Descripción del proyecto
Identificación de refugios climáticos para la conservación de mariposas
Aún se desconocen aspectos de la ecología y la distribución de los insectos polinizadores, sobre todo en lo que respecta a las condiciones climáticas futuras. El proyecto financiado con fondos europeos PROBAE abordará esta laguna del conocimiento al crear un marco para identificar áreas prioritarias para la conservación de los insectos polinizadores en Europa. Se centrará en las mariposas y los refugios de cambio climático, que aumentarán la probabilidad de que las especies perduren en las condiciones climáticas futuras. Utilizarán datos sobre la distribución de las mariposas europeas y nuevos métodos de modelización para identificar focos de biodiversidad. También evaluarán si los bosques pueden aumentar la persistencia de mariposas amenazadas por el cambio climático y determinarán qué áreas deben priorizarse para proteger los refugios de cambio climático en toda la Unión Europea.
Objetivo
Biodiversity is the essential foundation that supports prosperous human societies. Yet, current rates of human-driven changes in climate and habitats define the Anthropocene as one of the most catastrophic times for species on our planet. Reversing declines in pollinator insects, a necessary component of healthy and productive ecosystems, is a priority in the EU Biodiversity Strategy for 2030 and Pollinators Initiative. Yet, several gaps remain in our understanding of the ecology and distributions of these taxa, particularly in relation to future climatic conditions.
PROBAE (PROtect Butterflies Across Europe through climate refugia) defines a novel framework to identify areas of conservation priority for pollinator insects across Europe, focussing on butterflies and climate change refugia, i.e. areas that will increase the likelihood of species’ persistence in future climatic conditions. I will use extensive spatio-temporal data on the distribution of European butterflies and novel modelling approaches to: (i) identify high-resolution hotspots of taxonomic, functional, and phylogenetic diversity by integrating expert maps and monitoring data; (ii) assess if forests can increase the persistence of threatened butterflies in the face of climate change; (iii) determine which areas should be prioritized to protect climate change refugia across the EU.
PROBAE synthesizes concepts from population ecology, biogeography, biodiversity science, and conservation planning. By developing this innovative project, I will train skills that will allow me to establish as an independent researcher (e.g. Bayesian hierarchical modelling, conservation biogeography, analysis of big data), while networking with leading experts in the fields of landscape ecology, macroecology, and global change biology. The outcomes of PROBAE will inform actions related to the EU Biodiversity Strategy for 2030, and contribute broadly to the Horizon 2020 objective of achieving a climate resilient future.
Ámbito científico
Not validated
Not validated
- natural sciencesbiological sciencesecologylandscape ecology
- natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesenvironmental sciencessustainability sciences
- natural sciencesbiological sciencesecologyecosystems
- natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes
- natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesphysical geography
Palabras clave
Programa(s)
Régimen de financiación
MSCA-IF - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Individual Fellowships (IF)Coordinador
1015 LAUSANNE
Suiza