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DAFNE: Use of a Decision-Analytic Framework to explore the water-energy-food NExus in complex and trans-boundary water resources systems of fast growing developing countries.

Livrables

Models of the economic development in the Zambezi river basin

Description of economic development pathways and their dependence on water resources availability.

Data management plan

Report describing the policy concerning the acquisition, storage and classification and management and distribution of project data and how this will be implemented in the Geoportal (D7.4).

Models of the economic development in the Omo river basin

Description of economic development pathways and their dependence on water resources availability.

Final dissemination and know-how transfer report

Report on the scientific publications and dissemination actions performed – both at the international and EU level and the local level – during the second half of the project, including reporting analytics on the usage of the project website and the social media channels. It includes a summary of the Summer School results and the abstract of the MOOC course with links to the respective webpages/sites.

NSL technical implementation plan

Report describing the specific functionalities and implementation plan for the NSL including the outcome of the actor analysis, the input from the stakeholders and the results of the first NSL face-to-face meeting.

Integrated framework of models for social, economic and institutional developments

Analytical description of the system of the interconnected models produced by WP4.

Decision Analytic Framework

Report on the Decision Analytic Framework architecture (components, methods and tools) and the optimal design of pathways under different scenarios.

Intermediate dissemination and know-how transfer report

Report on the scientific publications and dissemination actions performed – both at the international and EU level and the local level – during the first half of the project, including reporting analytics on the usage of the project website and the social media channels as well as any necessary updates to the communication and dissemination strategy and planning.

Future drivers and scenarios

Report synthesising geo- and temporally-referenced scenarios of future climate and water availability, demand for water, energy, and food, and economic and policy development in the Omo and Zambezi river basins. Each subtask will contribute an extended chapter under the responsibility of the subtask leader. The last chapter will summarize the set of future drivers and scenarios to be considered in the subsequent WPs.

Models and principles of water governance in the Omo and Zambezi river basins

Report on the developments and challenges of applying substantive and procedural rules in the context of the competing water users and transboundary rivers.

Report on Risk Mitigation Measures

Report describing the measures implemented to mitigate the risks recognised as potential limiting factor to the project success.

Communication and dissemination plan

Report describing the communication and dissemination strategy for the project and the planned communication and dissemination activities, from the initial project launch to the final dissemination events. It includes an initial package of the dissemination material, including the project logo, flyer and a first press release.

Intermediate evaluation report on NSL operation

Report describing the NSL implementation and an intermediate evaluation of its operation, including possible changes and modifications.

Efficient and robust adaptation pathways

Report on the design of robust pathways using robust optimization and detailed description of the robust pathways to be considered in the VNL (WP6).

Evaluation report on VNL learning processes and wider social impacts

The VNL process will be evaluated after the final meeting to assess the experience of the stakeholders in terms of process and results including the alternative pathways and solutions, and with special attention being given to the social learning process and how this has affected the perspectives and potential actions of the stakeholders.

A distributed hydrological model to simulate hydrological response, transport processes and sediment dynamics

Description of the modified distributed hydrological model accounting for transport processes and sediment dynamics in spatial and temporal explicit fashion.

Models of demographic, cultural and social developments in the Omo and Zambezi river basins

Description of models that link demographic, social, and cultural developments with a selection and implementation of economic and water management policies with reference to the Omo and Zambezi case studies.

Management plan

Report describing the decision-making structures and procedures adopted in the process; the review quality procedures; the management processes to be implemented in steering each WP and task; the financial and resource use reporting guidelines.

Baseline scenario

Report describing the current baseline scenarios in terms of geo- and temporally referenced water uses and availability, policy framework and demand for water, energy and food in the Omo and Zambezi river basins. Each subtask will contribute, through internal reports corresponding to milestones, an extended chapter under the responsibility of the subtask leader. The last chapter will be a synthesis of the baseline scenarios.

Water quality response in the Zambezi River to reservoir management scenarios

Description of water quality response to different hydropower operation rules and water intake scenarios.

Evaluation of indicators, value functions and pathways

Report about the definition of pathways, i.e. sequence of actions, the subset of indicators selected for the pathway optimal design, and the value functions identification.

Integrated model of the WEF nexus

The report is organized in three parts: 1) description of the distributed hydrological model integrating natural and anthropogenic control of the WEF nexus; 2) description of the hydrologic response of the river basin case studies to the forcing of climate and anthropogenic controls; 3) description of the river corridor response (stream, river-aquifer exchange, riparian and aquatic ecosystems) to alternative hydropower operational strategies, streamflow regulation policies and irrigation-dependent water abstractions.

Water quality response in the Omo River to reservoir management scenarios

Description of water quality response to different hydropower operation rules and water intake scenarios.

Models of environmental policy in the Omo and Zambezi river basins

Description of heuristic and governance models that relate management strategies (e.g., exploitation, conservation) of natural resources (e.g., land, ecosystems) to socio-economic benefits and sustainable development, and of their application to the Omo and Zambezi case studies.

Exposure space and failure conditions

Report providing the definition of the exposure space (with respect to socio-economic and climate drivers) and the identification of different failure conditions (thresholds on selected indicators).

Agricultural productivity in the Omo and Zambezi river basins

Spatially and temporally referenced database with report on agricultural productivities modelled for all relevant combinations of crop, climate, soil and field management in the two river basins.

Key ecosystems and ecosystem services in the Omo and Zambezi river basins

Characterisation of the response (criteria and indicators) of key selected terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems to climate and water availability forcing and model-based quantification of ecosystem services.

Final open data geo-information portal

Launch of the final version of the geo-information portal containing more advanced functionalities and the open data repository populated by the main datasets and results produced by the project, as well as documentation of approaches and tools for replicability.

Publications

How does uncertainty affect cooperation strategies in transboundary water resources systems? A case study on the Zambezi River Basin

Auteurs: Cazzaniga, S.; Bertoni, F.; Giuliani, M.; Castelletti, A.
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Numéro Vol. 21 EGU General Assembly 2019, 2019
Éditeur: POLIMI

Variability in suspended sediment concentration: the effect of spatially distributed rainfall and surface erodibility, and hillslope connectivity in sediment transport

Auteurs: Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar and Paolo Burlando
Publié dans: 2019
Éditeur: Geophysical Research Abstracts

Optimal Infrastructure Sequencing and Management in the Zambezi River Basin

Auteurs: Zatarain, J.; Bertoni, F.; Giuliani, M.; Castelletti, A.
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Numéro Vol. 21 EGU General Assembly 2019, 2019
Éditeur: POLIMI

Solute generation and C-Q relations: is solute input frequency or depth of solute generation the key-player?

Auteurs: Martina Botter, Paolo Burlando and Simone fatichi
Publié dans: 2019
Éditeur: Swiss Geoscience Meeting

A spatially distributed numerical model for simulating sediment connectivity at the catchment scale

Auteurs: Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar e Paolo Burlando
Publié dans: 2018
Éditeur: Swiss Geoscience Meeting

Including localized sediment sources in catchment-scale sediment production and transport modelling

Auteurs: Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar, Fritz Schlunegger and Paolo Burlando
Publié dans: 2019
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union

Timing and Vertical Distribution of Solute Input Drive Concentration-Discharge Relations

Auteurs: Martina Botter, Paolo Burlado and Simone Fatichi
Publié dans: 2019
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union

Optimal Infrastructure Expansion Sequencing and Management to Meet Water, Food and Energy Demands in the Zambezi River Basin

Auteurs: Zatarain Salazar, J; Bertoni, F; Giuliani, M; Castelletti, A; Micotti, M
Publié dans: AGU Fall Meeting 2019, 2019
Éditeur: POLIMI

Anthropogenic and catchment characteristics signatures in the water quality of Swiss rivers: a quantitative assessment

Auteurs: Martina Botter, Simone Fatichi and Paolo Burlando
Publié dans: 2019
Éditeur: Water-Earth-System PhD Conference

Exploring how reservoir design and operational trade-offs are shaped by information feedbacks

Auteurs: Bertoni, F.; Castelletti, A.; Giuliani, M.; Reed, P. M.
Publié dans: AGU Fall Meeting 2019, 2019
Éditeur: POLIMI

Heavily data-constrained mechanistic ecohydrological modeling can guide management of pre-Alpine grasslands in the present and future climate

Auteurs: Martina Botter, Matthias Zeeman, Paolo Burlando and Simone Fatichi
Publié dans: 2020
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-18266

Diffused and localised sediment production processes in a distributed transport model

Auteurs: Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar, Fritz Schlunegger and Paolo Burlando
Publié dans: 2020
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-7671

Vertical distribution of solute input shapes concentration-discharge relations

Auteurs: Paolo Burlando, Martina Botter, Li Li, Hartmann Jens and Simone Fatichi
Publié dans: 2020
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-8930

Modeling the Hydrological Regime of Turkana Lake (Kenya, Ethiopia) by Combining Spatially Distributed Hydrological Modeling and Remote Sensing Datasets

Auteurs: Daniela Anghileri, Alexandra Kaelin, Nadav Peleg, Simone Fatichi, Peter Molnar, Clément Roques, Laurent Longuevergne, Paolo Burlando
Publié dans: 2017
Éditeur: AGU Fall Meeting

Reconciling artisanal gold mining with sustainable development: insights from participatory video in central Mozambique

Auteurs: Dondeyne, S.; Ndunguru, E.; Van Orshoven, J.
Publié dans: International Conference on Geology, Mining, Mineral and Groundwater Resources of Sub-Saharan Africa: Opportunities and Challenges Ahead, 2017
Éditeur: n.a.

An inverse nested approach to optimize planning and operation of water reservoir systems

Auteurs: Federica Bertoni, Matteo Giuliani, Andrea Castelletti
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Numéro Vol. 20, EGU2018-9076, 2018
Éditeur: EGU General Assembly

Integrated water-energy system modelling for optimal hydropower production planning under changing climate in the Zambezi River

Auteurs: Angelo Carlino, Federica Bertoni, Andrea Castelletti
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Numéro Vol. 20, EGU2018-9171, 2018
Éditeur: EGU General Assembly

Integrating operation design into infrastructure planning to foster robustness of planned water systems

Auteurs: Federica Bertoni, Matteo Giuliani, Andrea Castelletti
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Numéro Vol. 19, EGU2017-18888, 2017
Éditeur: EGU General Assembly 2017

Economically efficient and socially inclusive river basin development: does a balance exist?

Auteurs: Castelletti, A; Zaniolo, M; Giuliani, M.; Kleinschroth, Fritz; Sinclair, S.; Burlando, P.
Publié dans: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Numéro Vol. 21 EGU General Assembly 2019, 2019
Éditeur: POLIMI

A spatially distributed model for catchment sediment connectivity

Auteurs: Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar and Paolo Burlando
Publié dans: 2018
Éditeur: Water-Earth-Systems PhD conference

Solutes concentrations and C-Q relations across Swiss rivers: natural and anthropogenic drivers of solute export at the catchment scale

Auteurs: Martina Botter, Paolo Burlando and Simone Fatichi
Publié dans: 2018
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000316111

Representing sediment buffers in spatially distributed modelling

Auteurs: Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar, Fritz Schlunegger and Paolo Burlando
Publié dans: 2020
Éditeur: Connectivity conversations

Evaluating trust and shared group identities in emergent social learning processes in the Zambezi river basin

Auteurs: Caroline K. Lumosi, Claudia Pahl-Wostl, Geeske Scholz
Publié dans: Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Numéro 7/1, 2020, ISSN 2662-9992
Éditeur: Nature
DOI: 10.1057/s41599-020-00669-7

Depth of Solute Generation Is a Dominant Control on Concentration‐Discharge Relations

Auteurs: M. Botter, L. Li, J. Hartmann, P. Burlando, S. Fatichi
Publié dans: Water Resources Research, Numéro 56/8, 2020, ISSN 0043-1397
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019WR026695

Sixty years since the creation of Lake Kariba: Thermal and oxygen dynamics in the riverine and lacustrine sub-basins

Auteurs: Elisa Calamita, Martin Schmid, Manuel Kunz, Mzime Regina Ndebele-Murisa, Christopher H. D. Magadza, Imasiku Nyambe, Bernhard Wehrli
Publié dans: PLOS ONE, Numéro 14/11, 2019, Page(s) e0224679, ISSN 1932-6203
Éditeur: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0224679

Can ‘learning spaces’ shape transboundary management processes? Evaluating emergent social learning processes in the Zambezi basin

Auteurs: Caroline K. Lumosi, Claudia Pahl-Wostl, Geeske Scholz
Publié dans: Environmental Science & Policy, Numéro 97, 2019, Page(s) 67-77, ISSN 1462-9011
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2019.04.005

Downscaling climate projections over large and data sparse regions: Methodological application in the Zambezi River Basin

Auteurs: Nadav Peleg, Scott Sinclair, Simone Fatichi, Paolo Burlando
Publié dans: International Journal of Climatology, 2020, ISSN 0899-8418
Éditeur: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6578

Potential of aquatic weeds to improve water quality in natural waterways of the Zambezi catchment

Auteurs: R. Scott Winton, Fritz Kleinschroth, Elisa Calamita, Martina Botter, Cristian R. Teodoru, Imasiku Nyambe, Bernhard Wehrli
Publié dans: Scientific Reports, Numéro 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-72499-1

Living with floating vegetation invasions

Auteurs: Fritz Kleinschroth, R. Scott Winton, Elisa Calamita, Fabian Niggemann, Martina Botter, Bernhard Wehrli, Jaboury Ghazoul
Publié dans: Ambio, 2020, ISSN 0044-7447
Éditeur: Kungliga Vetenskapsakademien/Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1007/s13280-020-01360-6

Impacts of fertilisation on grassland productivity and water quality across the European Alps: insights from a mechanistic model

Auteurs: Botter, Martina; Zeeman, Matthias; Burlando, Paolo; Fatichi, Simone
Publié dans: Biogeosciences Discussion, Numéro 2, 2020, ISSN 1726-4170
Éditeur: European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI: 10.5194/bg-2020-294

Modelling localized sources of sediment in mountain catchments for provenance studies

Auteurs: Giulia Battista, Fritz Schlunegger, Paolo Burlando, Peter Molnar
Publié dans: Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 2020, ISSN 0197-9337
Éditeur: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/esp.4979

Modelling impacts of spatially variable erosion drivers on suspended sediment dynamics

Auteurs: Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar, Paolo Burlando
Publié dans: Earth Surface Dynamics, Numéro 8/3, 2020, Page(s) 619-635, ISSN 2196-632X
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esurf-8-619-2020

Reviews and syntheses: Dams, water quality and tropical reservoir stratification

Auteurs: Winton, Robert Scott; Calamita, Elisa; Wehrli, Bernhard
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, Vol 16, Pp 1657-1671 (2019), Numéro 4, 2019, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-2018-510

Out of Sight, Not Out of Mind: Developments in Economic Models of Groundwater Management

Auteurs: Phoebe Koundouri, Catarina Roseta-Palma, Nikolaos Englezos
Publié dans: International Review of Environmental and Resource Economics, Numéro 11/1, 2017, Page(s) 55-96, ISSN 1932-1473
Éditeur: now publishers inc.
DOI: 10.1561/101.00000091

To be a responsible researcher, reach out and listen

Auteurs: Elisabeth Pain
Publié dans: Science, 2017, ISSN 0036-8075
Éditeur: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.caredit.a1700006

Conjunctive management of surface and groundwater in transboundary watercourses: a first assessment

Auteurs: Jonathan Lautze, Bunyod Holmatov, Davison Saruchera, Karen G. Villholth
Publié dans: Water Policy, Numéro 20/1, 2018, Page(s) 1-20, ISSN 1366-7017
Éditeur: International Water Association Publishing
DOI: 10.2166/wp.2018.033

Robustness Metrics: How Are They Calculated, When Should They Be Used and Why Do They Give Different Results?

Auteurs: C. McPhail, H. R. Maier, J. H. Kwakkel, M. Giuliani, A. Castelletti, S. Westra
Publié dans: Earth's Future, Numéro 6/2, 2018, Page(s) 169-191, ISSN 2328-4277
Éditeur: AGU Publications
DOI: 10.1002/2017EF000649

Scalable Multiobjective Control for Large-Scale Water Resources Systems Under Uncertainty

Auteurs: Matteo Giuliani, Julianne D. Quinn, Jonathan D. Herman, Andrea Castelletti, Patrick M. Reed
Publié dans: IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology, 2017, Page(s) 1-8, ISSN 1063-6536
Éditeur: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
DOI: 10.1109/TCST.2017.2705162

Rival framings: A framework for discovering how problem formulation uncertainties shape risk management trade-offs in water resources systems

Auteurs: J. D. Quinn, P. M. Reed, M. Giuliani, A. Castelletti
Publié dans: Water Resources Research, Numéro 53/8, 2017, Page(s) 7208-7233, ISSN 0043-1397
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017WR020524

Scenario-based fitted Q-iteration for adaptive control of water reservoir systems under uncertainty

Auteurs: Federica Bertoni, Matteo Giuliani, Andrea Castelletti
Publié dans: IFAC-PapersOnLine, Numéro 50/1, 2017, Page(s) 3183-3188, ISSN 2405-8963
Éditeur: IFAC Papers Online
DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2017.08.340

Anthropogenic and catchment characteristic signatures in the water quality of Swiss rivers: a quantitative assessment

Auteurs: Martina Botter, Paolo Burlando, Simone Fatichi
Publié dans: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Numéro 23/4, 2019, Page(s) 1885-1904, ISSN 1607-7938
Éditeur: Copernicus Publisher
DOI: 10.5194/hess-23-1885-2019

Small hydropower goes unchecked

Auteurs: Katharina Lange, Bernhard Wehrli, Ulrika Åberg, Nico Bätz, Jakob Brodersen, Manuel Fischer, Virgilio Hermoso, Cathy Reidy Liermann, Martin Schmid, Lisa Wilmsmeier, Christine Weber
Publié dans: Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, Numéro 17/5, 2019, Page(s) 256-258, ISSN 1540-9295
Éditeur: Ecological Society of America
DOI: 10.1002/fee.2049

Reconciling certification and intact forest landscape conservation

Auteurs: Fritz Kleinschroth, Claude Garcia, Jaboury Ghazoul
Publié dans: Ambio, Numéro 48/2, 2019, Page(s) 153-159, ISSN 0044-7447
Éditeur: Kungliga Vetenskapsakademien/Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1007/s13280-018-1063-6

Dams can mimic the free flow of rivers, but risks must be managed

Auteurs: Matthew McCartney and Fritz Kleinschroth
Publié dans: The Conversation, 2019, ISSN 2201-5639
Éditeur: The conversation

Life on Land

Auteurs: Odada,E.O and Ochola, S.O
Publié dans: Geosciences and the Sustainable Development Goals, 2021, Page(s) Chapter 15;1-24, ISBN 978-3-030-38814-0
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-38815-7

Economic instruments, behaviour and incentives in groundwater management

Auteurs: P. Koundouri, E. Akinsete, N. Englezos, X.I. Kartala, I. Souliotis, J. Adler
Publié dans: Advances in Groundwater Governance, Numéro Karen G. Villholth, Elena Lopez-Gunn, Kirstin Conti, Alberto Garrido, Jac Van Der Gun, 2017, ISBN 9781-351808415
Éditeur: CRC Press

International Law developments on the Sharing of Blue Nile Waters: a fairness perspective

Auteurs: Zeray Yihdego, Alistair Rieu-Clarke
Publié dans: The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and the Nile Basin: Implications for Transboundary Water Cooperation, 2017, ISBN 9781-138064898
Éditeur: Routledge

Solute export dynamics across scales – From data-based diagnosis to mechanistic modelling predictions

Auteurs: Martina Botter
Publié dans: 2020
Éditeur: ETH Zurich

Shaping Transboundary Water Governance - How Learning Spaces Shape Transboundary River Basin Management Practices and Processes in the Omo-Turkana and Zambezi River Basins

Auteurs: Lumosi, C. K.
Publié dans: 2020
Éditeur: Osnabrück University

Impact of the Itezhi-Tezhi reservoir on dissolved oxygen and greenhouse gas dynamics in the Kafue River, Zambia

Auteurs: Muyumbana Namakau
Publié dans: 2019
Éditeur: IHE Delft

The Zambezi River Basin. Water and sustainable development

Auteurs: Jonathan Lautze, Zebediah Phiri, Vladimir Smakhtin, Davison Saruchera
Publié dans: 2017, ISBN 9781-315282046
Éditeur: Routledge

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and the Nile Basin: Implications for Transboundary Water Cooperation

Auteurs: Zeray Yihdego, Alistair Rieu-Clarke, Ana Elisa Cascão
Publié dans: 2017, ISBN 9781-138064898
Éditeur: Routledge

Dams can mimic the free flow of rivers, but risks must be managed

Auteurs: Matthew McCartney and Fritz Kleinschroth
Publié dans: 2019
Éditeur: Thrive Blog

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