Project description
Strategies to respond to global temperature overshooting risks
Overshooting temperature threshold targets included in the Paris Agreement is a hot issue. The impacts of such overshoot scenarios would be particularly consequential for vulnerable regions and systems where thresholds of abrupt and possibly irreversible shifts or adaptation limits may be exceeded. The EU-funded PROVIDE project will develop innovative, integrative climate services that incorporate information on impacts of overshoot pathways from the global to the regional and urban level, directly feeding into adaptation action. Bringing together a consortium of leading climate scientists, as well as climate services purveyors, urban planners and adaptation experts, the project will identify overshoot adaptation needs and develop a generalisation methodology for adaptation strategies to respond to overshoot risks.
Objective
Overshooting the Paris Agreement temperature thresholds is a distinct possibility. The impacts of such overshoot scenarios would materialise globally, but be particularly consequential for vulnerable regions and systems for which thresholds of abrupt and possibly irreversible shifts or adaptation limits may be exceeded. A full consideration of impacts and adaptation needs under overshoot scenarios thus requires a risk threshold perspective integrating emission pathways, earth system feedbacks, regional to local impacts, and context-specific vulnerabilities.
To address that challenge, PROVIDE will deliver highly innovative, integrative climate services that incorporate comprehensive information on impacts under overshoot pathways from the global to the regional and urban level, directly feeding into adaptation action. The project specifically aims to: 1) Produce global multi-scenario, multi-sectoral climate information which integrates and quantifies impacts across scales by means of novel climate and impact emulators; 2) Assess climate system uncertainties and feedbacks, and the (ir)reversibility of climate impacts to provide comprehensive risk assessments of overshooting; 3) Co-develop a generalisable overshoot proofing methodology for adaptation strategies to enhance adaptation action in response to overshoot risks; 4) Identify and prioritise overshoot adaptation needs in four highly complementary case study regions; 5) Integrate all project outcomes into a PROVIDE Climate Service Dashboard. The Dashboard will be designed to complement established climate service platforms and will be widely disseminated to foster uptake and sustainable use across all stakeholder groups addressed. The PROVIDE consortium is constituted of leading climate scientists as well as climate services purveyors, urban planners and adaptation experts embedded in selected case study regions facilitating a continuous co-development process with a wide array of stakeholders.
Fields of science
Keywords
Programme(s)
Funding Scheme
RIA - Research and Innovation actionCoordinator
10117 Berlin
Germany
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Participants (18)
10969 Berlin
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The organization defined itself as SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) at the time the Grant Agreement was signed.
2400 Mol
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1000 Bruxelles / Brussel
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0349 Oslo
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75015 PARIS 15
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Participation ended
75794 Paris
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1749 016 Lisbon
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44000 Islamabad
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8092 Zuerich
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3012 Bern
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SW7 2AZ LONDON
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Legal entity established in a non-associated third country that is not eligible for funding under Article 10 of the Regulation (EU) No 1290/2013 laying down the rules for participation and dissemination in Horizon 2020.
3070 Northcote
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The organization defined itself as SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) at the time the Grant Agreement was signed.
6020 Innsbruck
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NR4 7TJ Norwich
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80333 Munchen
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8049 Bodo
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V6T1Z1 Vancouver
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20148 Hamburg
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