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DAFNE: Use of a Decision-Analytic Framework to explore the water-energy-food NExus in complex and trans-boundary water resources systems of fast growing developing countries.

Deliverables

Models of the economic development in the Zambezi river basin

Description of economic development pathways and their dependence on water resources availability.

Data management plan

Report describing the policy concerning the acquisition, storage and classification and management and distribution of project data and how this will be implemented in the Geoportal (D7.4).

Models of the economic development in the Omo river basin

Description of economic development pathways and their dependence on water resources availability.

Final dissemination and know-how transfer report

Report on the scientific publications and dissemination actions performed – both at the international and EU level and the local level – during the second half of the project, including reporting analytics on the usage of the project website and the social media channels. It includes a summary of the Summer School results and the abstract of the MOOC course with links to the respective webpages/sites.

NSL technical implementation plan

Report describing the specific functionalities and implementation plan for the NSL including the outcome of the actor analysis, the input from the stakeholders and the results of the first NSL face-to-face meeting.

Integrated framework of models for social, economic and institutional developments

Analytical description of the system of the interconnected models produced by WP4.

Decision Analytic Framework

Report on the Decision Analytic Framework architecture (components, methods and tools) and the optimal design of pathways under different scenarios.

Intermediate dissemination and know-how transfer report

Report on the scientific publications and dissemination actions performed – both at the international and EU level and the local level – during the first half of the project, including reporting analytics on the usage of the project website and the social media channels as well as any necessary updates to the communication and dissemination strategy and planning.

Future drivers and scenarios

Report synthesising geo- and temporally-referenced scenarios of future climate and water availability, demand for water, energy, and food, and economic and policy development in the Omo and Zambezi river basins. Each subtask will contribute an extended chapter under the responsibility of the subtask leader. The last chapter will summarize the set of future drivers and scenarios to be considered in the subsequent WPs.

Models and principles of water governance in the Omo and Zambezi river basins

Report on the developments and challenges of applying substantive and procedural rules in the context of the competing water users and transboundary rivers.

Report on Risk Mitigation Measures

Report describing the measures implemented to mitigate the risks recognised as potential limiting factor to the project success.

Communication and dissemination plan

Report describing the communication and dissemination strategy for the project and the planned communication and dissemination activities, from the initial project launch to the final dissemination events. It includes an initial package of the dissemination material, including the project logo, flyer and a first press release.

Intermediate evaluation report on NSL operation

Report describing the NSL implementation and an intermediate evaluation of its operation, including possible changes and modifications.

Efficient and robust adaptation pathways

Report on the design of robust pathways using robust optimization and detailed description of the robust pathways to be considered in the VNL (WP6).

Evaluation report on VNL learning processes and wider social impacts

The VNL process will be evaluated after the final meeting to assess the experience of the stakeholders in terms of process and results including the alternative pathways and solutions, and with special attention being given to the social learning process and how this has affected the perspectives and potential actions of the stakeholders.

A distributed hydrological model to simulate hydrological response, transport processes and sediment dynamics

Description of the modified distributed hydrological model accounting for transport processes and sediment dynamics in spatial and temporal explicit fashion.

Models of demographic, cultural and social developments in the Omo and Zambezi river basins

Description of models that link demographic, social, and cultural developments with a selection and implementation of economic and water management policies with reference to the Omo and Zambezi case studies.

Management plan

Report describing the decision-making structures and procedures adopted in the process; the review quality procedures; the management processes to be implemented in steering each WP and task; the financial and resource use reporting guidelines.

Baseline scenario

Report describing the current baseline scenarios in terms of geo- and temporally referenced water uses and availability, policy framework and demand for water, energy and food in the Omo and Zambezi river basins. Each subtask will contribute, through internal reports corresponding to milestones, an extended chapter under the responsibility of the subtask leader. The last chapter will be a synthesis of the baseline scenarios.

Water quality response in the Zambezi River to reservoir management scenarios

Description of water quality response to different hydropower operation rules and water intake scenarios.

Evaluation of indicators, value functions and pathways

Report about the definition of pathways, i.e. sequence of actions, the subset of indicators selected for the pathway optimal design, and the value functions identification.

Integrated model of the WEF nexus

The report is organized in three parts: 1) description of the distributed hydrological model integrating natural and anthropogenic control of the WEF nexus; 2) description of the hydrologic response of the river basin case studies to the forcing of climate and anthropogenic controls; 3) description of the river corridor response (stream, river-aquifer exchange, riparian and aquatic ecosystems) to alternative hydropower operational strategies, streamflow regulation policies and irrigation-dependent water abstractions.

Water quality response in the Omo River to reservoir management scenarios

Description of water quality response to different hydropower operation rules and water intake scenarios.

Models of environmental policy in the Omo and Zambezi river basins

Description of heuristic and governance models that relate management strategies (e.g., exploitation, conservation) of natural resources (e.g., land, ecosystems) to socio-economic benefits and sustainable development, and of their application to the Omo and Zambezi case studies.

Exposure space and failure conditions

Report providing the definition of the exposure space (with respect to socio-economic and climate drivers) and the identification of different failure conditions (thresholds on selected indicators).

Agricultural productivity in the Omo and Zambezi river basins

Spatially and temporally referenced database with report on agricultural productivities modelled for all relevant combinations of crop, climate, soil and field management in the two river basins.

Key ecosystems and ecosystem services in the Omo and Zambezi river basins

Characterisation of the response (criteria and indicators) of key selected terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems to climate and water availability forcing and model-based quantification of ecosystem services.

Final open data geo-information portal

Launch of the final version of the geo-information portal containing more advanced functionalities and the open data repository populated by the main datasets and results produced by the project, as well as documentation of approaches and tools for replicability.

Publications

How does uncertainty affect cooperation strategies in transboundary water resources systems? A case study on the Zambezi River Basin

Author(s): Cazzaniga, S.; Bertoni, F.; Giuliani, M.; Castelletti, A.
Published in: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Issue Vol. 21 EGU General Assembly 2019, 2019
Publisher: POLIMI

Variability in suspended sediment concentration: the effect of spatially distributed rainfall and surface erodibility, and hillslope connectivity in sediment transport

Author(s): Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar and Paolo Burlando
Published in: 2019
Publisher: Geophysical Research Abstracts

Optimal Infrastructure Sequencing and Management in the Zambezi River Basin

Author(s): Zatarain, J.; Bertoni, F.; Giuliani, M.; Castelletti, A.
Published in: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Issue Vol. 21 EGU General Assembly 2019, 2019
Publisher: POLIMI

Solute generation and C-Q relations: is solute input frequency or depth of solute generation the key-player?

Author(s): Martina Botter, Paolo Burlando and Simone fatichi
Published in: 2019
Publisher: Swiss Geoscience Meeting

A spatially distributed numerical model for simulating sediment connectivity at the catchment scale

Author(s): Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar e Paolo Burlando
Published in: 2018
Publisher: Swiss Geoscience Meeting

Including localized sediment sources in catchment-scale sediment production and transport modelling

Author(s): Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar, Fritz Schlunegger and Paolo Burlando
Published in: 2019
Publisher: American Geophysical Union

Timing and Vertical Distribution of Solute Input Drive Concentration-Discharge Relations

Author(s): Martina Botter, Paolo Burlado and Simone Fatichi
Published in: 2019
Publisher: American Geophysical Union

Optimal Infrastructure Expansion Sequencing and Management to Meet Water, Food and Energy Demands in the Zambezi River Basin

Author(s): Zatarain Salazar, J; Bertoni, F; Giuliani, M; Castelletti, A; Micotti, M
Published in: AGU Fall Meeting 2019, 2019
Publisher: POLIMI

Anthropogenic and catchment characteristics signatures in the water quality of Swiss rivers: a quantitative assessment

Author(s): Martina Botter, Simone Fatichi and Paolo Burlando
Published in: 2019
Publisher: Water-Earth-System PhD Conference

Exploring how reservoir design and operational trade-offs are shaped by information feedbacks

Author(s): Bertoni, F.; Castelletti, A.; Giuliani, M.; Reed, P. M.
Published in: AGU Fall Meeting 2019, 2019
Publisher: POLIMI

Heavily data-constrained mechanistic ecohydrological modeling can guide management of pre-Alpine grasslands in the present and future climate

Author(s): Martina Botter, Matthias Zeeman, Paolo Burlando and Simone Fatichi
Published in: 2020
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-18266

Diffused and localised sediment production processes in a distributed transport model

Author(s): Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar, Fritz Schlunegger and Paolo Burlando
Published in: 2020
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-7671

Vertical distribution of solute input shapes concentration-discharge relations

Author(s): Paolo Burlando, Martina Botter, Li Li, Hartmann Jens and Simone Fatichi
Published in: 2020
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-8930

Modeling the Hydrological Regime of Turkana Lake (Kenya, Ethiopia) by Combining Spatially Distributed Hydrological Modeling and Remote Sensing Datasets

Author(s): Daniela Anghileri, Alexandra Kaelin, Nadav Peleg, Simone Fatichi, Peter Molnar, Clément Roques, Laurent Longuevergne, Paolo Burlando
Published in: 2017
Publisher: AGU Fall Meeting

Reconciling artisanal gold mining with sustainable development: insights from participatory video in central Mozambique

Author(s): Dondeyne, S.; Ndunguru, E.; Van Orshoven, J.
Published in: International Conference on Geology, Mining, Mineral and Groundwater Resources of Sub-Saharan Africa: Opportunities and Challenges Ahead, 2017
Publisher: n.a.

An inverse nested approach to optimize planning and operation of water reservoir systems

Author(s): Federica Bertoni, Matteo Giuliani, Andrea Castelletti
Published in: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Issue Vol. 20, EGU2018-9076, 2018
Publisher: EGU General Assembly

Integrated water-energy system modelling for optimal hydropower production planning under changing climate in the Zambezi River

Author(s): Angelo Carlino, Federica Bertoni, Andrea Castelletti
Published in: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Issue Vol. 20, EGU2018-9171, 2018
Publisher: EGU General Assembly

Integrating operation design into infrastructure planning to foster robustness of planned water systems

Author(s): Federica Bertoni, Matteo Giuliani, Andrea Castelletti
Published in: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Issue Vol. 19, EGU2017-18888, 2017
Publisher: EGU General Assembly 2017

Economically efficient and socially inclusive river basin development: does a balance exist?

Author(s): Castelletti, A; Zaniolo, M; Giuliani, M.; Kleinschroth, Fritz; Sinclair, S.; Burlando, P.
Published in: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Issue Vol. 21 EGU General Assembly 2019, 2019
Publisher: POLIMI

A spatially distributed model for catchment sediment connectivity

Author(s): Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar and Paolo Burlando
Published in: 2018
Publisher: Water-Earth-Systems PhD conference

Solutes concentrations and C-Q relations across Swiss rivers: natural and anthropogenic drivers of solute export at the catchment scale

Author(s): Martina Botter, Paolo Burlando and Simone Fatichi
Published in: 2018
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000316111

Representing sediment buffers in spatially distributed modelling

Author(s): Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar, Fritz Schlunegger and Paolo Burlando
Published in: 2020
Publisher: Connectivity conversations

Evaluating trust and shared group identities in emergent social learning processes in the Zambezi river basin

Author(s): Caroline K. Lumosi, Claudia Pahl-Wostl, Geeske Scholz
Published in: Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Issue 7/1, 2020, ISSN 2662-9992
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1057/s41599-020-00669-7

Depth of Solute Generation Is a Dominant Control on Concentration‐Discharge Relations

Author(s): M. Botter, L. Li, J. Hartmann, P. Burlando, S. Fatichi
Published in: Water Resources Research, Issue 56/8, 2020, ISSN 0043-1397
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019WR026695

Sixty years since the creation of Lake Kariba: Thermal and oxygen dynamics in the riverine and lacustrine sub-basins

Author(s): Elisa Calamita, Martin Schmid, Manuel Kunz, Mzime Regina Ndebele-Murisa, Christopher H. D. Magadza, Imasiku Nyambe, Bernhard Wehrli
Published in: PLOS ONE, Issue 14/11, 2019, Page(s) e0224679, ISSN 1932-6203
Publisher: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0224679

Can ‘learning spaces’ shape transboundary management processes? Evaluating emergent social learning processes in the Zambezi basin

Author(s): Caroline K. Lumosi, Claudia Pahl-Wostl, Geeske Scholz
Published in: Environmental Science & Policy, Issue 97, 2019, Page(s) 67-77, ISSN 1462-9011
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2019.04.005

Downscaling climate projections over large and data sparse regions: Methodological application in the Zambezi River Basin

Author(s): Nadav Peleg, Scott Sinclair, Simone Fatichi, Paolo Burlando
Published in: International Journal of Climatology, 2020, ISSN 0899-8418
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6578

Potential of aquatic weeds to improve water quality in natural waterways of the Zambezi catchment

Author(s): R. Scott Winton, Fritz Kleinschroth, Elisa Calamita, Martina Botter, Cristian R. Teodoru, Imasiku Nyambe, Bernhard Wehrli
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-72499-1

Living with floating vegetation invasions

Author(s): Fritz Kleinschroth, R. Scott Winton, Elisa Calamita, Fabian Niggemann, Martina Botter, Bernhard Wehrli, Jaboury Ghazoul
Published in: Ambio, 2020, ISSN 0044-7447
Publisher: Kungliga Vetenskapsakademien/Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1007/s13280-020-01360-6

Impacts of fertilisation on grassland productivity and water quality across the European Alps: insights from a mechanistic model

Author(s): Botter, Martina; Zeeman, Matthias; Burlando, Paolo; Fatichi, Simone
Published in: Biogeosciences Discussion, Issue 2, 2020, ISSN 1726-4170
Publisher: European Geosciences Union (EGU).
DOI: 10.5194/bg-2020-294

Modelling localized sources of sediment in mountain catchments for provenance studies

Author(s): Giulia Battista, Fritz Schlunegger, Paolo Burlando, Peter Molnar
Published in: Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 2020, ISSN 0197-9337
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/esp.4979

Modelling impacts of spatially variable erosion drivers on suspended sediment dynamics

Author(s): Giulia Battista, Peter Molnar, Paolo Burlando
Published in: Earth Surface Dynamics, Issue 8/3, 2020, Page(s) 619-635, ISSN 2196-632X
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esurf-8-619-2020

Reviews and syntheses: Dams, water quality and tropical reservoir stratification

Author(s): Winton, Robert Scott; Calamita, Elisa; Wehrli, Bernhard
Published in: Biogeosciences, Vol 16, Pp 1657-1671 (2019), Issue 4, 2019, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-2018-510

Out of Sight, Not Out of Mind: Developments in Economic Models of Groundwater Management

Author(s): Phoebe Koundouri, Catarina Roseta-Palma, Nikolaos Englezos
Published in: International Review of Environmental and Resource Economics, Issue 11/1, 2017, Page(s) 55-96, ISSN 1932-1473
Publisher: now publishers inc.
DOI: 10.1561/101.00000091

To be a responsible researcher, reach out and listen

Author(s): Elisabeth Pain
Published in: Science, 2017, ISSN 0036-8075
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.caredit.a1700006

Conjunctive management of surface and groundwater in transboundary watercourses: a first assessment

Author(s): Jonathan Lautze, Bunyod Holmatov, Davison Saruchera, Karen G. Villholth
Published in: Water Policy, Issue 20/1, 2018, Page(s) 1-20, ISSN 1366-7017
Publisher: International Water Association Publishing
DOI: 10.2166/wp.2018.033

Robustness Metrics: How Are They Calculated, When Should They Be Used and Why Do They Give Different Results?

Author(s): C. McPhail, H. R. Maier, J. H. Kwakkel, M. Giuliani, A. Castelletti, S. Westra
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 6/2, 2018, Page(s) 169-191, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU Publications
DOI: 10.1002/2017EF000649

Scalable Multiobjective Control for Large-Scale Water Resources Systems Under Uncertainty

Author(s): Matteo Giuliani, Julianne D. Quinn, Jonathan D. Herman, Andrea Castelletti, Patrick M. Reed
Published in: IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology, 2017, Page(s) 1-8, ISSN 1063-6536
Publisher: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
DOI: 10.1109/TCST.2017.2705162

Rival framings: A framework for discovering how problem formulation uncertainties shape risk management trade-offs in water resources systems

Author(s): J. D. Quinn, P. M. Reed, M. Giuliani, A. Castelletti
Published in: Water Resources Research, Issue 53/8, 2017, Page(s) 7208-7233, ISSN 0043-1397
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017WR020524

Scenario-based fitted Q-iteration for adaptive control of water reservoir systems under uncertainty

Author(s): Federica Bertoni, Matteo Giuliani, Andrea Castelletti
Published in: IFAC-PapersOnLine, Issue 50/1, 2017, Page(s) 3183-3188, ISSN 2405-8963
Publisher: IFAC Papers Online
DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2017.08.340

Anthropogenic and catchment characteristic signatures in the water quality of Swiss rivers: a quantitative assessment

Author(s): Martina Botter, Paolo Burlando, Simone Fatichi
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 23/4, 2019, Page(s) 1885-1904, ISSN 1607-7938
Publisher: Copernicus Publisher
DOI: 10.5194/hess-23-1885-2019

Small hydropower goes unchecked

Author(s): Katharina Lange, Bernhard Wehrli, Ulrika Åberg, Nico Bätz, Jakob Brodersen, Manuel Fischer, Virgilio Hermoso, Cathy Reidy Liermann, Martin Schmid, Lisa Wilmsmeier, Christine Weber
Published in: Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, Issue 17/5, 2019, Page(s) 256-258, ISSN 1540-9295
Publisher: Ecological Society of America
DOI: 10.1002/fee.2049

Reconciling certification and intact forest landscape conservation

Author(s): Fritz Kleinschroth, Claude Garcia, Jaboury Ghazoul
Published in: Ambio, Issue 48/2, 2019, Page(s) 153-159, ISSN 0044-7447
Publisher: Kungliga Vetenskapsakademien/Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1007/s13280-018-1063-6

Dams can mimic the free flow of rivers, but risks must be managed

Author(s): Matthew McCartney and Fritz Kleinschroth
Published in: The Conversation, 2019, ISSN 2201-5639
Publisher: The conversation

Life on Land

Author(s): Odada,E.O and Ochola, S.O
Published in: Geosciences and the Sustainable Development Goals, 2021, Page(s) Chapter 15;1-24, ISBN 978-3-030-38814-0
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-38815-7

Economic instruments, behaviour and incentives in groundwater management

Author(s): P. Koundouri, E. Akinsete, N. Englezos, X.I. Kartala, I. Souliotis, J. Adler
Published in: Advances in Groundwater Governance, Issue Karen G. Villholth, Elena Lopez-Gunn, Kirstin Conti, Alberto Garrido, Jac Van Der Gun, 2017, ISBN 9781-351808415
Publisher: CRC Press

International Law developments on the Sharing of Blue Nile Waters: a fairness perspective

Author(s): Zeray Yihdego, Alistair Rieu-Clarke
Published in: The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and the Nile Basin: Implications for Transboundary Water Cooperation, 2017, ISBN 9781-138064898
Publisher: Routledge

Solute export dynamics across scales – From data-based diagnosis to mechanistic modelling predictions

Author(s): Martina Botter
Published in: 2020
Publisher: ETH Zurich

Shaping Transboundary Water Governance - How Learning Spaces Shape Transboundary River Basin Management Practices and Processes in the Omo-Turkana and Zambezi River Basins

Author(s): Lumosi, C. K.
Published in: 2020
Publisher: Osnabrück University

Impact of the Itezhi-Tezhi reservoir on dissolved oxygen and greenhouse gas dynamics in the Kafue River, Zambia

Author(s): Muyumbana Namakau
Published in: 2019
Publisher: IHE Delft

The Zambezi River Basin. Water and sustainable development

Author(s): Jonathan Lautze, Zebediah Phiri, Vladimir Smakhtin, Davison Saruchera
Published in: 2017, ISBN 9781-315282046
Publisher: Routledge

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and the Nile Basin: Implications for Transboundary Water Cooperation

Author(s): Zeray Yihdego, Alistair Rieu-Clarke, Ana Elisa Cascão
Published in: 2017, ISBN 9781-138064898
Publisher: Routledge

Dams can mimic the free flow of rivers, but risks must be managed

Author(s): Matthew McCartney and Fritz Kleinschroth
Published in: 2019
Publisher: Thrive Blog

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