Obiettivo
The Arctic is engaged in a deep climatic evolution. This evolution is quite predictable at short (year) and longer scales (several decades), but it is the decadal intermediate scale that is the most difficult to predict. This is because the natural variability of the system is large and dominant at this scale, and the system is highly non linear due to positive and negative feedback between sea ice, the ocean and atmosphere.
Already today, due to the increase of the GHG concentration in the atmosphere and the amplification of global warming in the Arctic, the impacts of climate change in the region are apparent, e.g. in the reduction in sea ice, in changes in weather patterns and cyclones or in the melting of glaciers and permafrost. It is therefore not surprising that models clearly predict that Artic sea ice will disappear in summer within 20 or 30 years, yielding new opportunities and risks for human activities in the Arctic.
This climatic evolution is going to have strong impacts on both marine ecosystems and human activities in the Arctic. This in turn has large socio-economic implications for Europe. ACCESS will evaluate climatic impacts in the Arctic on marine transportation (including tourism), fisheries, marine mammals and the extraction of hydrocarbons for the next 20 years; with particular attention to environmental sensitivities and sustainability. These meso-economic issues will be extended to the macro-economic scale in order to highlight trans-sectoral implications and provide an integrated assessment of the socio-economic impact of climate change. An important aspect of ACCESS, given the geostrategic implication of Arctic state changes, will be the consideration of Arctic governance issues, including the framework UNCLOS (United Nations Convention for the Law of the Sea). ACCESS dedicates a full work package to integrate Arctic climate changes, socioeconomic impacts and Arctic governance issues.
Campo scientifico
- natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic zones
- natural sciencesbiological scienceszoologymammalogycetology
- natural scienceschemical sciencesorganic chemistryhydrocarbons
- natural sciencesbiological sciencesecologyecosystems
- natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes
Argomento(i)
Invito a presentare proposte
FP7-OCEAN-2010
Vedi altri progetti per questo bando
Meccanismo di finanziamento
CP-IP - Large-scale integrating projectCoordinatore
75252 PARIS
Francia
Mostra sulla mappa
Partecipanti (28)
Partecipazione conclusa
9291 TROMSO
Mostra sulla mappa
20249 Hamburg
Mostra sulla mappa
SN2 1EU SWINDON WILTSHIRE
Mostra sulla mappa
24105 Kiel
Mostra sulla mappa
CB2 1TN Cambridge
Mostra sulla mappa
27570 Bremerhaven
Mostra sulla mappa
22927 GROSSHANSDORF
Mostra sulla mappa
9291 Tromso
Mostra sulla mappa
22305 Hamburg
Mostra sulla mappa
9296 Tromsoe
Mostra sulla mappa
0313 Oslo
Mostra sulla mappa
22767 HAMBURG
Mostra sulla mappa
PA37 1QA Dunbeg Oban
Mostra sulla mappa
104 05 Stockholm
Mostra sulla mappa
117997 MOSKVA
Mostra sulla mappa
20354 HAMBURG
Mostra sulla mappa
08034 Barcelona
Mostra sulla mappa
51147 Koln
Mostra sulla mappa
199397 SAINT PETERSBURG
Mostra sulla mappa
D02 K138 Dublin
Mostra sulla mappa
96101 Rovaniemi
Mostra sulla mappa
7465 TRONDHEIM
Mostra sulla mappa
0349 Oslo
Mostra sulla mappa
7034 Trondheim
Mostra sulla mappa
50827 Koln
Mostra sulla mappa
75013 PARIS
Mostra sulla mappa
Partecipazione conclusa
28199 Bremen
Mostra sulla mappa
2900 HELLERUP
Mostra sulla mappa