36 we will continuously receive feedback from actual users via an issue tracking and prioritization tool and will modify/ optimize the tool, a final version of which will be available by the end of the project. Through the citizens engagement tool, citizens will be able to a) get convenient access to easy-to-understand information on episodes of extreme heat and/or air pollution; b) get automated alerts, triggered when a parameter exceeds limit values, for the specific user profile; c) receive customized information on everyday activities such as traveling, commuting and sports activities, based on their location. d) report their perception on extreme heat / air quality on specific locations. Regarding the security of the platform, we apply security best practices, ensuring that users’ personal information are not accessible by third parties.Outcome of T6.7
First version of citizens engagement toolUser survey and testing of first version of tool and first round of interaction with users. The first version of the tool will be offered to EFA, Quercus and the general public for pilot use. Through the citizens engagement tool, citizens will be able to a) get convenient access to easy-to-understand information on episodes of extreme heat and/or air pollution; b) get automated alerts, triggered when a parameter exceeds limit values, for the specific user profile; c) receive customized information on everyday activities such as traveling, commuting and sports activities, based on their location. d) report their perception on extreme heat / air quality on specific locations. Outcome of T6.7
Updates for the data management plan are foreseen with every periodic report and project review. (Part of T1.2)
Publikacje
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Dr. Susanne Breitner, Dr. Regina Pickford, Dr. Alexandra Schneider
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Medical Faculty of the Universtiy of Heidelberg, 2021, Strona(/y) 105-117
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Medical Faculty of the University of Heidelberg
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Printech
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2021, ISBN 978-606-23-1275-6
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