CO-designing the Assessment of Climate CHange costs

Livrables

Impacts on infrastructure, built environment, and transport
First Policy Brief
Impact and policy scenarios co-designed with stakeholders
Macroeconomic assessment of policy effectiveness
Third Policy Brief

Third Policy Brief

Impacts on industry, energy, services, and trade

Impacts on industry energy services and trade

Elicitation results and conceptual framework on risk attitudes
Knowledge synthesis and gap analysis report
Non-market impacts: ecosystems and biodiversity

Nonmarket impacts ecosystems and biodiversity

Tipping point likelihood in the SSP/RCP space

Tipping point likelihood in the SSPRCP space

Non-market impacts: health

Nonmarket impacts health

Climate Change Impacts & Policy Synthesis

Climate Change Impacts Policy Synthesis

Socio-economic tipping point analysis

Socioeconomic tipping point analysis

Findings from thematic working groups and deep engagement case studies
Climate tipping point analysis
Impacts on agriculture including forestry & fishery

Impacts on agriculture including forestry fishery

Fourth Policy Brief
Macroeconomic, spatially-resolved impact assessment

Macroeconomic spatiallyresolved impact assessment

Operationalizing socio-economic and climate tipping points

Operationalizing socioeconomic and climate tipping points

Second Policy Brief
Sectoral assessments of policy effectiveness

Protocol for impact assessment studies
Co-design and co-delivery protocol
Protocol on information exchange flows and model integration
Best-Practice for co-designed research

BestPractice for codesigned research

Multiuser website and intranet platform established
Four videos on main project results
Four infographics on main project results
Climate Change Impacts & Policy Simulator

Climate Change Impacts Policy Simulator

Media and social media engagement
Project Brochure

Climate Change Impacts & Policy Database

Climate Change Impacts Policy Database

Publications

The ongoing nutrition transition thwarts long-term targets for food security, public health and environmental protection.

Auteurs: Benjamin Leon Bodirsky; Jan Philipp Dietrich; Eleonora Martinelli; Antonia Stenstad; Prajal Pradhan; Sabine Gabrysch; Anurag Mishra; Isabelle Weindl; Chantal Le Mouël; Susanne Rolinski; Lavinia Baumstark; Xiaoxi Wang; Jillian Lee Waid; Hermann Lotze-Campen; Alexander Popp
Publié dans: Scientific Reports, Numéro 30, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-75213-3

Costs of avoiding net negative emissions under a carbon budget

Auteurs: van der Wijst, Kaj-Ivar; Hof, Andries; van Vuuren, Detlef
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.5992399

The cognitive and experiential effects of flood risk framings and experience, and their influence on adaptation investment behaviour

Auteurs: Markanday, Ambika; Galarraga, Ibon
Publié dans: Climate Risk Management, Numéro 3, 2021, ISSN 2212-0963
Éditeur: Elsevier B.V.
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100359

On the optimality of 2°C targets and a decomposition of uncertainty

Auteurs: Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst; Andries F. Hof; Detlef P. van Vuuren
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro Vol 12, Iss 1, 2021, Page(s) 1-11, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22826-5

Climate change and heatwaves in the main coastal cities of the Basque Country

Auteurs: Abadie, Luis M.; Smid, Marek
Publié dans: Ekonomiaz - Revista Vasca de Economía, Numéro 97, 2020, Page(s) 165-189, ISSN 2340-4051
Éditeur: Basque Government
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.5978683

Effects of climate change on combined labour productivity and supply: an empirical, multi-model study

Auteurs: Shouro Dasgupta; Nicole van Maanen; Simon N Gosling; Franziska Piontek; Christian Otto; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publié dans: The Lancet. Planetary health., Numéro 2, 2021, ISSN 2542-5196
Éditeur: Elsevier Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(21)00170-4

Economic valuation of climate change–induced mortality: age dependent cold and heat mortality in the Netherlands

Auteurs: W. J. Wouter Botzen; W. J. Wouter Botzen; M. L. Martinius; Peter Bröde; Mireille Folkerts; Predrag Ignjacevic; Francisco Estrada; Francisco Estrada; Carel Harmsen; Hein A.M. Daanen
Publié dans: Climatic change, Numéro 13, 2020, ISSN 1573-1480
Éditeur: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02797-0

Adaptation to transboundary climate risks in trade: Investigating actors and strategies for an emerging challenge

Auteurs: Bednar-Friedl, Birgit; Knittel, Nina; Raich, Joachim; Adams, Kevin M.
Publié dans: WIREs Climate Change, Numéro 1, 2022, ISSN 1757-7780
Éditeur: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.758

Sharing the burden: quantifying climate change spillovers in the European Union under the Paris Agreement

Auteurs: Schleypen, Jessie Ruth; Mistry, Malcolm N.; Saeed, Fahad; Dasgupta, Shouro
Publié dans: Spatial Economic Analysis, Numéro 8, 2021, ISSN 1742-1772
Éditeur: Routledge
DOI: 10.1080/17421772.2021.1904150

A global analysis of subsidence, relative sea-level change and coastal flood exposure

Auteurs: Robert J. Nicholls, Daniel Lincke, Jochen Hinkel, Sally Brown, Athanasios T. Vafeidis, Benoit Meyssignac, Susan E. Hanson, Jan-Ludolf Merkens & Jiayi Fang
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 14, 2021, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-00993-z

Adaptive risk management strategies for governments under future climate and socioeconomic change: An application to riverine flood risk at the global level

Auteurs: Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefan; Schinko, Thomas; Hof, Andries; Ward, Philip J.
Publié dans: Environmental Science & Policy, Numéro 5, 2021, ISSN 1462-9011
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2021.08.010

Flood risk assessment of the European road network

Auteurs: K. C. H. van Ginkel; K. C. H. van Ginkel; F. Dottori; L. Alfieri; L. Alfieri; L. Feyen; E. E. Koks; E. E. Koks
Publié dans: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Numéro 4, 2021, Page(s) 1011-1027, ISSN 1684-9981
Éditeur: Copernicus Publ.
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-21-1011-2021

The Costs of Sea-Level Rise: Coastal Adaptation Investments vs. Inaction in Iberian Coastal Cities

Auteurs: Luis M. Abadie; Elisa Sainz de Murieta; Ibon Galarraga
Publié dans: Water, Vol 12, Iss 1220, p 1220 (2020), Numéro 12, 2020, ISSN 2073-4441
Éditeur: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/w12041220

CLIMRISK-RIVER: Accounting for Local River Flood Risk in Estimating the Economic Cost of Climate Change

Auteurs: Predrag Ignjacevic; W. J. Wouter Botzen; W. J. Wouter Botzen; Francisco Estrada; Francisco Estrada; Onno Kuik; Philip J. Ward; Timothy Tiggeloven
Publié dans: Environmental Modelling & Software, 132:104784, 1 - 28. Elsevier BV, Numéro 2, 2020, ISSN 1364-8152
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104784

Management induced changes of soil organic carbon on global croplands

Auteurs: Kristine Karstens; Benjamin Leon Bodirsky
Publié dans: Biogeosciences Discussions, Numéro 8, 2020, ISSN 1810-6285
Éditeur: Copernicus Publ.
DOI: 10.5194/bg-2020-468

Global hunger and climate change adaptation through international trade.

Auteurs: Charlotte Janssens; Charlotte Janssens; Petr Havlik; Tamás Krisztin; Justin S. Baker; Stefan Frank; Tomoko Hasegawa; Tomoko Hasegawa; David Leclère; Sara Ohrel; Shaun Ragnauth; Erwin Schmid; Hugo Valin; Nicole Van Lipzig; Miet Maertens
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 2, 2020, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0847-4

Comparing urban coastal flood risk in 136 cities under two alternative sea-level projections: RCP 8.5 and an expert opinion-based high-end scenario

Auteurs: Luis M. Abadie; Luke Jackson; Elisa Sainz de Murieta; Svetlana Jevrejeva; Ibon Galarraga
Publié dans: Ocean and Coastal Management, Numéro 10, 2020, ISSN 0964-5691
Éditeur: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2020.105249

Economy-wide effects of coastal flooding due to sea level rise: A multi-model simultaneous treatment of mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts

Auteurs: Schinko, Thomas; Drouet, Laurent; Vrontisi, Zoi; Hof, Andries; Hinkel, Jochen; Mochizuki, Junko; Bosetti, Valentina; Fragkiadakis, Kostas; van Vuuren, Detlef; Lincke, Daniel
Publié dans: Environmental Research Communications, Numéro 27, 2020, ISSN 2515-7620
Éditeur: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ab6368

Climate change induced socio-economic tipping points: review and stakeholder consultation for policy relevant research

Auteurs: Kees van Ginkel, Willem Jan Wouter Botzen, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Gabriel Bachner, Karl Steininger, Jochen Hinkel, Paul Watkiss, Esther Boere, Ad Jeuken, Elisa Sainz de Murieta, Francesco Bosello
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, 2019, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6395

Meeting User Needs for Sea Level Rise Information: A Decision Analysis Perspective

Auteurs: Jochen Hinkel, John A. Church, Jonathan M. Gregory, Erwin Lambert, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Jason Lowe, Kathleen L. McInnes, Robert J. Nicholls, Thomas D. Pol, Roderik Wal
Publié dans: Earth's Future, Numéro 7/3, 2019, Page(s) 320-337, ISSN 2328-4277
Éditeur: AGU100
DOI: 10.1029/2018EF001071

Risk measures and the distribution of damage curves for 600 European coastal cities

Auteurs: L M Abadie, I Galarraga, A Markandya, E Sainz de Murieta
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 14/6, 2019, Page(s) 064021, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab185c

Extreme precipitation events over north-western Europe: getting water from the tropics

Auteurs: Enrico Scoccimarro, Silvio Gualdi, Simon Krichak
Publié dans: Annals of Geophysics, Numéro 61/Vol 61 (2018), 2018, ISSN 1593-5213
Éditeur: Editrice Compositori srl
DOI: 10.4401/ag-7772

MAgPIE 4 – a modular open-source framework for modeling global land systems

Auteurs: Jan Philipp Dietrich, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Florian Humpenöder, Isabelle Weindl, Miodrag Stevanović, Kristine Karstens, Ulrich Kreidenweis, Xiaoxi Wang, Abhijeet Mishra, David Klein, Geanderson Ambrósio, Ewerton Araujo, Amsalu Woldie Yalew, Lavinia Baumstark, Stephen Wirth, Anastasis Giannousakis, Felicitas Beier, David Meng-Chuen Chen, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Alexander Popp
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 12/4, 2019, Page(s) 1299-1317, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: Geoscientific Model Development
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-1299-2019

The Economic Impacts of Natural Disasters: A Review of Models and Empirical Studies

Auteurs: W J Wouter Botzen, Olivier Deschenes, Mark Sanders
Publié dans: Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Numéro 13/2, 2019, Page(s) 167-188, ISSN 1750-6816
Éditeur: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/reep/rez004

Costs or benefits? Assessing the economy-wide effects of the electricity sector's low carbon transition – The role of capital costs, divergent risk perceptions and premiums

Auteurs: Gabriel Bachner, Jakob Mayer, Karl W. Steininger
Publié dans: Energy Strategy Reviews, Numéro 26, 2019, Page(s) 100373, ISSN 2211-467X
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2019.100373

An assessment of best practices of extreme weather insurance and directions for a more resilient society

Auteurs: P. Hudson, L.T. De Ruig, M.C. de Ruiter, O.J. Kuik, W.J.W. Botzen, X. Le Den, M. Persson, A. Benoist, C.N. Nielsen
Publié dans: Environmental Hazards, 2019, Page(s) 1-21, ISSN 1747-7891
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2019.1608148

Heavy Daily Precipitation Events in the CMIP6 Worst-Case Scenario: Projected Twenty-First-Century Changes

Auteurs: Enrico Scoccimarro; Silvio Gualdi
Publié dans: Journal of Climate, Numéro 11, 2020, Page(s) 7631–7642, ISSN 0894-8755
Éditeur: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0940.1

Time of emergence of economic impacts of climate change

Auteurs: Predrag Ignjacevic; Francisco Estrada; W J Wouter Botzen
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 1, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac0d7a

Persistent inequality in economically optimal climate policies

Auteurs: Gazzotti, Paolo; Emmerling, Johannes; Marangoni, Giacomo; Castelletti, Andrea; Wijst, Kaj-Ivar van der; Hof, Andries; Tavoni, Massimo
Publié dans: Nature Communications, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-23613-y

Coastal Migration due to 21st Century Sea-Level Rise

Auteurs: Daniel Lincke; Jochen Hinkel
Publié dans: Earth's Future, Numéro 8, 2021, ISSN 2328-4277
Éditeur: Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020EF001965

Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6

Auteurs: Hurtt, George C; Louise Chini; Ritvik Sahajpal; Steve Frolking; Benjamin L. Bodirsky; Katherine Calvin; Jonathan C. Doelman
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 10, 2020, ISSN 1991-959X
Éditeur: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-5425-2020

International trade is a key component of climate change adaptation

Auteurs: Charlotte Janssens; Petr Havlík; Tamás Krisztin; Justin Baker; Stefan Frank; Tomoko Hasegawa; David Leclère; Sara Ohrel; Shaun Ragnauth; Erwin Schmid; Hugo Valin; Nicole Van Lipzig; Miet Maertens
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 2, 2021, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01201-8

Regional Inequalities in Flood Insurance Affordability and Uptake under Climate Change

Auteurs: Max Tesselaar; W. J. Wouter Botzen; Toon Haer; Paul Hudson; Timothy Tiggeloven; Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Publié dans: Sustainability, Numéro 2, 2020, ISSN 2071-1050
Éditeur: MDPI Open Access Publishing
DOI: 10.3390/su12208734

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