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Coordinated Research in Earth Systems and Climate: Experiments, kNowledge, Dissemination and Outreach

Deliverables

Report detailing the ERFs for natural and anthropogenic forcing agents in ESMs and the Climate feedback matrix
Report of new bias-correction method, with code made publicly available
Report on the contribution of heterogeneous forcing agents to historical climate change
Report describing improved representation of terrestrial processes in European ESMs

Report describing key improvements in the representation of terrestrial processes in European ESMs participating in CMIP6

Report on the traceability of performance and projection response of ESMs as a function of model resolution and/or Earth system process complexity
Report describing improved representation of natural aerosol and trace gas processes and couplings in European ESMs

Report describing key improvements in the representation of natural aerosol and trace gas processes and couplings in European ESMs participating in CMIP6

ESMValTool automated testing and reporting package
Guidance notes directed to the regional climate downscaling and impact modelling communities on accessing best practices for CRESCENDO/CMIP6 ESM simulation data
Evaluation of aerosol and trace gas processes in the 1st set of simulations made with project models
Best practice guide on the use of bias-correction methods and associated ESM data in climate impacts modelling
Project communication plan
Report on the sensitivity of aerosol radiative forcing to improvements and uncertainty in the representation of the pre-industrial aerosol state
Report on process level evaluation of marine improvements in European ESMs

Report on process level evaluation of marine improvements in European ESMs participating in CMIP6

Report describing the new IAM scenarios as part of the CMIP6 ScenarioMIP data
Report on process level evaluation of terrestrial improvements in European ESMs

Report on process level evaluation of terrestrial improvements in European ESMs participating in CMIP6

Constraining allowable emissions necessary for achieving 1.5 and 2C global mean warming relative to pre-industrial conditions
Report on the best use of scenarioMIP output for impacts research and policy guidance
Report describing improved marine process in European ESMs

Report describing key improvements in the representation of marine process in European ESMs particpating in CMIP6

Report on process-level evaluation of aerosol and trace gas improvements in European ESMs

Report on process-level evaluation of aerosol and trace gas improvements in European ESMs participating in CMIP6

Evaluation of marine processes in the 1st set of simulations made with project models
Paper on the theoretical basis for emergent constraints
Synthesis Report on new emergent constraints and key aspects of current climate that determine the fidelity of climate projections
Report on the weighting of CMIP6/CRESCENDO projections
Evaluation of terrestrial processes in the 1st set of simulations made with project models.

Publications

Reappraisal of the Climate Impacts of Ozone‐Depleting Substances

Author(s): Olaf Morgenstern, Fiona M. O'Connor, Ben T. Johnson, Guang Zeng, Jane P. Mulcahy, Jonny Williams, João Teixeira, Martine Michou, Pierre Nabat, Larry W. Horowitz, Vaishali Naik, Lori T. Sentman, Makoto Deushi, Susanne E. Bauer, Kostas Tsigaridis, Drew T. Shindell, Douglas E. Kinnison
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/20, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl088295

Evaluating the physical and biogeochemical state of the global ocean component of UKESM1 in CMIP6 historical simulations

Author(s): Andrew Yool, Julien Palmiéri, Colin G. Jones, Lee de Mora, Till Kuhlbrodt, Ekatarina E. Popova, A. J. George Nurser, Joel Hirschi, Adam T. Blaker, Andrew C. Coward, Edward W. Blockley, Alistair A. Sellar
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 14/6, 2021, Page(s) 3437-3472, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-3437-2021

Presentation and Evaluation of the IPSL‐CM6A‐LR Climate Model

Author(s): Olivier Boucher, Jérôme Servonnat, Anna Lea Albright, Olivier Aumont, Yves Balkanski, Vladislav Bastrikov, Slimane Bekki, Rémy Bonnet, Sandrine Bony, Laurent Bopp, Pascale Braconnot, Patrick Brockmann, Patricia Cadule, Arnaud Caubel, Frederique Cheruy, Francis Codron, Anne Cozic, David Cugnet, Fabio D'Andrea, Paolo Davini, Casimir Lavergne, Sébastien Denvil, Julie Deshayes, Marion Devilliers,
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 12/7, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms002010

Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change

Author(s): Lukas Gudmundsson, Julien Boulange, Hong X. Do, Simon N. Gosling, Manolis G. Grillakis, Aristeidis G. Koutroulis, Michael Leonard, Junguo Liu, Hannes Müller Schmied, Lamprini Papadimitriou, Yadu Pokhrel, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Yusuke Satoh, Wim Thiery, Seth Westra, Xuebin Zhang, Fang Zhao
Published in: Science, Issue 371/6534, 2021, Page(s) 1159-1162, ISSN 0036-8075
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.aba3996

Advancing Research for Seamless Earth System Prediction

Author(s): Paolo M. Ruti, Oksana Tarasova, Julia H. Keller, Greg Carmichael, Øystein Hov, Sarah C. Jones, Deon Terblanche, Cheryl Anderson-Lefale, Ana P. Barros, Peter Bauer, Véronique Bouchet, Guy Brasseur, Gilbert Brunet, Phil DeCola, Victor Dike, Mariane Diop Kane, Christopher Gan, Kevin R. Gurney, Steven Hamburg, Wilco Hazeleger, Michel Jean, David Johnston, Alastair Lewis, Peter Li, Xudong Liang, Vale
Published in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Issue 101/1, 2020, Page(s) E23-E35, ISSN 0003-0007
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-17-0302.1

Historical Simulations With HadGEM3‐GC3.1 for CMIP6

Author(s): Martin B. Andrews, Jeff K. Ridley, Richard A. Wood, Timothy Andrews, Edward W. Blockley, Ben Booth, Eleanor Burke, Andrea J. Dittus, Piotr Florek, Lesley J. Gray, Stephen Haddad, Steven C. Hardiman, Leon Hermanson, Dan Hodson, Emma Hogan, Gareth S. Jones, Jeff R. Knight, Till Kuhlbrodt, Stergios Misios, Matthew S. Mizielinski, Mark A. Ringer, Jon Robson, Rowan T. Sutton
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 12/6, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001995

JULES-BE: representation of bioenergy crops and harvesting in the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator vn5.1

Author(s): Emma W. Littleton, Anna B. Harper, Naomi E. Vaughan, Rebecca J. Oliver, Maria Carolina Duran-Rojas, Timothy M. Lenton
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/3, 2020, Page(s) 1123-1136, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-1123-2020

A comprehensive quantification of global nitrous oxide sources and sinks

Author(s): Hanqin Tian, Rongting Xu, Josep G. Canadell, Rona L. Thompson, Wilfried Winiwarter, Parvadha Suntharalingam, Eric A. Davidson, Philippe Ciais, Robert B. Jackson, Greet Janssens-Maenhout, Michael J. Prather, Pierre Regnier, Naiqing Pan, Shufen Pan, Glen P. Peters, Hao Shi, Francesco N. Tubiello, Sönke Zaehle, Feng Zhou, Almut Arneth, Gianna Battaglia, Sarah Berthet, Laurent Bopp, Alexander F. Bouw
Published in: Nature, Issue 586/7828, 2020, Page(s) 248-256, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2780-0

Role of jellyfish in the plankton ecosystem revealed using a global ocean biogeochemical model

Author(s): Rebecca M. Wright, Corinne Le Quéré, Erik Buitenhuis, Sophie Pitois, Mark J. Gibbons
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 18/4, 2021, Page(s) 1291-1320, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-1291-2021

Effective radiative forcing from emissions of reactive gases and aerosols – a multi-model comparison

Author(s): Gillian D. Thornhill, William J. Collins, Ryan J. Kramer, Dirk Olivié, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Fiona M. O'Connor, Nathan Luke Abraham, Ramiro Checa-Garcia, Susanne E. Bauer, Makoto Deushi, Louisa K. Emmons, Piers M. Forster, Larry W. Horowitz, Ben Johnson, James Keeble, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Martine Michou, Michael J. Mills, Jane P. Mulcahy, Gunnar Myhre, Pierre Nabat, Vaishali Naik, Naga Oshima, Mi
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 21/2, 2021, Page(s) 853-874, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-853-2021

An explicit estimate of the atmospheric nutrient impact on global oceanic productivity

Author(s): Stelios Myriokefalitakis, Matthias Gröger, Jenny Hieronymus, Ralf Döscher
Published in: Ocean Science, Issue 16/5, 2020, Page(s) 1183-1205, ISSN 1812-0792
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/os-16-1183-2020

Improved Near‐Surface Continental Climate in IPSL‐CM6A‐LR by Combined Evolutions of Atmospheric and Land Surface Physics

Author(s): Frédérique Cheruy, Agnès Ducharne, Frédéric Hourdin, Ionela Musat, Étienne Vignon, Guillaume Gastineau, Vladislav Bastrikov, Nicolas Vuichard, Binta Diallo, Jean‐Louis Dufresne, Josefine Ghattas, Jean‐Yves Grandpeix, Abderrahmane Idelkadi, Lidia Mellul, Fabienne Maignan, Martin Ménégoz, Catherine Ottlé, Philippe Peylin, Jérôme Servonnat, Fuxing Wang, Yanfeng Zhao
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 12/10, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms002005

Global Carbon Budget 2020

Author(s): Pierre Friedlingstein, Michael O'Sullivan, Matthew W. Jones, Robbie M. Andrew, Judith Hauck, Are Olsen, Glen P. Peters, Wouter Peters, Julia Pongratz, Stephen Sitch, Corinne Le Quéré, Josep G. Canadell, Philippe Ciais, Robert B. Jackson, Simone Alin, Luiz E. O. C. Aragão, Almut Arneth, Vivek Arora, Nicholas R. Bates, Meike Becker, Alice Benoit-Cattin, Henry C. Bittig, Laurent Bopp, Selma Bultan
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 12/4, 2020, Page(s) 3269-3340, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-3269-2020

Plant phenology evaluation of CRESCENDO land surface models – Part 1: Start and end of the growing season

Author(s): Daniele Peano, Deborah Hemming, Stefano Materia, Christine Delire, Yuanchao Fan, Emilie Joetzjer, Hanna Lee, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Taejin Park, Philippe Peylin, David Wårlind, Andy Wiltshire, Sönke Zaehle
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 18/7, 2021, Page(s) 2405-2428, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-2405-2021

Evaluation of Data‐Based Estimates of Anthropogenic Carbon in the Arctic Ocean

Author(s): J. Terhaar, T. Tanhua, T. Stöven, J. C. Orr, L. Bopp
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Issue 125/6, 2020, ISSN 2169-9275
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.1029/2020jc016124

The physics of climate variability and climate change

Author(s): Michael Ghil, Valerio Lucarini
Published in: Reviews of Modern Physics, Issue 92/3, 2020, ISSN 0034-6861
Publisher: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/revmodphys.92.035002

Historical total ozone radiative forcing derived from CMIP6 simulations

Author(s): Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie, Gunnar Myhre, Øivind Hodnebrog, Philip J. Cameron-Smith, Makoto Deushi, Michaela I. Hegglin, Larry W. Horowitz, Ryan J. Kramer, Martine Michou, Michael J. Mills, Dirk J. L. Olivié, Fiona M. O’ Connor, David Paynter, Bjørn H. Samset, Alistair Sellar, Drew Shindell, Toshihiko Takemura, Simone Tilmes, Tongwen Wu
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Issue 3/1, 2020, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-00131-0

Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6

Author(s): Roland Séférian, Sarah Berthet, Andrew Yool, Julien Palmiéri, Laurent Bopp, Alessandro Tagliabue, Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Aumont, James Christian, John Dunne, Marion Gehlen, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G. John, Hongmei Li, Matthew C. Long, Jessica Y. Luo, Hideyuki Nakano, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Charles Stock, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Yohei Takano, Jerry Tjiputra, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Mic
Published in: Current Climate Change Reports, 2020, ISSN 2198-6061
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0

WFDE5: bias-adjusted ERA5 reanalysis data for impact studies

Author(s): Marco Cucchi, Graham P. Weedon, Alessandro Amici, Nicolas Bellouin, Stefan Lange, Hannes Müller Schmied, Hans Hersbach, Carlo Buontempo
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 12/3, 2020, Page(s) 2097-2120, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-2097-2020

Climate change reduces winter overland travel across the Pan-Arctic even under low-end global warming scenarios

Author(s): Anne Gädeke, Moritz Langer, Julia Boike, Eleanor J Burke, Jinfeng Chang, Melissa Head, Christopher P O Reyer, Sibyll Schaphoff, Wim Thiery, Kirsten Thonicke
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 16/2, 2021, Page(s) 024049, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abdcf2

Tropospheric ozone in CMIP6 simulations

Author(s): Paul T. Griffiths, Lee T. Murray, Guang Zeng, Youngsub Matthew Shin, N. Luke Abraham, Alexander T. Archibald, Makoto Deushi, Louisa K. Emmons, Ian E. Galbally, Birgit Hassler, Larry W. Horowitz, James Keeble, Jane Liu, Omid Moeini, Vaishali Naik, Fiona M. O'Connor, Naga Oshima, David Tarasick, Simone Tilmes, Steven T. Turnock, Oliver Wild, Paul J. Young, Prodromos Zanis
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 21/5, 2021, Page(s) 4187-4218, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-4187-2021

The Global Distribution of Biological Nitrogen Fixation in Terrestrial Natural Ecosystems

Author(s): T. Davies‐Barnard, P. Friedlingstein
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 34/3, 2020, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gb006387

Emergent constraint on Arctic Ocean acidification in the twenty-first century

Author(s): Jens Terhaar, Lester Kwiatkowski, Laurent Bopp
Published in: Nature, Issue 582/7812, 2020, Page(s) 379-383, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2360-3

Regional variation in the effectiveness of methane-based and land-based climate mitigation options

Author(s): Garry D. Hayman, Edward Comyn-Platt, Chris Huntingford, Anna B. Harper, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, William Collins, Christopher Webber, Jason Lowe, Stephen Sitch, Joanna I. House, Jonathan C. Doelman, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Sarah E. Chadburn, Eleanor Burke, Nicola Gedney
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 12/2, 2021, Page(s) 513-544, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-513-2021

Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – an extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP

Author(s): Veronika Eyring, Lisa Bock, Axel Lauer, Mattia Righi, Manuel Schlund, Bouwe Andela, Enrico Arnone, Omar Bellprat, Björn Brötz, Louis-Philippe Caron, Nuno Carvalhais, Irene Cionni, Nicola Cortesi, Bas Crezee, Edouard L. Davin, Paolo Davini, Kevin Debeire, Lee de Mora, Clara Deser, David Docquier, Paul Earnshaw, Carsten Ehbrecht, Bettina K. Gier, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Paul Goodman, Stefan Hagem
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/7, 2020, Page(s) 3383-3438, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-3383-2020

Trends in global tropospheric hydroxyl radical and methane lifetime since 1850 from AerChemMIP

Author(s): David S. Stevenson, Alcide Zhao, Vaishali Naik, Fiona M. O'Connor, Simone Tilmes, Guang Zeng, Lee T. Murray, William J. Collins, Paul T. Griffiths, Sungbo Shim, Larry W. Horowitz, Lori T. Sentman, Louisa Emmons
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 20/21, 2020, Page(s) 12905-12920, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-12905-2020

Constraining Uncertainty in Projected Gross Primary Production With Machine Learning

Author(s): Manuel Schlund, Veronika Eyring, Gustau Camps‐Valls, Pierre Friedlingstein, Pierre Gentine, Markus Reichstein
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Issue 125/11, 2020, ISSN 2169-8953
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2019jg005619

Emergent constraints on equilibrium climate sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?

Author(s): Manuel Schlund, Axel Lauer, Pierre Gentine, Steven C. Sherwood, Veronika Eyring
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/4, 2020, Page(s) 1233-1258, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-1233-2020

Ocean biogeochemistry in the Norwegian Earth System Model version 2 (NorESM2)

Author(s): Jerry F. Tjiputra, Jörg Schwinger, Mats Bentsen, Anne L. Morée, Shuang Gao, Ingo Bethke, Christoph Heinze, Nadine Goris, Alok Gupta, Yan-Chun He, Dirk Olivié, Øyvind Seland, Michael Schulz
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/5, 2020, Page(s) 2393-2431, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-2393-2020

Implementation of the CMIP6 Forcing Data in the IPSL‐CM6A‐LR Model

Author(s): Thibaut Lurton, Yves Balkanski, Vladislav Bastrikov, Slimane Bekki, Laurent Bopp, Pascale Braconnot, Patrick Brockmann, Patricia Cadule, Camille Contoux, Anne Cozic, David Cugnet, Jean‐Louis Dufresne, Christian Éthé, Marie‐Alice Foujols, Josefine Ghattas, Didier Hauglustaine, Rong‐Ming Hu, Masa Kageyama, Myriam Khodri, Nicolas Lebas, Guillaume Levavasseur, Marion Marchand, Catherine Ottlé
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 12/4, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001940

Meso‐scale contribution to air–sea turbulent fluxes at GCM scale

Author(s): Sébastien Blein, Romain Roehrig, Aurore Voldoire, Ghislain Faure
Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Issue 146/730, 2020, Page(s) 2466-2495, ISSN 0035-9009
Publisher: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3804

Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for extreme events, regional and impact evaluation, and analysis of Earth system models in CMIP

Author(s): Katja Weigel, Lisa Bock, Bettina K. Gier, Axel Lauer, Mattia Righi, Manuel Schlund, Kemisola Adeniyi, Bouwe Andela, Enrico Arnone, Peter Berg, Louis-Philippe Caron, Irene Cionni, Susanna Corti, Niels Drost, Alasdair Hunter, Llorenç Lledó, Christian Wilhelm Mohr, Aytaç Paçal, Núria Pérez-Zanón, Valeriu Predoi, Marit Sandstad, Jana Sillmann, Andreas Sterl, Javier Vegas-Regidor, Jost von Harde
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 14/6, 2021, Page(s) 3159-3184, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-3159-2021

Better representation of dust can improve climate models with too weak an African monsoon

Author(s): Yves Balkanski, Rémy Bonnet, Olivier Boucher, Ramiro Checa-Garcia, Jérôme Servonnat
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 21/14, 2021, Page(s) 11423-11435, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-11423-2021

Global stability properties of the climate: Melancholia states, invariant measures, and phase transitions

Author(s): Valerio Lucarini, Tamás Bódai
Published in: Nonlinearity, Issue 33/9, 2020, Page(s) R59-R92, ISSN 0951-7715
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1361-6544/ab86cc

Oceanic primary production decline halved in eddy-resolving simulations of global warming

Author(s): Damien Couespel, Marina Lévy, Laurent Bopp
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 18/14, 2021, Page(s) 4321-4349, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-4321-2021

predicting the variable ocean carbon sink

Author(s): Li, H.; Ilyina, T.; Müller, W. A.; Landschützer, P.
Published in: Science Advances, Issue 1, 2019, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: AAAS
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aav6471

Significant climate benefits from near-term climate forcer mitigation in spite of aerosol reductions

Author(s): Robert J. Allen, Larry W Horowitz, Vaishali Naik, Naga Oshima, Fiona M. O'Connor, Steven Turnock, Sungbo Shim, Philippe Le Sager, Twan van Noije, Kostas Tsigaridis, Susanne E Bauer, Lori T. Sentman, Jasmin G John, Conor Broderick, Makoto Deushi, Gerd A. Folberth, Shinichiro Fujimori, William J Collins
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abe06b

Methane removal and the proportional reductions in surface temperature and ozone

Author(s): S. Abernethy, F. M. O'Connor, C. D. Jones, R. B. Jackson
Published in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Issue 379/2210, 2021, Page(s) 20210104, ISSN 1364-503X
Publisher: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0104

Improved representation of the global dust cycle using observational constraints on dust properties and abundance

Author(s): Jasper F. Kok, Adeyemi A. Adebiyi, Samuel Albani, Yves Balkanski, Ramiro Checa-Garcia, Mian Chin, Peter R. Colarco, Douglas S. Hamilton, Yue Huang, Akinori Ito, Martina Klose, Danny M. Leung, Longlei Li, Natalie M. Mahowald, Ron L. Miller, Vincenzo Obiso, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Adriana Rocha-Lima, Jessica S. Wan, Chloe A. Whicker
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 21/10, 2021, Page(s) 8127-8167, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-8127-2021

Climate and air quality impacts due to mitigation of non-methane near-term climate forcers

Author(s): Robert J. Allen, Steven Turnock, Pierre Nabat, David Neubauer, Ulrike Lohmann, Dirk Olivié, Naga Oshima, Martine Michou, Tongwen Wu, Jie Zhang, Toshihiko Takemura, Michael Schulz, Kostas Tsigaridis, Susanne E. Bauer, Louisa Emmons, Larry Horowitz, Vaishali Naik, Twan van Noije, Tommi Bergman, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Prodromos Zanis, Ina Tegen, Daniel M. Westervelt, Philippe Le Sager, Peter Good,
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 20/16, 2020, Page(s) 9641-9663, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-9641-2020

Evaluating the Potential Impacts of the Diurnal Vertical Migration by Marine Organisms on Marine Biogeochemistry

Author(s): Olivier Aumont, Olivier Maury, Stelly Lefort, Laurent Bopp
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 32/11, 2018, Page(s) 1622-1643, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018gb005886

AeroCom phase III multi-model evaluation of the aerosol life cycle and optical properties using ground- and space-based remote sensing as well as surface in situ observations

Author(s): Jonas Gliß, Augustin Mortier, Michael Schulz, Elisabeth Andrews, Yves Balkanski, Susanne E. Bauer, Anna M. K. Benedictow, Huisheng Bian, Ramiro Checa-Garcia, Mian Chin, Paul Ginoux, Jan J. Griesfeller, Andreas Heckel, Zak Kipling, Alf Kirkevåg, Harri Kokkola, Paolo Laj, Philippe Le Sager, Marianne Tronstad Lund, Cathrine Lund Myhre, Hitoshi Matsui, Gunnar Myhre, David Neubauer, Twan van Noije, P
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 21/1, 2021, Page(s) 87-128, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-87-2021

Quantifying Progress Across Different CMIP Phases With the ESMValTool

Author(s): L. Bock, A. Lauer, M. Schlund, M. Barreiro, N. Bellouin, C. Jones, G. A. Meehl, V. Predoi, M. J. Roberts, V. Eyring
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 125/21, 2020, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2019jd032321

Quantifying Errors in Observationally Based Estimates of Ocean Carbon Sink Variability

Author(s): Lucas Gloege, Galen A. McKinley, Peter Landschützer, Amanda R. Fay, Thomas L. Frölicher, John C. Fyfe, Tatiana Ilyina, Steve Jones, Nicole S. Lovenduski, Keith B. Rodgers, Sarah Schlunegger, Yohei Takano
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 35/4, 2021, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006788

How to reconstruct aerosol-induced diffuse radiation scenario for simulating GPP in land surface models? An evaluation of reconstruction methods with ORCHIDEE_DFv1.0_DFforc

Author(s): Yuan Zhang, Olivier Boucher, Philippe Ciais, Laurent Li, Nicolas Bellouin
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 14/4, 2021, Page(s) 2029-2039, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-2029-2021

Evaluating the biological pump efficiency of the Last Glacial Maximum ocean using <i>δ</i><sup>13</sup>C

Author(s): Anne L. Morée, Jörg Schwinger, Ulysses S. Ninnemann, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Ingo Bethke, Christoph Heinze
Published in: Climate of the Past, Issue 17/2, 2021, Page(s) 753-774, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/cp-17-753-2021

Biases in the albedo sensitivity to deforestation in CMIP5 models and their impacts on the associated historical radiative forcing

Author(s): Quentin Lejeune, Edouard L. Davin, Grégory Duveiller, Bas Crezee, Ronny Meier, Alessandro Cescatti, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/4, 2020, Page(s) 1209-1232, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-1209-2020

Evaluation of climate model aerosol trends with ground-based observations over the last 2 decades – an AeroCom and CMIP6 analysis

Author(s): Augustin Mortier, Jonas Gliß, Michael Schulz, Wenche Aas, Elisabeth Andrews, Huisheng Bian, Mian Chin, Paul Ginoux, Jenny Hand, Brent Holben, Hua Zhang, Zak Kipling, Alf Kirkevåg, Paolo Laj, Thibault Lurton, Gunnar Myhre, David Neubauer, Dirk Olivié, Knut von Salzen, Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie, Toshihiko Takemura, Simone Tilmes
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 20/21, 2020, Page(s) 13355-13378, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-13355-2020

Stable climate metrics for emissions of short and long-lived species—combining steps and pulses

Author(s): William J Collins, David J Frame, Jan S Fuglestvedt, Keith P Shine
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 15/2, 2020, Page(s) 024018, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6039

Sensitivity of snow models to the accuracy of meteorological forcings in mountain environments

Author(s): Silvia Terzago, Valentina Andreoli, Gabriele Arduini, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Lorenzo Campo, Claudio Cassardo, Edoardo Cremonese, Daniele Dolia, Simone Gabellani, Jost von Hardenberg, Umberto Morra di Cella, Elisa Palazzi, Gaia Piazzi, Paolo Pogliotti, Antonello Provenzale
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 24/8, 2020, Page(s) 4061-4090, ISSN 1607-7938
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/hess-24-4061-2020

Testing bias adjustment methods for regional climate change applications under observational uncertainty and resolution mismatch

Author(s): Ana Casanueva, Sixto Herrera, Maialen Iturbide, Stefan Lange, Martin Jury, Alessandro Dosio, Douglas Maraun, José M. Gutiérrez
Published in: Atmospheric Science Letters, Issue 21/7, 2020, ISSN 1530-261X
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/asl.978

Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP

Author(s): Axel Lauer, Veronika Eyring, Omar Bellprat, Lisa Bock, Bettina K. Gier, Alasdair Hunter, Ruth Lorenz, Núria Pérez-Zanón, Mattia Righi, Manuel Schlund, Daniel Senftleben, Katja Weigel, Sabrina Zechlau
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/9, 2020, Page(s) 4205-4228, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020

JULES-CN: a coupled terrestrial carbon–nitrogen scheme (JULES vn5.1)

Author(s): Andrew J. Wiltshire, Eleanor J. Burke, Sarah E. Chadburn, Chris D. Jones, Peter M. Cox, Taraka Davies-Barnard, Pierre Friedlingstein, Anna B. Harper, Spencer Liddicoat, Stephen Sitch, Sönke Zaehle
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 14/4, 2021, Page(s) 2161-2186, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-2161-2021

Description and evaluation of aerosol in UKESM1 and HadGEM3-GC3.1 CMIP6 historical simulations

Author(s): Jane P. Mulcahy, Colin Johnson, Colin G. Jones, Adam C. Povey, Catherine E. Scott, Alistair Sellar, Steven T. Turnock, Matthew T. Woodhouse, Nathan Luke Abraham, Martin B. Andrews, Nicolas Bellouin, Jo Browse, Ken S. Carslaw, Mohit Dalvi, Gerd A. Folberth, Matthew Glover, Daniel P. Grosvenor, Catherine Hardacre, Richard Hill, Ben Johnson, Andy Jones, Zak Kipling, Graham Mann, James Mollard, Fiona
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/12, 2020, Page(s) 6383-6423, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-6383-2020

Aerosol‐Forced AMOC Changes in CMIP6 Historical Simulations

Author(s): Matthew B. Menary, Jon Robson, Richard P. Allan, Ben B. B. Booth, Christophe Cassou, Guillaume Gastineau, Jonathan Gregory, Dan Hodson, Colin Jones, Juliette Mignot, Mark Ringer, Rowan Sutton, Laura Wilcox, Rong Zhang
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/14, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl088166

The Evaluation of the North Atlantic Climate System in UKESM1 Historical Simulations for CMIP6

Author(s): Jon Robson, Yevgeny Aksenov, Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Oscar Dimdore‐Miles, Paul T. Griffiths, Daniel P. Grosvenor, Daniel L. R. Hodson, James Keeble, Claire MacIntosh, Alex Megann, Scott Osprey, Adam C. Povey, David Schröder, Mingxi Yang, Alexander T. Archibald, Ken S. Carslaw, Lesley Gray, Colin Jones, Brian Kerridge, Diane Knappett, Till Kuhlbrodt, Maria Russo, Alistair Sellar, Richard Siddans,
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 12/9, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002126

Modifying emissions scenario projections to account for the effects of COVID-19: protocol for CovidMIP

Author(s): Robin D. Lamboll, Chris D. Jones, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Stephanie Fiedler, Bjørn H. Samset, Nathan P. Gillett, Joeri Rogelj, Piers M. Forster
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 14/6, 2021, Page(s) 3683-3695, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-3683-2021

Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6

Author(s): SIMIP Community
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/10, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086749

Predictability Horizons in the Global Carbon Cycle Inferred From a Perfect‐Model Framework

Author(s): Aaron Spring, Tatiana Ilyina
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/9, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl085311

Time of Emergence and Large Ensemble Intercomparison for Ocean Biogeochemical Trends

Author(s): Sarah Schlunegger, Keith B. Rodgers, Jorge L. Sarmiento, Tatiana Ilyina, John P. Dunne, Yohei Takano, James R. Christian, Matthew C. Long, Thomas L. Frölicher, Richard Slater, Flavio Lehner
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 34/8, 2020, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gb006453

Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6

Author(s): Claudia Tebaldi, Kevin Debeire, Veronika Eyring, Erich Fischer, John Fyfe, Pierre Friedlingstein, Reto Knutti, Jason Lowe, Brian O'Neill, Benjamin Sanderson, Detlef van Vuuren, Keywan Riahi, Malte Meinshausen, Zebedee Nicholls, Katarzyna B. Tokarska, George Hurtt, Elmar Kriegler, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Gerald Meehl, Richard Moss, Susanne E. Bauer, Olivier Boucher, Victor Brovkin, Young-Hwa Byun,
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 12/1, 2021, Page(s) 253-293, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-253-2021

Resolving and Parameterising the Ocean Mesoscale in Earth System Models

Author(s): Helene T. Hewitt, Malcolm Roberts, Pierre Mathiot, Arne Biastoch, Ed Blockley, Eric P. Chassignet, Baylor Fox-Kemper, Pat Hyder, David P. Marshall, Ekaterina Popova, Anne-Marie Treguier, Laure Zanna, Andrew Yool, Yongqiang Yu, Rebecca Beadling, Mike Bell, Till Kuhlbrodt, Thomas Arsouze, Alessio Bellucci, Fred Castruccio, Bolan Gan, Dian Putrasahan, Christopher D. Roberts, Luke Van Roekel, Qiuying
Published in: Current Climate Change Reports, Issue 6/4, 2020, Page(s) 137-152, ISSN 2198-6061
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-020-00164-w

The impacts of ocean acidification on marine trace gases and the implications for atmospheric chemistry and climate

Author(s): Frances E. Hopkins, Parvadha Suntharalingam, Marion Gehlen, Oliver Andrews, Stephen D. Archer, Laurent Bopp, Erik Buitenhuis, Isabelle Dadou, Robert Duce, Nadine Goris, Tim Jickells, Martin Johnson, Fiona Keng, Cliff S. Law, Kitack Lee, Peter S. Liss, Martine Lizotte, Gillian Malin, J. Colin Murrell, Hema Naik, Andrew P. Rees, Jörg Schwinger, Philip Williamson
Published in: Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Issue 476/2237, 2020, Page(s) 20190769, ISSN 1364-5021
Publisher: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2019.0769

Can we use linear response theory to assess geoengineering strategies?

Author(s): Tamás Bódai, Valerio Lucarini, Frank Lunkeit
Published in: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Issue 30/2, 2020, Page(s) 023124, ISSN 1054-1500
Publisher: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/1.5122255

Spin‐up of UK Earth System Model 1 (UKESM1) for CMIP6

Author(s): A. Yool, J. Palmiéri, C. G. Jones, A. A. Sellar, L. Mora, T. Kuhlbrodt, E. E. Popova, J. P. Mulcahy, A. Wiltshire, S. T. Rumbold, M. Stringer, R. S. R. Hill, Y. Tang, J. Walton, A. Blaker, A. J. G. Nurser, A. C. Coward, J. Hirschi, S. Woodward, D. I. Kelley, R. Ellis, S. Rumbold‐Jones
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 12/8, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001933

Overview of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM2) and key climate response of CMIP6 DECK, historical, and scenario simulations

Author(s): Øyvind Seland, Mats Bentsen, Dirk Olivié, Thomas Toniazzo, Ada Gjermundsen, Lise Seland Graff, Jens Boldingh Debernard, Alok Kumar Gupta, Yan-Chun He, Alf Kirkevåg, Jörg Schwinger, Jerry Tjiputra, Kjetil Schanke Aas, Ingo Bethke, Yuanchao Fan, Jan Griesfeller, Alf Grini, Chuncheng Guo, Mehmet Ilicak, Inger Helene Hafsahl Karset, Oskar Landgren, Johan Liakka, Kine Onsum Moseid, Aleksi Nummelin,
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/12, 2020, Page(s) 6165-6200, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-6165-2020

Modeled Microbial Dynamics Explain the Apparent Temperature Sensitivity of Wetland Methane Emissions

Author(s): Sarah E. Chadburn, Tuula Aalto, Mika Aurela, Dennis Baldocchi, Christina Biasi, Julia Boike, Eleanor J. Burke, Edward Comyn‐Platt, A. Johannes Dolman, Carolina Duran‐Rojas, Yuanchao Fan, Thomas Friborg, Yao Gao, Nicola Gedney, Mathias Göckede, Garry D. Hayman, David Holl, Gustaf Hugelius, Lars Kutzbach, Hanna Lee, Annalea Lohila, Frans‐Jan W. Parmentier, Torsten Sachs, Narasinha J. Shurpali
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 34/11, 2020, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006678

Can reducing black carbon and methane below RCP2.6 levels keep global warming below 1.5 °C?

Author(s): Andy Jones, James M. Haywood, Chris D. Jones
Published in: Atmospheric Science Letters, Issue 19/6, 2018, Page(s) e821, ISSN 1530-261X
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/asl.821

Evaluating two soil carbon models within the global land surface model JSBACH using surface and spaceborne observations of atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub>

Author(s): Tea Thum, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Aki Tsuruta, Tuula Aalto, Edward J. Dlugokencky, Jari Liski, Ingrid T. Luijkx, Tiina Markkanen, Julia Pongratz, Yukio Yoshida, Sönke Zaehle
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/22, 2020, Page(s) 5721-5743, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-5721-2020

Beyond Forcing Scenarios: Predicting Climate Change through Response Operators in a Coupled General Circulation Model

Author(s): Valerio Lembo, Valerio Lucarini, Francesco Ragone
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-65297-2

The Climate Response to Emissions Reductions Due to COVID‐19: Initial Results From CovidMIP

Author(s): Chris D. Jones, Jonathan E. Hickman, Steven T. Rumbold, Jeremy Walton, Robin D. Lamboll, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Stephanie Fiedler, Piers M. Forster, Joeri Rogelj, Manabu Abe, Michael Botzet, Katherine Calvin, Christophe Cassou, Jason N.S. Cole, Paolo Davini, Makoto Deushi, Martin Dix, John C. Fyfe, Nathan P. Gillett, Tatiana Ilyina, Michio Kawamiya, Maxwell Kelley, Slava Kharin, Tsuyoshi Koshiro, Hong
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 48/8, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091883

A Last Glacial Maximum forcing dataset for ocean modelling

Author(s): Anne L. Morée, Jörg Schwinger
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 12/4, 2020, Page(s) 2971-2985, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-2971-2020

Nitrogen cycling in CMIP6 land surface models: progress and limitations

Author(s): Taraka Davies-Barnard, Johannes Meyerholt, Sönke Zaehle, Pierre Friedlingstein, Victor Brovkin, Yuanchao Fan, Rosie A. Fisher, Chris D. Jones, Hanna Lee, Daniele Peano, Benjamin Smith, David Wårlind, Andy J. Wiltshire
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/20, 2020, Page(s) 5129-5148, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-5129-2020

Leaching of dissolved organic carbon from mineral soils plays a significant role in the terrestrial carbon balance

Author(s): Mahdi Nakhavali, Ronny Lauerwald, Pierre Regnier, Bertrand Guenet, Sarah Chadburn, Pierre Friedlingstein
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 27/5, 2021, Page(s) 1083-1096, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15460

Can we project changes in fish abundance and distribution in response to climate?

Author(s): Jose A. Fernandes, Louise Rutterford, Stephen D. Simpson, Momme Butenschön, Thomas L. Frölicher, Andrew Yool, William W. L. Cheung, Alastair Grant
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 26/7, 2020, Page(s) 3891-3905, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15081

Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19

Author(s): Piers M. Forster, Harriet I. Forster, Mat J. Evans, Matthew J. Gidden, Chris D. Jones, Christoph A. Keller, Robin D. Lamboll, Corinne Le Quéré, Joeri Rogelj, Deborah Rosen, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Thomas B. Richardson, Christopher J. Smith, Steven T. Turnock
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 10/10, 2020, Page(s) 913-919, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0883-0

Evaluation of ocean dimethylsulfide concentration and emission in CMIP6 models

Author(s): Josué Bock, Martine Michou, Pierre Nabat, Manabu Abe, Jane P. Mulcahy, Dirk J. L. Olivié, Jörg Schwinger, Parvadha Suntharalingam, Jerry Tjiputra, Marco van Hulten, Michio Watanabe, Andrew Yool, Roland Séférian
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 18/12, 2021, Page(s) 3823-3860, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-3823-2021

Quantification of Chaotic Intrinsic Variability of Sea‐Air CO 2 Fluxes at Interannual Timescales

Author(s): M. Gehlen, S. Berthet, R. Séférian, Ch. Ethé, T. Penduff
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/22, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl088304

Varying snow and vegetation signatures of surface albedo feedback on the Northern Hemisphere land warming

Author(s): Andrea Alessandri, Franco Catalano, Matteo De Felice, Bart van den Hurk, Gianpaolo Balsamo
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd65f

On the increased climate sensitivity in the EC-Earth model from CMIP5 to CMIP6

Author(s): Klaus Wyser, Twan van Noije, Shuting Yang, Jost von Hardenberg, Declan O'Donnell, Ralf Döscher
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/8, 2020, Page(s) 3465-3474, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-3465-2020

Predictable Variations of the Carbon Sinks and Atmospheric CO 2 Growth in a Multi‐Model Framework

Author(s): T. Ilyina, H. Li, A. Spring, W. A. Müller, L. Bopp, M. O. Chikamoto, G. Danabasoglu, M. Dobrynin, J. Dunne, F. Fransner, P. Friedlingstein, W. Lee, N. S. Lovenduski, W.J. Merryfield, J. Mignot, J.Y. Park, R. Séférian, R. Sospedra‐Alfonso, M. Watanabe, S. Yeager
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 48/6, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl090695

Crossbreeding CMIP6 Earth System Models With an Emulator for Regionally Optimized Land Temperature Projections

Author(s): Lea Beusch, Lukas Gudmundsson, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/15, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086812

Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – technical overview

Author(s): Mattia Righi, Bouwe Andela, Veronika Eyring, Axel Lauer, Valeriu Predoi, Manuel Schlund, Javier Vegas-Regidor, Lisa Bock, Björn Brötz, Lee de Mora, Faruk Diblen, Laura Dreyer, Niels Drost, Paul Earnshaw, Birgit Hassler, Nikolay Koldunov, Bill Little, Saskia Loosveldt Tomas, Klaus Zimmermann
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/3, 2020, Page(s) 1179-1199, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-1179-2020

Sources and Sinks of Isoprene in the Global Open Ocean: Simulated Patterns and Emissions to the Atmosphere

Author(s): Ludivine Conte, Sophie Szopa, Olivier Aumont, Valérie Gros, Laurent Bopp
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Issue 125/9, 2020, ISSN 2169-9275
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2019jc015946

Large difference in aerosol radiative effects from BVOC-SOA treatment in three Earth system models

Author(s): Moa K. Sporre, Sara M. Blichner, Roland Schrödner, Inger H. H. Karset, Terje K. Berntsen, Twan van Noije, Tommi Bergman, Declan O'Donnell, Risto Makkonen
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 20/14, 2020, Page(s) 8953-8973, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-8953-2020

Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence

Author(s): Lukas Brunner, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Flavio Lehner, Anna L. Merrifield, Ruth Lorenz, Reto Knutti
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/4, 2020, Page(s) 995-1012, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-995-2020

Inherent uncertainty disguises attribution of reduced atmospheric CO 2 growth to CO 2 emission reductions for up to a decade

Author(s): Aaron Spring, Tatiana Ilyina, Jochem Marotzke
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 15/11, 2020, Page(s) 114058, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc443

Rough basin boundaries in high dimension: Can we classify them experimentally?

Author(s): Tamás Bódai, Valerio Lucarini
Published in: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Issue 30/10, 2020, Page(s) 103105, ISSN 1054-1500
Publisher: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/5.0002577

The Global Methane Budget 2000–2017

Author(s): Marielle Saunois, Ann R. Stavert, Ben Poulter, Philippe Bousquet, Josep G. Canadell, Robert B. Jackson, Peter A. Raymond, Edward J. Dlugokencky, Sander Houweling, Prabir K. Patra, Philippe Ciais, Vivek K. Arora, David Bastviken, Peter Bergamaschi, Donald R. Blake, Gordon Brailsford, Lori Bruhwiler, Kimberly M. Carlson, Mark Carrol, Simona Castaldi, Naveen Chandra, Cyril Crevoisier, Patrick M. Cril
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 12/3, 2020, Page(s) 1561-1623, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-1561-2020

Irrigation and hydrometeorological extremes

Author(s): Philipp de Vrese, Tobias Stacke
Published in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 55/5-6, 2020, Page(s) 1521-1537, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05337-9

Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO<sub>2</sub>

Author(s): Andrew H. MacDougall, Thomas L. Frölicher, Chris D. Jones, Joeri Rogelj, H. Damon Matthews, Kirsten Zickfeld, Vivek K. Arora, Noah J. Barrett, Victor Brovkin, Friedrich A. Burger, Micheal Eby, Alexey V. Eliseev, Tomohiro Hajima, Philip B. Holden, Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes, Charles Koven, Nadine Mengis, Laurie Menviel, Martine Michou, Igor I. Mokhov, Akira Oka, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Ga
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/11, 2020, Page(s) 2987-3016, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-2987-2020

The impact of a simple representation of non-structural carbohydrates on the simulated response of tropical forests to drought

Author(s): Simon Jones, Lucy Rowland, Peter Cox, Deborah Hemming, Andy Wiltshire, Karina Williams, Nicholas C. Parazoo, Junjie Liu, Antonio C. L. da Costa, Patrick Meir, Maurizio Mencuccini, Anna B. Harper
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/13, 2020, Page(s) 3589-3612, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-3589-2020

Co-benefits of black carbon mitigation for climate and air quality

Author(s): Mathijs J. H. M. Harmsen, Pim van Dorst, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Maarten van den Berg, Rita Van Dingenen, Zbigniew Klimont
Published in: Climatic Change, 2020, ISSN 0165-0009
Publisher: Reidel Pub. Co.
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02800-8

The Forced Response of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation–Indian Monsoon Teleconnection in Ensembles of Earth System Models

Author(s): Tamás Bódai, Gábor Drótos, Mátyás Herein, Frank Lunkeit, Valerio Lucarini
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 33/6, 2020, Page(s) 2163-2182, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0341.1

Climate-driven chemistry and aerosol feedbacks in CMIP6 Earth system models

Author(s): Gillian Thornhill, William Collins, Dirk Olivié, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Alex Archibald, Susanne Bauer, Ramiro Checa-Garcia, Stephanie Fiedler, Gerd Folberth, Ada Gjermundsen, Larry Horowitz, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Martine Michou, Jane Mulcahy, Pierre Nabat, Vaishali Naik, Fiona M. O'Connor, Fabien Paulot, Michael Schulz, Catherine E. Scott, Roland Séférian, Chris Smith, Toshihiko Takemura, Simone
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 21/2, 2021, Page(s) 1105-1126, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-1105-2021

Substantial large-scale feedbacks between natural aerosols and climate

Author(s): C. E. Scott, S. R. Arnold, S. A. Monks, A. Asmi, P. Paasonen, D. V. Spracklen
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 11/1, 2018, Page(s) 44-48, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-017-0020-5

Large historical growth in global terrestrial gross primary production

Author(s): J. E. Campbell, J. A. Berry, U. Seibt, S. J. Smith, S. A. Montzka, T. Launois, S. Belviso, L. Bopp, M. Laine
Published in: Nature, Issue 544/7648, 2017, Page(s) 84-87, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/nature22030

Big in the benthos: Future change of seafloor community biomass in a global, body size-resolved model

Author(s): Andrew Yool, Adrian P. Martin, Thomas R. Anderson, Brian J. Bett, Daniel O. B. Jones, Henry A. Ruhl
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 23/9, 2017, Page(s) 3554-3566, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13680

Variable reactivity of particulate organic matter in a global ocean biogeochemical model

Author(s): Olivier Aumont, Marco van Hulten, Matthieu Roy-Barman, Jean-Claude Dutay, Christian Éthé, Marion Gehlen
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 14/9, 2017, Page(s) 2321-2341, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/bg-14-2321-2017

Aerosols in the Pre-industrial Atmosphere

Author(s): Kenneth S. Carslaw, Hamish Gordon, Douglas S. Hamilton, Jill S. Johnson, Leighton A. Regayre, M. Yoshioka, Kirsty J. Pringle
Published in: Current Climate Change Reports, Issue 3/1, 2017, Page(s) 1-15, ISSN 2198-6061
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-017-0061-2

Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity

Author(s): Reto Knutti, Maria A. A. Rugenstein, Gabriele C. Hegerl
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 10/10, 2017, Page(s) 727-736, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/ngeo3017

Biogeochemical modelling of dissolved oxygen in a changing ocean

Author(s): Oliver Andrews, Erik Buitenhuis, Corinne Le Quéré, Parvadha Suntharalingam
Published in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Issue 375/2102, 2017, Page(s) 20160328, ISSN 1364-503X
Publisher: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2016.0328

On the importance of the convergence to climate attractors

Author(s): Gábor Drótos, Tamás Bódai, Tamás Tél
Published in: The European Physical Journal Special Topics, Issue 226/9, 2017, Page(s) 2031-2038, ISSN 1951-6355
Publisher: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2017-70045-7

Models meet data: Challenges and opportunities in implementing land management in Earth system models

Author(s): Julia Pongratz, Han Dolman, Axel Don, Karl-Heinz Erb, Richard Fuchs, Martin Herold, Chris Jones, Tobias Kuemmerle, Sebastiaan Luyssaert, Patrick Meyfroidt, Kim Naudts
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 24/4, 2018, Page(s) 1470-1487, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13988

The impact of stochastic physics on tropical rainfall variability in global climate models on daily to weekly time scales

Author(s): Peter A. G. Watson, Judith Berner, Susanna Corti, Paolo Davini, Jost von Hardenberg, Claudio Sanchez, Antje Weisheimer, Tim N. Palmer
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 122/11, 2017, Page(s) 5738-5762, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2016jd026386

Ocean (de)oxygenation from the Last Glacial Maximum to the twenty-first century: insights from Earth System models

Author(s): L. Bopp, L. Resplandy, A. Untersee, P. Le Mezo, M. Kageyama
Published in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Issue 375/2102, 2017, Page(s) 20160323, ISSN 1364-503X
Publisher: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2016.0323

Grand European and Asian-Pacific multi-model seasonal forecasts: maximization of skill and of potential economical value to end-users

Author(s): Andrea Alessandri, Matteo De Felice, Franco Catalano, June-Yi Lee, Bin Wang, Doo Young Lee, Jin-Ho Yoo, Antije Weisheimer
Published in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 50/7-8, 2018, Page(s) 2719-2738, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3766-y

CO 2 loss by permafrost thawing implies additional emissions reductions to limit warming to 1.5 or 2 °C

Author(s): Eleanor J Burke, Sarah E Chadburn, Chris Huntingford, Chris D Jones
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 13/2, 2018, Page(s) 024024, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaa138

Snow water equivalent in the Alps as seen by gridded data sets, CMIP5 and CORDEX climate models

Author(s): Silvia Terzago, Jost von Hardenberg, Elisa Palazzi, Antonello Provenzale
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 11/4, 2017, Page(s) 1625-1645, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/tc-11-1625-2017

Convergence of Extreme Value Statistics in a Two-Layer Quasi-Geostrophic Atmospheric Model

Author(s): Vera Melinda Gálfi, Tamás Bódai, Valerio Lucarini
Published in: Complexity, Issue 2017, 2017, Page(s) 1-20, ISSN 1076-2787
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1155/2017/5340858

Improved Winter European Atmospheric Blocking Frequencies in High-Resolution Global Climate Simulations

Author(s): P. Davini, S. Corti, F. D'Andrea, G. Rivière, J. von Hardenberg
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 9/7, 2017, Page(s) 2615-2634, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017ms001082

Evaluating Global Land Surface Models in CMIP5: Analysis of Ecosystem Water- and Light-Use Efficiencies and Rainfall Partitioning

Author(s): Longhui Li, Yingping Wang, Vivek K. Arora, Derek Eamus, Hao Shi, Jing Li, Lei Cheng, James Cleverly, T. Hajima, Duoying Ji, C. Jones, M. Kawamiya, Weiping Li, J. Tjiputra, A. Wiltshire, Lu Zhang, Qiang Yu
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 31/8, 2018, Page(s) 2995-3008, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-16-0177.1

Elevation-dependent warming in global climate model simulations at high spatial resolution

Author(s): Elisa Palazzi, Luca Mortarini, Silvia Terzago, Jost von Hardenberg
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2018, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4287-z

The Biological Pump and Seasonal Variability of pCO 2 in the Southern Ocean: Exploring the Role of Diatom Adaptation to Low Iron

Author(s): R. Person, O. Aumont, M. Lévy
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Issue 123/5, 2018, Page(s) 3204-3226, ISSN 2169-9275
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018jc013775

Projected Centennial Oxygen Trends and Their Attribution to Distinct Ocean Climate Forcings

Author(s): Yohei Takano, Takamitsu Ito, Curtis Deutsch
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 32/9, 2018, Page(s) 1329-1349, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018gb005939

Reassessment of pre-industrial fire emissions strongly affects anthropogenic aerosol forcing

Author(s): D. S. Hamilton, S. Hantson, C. E. Scott, J. O. Kaplan, K. J. Pringle, L. P. Nieradzik, A. Rap, G. A. Folberth, D. V. Spracklen, K. S. Carslaw
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 9/1, 2018, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05592-9

Constraints on biomass energy deployment in mitigation pathways: the case of water scarcity

Author(s): Roland Séférian, Matthias Rocher, Céline Guivarch, Jeanne Colin
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 13/5, 2018, Page(s) 054011, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aabcd7

BGC-val: a model- and grid-independent Python toolkit to evaluate marine biogeochemical models

Author(s): Lee de Mora, Andrew Yool, Julien Palmieri, Alistair Sellar, Till Kuhlbrodt, Ekaterina Popova, Colin Jones, J. Icarus Allen
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 11/10, 2018, Page(s) 4215-4240, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-4215-2018

Summertime Aerosol Radiative Effects and Their Dependence on Temperature over the Southeastern USA

Author(s): Tero Mielonen, Anca Hienola, Thomas Kühn, Joonas Merikanto, Antti Lipponen, Tommi Bergman, Hannele Korhonen, Pekka Kolmonen, Larisa Sogacheva, Darren Ghent, Mikko Pitkänen, Antti Arola, Gerrit de Leeuw, Harri Kokkola
Published in: Atmosphere, Issue 9/5, 2018, Page(s) 180, ISSN 2073-4433
Publisher: Rotoweb Cantelli
DOI: 10.3390/atmos9050180

Diverging seasonal extremes for ocean acidification during the twenty-first century

Author(s): Lester Kwiatkowski, James C. Orr
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 8/2, 2018, Page(s) 141-145, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-017-0054-0

Path-dependent reductions in CO2 emission budgets caused by permafrost carbon release

Author(s): T. Gasser, M. Kechiar, P. Ciais, E. J. Burke, T. Kleinen, D. Zhu, Y. Huang, A. Ekici, M. Obersteiner
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 11/11, 2018, Page(s) 830-835, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-018-0227-0

Process-level improvements in CMIP5 models and their impact on tropical variability, the Southern Ocean, and monsoons

Author(s): Axel Lauer, Colin Jones, Veronika Eyring, Martin Evaldsson, Stefan Hagemann, Jarmo Mäkelä, Gill Martin, Romain Roehrig, Shiyu Wang
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 9/1, 2018, Page(s) 33-67, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-9-33-2018

Prospects and Caveats of Weighting Climate Models for Summer Maximum Temperature Projections Over North America

Author(s): Ruth Lorenz, Nadja Herger, Jan Sedláček, Veronika Eyring, Erich M. Fischer, Reto Knutti
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 123/9, 2018, Page(s) 4509-4526, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2017jd027992

Assessing the Decadal Predictability of Land and Ocean Carbon Uptake

Author(s): Roland Séférian, Sarah Berthet, Matthieu Chevallier
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 45/5, 2018, Page(s) 2455-2466, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017gl076092

Global Carbon Budget 2017

Author(s): Corinne Le Quéré, Robbie M. Andrew, Pierre Friedlingstein, Stephen Sitch, Julia Pongratz, Andrew C. Manning, Jan Ivar Korsbakken, Glen P. Peters, Josep G. Canadell, Robert B. Jackson, Thomas A. Boden, Pieter P. Tans, Oliver D. Andrews, Vivek K. Arora, Dorothee C. E. Bakker, Leticia Barbero, Meike Becker, Richard A. Betts, Laurent Bopp, Frédéric Chevallier, Louise P. Chini, Philippe Ciais, Cath
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 10/1, 2018, Page(s) 405-448, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-10-405-2018

A methodology and implementation of automated emissions harmonization for use in Integrated Assessment Models

Author(s): Matthew J. Gidden, Shinichiro Fujimori, Maarten van den Berg, David Klein, Steven J. Smith, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Keywan Riahi
Published in: Environmental Modelling & Software, Issue 105, 2018, Page(s) 187-200, ISSN 1364-8152
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.04.002

Large but decreasing effect of ozone on the European carbon sink

Author(s): Rebecca J. Oliver, Lina M. Mercado, Stephen Sitch, David Simpson, Belinda E. Medlyn, Yan-Shih Lin, Gerd A. Folberth
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 15/13, 2018, Page(s) 4245-4269, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-15-4245-2018

HTAP2 multi-model estimates of premature human mortality due to intercontinental transport of air pollution and emission sectors

Author(s): Ciao-Kai Liang, J. Jason West, Raquel A. Silva, Huisheng Bian, Mian Chin, Yanko Davila, Frank J. Dentener, Louisa Emmons, Johannes Flemming, Gerd Folberth, Daven Henze, Ulas Im, Jan Eiof Jonson, Terry J. Keating, Tom Kucsera, Allen Lenzen, Meiyun Lin, Marianne Tronstad Lund, Xiaohua Pan, Rokjin J. Park, R. Bradley Pierce, Takashi Sekiya, Kengo Sudo, Toshihiko Takemura
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 18/14, 2018, Page(s) 10497-10520, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-10497-2018

Vegetation distribution and terrestrial carbon cycle in a carbon-cycle configuration of JULES4.6 with new plant functional types

Author(s): Anna B. Harper, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Peter M. Cox, Pierre Friedlingstein, Chris D. Jones, Lina M. Mercado, Stephen Sitch, Karina Williams, Carolina Duran-Rojas
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 2018, Page(s) 1-34, ISSN 1991-962X
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2017-311

The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement’s aim of 1.5 °C warming

Author(s): Sonia I. Seneviratne, Joeri Rogelj, Roland Séférian, Richard Wartenburger, Myles R. Allen, Michelle Cain, Richard J. Millar, Kristie L. Ebi, Neville Ellis, Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, Antony J. Payne, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Petra Tschakert, Rachel F. Warren
Published in: Nature, Issue 558/7708, 2018, Page(s) 41-49, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-018-0181-4

Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets

Author(s): Anna B. Harper, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Joanna House, Chris Huntingford, Timothy M. Lenton, Stephen Sitch, Eleanor Burke, Sarah E. Chadburn, William J. Collins, Edward Comyn-Platt, Vassilis Daioglou, Jonathan C. Doelman, Garry Hayman, Eddy Robertson, Detlef van Vuuren, Andy Wiltshire, Christopher P. Webber, Ana Bastos, Lena Boysen, Philippe Ciais, Narayanappa Devaraju, Atul K. Jain, Andreas Krau
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 9/1, 2018, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z

The Role of Respiration in Estimation of Net Carbon Cycle: Coupling Soil Carbon Dynamics and Canopy Turnover in a Novel Version of 3D-CMCC Forest Ecosystem Model

Author(s): Sergio Marconi, Tommaso Chiti, Angelo Nolè, Riccardo Valentini, Alessio Collalti
Published in: Forests, Issue 8/6, 2017, Page(s) 220, ISSN 1999-4907
Publisher: MDPI Open Access Publishing
DOI: 10.3390/f8060220

Not only trees: Grasses determine African tropical biome distributions via water limitation and fire

Author(s): Donatella D'Onofrio, Jost von Hardenberg, Mara Baudena
Published in: Global Ecology and Biogeography, Issue 27/6, 2018, Page(s) 714-725, ISSN 1466-822X
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/geb.12735

Constraints on global oceanic emissions of N<sub>2</sub>O from observations and models

Author(s): Erik T. Buitenhuis, Parvadha Suntharalingam, Corinne Le Quéré
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 15/7, 2018, Page(s) 2161-2175, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-15-2161-2018

Calibrating the sqHIMMELI v1.0 wetland methane emission model with hierarchical modeling and adaptive MCMC

Author(s): Jouni Susiluoto, Maarit Raivonen, Leif Backman, Marko Laine, Jarmo Makela, Olli Peltola, Timo Vesala, Tuula Aalto
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 11/3, 2018, Page(s) 1199-1228, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-1199-2018

Bias correction of surface downwelling longwave and shortwave radiation for the EWEMBI dataset

Author(s): Stefan Lange
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 9/2, 2018, Page(s) 627-645, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-9-627-2018

The Impact of Variable Phytoplankton Stoichiometry on Projections of Primary Production, Food Quality, and Carbon Uptake in the Global Ocean

Author(s): Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Aumont, Laurent Bopp, Philippe Ciais
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 32/4, 2018, Page(s) 516-528, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017gb005799

The Carbon Dioxide Removal Model Intercomparison Project (CDR-MIP): Rationale and experimental design

Author(s): David P. Keller, Andrew Lenton, Vivian Scott, Naomi E. Vaughan, Nico Bauer, Duoying Ji, Chris D. Jones, Ben Kravitz, Helene Muri, Kirsten Zickfeld
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 2018, Page(s) 1-72, ISSN 1991-962X
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2017-168

Biogeophysical Impacts of Land-Use Change on Climate Extremes in Low-Emission Scenarios: Results From HAPPI-Land

Author(s): Annette L. Hirsch, Benoit P. Guillod, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Urs Beyerle, Lena R. Boysen, Victor Brovkin, Edouard L. Davin, Jonathan C. Doelman, Hyungjun Kim, Daniel M. Mitchell, Tomoko Nitta, Hideo Shiogama, Sarah Sparrow, Elke Stehfest, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Simon Wilson
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 6/3, 2018, Page(s) 396-409, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/2017ef000744

Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C

Author(s): Joeri Rogelj, Alexander Popp, Katherine V. Calvin, Gunnar Luderer, Johannes Emmerling, David Gernaat, Shinichiro Fujimori, Jessica Strefler, Tomoko Hasegawa, Giacomo Marangoni, Volker Krey, Elmar Kriegler, Keywan Riahi, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Jonathan Doelman, Laurent Drouet, Jae Edmonds, Oliver Fricko, Mathijs Harmsen, Petr Havlík, Florian Humpenöder, Elke Stehfest, Massimo Tavoni
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 8/4, 2018, Page(s) 325-332, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3

An interactive ocean surface albedo scheme (OSAv1.0): formulation and evaluation in ARPEGE-Climat (V6.1) and LMDZ (V5A)

Author(s): Roland Séférian, Sunghye Baek, Olivier Boucher, Jean-Louis Dufresne, Bertrand Decharme, David Saint-Martin, Romain Roehrig
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 11/1, 2018, Page(s) 321-338, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-321-2018

Selecting a climate model subset to optimise key ensemble properties

Author(s): Nadja Herger, Gab Abramowitz, Reto Knutti, Oliver Angélil, Karsten Lehmann, Benjamin M. Sanderson
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 9/1, 2018, Page(s) 135-151, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-9-135-2018

Impact on short-lived climate forcers increases projected warming due to deforestation

Author(s): C. E. Scott, S. A. Monks, D. V. Spracklen, S. R. Arnold, P. M. Forster, A. Rap, M. Äijälä, P. Artaxo, K. S. Carslaw, M. P. Chipperfield, M. Ehn, S. Gilardoni, L. Heikkinen, M. Kulmala, T. Petäjä, C. L. S. Reddington, L. V. Rizzo, E. Swietlicki, E. Vignati, C. Wilson
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 9/1, 2018, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-017-02412-4

Committed sea-level rise under the Paris Agreement and the legacy of delayed mitigation action

Author(s): Matthias Mengel, Alexander Nauels, Joeri Rogelj, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 9/1, 2018, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-02985-8

Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b)

Author(s): Katja Frieler, Stefan Lange, Franziska Piontek, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Jacob Schewe, Lila Warszawski, Fang Zhao, Louise Chini, Sebastien Denvil, Kerry Emanuel, Tobias Geiger, Kate Halladay, George Hurtt, Matthias Mengel, Daisuke Murakami, Sebastian Ostberg, Alexander Popp, Riccardo Riva, Miodrag Stevanovic, Tatsuo Suzuki, Jan Volkholz, Eleanor Burke, Philippe Ciais, Kristie Ebi, Tyler D. Eddy, J
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 10/12, 2017, Page(s) 4321-4345, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017

HIMMELI v1.0: HelsinkI Model of MEthane buiLd-up and emIssion for peatlands

Author(s): Maarit Raivonen, Sampo Smolander, Leif Backman, Jouni Susiluoto, Tuula Aalto, Tiina Markkanen, Jarmo Mäkelä, Janne Rinne, Olli Peltola, Mika Aurela, Annalea Lohila, Marin Tomasic, Xuefei Li, Tuula Larmola, Sari Juutinen, Eeva-Stiina Tuittila, Martin Heimann, Sanna Sevanto, Thomas Kleinen, Victor Brovkin, Timo Vesala
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 10/12, 2017, Page(s) 4665-4691, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-4665-2017

Impact of the 2 °C target on global woody biomass use

Author(s): Pekka Lauri, Nicklas Forsell, Anu Korosuo, Petr Havlík, Michael Obersteiner, Annika Nordin
Published in: Forest Policy and Economics, Issue 83, 2017, Page(s) 121-130, ISSN 1389-9341
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2017.07.005

Quantifying the influence of the terrestrial biosphere on glacial–interglacial climate dynamics

Author(s): Taraka Davies-Barnard, Andy Ridgwell, Joy Singarayer, Paul Valdes
Published in: Climate of the Past, Issue 13/10, 2017, Page(s) 1381-1401, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-13-1381-2017

Causes and importance of new particle formation in the present-day and preindustrial atmospheres

Author(s): Hamish Gordon, Jasper Kirkby, Urs Baltensperger, Federico Bianchi, Martin Breitenlechner, Joachim Curtius, Antonio Dias, Josef Dommen, Neil M. Donahue, Eimear M. Dunne, Jonathan Duplissy, Sebastian Ehrhart, Richard C. Flagan, Carla Frege, Claudia Fuchs, Armin Hansel, Christopher R. Hoyle, Markku Kulmala, Andreas Kürten, Katrianne Lehtipalo, Vladimir Makhmutov, Ugo Molteni, Matti P. Rissanen, Yuri
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 122/16, 2017, Page(s) 8739-8760, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/2017jd026844

Future global mortality from changes in air pollution attributable to climate change

Author(s): Raquel A. Silva, J. Jason West, Jean-François Lamarque, Drew T. Shindell, William J. Collins, Greg Faluvegi, Gerd A. Folberth, Larry W. Horowitz, Tatsuya Nagashima, Vaishali Naik, Steven T. Rumbold, Kengo Sudo, Toshihiko Takemura, Daniel Bergmann, Philip Cameron-Smith, Ruth M. Doherty, Beatrice Josse, Ian A. MacKenzie, David S. Stevenson, Guang Zeng
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 7/9, 2017, Page(s) 647-651, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3354

Impact on short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) from a realistic land-use change scenario via changes in biogenic emissions

Author(s): C. E. Scott, S. A. Monks, D. V. Spracklen, S. R. Arnold, P. M. Forster, A. Rap, K. S. Carslaw, M. P. Chipperfield, C. L. S. Reddington, C. Wilson
Published in: Faraday Discussions, Issue 200, 2017, Page(s) 101-120, ISSN 1359-6640
Publisher: Royal Society of Chemistry
DOI: 10.1039/c7fd00028f

Predictability of fat-tailed extremes

Author(s): Tamás Bódai, Christian Franzke
Published in: Physical Review E, Issue 96/3, 2017, ISSN 2470-0045
Publisher: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.96.032120

Biogeochemical protocols and diagnostics for the CMIP6 Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP)

Author(s): James C. Orr, Raymond G. Najjar, Olivier Aumont, Laurent Bopp, John L. Bullister, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Scott C. Doney, John P. Dunne, Jean-Claude Dutay, Heather Graven, Stephen M. Griffies, Jasmin G. John, Fortunat Joos, Ingeborg Levin, Keith Lindsay, Richard J. Matear, Galen A. McKinley, Anne Mouchet, Andreas Oschlies, Anastasia Romanou, Reiner Schlitzer, Alessandro Tagliabue, Toste Tanhua, Andrew
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 10/6, 2017, Page(s) 2169-2199, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-2169-2017

Quantifying uncertainties of permafrost carbon–climate feedbacks

Author(s): Eleanor J. Burke, Altug Ekici, Ye Huang, Sarah E. Chadburn, Chris Huntingford, Philippe Ciais, Pierre Friedlingstein, Shushi Peng, Gerhard Krinner
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 14/12, 2017, Page(s) 3051-3066, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-14-3051-2017

Microphysical explanation of the RH-dependent water affinity of biogenic organic aerosol and its importance for climate

Author(s): N. Rastak, A. Pajunoja, J. C. Acosta Navarro, J. Ma, M. Song, D. G. Partridge, A. Kirkevåg, Y. Leong, W. W. Hu, N. F. Taylor, A. Lambe, K. Cerully, A. Bougiatioti, P. Liu, R. Krejci, T. Petäjä, C. Percival, P. Davidovits, D. R. Worsnop, A. M. L. Ekman, A. Nenes, S. Martin, J. L. Jimenez, D. R. Collins, D.O. Topping, A. K. Bertram, A. Zuend, A. Virtanen, I. Riipinen
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 44/10, 2017, Page(s) 5167-5177, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017gl073056

Carbon–nitrogen interactions in idealized simulations with JSBACH (version 3.10)

Author(s): Daniel S. Goll, Alexander J. Winkler, Thomas Raddatz, Ning Dong, Ian Colin Prentice, Philippe Ciais, Victor Brovkin
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 10/5, 2017, Page(s) 2009-2030, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-2009-2017

Historical greenhouse gas concentrations for climate modelling (CMIP6)

Author(s): Malte Meinshausen, Elisabeth Vogel, Alexander Nauels, Katja Lorbacher, Nicolai Meinshausen, David M. Etheridge, Paul J. Fraser, Stephen A. Montzka, Peter J. Rayner, Cathy M. Trudinger, Paul B. Krummel, Urs Beyerle, Josep G. Canadell, John S. Daniel, Ian G. Enting, Rachel M. Law, Chris R. Lunder, Simon O&amp;apos;Doherty, Ron G. Prinn, Stefan Reimann, Mauro Rubino, Guus J. M. Velders, Martin K. Vol
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 10/5, 2017, Page(s) 2057-2116, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-2057-2017

Emergent Constraints in Climate Projections: A Case Study of Changes in High-Latitude Temperature Variability

Author(s): Aleksandra Borodina, Erich M. Fischer, Reto Knutti
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 30/10, 2017, Page(s) 3655-3670, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-16-0662.1

Narrowing the Range of Future Climate Projections Using Historical Observations of Atmospheric CO 2

Author(s): Ben B. B. Booth, Glen R. Harris, James M. Murphy, Jo I. House, Chris D. Jones, David Sexton, Stephen Sitch
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 30/8, 2017, Page(s) 3039-3053, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-16-0178.1

The Met Office HadGEM3-ES chemistry–climate model: evaluation of stratospheric dynamics and its impact on ozone

Author(s): Steven C. Hardiman, Neal Butchart, Fiona M. O&amp;apos;Connor, Steven T. Rumbold
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 10/3, 2017, Page(s) 1209-1232, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-1209-2017

An observation-based constraint on permafrost loss as a function of global warming

Author(s): S. E. Chadburn, E. J. Burke, P. M. Cox, P. Friedlingstein, G. Hugelius, S. Westermann
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 7/5, 2017, Page(s) 340-344, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3262

The Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP), phase 1: experimental and analytical protocols with detailed model descriptions

Author(s): Sam S. Rabin, Joe R. Melton, Gitta Lasslop, Dominique Bachelet, Matthew Forrest, Stijn Hantson, Jed O. Kaplan, Fang Li, Stéphane Mangeon, Daniel S. Ward, Chao Yue, Vivek K. Arora, Thomas Hickler, Silvia Kloster, Wolfgang Knorr, Lars Nieradzik, Allan Spessa, Gerd A. Folberth, Tim Sheehan, Apostolos Voulgarakis, Douglas I. Kelley, I. Colin Prentice, Stephen Sitch, Sandy Harrison, Almut Arneth
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 10/3, 2017, Page(s) 1175-1197, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
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A climate model projection weighting scheme accounting for performance and interdependence

Author(s): Reto Knutti, Jan Sedláček, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Ruth Lorenz, Erich M. Fischer, Veronika Eyring
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2016gl072012

Rapid emergence of climate change in environmental drivers of marine ecosystems

Author(s): Stephanie A. Henson, Claudie Beaulieu, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G. John, Matthew Long, Roland Séférian, Jerry Tjiputra, Jorge L. Sarmiento
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 8, 2017, Page(s) 14682, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/ncomms14682

A vertical representation of soil carbon in the JULES land surface scheme (vn4.3_permafrost) with a focus on permafrost regions

Author(s): Eleanor J. Burke, Sarah E. Chadburn, Altug Ekici
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 10/2, 2017, Page(s) 959-975, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-959-2017

Climate SPHINX: evaluating the impact of resolution and stochastic physics parameterisations in the EC-Earth global climate model

Author(s): Paolo Davini, Jost von Hardenberg, Susanna Corti, Hannah M. Christensen, Stephan Juricke, Aneesh Subramanian, Peter A. G. Watson, Antje Weisheimer, Tim N. Palmer
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 10/3, 2017, Page(s) 1383-1402, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-1383-2017

Benchmarking CMIP5 models with a subset of ESA CCI Phase 2 data using the ESMValTool

Author(s): Axel Lauer, Veronika Eyring, Mattia Righi, Michael Buchwitz, Pierre Defourny, Martin Evaldsson, Pierre Friedlingstein, Richard de Jeu, Gerrit de Leeuw, Alexander Loew, Christopher J. Merchant, Benjamin Müller, Thomas Popp, Maximilian Reuter, Stein Sandven, Daniel Senftleben, Martin Stengel, Michel Van Roozendael, Sabrina Wenzel, Ulrika Willén
Published in: Remote Sensing of Environment, Issue 203, 2017, Page(s) 9-39, ISSN 0034-4257
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2017.01.007

Emergent constraints on projections of declining primary production in the tropical oceans

Author(s): Lester Kwiatkowski, Laurent Bopp, Olivier Aumont, Philippe Ciais, Peter M. Cox, Charlotte Laufkötter, Yue Li, Roland Séférian
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 7/5, 2017, Page(s) 355-358, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3265

Review of the global models used within phase 1 of the Chemistry–Climate Model Initiative (CCMI)

Author(s): Olaf Morgenstern, Michaela I. Hegglin, Eugene Rozanov, Fiona M. O&amp;apos;Connor, N. Luke Abraham, Hideharu Akiyoshi, Alexander T. Archibald, Slimane Bekki, Neal Butchart, Martyn P. Chipperfield, Makoto Deushi, Sandip S. Dhomse, Rolando R. Garcia, Steven C. Hardiman, Larry W. Horowitz, Patrick Jöckel, Beatrice Josse, Douglas Kinnison, Meiyun Lin, Eva Mancini, Michael E. Manyin, Marion Marchand,
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 10/2, 2017, Page(s) 639-671, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-639-2017

AerChemMIP: quantifying the effects of chemistry and aerosols in CMIP6

Author(s): William J. Collins, Jean-François Lamarque, Michael Schulz, Olivier Boucher, Veronika Eyring, Michaela I. Hegglin, Amanda Maycock, Gunnar Myhre, Michael Prather, Drew Shindell, Steven J. Smith
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 10/2, 2017, Page(s) 585-607, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-585-2017

Multi-scale enhancement of climate prediction over land by increasing the model sensitivity to vegetation variability in EC-Earth

Author(s): Andrea Alessandri, Franco Catalano, Matteo De Felice, Bart Van Den Hurk, Francisco Doblas Reyes, Souhail Boussetta, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Paul A. Miller
Published in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 49/4, 2017, Page(s) 1215-1237, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
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Research priorities for negative emissions

Author(s): S Fuss, C D Jones, F Kraxner, G P Peters, P Smith, M Tavoni, D P van Vuuren, J G Canadell, R B Jackson, J Milne, J R Moreira, N Nakicenovic, A Sharifi, Y Yamagata
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 11/11, 2016, Page(s) 115007, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
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Global Carbon Budget 2016

Author(s): Corinne Le Quéré, Robbie M. Andrew, Josep G. Canadell, Stephen Sitch, Jan Ivar Korsbakken, Glen P. Peters, Andrew C. Manning, Thomas A. Boden, Pieter P. Tans, Richard A. Houghton, Ralph F. Keeling, Simone Alin, Oliver D. Andrews, Peter Anthoni, Leticia Barbero, Laurent Bopp, Frédéric Chevallier, Louise P. Chini, Philippe Ciais, Kim Currie, Christine Delire, Scott C. Doney, Pierre Friedlingstei
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 8/2, 2016, Page(s) 605-649, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-8-605-2016

C4MIP – The Coupled Climate–Carbon Cycle Model Intercomparison Project: experimental protocol for CMIP6

Author(s): Chris D. Jones, Vivek Arora, Pierre Friedlingstein, Laurent Bopp, Victor Brovkin, John Dunne, Heather Graven, Forrest Hoffman, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G. John, Martin Jung, Michio Kawamiya, Charlie Koven, Julia Pongratz, Thomas Raddatz, James T. Randerson, Sönke Zaehle
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 9/8, 2016, Page(s) 2853-2880, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-2853-2016

Towards improved and more routine Earth system model evaluation in CMIP

Author(s): Veronika Eyring, Peter J. Gleckler, Christoph Heinze, Ronald J. Stouffer, Karl E. Taylor, V. Balaji, Eric Guilyardi, Sylvie Joussaume, Stephan Kindermann, Bryan N. Lawrence, Gerald A. Meehl, Mattia Righi, Dean N. Williams
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 7/4, 2016, Page(s) 813-830, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-7-813-2016

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

Author(s): Brian C. O&amp;apos;Neill, Claudia Tebaldi, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Veronika Eyring, Pierre Friedlingstein, George Hurtt, Reto Knutti, Elmar Kriegler, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Jason Lowe, Gerald A. Meehl, Richard Moss, Keywan Riahi, Benjamin M. Sanderson
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 9/9, 2016, Page(s) 3461-3482, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016

Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions

Author(s): C D Jones, P Ciais, S J Davis, P Friedlingstein, T Gasser, G P Peters, J Rogelj, D P van Vuuren, J G Canadell, A Cowie, R B Jackson, M Jonas, E Kriegler, E Littleton, J A Lowe, J Milne, G Shrestha, P Smith, A Torvanger, A Wiltshire
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 11/9, 2016, Page(s) 095012, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/095012

Insights into elevation-dependent warming in the Tibetan Plateau-Himalayas from CMIP5 model simulations

Author(s): Elisa Palazzi, Luca Filippi, Jost von Hardenberg
Published in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 48/11-12, 2017, Page(s) 3991-4008, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3316-z

Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes

Author(s): Luke J Harrington, David J Frame, Erich M Fischer, Ed Hawkins, Manoj Joshi, Chris D Jones
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 11/5, 2016, Page(s) 055007, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055007

Soil frost-induced soil moisture precipitation feedback over high northern latitudes

Author(s): Stefan Hagemann, Tanja Blome, Altug Ekici, Christian Beer
Published in: Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 2016, Page(s) 1-44, ISSN 2190-4995
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-2016-5

Human-induced greening of the northern extratropical land surface

Author(s): Jiafu Mao, Aurélien Ribes, Binyan Yan, Xiaoying Shi, Peter E. Thornton, Roland Séférian, Philippe Ciais, Ranga B. Myneni, Hervé Douville, Shilong Piao, Zaichun Zhu, Robert E. Dickinson, Yongjiu Dai, Daniel M. Ricciuto, Mingzhou Jin, Forrest M. Hoffman, Bin Wang, Mengtian Huang, Xu Lian
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 6/10, 2016, Page(s) 959-963, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3056

Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic CO2 uptake

Author(s): Hongmei Li, Tatiana Ilyina, Wolfgang A. Müller, Frank Sienz
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 7/1, 2016, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/ncomms11076

Inconsistent strategies to spin up models in CMIP5: implications for ocean biogeochemical model performance assessment

Author(s): Roland Séférian, Marion Gehlen, Laurent Bopp, Laure Resplandy, James C. Orr, Olivier Marti, John P. Dunne, James R. Christian, Scott C. Doney, Tatiana Ilyina, Keith Lindsay, Paul R. Halloran, Christoph Heinze, Joachim Segschneider, Jerry Tjiputra, Olivier Aumont, Anastasia Romanou
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 9/5, 2016, Page(s) 1827-1851, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-1827-2016

Projected land photosynthesis constrained by changes in the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2

Author(s): Sabrina Wenzel, Peter M. Cox, Veronika Eyring, Pierre Friedlingstein
Published in: Nature, Issue 538/7626, 2016, Page(s) 499-501, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/nature19772

Evaluating CMIP5 ocean biogeochemistry and Southern Ocean carbon uptake using atmospheric potential oxygen: Present-day performance and future projection

Author(s): C. D. Nevison, M. Manizza, R. F. Keeling, B. B. Stephens, J. D. Bent, J. Dunne, T. Ilyina, M. Long, L. Resplandy, J. Tjiputra, S. Yukimoto
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 43/5, 2016, Page(s) 2077-2085, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2015GL067584

Global Carbon Budget 2018

Author(s): Corinne Le Quéré, Robbie M. Andrew, Pierre Friedlingstein, Stephen Sitch, Judith Hauck, Julia Pongratz, Penelope A. Pickers, Jan Ivar Korsbakken, Glen P. Peters, Josep G. Canadell, Almut Arneth, Vivek K. Arora, Leticia Barbero, Ana Bastos, Laurent Bopp, Frédéric Chevallier, Louise P. Chini, Philippe Ciais, Scott C. Doney, Thanos Gkritzalis, Daniel S. Goll, Ian Harris, Vanessa Haverd, Forrest M
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 10/4, 2018, Page(s) 2141-2194, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-10-2141-2018

Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century

Author(s): Matthew J. Gidden, Keywan Riahi, Steven J. Smith, Shinichiro Fujimori, Gunnar Luderer, Elmar Kriegler, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Maarten van den Berg, Leyang Feng, David Klein, Katherine Calvin, Johnathan C. Doelman, Stefan Frank, Oliver Fricko, Mathijs Harmsen, Tomoko Hasegawa, Petr Havlik, Jérôme Hilaire, Rachel Hoesly, Jill Horing, Alexander Popp, Elke Stehfest, Kioshi Takahashi
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 2019, Page(s) 1-42, ISSN 1991-962X
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2018-266

ESD Reviews: Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: weighting, sub-selection and out-of-sample testing

Author(s): Gab Abramowitz, Nadja Herger, Ethan Gutmann, Dorit Hammerling, Reto Knutti, Martin Leduc, Ruth Lorenz, Robert Pincus, Gavin A. Schmidt
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 10/1, 2019, Page(s) 91-105, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-91-2019

Accounting for carbon and nitrogen interactions in the global terrestrial ecosystem model ORCHIDEE (trunk version, rev 4999): multi-scale evaluation of gross primary production

Author(s): Nicolas Vuichard, Palmira Messina, Sebastiaan Luyssaert, Bertrand Guenet, Sönke Zaehle, Josefine Ghattas, Vladislav Bastrikov, Philippe Peylin
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 12/11, 2019, Page(s) 4751-4779, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: EGU publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-4751-2019

Consistent trophic amplification of marine biomass declines under climate change

Author(s): Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Aumont, Laurent Bopp
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 25/1, 2018, Page(s) 218-229, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14468

Effects of stochastic parametrization on extreme value statistics

Author(s): Guannan Hu, Tamás Bódai, Valerio Lucarini
Published in: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Issue 29/8, 2019, Page(s) 083102, ISSN 1054-1500
Publisher: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/1.5095756

Decline in Atlantic Primary Production Accelerated by Greenland Ice Sheet Melt

Author(s): Lester Kwiatkowski, Joseph Naar, Laurent Bopp, Olivier Aumont, Dimitri Defrance, Damien Couespel
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/20, 2019, Page(s) 11347-11357, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019GL085267

Sensitivity of ocean biogeochemistry to the iron supply from the Antarctic Ice Sheet explored with a biogeochemical model

Author(s): Renaud Person, Olivier Aumont, Gurvan Madec, Martin Vancoppenolle, Laurent Bopp, Nacho Merino
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 16/18, 2019, Page(s) 3583-3603, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-16-3583-2019

Global Nitrous Oxide Production Determined by Oxygen Sensitivity of Nitrification and Denitrification

Author(s): Qixing Ji, Erik Buitenhuis, Parvadha Suntharalingam, Jorge L. Sarmiento, Bess B. Ward
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 32/12, 2018, Page(s) 1790-1802, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018GB005887

Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets

Author(s): Joeri Rogelj, Piers M. Forster, Elmar Kriegler, Christopher J. Smith, Roland Séférian
Published in: Nature, Issue 571/7765, 2019, Page(s) 335-342, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-019-1368-z

The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble: Enabling the Exploration of Climate System Variability

Author(s): Nicola Maher, Sebastian Milinski, Laura Suarez‐Gutierrez, Michael Botzet, Mikhail Dobrynin, Luis Kornblueh, Jürgen Kröger, Yohei Takano, Rohit Ghosh, Christopher Hedemann, Chao Li, Hongmei Li, Elisa Manzini, Dirk Notz, Dian Putrasahan, Lena Boysen, Martin Claussen, Tatiana Ilyina, Dirk Olonscheck, Thomas Raddatz, Bjorn Stevens, Jochem Marotzke
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/7, 2019, Page(s) 2050-2069, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001639

Coastal-ocean uptake of anthropogenic carbon

Author(s): Timothée Bourgeois, James C. Orr, Laure Resplandy, Jens Terhaar, Christian Ethé, Marion Gehlen, Laurent Bopp
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 13/14, 2016, Page(s) 4167-4185, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-13-4167-2016

The oceanic cycle of carbon monoxide and its emissions to the atmosphere

Author(s): Ludivine Conte, Sophie Szopa, Roland Séférian, Laurent Bopp
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 16/4, 2019, Page(s) 881-902, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-16-881-2019

Trend-preserving bias adjustment and statistical downscaling with ISIMIP3BASD (v1.0)

Author(s): Stefan Lange
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 12/7, 2019, Page(s) 3055-3070, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-3055-2019

Transitions across Melancholia States in a Climate Model: Reconciling the Deterministic and Stochastic Points of View

Author(s): Valerio Lucarini, Tamás Bódai
Published in: Physical Review Letters, Issue 122/15, 2019, ISSN 0031-9007
Publisher: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.122.158701

TheDiaTo (v1.0) – a new diagnostic tool for water, energy and entropy budgets in climate models

Author(s): Valerio Lembo, Frank Lunkeit, Valerio Lucarini
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 12/8, 2019, Page(s) 3805-3834, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-3805-2019

Decadal global temperature variability increases strongly with climate sensitivity

Author(s): Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 9/8, 2019, Page(s) 598-601, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0527-4

Anthropogenic nitrogen inputs and impacts on oceanic N2O fluxes in the northern Indian Ocean: The need for an integrated observation and modelling approach

Author(s): Parvadha Suntharalingam, Lauren M. Zamora, Hermann W. Bange, Srinivas Bikkina, Erik Buitenhuis, Maria Kanakidou, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Angela Landolfi, Laure Resplandy, Manmohan M. Sarin, Sybil Seitzinger, Arvind Singh
Published in: Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, Issue 166, 2019, Page(s) 104-113, ISSN 0967-0645
Publisher: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2019.03.007

The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution

Author(s): K. Strommen, I. Mavilia, S. Corti, M. Matsueda, P. Davini, J. Hardenberg, P.‐L. Vidale, R. Mizuta
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/13, 2019, Page(s) 7810-7818, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019GL082843

Evaluating a stochastic parametrization for a fast–slow system using the Wasserstein distance

Author(s): Gabriele Vissio, Valerio Lucarini
Published in: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Issue 25/2, 2018, Page(s) 413-427, ISSN 1607-7946
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/npg-25-413-2018

Reconciling Canopy Interception Parameterization and Rainfall Forcing Frequency in the Community Land Model for Simulating Evapotranspiration of Rainforests and Oil Palm Plantations in Indonesia

Author(s): Yuanchao Fan, Ana Meijide, David M. Lawrence, Olivier Roupsard, Kimberly M. Carlson, Hsin‐Yi Chen, Alexander Röll, Furong Niu, Alexander Knohl
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/3, 2019, Page(s) 732-751, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018MS001490

Preindustrial Control Simulations With HadGEM3‐GC3.1 for CMIP6

Author(s): Matthew B. Menary, Till Kuhlbrodt, Jeff Ridley, Martin B. Andrews, Oscar B. Dimdore‐Miles, Julie Deshayes, Rosie Eade, Lesley Gray, Sarah Ineson, Juliette Mignot, Christopher D. Roberts, Jon Robson, Richard A. Wood, Prince Xavier
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2018, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001495

Detecting Regional Modes of Variability in Observation‐Based Surface Ocean p CO 2

Author(s): Peter Landschützer, Tatiana Ilyina, Nicole S. Lovenduski
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/5, 2019, Page(s) 2670-2679, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081756

Evaluation of CNRM Earth System Model, CNRM‐ESM2‐1: Role of Earth System Processes in Present‐Day and Future Climate

Author(s): Roland Séférian, Pierre Nabat, Martine Michou, David Saint‐Martin, Aurore Voldoire, Jeanne Colin, Bertrand Decharme, Christine Delire, Sarah Berthet, Matthieu Chevallier, Stephane Sénési, Laurent Franchisteguy, Jessica Vial, Marc Mallet, Emilie Joetzjer, Olivier Geoffroy, Jean‐François Guérémy, Marie‐Pierre Moine, Rym Msadek, Aurélien Ribes, Matthias Rocher, Romain Roehrig, David Sal
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/12, 2019, Page(s) 4182-4227, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001791

Model constraints on the anthropogenic carbon budget of the Arctic Ocean

Author(s): Jens Terhaar, James C. Orr, Marion Gehlen, Christian Ethé, Laurent Bopp
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 16/11, 2019, Page(s) 2343-2367, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-16-2343-2019

Decadal trends in the ocean carbon sink

Author(s): Tim DeVries, Corinne Le Quéré, Oliver Andrews, Sarah Berthet, Judith Hauck, Tatiana Ilyina, Peter Landschützer, Andrew Lenton, Ivan D. Lima, Michael Nowicki, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2019, Page(s) 201900371, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1900371116

Dynamic Vegetation Simulations of the Mid‐Holocene Green Sahara

Author(s): Zhengyao Lu, Paul A. Miller, Qiong Zhang, Qiang Zhang, David Wårlind, Lars Nieradzik, Jesper Sjolte, Benjamin Smith
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 45/16, 2018, Page(s) 8294-8303, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl079195

A production-tagged aerosol module for Earth system models, OsloAero5.3 – extensions and updates for CAM5.3-Oslo

Author(s): Alf Kirkevåg, Alf Grini, Dirk Olivié, Øyvind Seland, Kari Alterskjær, Matthias Hummel, Inger H. H. Karset, Anna Lewinschal, Xiaohong Liu, Risto Makkonen, Ingo Bethke, Jan Griesfeller, Michael Schulz, Trond Iversen
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 11/10, 2018, Page(s) 3945-3982, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-3945-2018

Theoretical foundations of emergent constraints: relationships between climate sensitivity and global temperature variability in conceptual models

Author(s): Mark S Williamson, Peter M Cox, Femke J M M Nijsse
Published in: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Issue 3/1, 2018, ISSN 2059-6987
Publisher: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy006

Developments in the MPI‐M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI‐ESM1.2) and Its Response to Increasing CO 2

Author(s): Thorsten Mauritsen, Jürgen Bader, Tobias Becker, Jörg Behrens, Matthias Bittner, Renate Brokopf, Victor Brovkin, Martin Claussen, Traute Crueger, Monika Esch, Irina Fast, Stephanie Fiedler, Dagmar Fläschner, Veronika Gayler, Marco Giorgetta, Daniel S. Goll, Helmuth Haak, Stefan Hagemann, Christopher Hedemann, Cathy Hohenegger, Tatiana Ilyina, Thomas Jahns, Diego Jimenéz‐de‐la‐Cuesta, Joh
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/4, 2019, Page(s) 998-1038, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001400

Recent Changes in the ISBA‐CTRIP Land Surface System for Use in the CNRM‐CM6 Climate Model and in Global Off‐Line Hydrological Applications

Author(s): Bertrand Decharme, Christine Delire, Marie Minvielle, Jeanne Colin, Jean‐Pierre Vergnes, Antoinette Alias, David Saint‐Martin, Roland Séférian, Stéphane Sénési, Aurore Voldoire
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/5, 2019, Page(s) 1207-1252, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001545

Emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability

Author(s): Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Published in: Nature, Issue 553/7688, 2018, Page(s) 319-322, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/nature25450

Emergent Constraints on Climate-Carbon Cycle Feedbacks

Author(s): Peter M. Cox
Published in: Current Climate Change Reports, Issue 5/4, 2019, Page(s) 275-281, ISSN 2198-6061
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00141-y

Methane budget estimates in Finland from the CarbonTracker Europe-CH 4 data assimilation system

Author(s): Aki Tsuruta, Tuula Aalto, Leif Backman, Maarten C. Krol, Wouter Peters, Sebastian Lienert, Fortunat Joos, Paul A. Miller, Wenxin Zhang, Tuomas Laurila, Juha Hatakka, Ari Leskinen, Kari E. J. Lehtinen, Olli Peltola, Timo Vesala, Janne Levula, Ed Dlugokencky, Martin Heimann, Elena Kozlova, Mika Aurela, Annalea Lohila, Mari Kauhaniemi, Angel J. Gomez-Pelaez
Published in: Tellus B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology, Issue 71/1, 2019, Page(s) 1565030, ISSN 1600-0889
Publisher: Taylor and Francis online
DOI: 10.1080/16000889.2018.1565030

Enhanced global primary production by biogenic aerosol via diffuse radiation fertilization

Author(s): A. Rap, C. E. Scott, C. L. Reddington, L. Mercado, R. J. Ellis, S. Garraway, M. J. Evans, D. J. Beerling, A. R. MacKenzie, C. N. Hewitt, D. V. Spracklen
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 11/9, 2018, Page(s) 640-644, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-018-0208-3

ESD Reviews: Climate feedbacks in the Earth system and prospects for their evaluation

Author(s): Christoph Heinze, Veronika Eyring, Pierre Friedlingstein, Colin Jones, Yves Balkanski, William Collins, Thierry Fichefet, Shuang Gao, Alex Hall, Detelina Ivanova, Wolfgang Knorr, Reto Knutti, Alexander Löw, Michael Ponater, Martin G. Schultz, Michael Schulz, Pier Siebesma, Joao Teixeira, George Tselioudis, Martin Vancoppenolle
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 10/3, 2019, Page(s) 379-452, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-379-2019

Evaluating Oceanic Uptake of Atmospheric CCl 4 : A Combined Analysis of Model Simulations and Observations

Author(s): P. Suntharalingam, E. Buitenhuis, L. J. Carpenter, J. H. Butler, M. J. Messias, S. J. Andrews, S. C. Hackenberg
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/1, 2019, Page(s) 472-482, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl080612

Evaluation of an Online Grid‐Coarsening Algorithm in a Global Eddy‐Admitting Ocean Biogeochemical Model

Author(s): Sarah Berthet, Roland Séférian, Clément Bricaud, Matthieu Chevallier, Aurore Voldoire, Christian Ethé
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/6, 2019, Page(s) 1759-1783, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001644

Evaluation of global simulations of aerosol particle and cloud condensation nuclei number, with implications for cloud droplet formation

Author(s): George S. Fanourgakis, Maria Kanakidou, Athanasios Nenes, Susanne E. Bauer, Tommi Bergman, Ken S. Carslaw, Alf Grini, Douglas S. Hamilton, Jill S. Johnson, Vlassis A. Karydis, Alf Kirkevåg, John K. Kodros, Ulrike Lohmann, Gan Luo, Risto Makkonen, Hitoshi Matsui, David Neubauer, Jeffrey R. Pierce, Julia Schmale, Philip Stier, Kostas Tsigaridis, Twan van Noije, Hailong Wang, Duncan Watson-Parris, D
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 19/13, 2019, Page(s) 8591-8617, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-19-8591-2019

Impact of the 2015/2016 El Niño on the terrestrial carbon cycle constrained by bottom-up and top-down approaches

Author(s): Ana Bastos, Pierre Friedlingstein, Stephen Sitch, Chi Chen, Arnaud Mialon, Jean-Pierre Wigneron, Vivek K. Arora, Peter R. Briggs, Josep G. Canadell, Philippe Ciais, Frédéric Chevallier, Lei Cheng, Christine Delire, Vanessa Haverd, Atul K. Jain, Fortunat Joos, Etsushi Kato, Sebastian Lienert, Danica Lombardozzi, Joe R. Melton, Ranga Myneni, Julia E. M. S. Nabel, Julia Pongratz, Benjamin Poulter,
Published in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Issue 373/1760, 2018, Page(s) 20170304, ISSN 0962-8436
Publisher: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0304

Grass and tree cover responses to intra-seasonal rainfall variability vary along a rainfall gradient in African tropical grassy biomes

Author(s): Donatella D’Onofrio, Luke Sweeney, Jost von Hardenberg, Mara Baudena
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 9/1, 2019, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-38933-9

Monthly gridded data product of northern wetland methane emissions based on upscaling eddy covariance observations

Author(s): Olli Peltola, Timo Vesala, Yao Gao, Olle Räty, Pavel Alekseychik, Mika Aurela, Bogdan Chojnicki, Ankur R. Desai, Albertus J. Dolman, Eugenie S. Euskirchen, Thomas Friborg, Mathias Göckede, Manuel Helbig, Elyn Humphreys, Robert B. Jackson, Georg Jocher, Fortunat Joos, Janina Klatt, Sara H. Knox, Natalia Kowalska, Lars Kutzbach, Sebastian Lienert, Annalea Lohila, Ivan Mammarella, Daniel F. Nadeau,
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 11/3, 2019, Page(s) 1263-1289, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/essd-11-1263-2019

Global mean climate and main patterns of variability in the CMCC‐CM2 coupled model

Author(s): A. Cherchi, P. G. Fogli, T. Lovato, D. Peano, D. Iovino, S. Gualdi, S. Masina, E. Scoccimarro, S. Materia, A. Bellucci, A. Navarra
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2018, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001369

Improved Aerosol Processes and Effective Radiative Forcing in HadGEM3 and UKESM1

Author(s): J. P. Mulcahy, C. Jones, A. Sellar, B. Johnson, I. A. Boutle, A. Jones, T. Andrews, S. T. Rumbold, J. Mollard, N. Bellouin, C. E. Johnson, K. D. Williams, D. P. Grosvenor, D. T. McCoy
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 10/11, 2018, Page(s) 2786-2805, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001464

Impact of priming on global soil carbon stocks

Author(s): Bertrand Guenet, Marta Camino-Serrano, Philippe Ciais, Marwa Tifafi, Fabienne Maignan, Jennifer L. Soong, Ivan A. Janssens
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 24/5, 2018, Page(s) 1873-1883, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14069

Major Contribution of Reduced Upper Ocean Oxygen Mixing to Global Ocean Deoxygenation in an Earth System Model

Author(s): Damien Couespel, Marina Lévy, Laurent Bopp
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/21, 2019, Page(s) 12239-12249, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl084162

Observational Constraints Reduce Likelihood of Extreme Changes in Multidecadal Land Water Availability

Author(s): Ryan S. Padrón, Lukas Gudmundsson, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/2, 2019, Page(s) 736-744, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl080521

Pathway-dependent fate of permafrost region carbon

Author(s): Thomas Kleinen, Victor Brovkin
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 13/9, 2018, Page(s) 094001, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aad824

Simulated Arctic Ocean Response to Doubling of Riverine Carbon and Nutrient Delivery

Author(s): J. Terhaar, J. C. Orr, C. Ethé, P. Regnier, L. Bopp
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 33/8, 2019, Page(s) 1048-1070, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gb006200

Studying the impact of biomass burning aerosol radiative and climate effects on the Amazon rainforest productivity with an Earth system model

Author(s): Florent F. Malavelle, Jim M. Haywood, Lina M. Mercado, Gerd A. Folberth, Nicolas Bellouin, Stephen Sitch, Paulo Artaxo
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 19/2, 2019, Page(s) 1301-1326, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-19-1301-2019

Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change

Author(s): Alex Hall, Peter Cox, Chris Huntingford, Stephen Klein
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 9/4, 2019, Page(s) 269-278, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0436-6

Spectral Decomposition and Extremes of Atmospheric Meridional Energy Transport in the Northern Hemisphere Midlatitudes

Author(s): V. Lembo, G. Messori, R. Graversen, V. Lucarini
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/13, 2019, Page(s) 7602-7613, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl082105

The roles of volatile organic compound deposition and oxidation mechanisms in determining secondary organic aerosol production: a global perspective using the UKCA chemistry–climate model (vn8.4)

Author(s): Jamie M. Kelly, Ruth M. Doherty, Fiona M. O&amp;apos;Connor, Graham W. Mann, Hugh Coe, Dantong Liu
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 12/6, 2019, Page(s) 2539-2569, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-2539-2019

The sensitivity of the forest carbon budget shifts across processes along with stand development and climate change

Author(s): Alessio Collalti, Peter E. Thornton, Alessandro Cescatti, Angelo Rita, Marco Borghetti, Angelo Nolè, Carlo Trotta, Philippe Ciais, Giorgio Matteucci
Published in: Ecological Applications, Issue 29/2, 2019, ISSN 1051-0761
Publisher: Ecological Society of America
DOI: 10.1002/eap.1837

The effect of univariate bias adjustment on multivariate hazard estimates

Author(s): Jakob Zscheischler, Erich M. Fischer, Stefan Lange
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 10/1, 2019, Page(s) 31-43, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-31-2019

Taking climate model evaluation to the next level

Author(s): Veronika Eyring, Peter M. Cox, Gregory M. Flato, Peter J. Gleckler, Gab Abramowitz, Peter Caldwell, William D. Collins, Bettina K. Gier, Alex D. Hall, Forrest M. Hoffman, George C. Hurtt, Alexandra Jahn, Chris D. Jones, Stephen A. Klein, John P. Krasting, Lester Kwiatkowski, Ruth Lorenz, Eric Maloney, Gerald A. Meehl, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Robert Pincus, Alex C. Ruane, Joellen L. Russell, Benja
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 9/2, 2019, Page(s) 102-110, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y

The Low‐Resolution Version of HadGEM3 GC3.1: Development and Evaluation for Global Climate

Author(s): Till Kuhlbrodt, Colin G. Jones, Alistair Sellar, Dave Storkey, Ed Blockley, Marc Stringer, Richard Hill, Tim Graham, Jeff Ridley, Adam Blaker, Daley Calvert, Dan Copsey, Richard Ellis, Helene Hewitt, Patrick Hyder, Sarah Ineson, Jane Mulcahy, Antony Siahaan, Jeremy Walton
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 10/11, 2018, Page(s) 2865-2888, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001370

Correction to: The impact of stochastic physics on the El Niño Southern Oscillation in the EC-Earth coupled model

Author(s): Chunxue Yang, Hannah M. Christensen, Susanna Corti, Jost von Hardenberg, Paolo Davini
Published in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 53/3-4, 2019, Page(s) 2479-2479, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04771-8

Tropical climate–vegetation–fire relationships: multivariate evaluation of the land surface model JSBACH

Author(s): Gitta Lasslop, Thomas Moeller, Donatella D&amp;apos;Onofrio, Stijn Hantson, Silvia Kloster
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 15/19, 2018, Page(s) 5969-5989, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-15-5969-2018

Vegetation Pattern and Terrestrial Carbon Variation in Past Warm and Cold Climates

Author(s): Zhengyao Lu, Paul A. Miller, Qiong Zhang, David Wårlind, Lars Nieradzik, Jesper Sjolte, Qiang Li, Benjamin Smith
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/14, 2019, Page(s) 8133-8143, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl083729

Interactions between the atmosphere, cryosphere, and ecosystems at northern high latitudes

Author(s): Michael Boy, Erik S. Thomson, Juan-C. Acosta Navarro, Olafur Arnalds, Ekaterina Batchvarova, Jaana Bäck, Frank Berninger, Merete Bilde, Zoé Brasseur, Pavla Dagsson-Waldhauserova, Dimitri Castarède, Maryam Dalirian, Gerrit de Leeuw, Monika Dragosics, Ella-Maria Duplissy, Jonathan Duplissy, Annica M. L. Ekman, Keyan Fang, Jean-Charles Gallet, Marianne Glasius, Sven-Erik Gryning, Henrik Grythe, Ha
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 19/3, 2019, Page(s) 2015-2061, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-19-2015-2019

Evaluation of CMIP6 DECK Experiments With CNRM‐CM6‐1

Author(s): A. Voldoire, D. Saint‐Martin, S. Sénési, B. Decharme, A. Alias, M. Chevallier, J. Colin, J.‐F. Guérémy, M. Michou, M.‐P. Moine, P. Nabat, R. Roehrig, D. Salas y Mélia, R. Séférian, S. Valcke, I. Beau, S. Belamari, S. Berthet, C. Cassou, J. Cattiaux, J. Deshayes, H. Douville, C. Ethé, L. Franchistéguy, O. Geoffroy, C. Lévy, G. Madec, Y. Meurdesoif, R. Msadek, A. Ribes, E. Sanchez‐
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/7, 2019, Page(s) 2177-2213, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001683

Arctic amplification under global warming of 1.5 and 2 °C in NorESM1-Happi

Author(s): Lise S. Graff, Trond Iversen, Ingo Bethke, Jens B. Debernard, Øyvind Seland, Mats Bentsen, Alf Kirkevåg, Camille Li, Dirk J. L. Olivié
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 10/3, 2019, Page(s) 569-598, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-569-2019

Warmer climate projections in EC-Earth3-Veg: the role of changes in the greenhouse gas concentrations from CMIP5 to CMIP6

Author(s): Klaus Wyser, Erik Kjellström, Torben Königk, Helena Martins, Ralf Doescher
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 2020, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab81c2

Present‐Day and Historical Aerosol and Ozone Characteristics in CNRM CMIP6 Simulations

Author(s): M. Michou, P. Nabat, D. Saint‐Martin, J. Bock, B. Decharme, M. Mallet, R. Roehrig, R. Séférian, S. Sénési, A. Voldoire
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 12/1, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001816

Quantifying uncertainty in European climate projections using combined performance-independence weighting

Author(s): Lukas Brunner, Ruth Lorenz, Marius Zumwald, Reto Knutti
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 14/12, 2019, Page(s) 124010, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab492f

Forcings, Feedbacks, and Climate Sensitivity in HadGEM3‐GC3.1 and UKESM1

Author(s): Timothy Andrews, Martin B. Andrews, Alejandro Bodas‐Salcedo, Gareth S. Jones, Till Kuhlbrodt, James Manners, Matthew B. Menary, Jeff Ridley, Mark A. Ringer, Alistair A. Sellar, Catherine A. Senior, Yongming Tang
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/12, 2019, Page(s) 4377-4394, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001866

Implementation of UK Earth system models for CMIP6

Author(s): Alistair A. Sellar, Jeremy Walton, Colin G. Jones, Richard Wood, Nathan Luke Abraham, Miroslaw Andrejczuk, Martin B. Andrews, Timothy Andrews, Alex T. Archibald, Lee Mora, Harold Dyson, Mark Elkington, Rich Ellis, Piotr Florek, Peter Good, Laila Gohar, Stephen Haddad, Steven C. Hardiman, Emma Hogan, Alan Iwi, Chris D. Jones, Ben Johnson, Douglas I. Kelley, Jamie Kettleborough, Jeff R. Knight, Marc
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001946

The importance of comprehensive parameter sampling and multiple observations for robust constraint of aerosol radiative forcing

Author(s): Jill S. Johnson, Leighton A. Regayre, Masaru Yoshioka, Kirsty J. Pringle, Lindsay A. Lee, David M. H. Sexton, John W. Rostron, Ben B. B. Booth, Kenneth S. Carslaw
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 18/17, 2018, Page(s) 13031-13053, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-13031-2018

The impact of biogenic, anthropogenic, and biomass burning volatile organic compound emissions on regional and seasonal variations in secondary organic aerosol

Author(s): Jamie M. Kelly, Ruth M. Doherty, Fiona M. O&amp;apos;Connor, Graham W. Mann
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 18/10, 2018, Page(s) 7393-7422, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-7393-2018

Tropospheric jet response to Antarctic ozone depletion: An update with Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative (CCMI) models

Author(s): Seok-Woo Son, Bo-Reum Han, Chaim I Garfinkel, Seo-Yeon Kim, Rokjin Park, N Luke Abraham, Hideharu Akiyoshi, Alexander T Archibald, N Butchart, Martyn P Chipperfield, Martin Dameris, Makoto Deushi, Sandip S Dhomse, Steven C Hardiman, Patrick Jöckel, Douglas Kinnison, Martine Michou, Olaf Morgenstern, Fiona M O’Connor, Luke D Oman, David A Plummer, Andrea Pozzer, Laura E Revell, Eugene Rozanov, A
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 13/5, 2018, Page(s) 054024, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aabf21

Revising and Extending the Linear Response Theory for Statistical Mechanical Systems: Evaluating Observables as Predictors and Predictands

Author(s): Valerio Lucarini
Published in: Journal of Statistical Physics, Issue 173/6, 2018, Page(s) 1698-1721, ISSN 0022-4715
Publisher: Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10955-018-2151-5

UKESM1: Description and Evaluation of the U.K. Earth System Model

Author(s): Alistair A. Sellar, Colin G. Jones, Jane P. Mulcahy, Yongming Tang, Andrew Yool, Andy Wiltshire, Fiona M. O'Connor, Marc Stringer, Richard Hill, Julien Palmieri, Stephanie Woodward, Lee Mora, Till Kuhlbrodt, Steven T. Rumbold, Douglas I. Kelley, Rich Ellis, Colin E. Johnson, Jeremy Walton, Nathan Luke Abraham, Martin B. Andrews, Timothy Andrews, Alex T. Archibald, Ségolène Berthou, Eleanor Burke
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/12, 2019, Page(s) 4513-4558, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001739

A large deviation theory-based analysis of heat waves and cold spells in a simplified model of the general circulation of the atmosphere

Author(s): Vera Melinda Gálfi, Valerio Lucarini, Jeroen Wouters
Published in: Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, Issue 2019/3, 2019, Page(s) 033404, ISSN 1742-5468
Publisher: Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1088/1742-5468/ab02e8

Validation of Stratification-Driven Phytoplankton Biomass and Nutrient Concentrations in the Northeast Atlantic Ocean as Simulated by EC-Earth

Author(s): Nomikos Skyllas, Richard Bintanja, Anita G. J. Buma, Corina P. D. Brussaard, Matthias Gröger, Jenny Hieronymus, Willem H. van de Poll
Published in: Geosciences, Issue 9/10, 2019, Page(s) 450, ISSN 2076-3263
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.3390/geosciences9100450

A new mathematical framework for atmospheric blocking events

Author(s): Valerio Lucarini, Andrey Gritsun
Published in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 54/1-2, 2020, Page(s) 575-598, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-05018-2

A New Process-Based Soil Methane Scheme: Evaluation Over Arctic Field Sites With the ISBA Land Surface Model

Author(s): X. Morel, B. Decharme, C. Delire, G. Krinner, M. Lund, B. U. Hansen, M. Mastepanov
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/1, 2019, Page(s) 293-326, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001329

Global Variability of Simulated and Observed Vegetation Growing Season

Author(s): D. Peano, S. Materia, A. Collalti, A. Alessandri, A. Anav, A. Bombelli, S. Gualdi
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, Issue 124/11, 2019, Page(s) 3569-3587, ISSN 2169-8953
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2018jg004881

Estimates of ozone return dates from Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative simulations

Author(s): Sandip S. Dhomse, Douglas Kinnison, Martyn P. Chipperfield, Ross J. Salawitch, Irene Cionni, Michaela I. Hegglin, N. Luke Abraham, Hideharu Akiyoshi, Alex T. Archibald, Ewa M. Bednarz, Slimane Bekki, Peter Braesicke, Neal Butchart, Martin Dameris, Makoto Deushi, Stacey Frith, Steven C. Hardiman, Birgit Hassler, Larry W. Horowitz, Rong-Ming Hu, Patrick Jöckel, Beatrice Josse, Oliver Kirner, Stefan
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 18/11, 2018, Page(s) 8409-8438, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-8409-2018

Aerosol and physical atmosphere model parameters are both important sources of uncertainty in aerosol ERF

Author(s): Leighton A. Regayre, Jill S. Johnson, Masaru Yoshioka, Kirsty J. Pringle, David M. H. Sexton, Ben B. B. Booth, Lindsay A. Lee, Nicolas Bellouin, Kenneth S. Carslaw
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 18/13, 2018, Page(s) 9975-10006, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-9975-2018

"Description and evaluation of the UKCA stratosphere–troposphere chemistry scheme (StratTrop vn 1.0) implemented in UKESM1"

Author(s): Alexander T. Archibald, Fiona M. O&amp;apos;Connor, Nathan Luke Abraham, Scott Archer-Nicholls, Martyn P. Chipperfield, Mohit Dalvi, Gerd A. Folberth, Fraser Dennison, Sandip S. Dhomse, Paul T. Griffiths, Catherine Hardacre, Alan J. Hewitt, Richard S. Hill, Colin E. Johnson, James Keeble, Marcus O. Köhler, Olaf Morgenstern, Jane P. Mulcahy, Carlos Ordóñez, Richard J. Pope, Steven T. Rumbold, Ma
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/3, 2020, Page(s) 1223-1266, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-1223-2020

Earth system models underestimate carbon fixation by plants in the high latitudes

Author(s): Alexander J. Winkler, Ranga B. Myneni, Georgii A. Alexandrov, Victor Brovkin
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 10/1, 2019, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-08633-z

ESM-SnowMIP: assessing snow models and quantifying snow-related climate feedbacks

Author(s): Gerhard Krinner, Chris Derksen, Richard Essery, Mark Flanner, Stefan Hagemann, Martyn Clark, Alex Hall, Helmut Rott, Claire Brutel-Vuilmet, Hyungjun Kim, Cécile B. Ménard, Lawrence Mudryk, Chad Thackeray, Libo Wang, Gabriele Arduini, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Paul Bartlett, Julia Boike, Aaron Boone, Frédérique Chéruy, Jeanne Colin, Matthias Cuntz, Yongjiu Dai, Bertrand Decharme, Jeff Derry, Agnès D
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 11/12, 2018, Page(s) 5027-5049, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-5027-2018

Direct Radiative Effect by Mineral Dust Aerosols Constrained by New Microphysical and Spectral Optical Data

Author(s): C. Di Biagio, Y. Balkanski, S. Albani, O. Boucher, P. Formenti
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/2, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086186

Constraining Uncertainties in CMIP5 Projections of September Arctic Sea Ice Extent with Observations

Author(s): Daniel Senftleben, Axel Lauer, Alexey Karpechko
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 33/4, 2020, Page(s) 1487-1503, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0075.1

Emulating Earth system model temperatures with MESMER: from global mean temperature trajectories to grid-point-level realizations on land

Author(s): Lea Beusch, Lukas Gudmundsson, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/1, 2020, Page(s) 139-159, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-139-2020

Edge states in the climate system: exploring global instabilities and critical transitions

Author(s): Valerio Lucarini, Tamás Bódai
Published in: Nonlinearity, Issue 30/7, 2017, Page(s) R32-R66, ISSN 0951-7715
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1361-6544/aa6b11

Ensemble optimisation, multiple constraints and overconfidence: a case study with future Australian precipitation change

Author(s): Nadja Herger, Gab Abramowitz, Steven Sherwood, Reto Knutti, Oliver Angélil, Scott A. Sisson
Published in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 53/3-4, 2019, Page(s) 1581-1596, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04690-8

Description of the resolution hierarchy of the global coupled HadGEM3-GC3.1 model as used in CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments

Author(s): Malcolm J. Roberts, Alex Baker, Ed W. Blockley, Daley Calvert, Andrew Coward, Helene T. Hewitt, Laura C. Jackson, Till Kuhlbrodt, Pierre Mathiot, Christopher D. Roberts, Reinhard Schiemann, Jon Seddon, Benoît Vannière, Pier Luigi Vidale
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 12/12, 2019, Page(s) 4999-5028, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-4999-2019

Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks

Author(s): Edward Comyn-Platt, Garry Hayman, Chris Huntingford, Sarah E. Chadburn, Eleanor J. Burke, Anna B. Harper, William J. Collins, Christopher P. Webber, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Nicola Gedney, Stephen Sitch
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 11/8, 2018, Page(s) 568-573, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-018-0174-9

Historical Land-Cover Change Impacts on Climate: Comparative Assessment of LUCID and CMIP5 Multimodel Experiments

Author(s): Quentin Lejeune, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Edouard L. Davin
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 30/4, 2017, Page(s) 1439-1459, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-16-0213.1

Inequal Responses of Drylands to Radiative Forcing Geoengineering Methods

Author(s): Chang‐Eui Park, Su‐Jong Jeong, Yuanchao Fan, Jerry Tjiputra, Helene Muri, Chunmiao Zheng
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46/23, 2019, Page(s) 14011-14020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl084210

Global assessment of heat wave magnitudes from 1901 to 2010 and implications for the river discharge of the Alps

Author(s): Matteo Zampieri, Simone Russo, Silvana di Sabatino, Melania Michetti, Enrico Scoccimarro, Silvio Gualdi
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, Issue 571, 2016, Page(s) 1330-1339, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.07.008

Impact of Stratospheric Volcanic Aerosols on Age-of-Air and Transport of Long-Lived Species

Author(s): Giovanni Pitari, Irene Cionni, Glauco Di Genova, Daniele Visioni, Ilaria Gandolfi, Eva Mancini
Published in: Atmosphere, Issue 7/11, 2016, Page(s) 149, ISSN 2073-4433
Publisher: Rotoweb Cantelli
DOI: 10.3390/atmos7110149

Historical deforestation locally increased the intensity of hot days in northern mid-latitudes

Author(s): Quentin Lejeune, Edouard L. Davin, Lukas Gudmundsson, Johannes Winckler, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 8/5, 2018, Page(s) 386-390, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0131-z

Including Stable Carbon Isotopes to Evaluate the Dynamics of Soil Carbon in the Land‐Surface Model ORCHIDEE

Author(s): Marta Camino‐Serrano, Marwa Tifafi, Jérôme Balesdent, Christine Hatté, Josep Peñuelas, Sophie Cornu, Bertrand Guenet
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 11/11, 2019, Page(s) 3650-3669, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001392

Impact of Solar Radiation Modification on Allowable CO 2 Emissions: What Can We Learn From Multimodel Simulations?

Author(s): Maxime Plazzotta, Roland Séférian, Hervé Douville
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 7/6, 2019, Page(s) 664-676, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001165

Hydrological and biogeochemical constraints on terrestrial carbon cycle feedbacks

Author(s): Stefanos Mystakidis, Sonia I Seneviratne, Nicolas Gruber, Edouard L Davin
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 12/1, 2017, Page(s) 014009, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/12/1/014009

Recent Changes in Global Photosynthesis and Terrestrial Ecosystem Respiration Constrained From Multiple Observations

Author(s): Wei Li, Philippe Ciais, Yilong Wang, Yi Yin, Shushi Peng, Zaichun Zhu, Ana Bastos, Chao Yue, Ashley P. Ballantyne, Grégoire Broquet, Josep G. Canadell, Alessandro Cescatti, Chi Chen, Leila Cooper, Pierre Friedlingstein, Corinne Le Quéré, Ranga B. Myneni, Shilong Piao
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 45/2, 2018, Page(s) 1058-1068, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2017gl076622

JULES-GL7: the Global Land configuration of the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator version 7.0 and 7.2

Author(s): Andrew J. Wiltshire, Maria Carolina Duran Rojas, John M. Edwards, Nicola Gedney, Anna B. Harper, Andrew J. Hartley, Margaret A. Hendry, Eddy Robertson, Kerry Smout-Day
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/2, 2020, Page(s) 483-505, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-483-2020

Land Surface Cooling Induced by Sulfate Geoengineering Constrained by Major Volcanic Eruptions

Author(s): Maxime Plazzotta, Roland Séférian, Hervé Douville, Ben Kravitz, Jerry Tjiputra
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 45/11, 2018, Page(s) 5663-5671, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl077583

Routine uncertainty propagation for the marine carbon dioxide system

Author(s): James C. Orr, Jean-Marie Epitalon, Andrew G. Dickson, Jean-Pierre Gattuso
Published in: Marine Chemistry, Issue 207, 2018, Page(s) 84-107, ISSN 0304-4203
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.marchem.2018.10.006

Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy

Author(s): Katarzyna B. Tokarska, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Joeri Rogelj, Martin B. Stolpe, H. Damon Matthews, Peter Pfleiderer, Nathan P. Gillett
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 12/12, 2019, Page(s) 964-971, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0493-5

SALSA2.0: The sectional aerosol module of the aerosol–chemistry–climate model ECHAM6.3.0-HAM2.3-MOZ1.0

Author(s): Harri Kokkola, Thomas Kühn, Anton Laakso, Tommi Bergman, Kari E. J. Lehtinen, Tero Mielonen, Antti Arola, Scarlet Stadtler, Hannele Korhonen, Sylvaine Ferrachat, Ulrike Lohmann, David Neubauer, Ina Tegen, Colombe Siegenthaler-Le Drian, Martin G. Schultz, Isabelle Bey, Philip Stier, Nikos Daskalakis, Colette L. Heald, Sami Romakkaniemi
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 11/9, 2018, Page(s) 3833-3863, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-3833-2018

Lyapunov analysis of multiscale dynamics: the slow bundle of the two-scale Lorenz 96 model

Author(s): Mallory Carlu, Francesco Ginelli, Valerio Lucarini, Antonio Politi
Published in: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Issue 26/2, 2019, Page(s) 73-89, ISSN 1607-7946
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/npg-26-73-2019

Is land surface processes representation a possible weak link in current Regional Climate Models?

Author(s): Edouard L Davin, Eric Maisonnave, Sonia I Seneviratne
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 11/7, 2016, Page(s) 074027, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074027

Resonances in a Chaotic Attractor Crisis of the Lorenz Flow

Author(s): Alexis Tantet, Valerio Lucarini, Henk A. Dijkstra
Published in: Journal of Statistical Physics, Issue 170/3, 2018, Page(s) 584-616, ISSN 0022-4715
Publisher: Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10955-017-1938-0

Terrestrial water loss at night: global relevance from observations and climate models

Author(s): Ryan S. Padrón, Lukas Gudmundsson, Dominik Michel, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 24/2, 2020, Page(s) 793-807, ISSN 1607-7938
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/hess-24-793-2020

The Effect of Atmospheric Acid Processing on the Global Deposition of Bioavailable Phosphorus From Dust

Author(s): R. J. Herbert, M. D. Krom, K. S. Carslaw, A. Stockdale, R. J. G. Mortimer, L. G. Benning, K. Pringle, J. Browse
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 32/9, 2018, Page(s) 1367-1385, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018gb005880

Thinning Can Reduce Losses in Carbon Use Efficiency and Carbon Stocks in Managed Forests Under Warmer Climate

Author(s): Alessio Collalti, Carlo Trotta, Trevor F. Keenan, Andreas Ibrom, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Ruediger Grote, Sara Vicca, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Mirco Migliavacca, Frank Veroustraete, Alessandro Anav, Matteo Campioli, Enrico Scoccimarro, Ladislav Šigut, Elisa Grieco, Alessandro Cescatti, Giorgio Matteucci
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 10/10, 2018, Page(s) 2427-2452, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001275

State of the science in reconciling top‐down and bottom‐up approaches for terrestrial CO 2 budget

Author(s): Masayuki Kondo, Prabir K. Patra, Stephen Sitch, Pierre Friedlingstein, Benjamin Poulter, Frederic Chevallier, Philippe Ciais, Josep G. Canadell, Ana Bastos, Ronny Lauerwald, Leonardo Calle, Kazuhito Ichii, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Vanessa Haverd, Atul K. Jain, Etsushi Kato, Markus Kautz, Rachel M. Law, Sebastian Lienert, Danica Lombardozzi, Takashi Maki, Takashi Nakamura, Philippe Peylin, Chri
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 26/3, 2020, Page(s) 1068-1084, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14917

The dry season intensity as a key driver of NPP trends

Author(s): Guillermo Murray‐Tortarolo, Pierre Friedlingstein, Stephen Sitch, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Imogen Fletcher, Brigitte Mueller, Peter Greve, Alessandro Anav, Yi Liu, Anders Ahlström, Chris Huntingford, Sam Levis, Peter Levy, Mark Lomas, Benjamin Poulter, Nicholas Viovy, Sonke Zaehle, Ning Zeng
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 43/6, 2016, Page(s) 2632-2639, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2016gl068240

The CMIP6 Data Request (DREQ, version 01.00.31)

Author(s): Martin Juckes, Karl E. Taylor, Paul J. Durack, Bryan Lawrence, Matthew S. Mizielinski, Alison Pamment, Jean-Yves Peterschmitt, Michel Rixen, Stéphane Sénési
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/1, 2020, Page(s) 201-224, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-201-2020

Sensitivity of Global Warming to Carbon Emissions: Effects of Heat and Carbon Uptake in a Suite of Earth System Models

Author(s): Richard G. Williams, Vassil Roussenov, Philip Goodwin, Laure Resplandy, Laurent Bopp
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 30/23, 2017, Page(s) 9343-9363, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-16-0468.1

Towards real-time verification of CO2 emissions

Author(s): Glen P. Peters, Corinne Le Quéré, Robbie M. Andrew, Josep G. Canadell, Pierre Friedlingstein, Tatiana Ilyina, Robert B. Jackson, Fortunat Joos, Jan Ivar Korsbakken, Galen A. McKinley, Stephen Sitch, Pieter Tans
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 7/12, 2017, Page(s) 848-850, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-017-0013-9

Future climate change shaped by inter-model differences in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation response

Author(s): Katinka Bellomo, Michela Angeloni, Susanna Corti, Jost von Hardenberg
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 12/1, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-24015-w

Assessment of pre-industrial to present-day anthropogenic climate forcing in UKESM1

Author(s): Fiona M. O'Connor, N. Luke Abraham, Mohit Dalvi, Gerd A. Folberth, Paul T. Griffiths, Catherine Hardacre, Ben T. Johnson, Ron Kahana, James Keeble, Byeonghyeon Kim, Olaf Morgenstern, Jane P. Mulcahy, Mark Richardson, Eddy Robertson, Jeongbyn Seo, Sungbo Shim, João C. Teixeira, Steven T. Turnock, Jonny Williams, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Stephanie Woodward, Guang Zeng
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 21/2, 2021, Page(s) 1211-1243, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-1211-2021

A new dataset of soil carbon and nitrogen stocks and profiles from an instrumented Greenlandic fen designed to evaluate land-surface models

Author(s): Xavier Morel, Birger Hansen, Christine Delire, Per Ambus, Mikhail Mastepanov, Bertrand Decharme
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 12/4, 2020, Page(s) 2365-2380, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-2365-2020

Global climate response to idealized deforestation in CMIP6 models

Author(s): Lena R. Boysen, Victor Brovkin, Julia Pongratz, David M. Lawrence, Peter Lawrence, Nicolas Vuichard, Philippe Peylin, Spencer Liddicoat, Tomohiro Hajima, Yanwu Zhang, Matthias Rocher, Christine Delire, Roland Séférian, Vivek K. Arora, Lars Nieradzik, Peter Anthoni, Wim Thiery, Marysa M. Laguë, Deborah Lawrence, Min-Hui Lo
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/22, 2020, Page(s) 5615-5638, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-5615-2020

Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy

Author(s): H. Damon Matthews, Katarzyna B. Tokarska, Zebedee R. J. Nicholls, Joeri Rogelj, Josep G. Canadell, Pierre Friedlingstein, Thomas L. Frölicher, Piers M. Forster, Nathan P. Gillett, Tatiana Ilyina, Robert B. Jackson, Chris D. Jones, Charles Koven, Reto Knutti, Andrew H. MacDougall, Malte Meinshausen, Nadine Mengis, Roland Séférian, Kirsten Zickfeld
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 13/12, 2020, Page(s) 769-779, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-020-00663-3

Robust Ecosystem Demography (RED version 1.0): a parsimonious approach to modelling vegetation dynamics in Earth system models

Author(s): Arthur P. K. Argles, Jonathan R. Moore, Chris Huntingford, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Anna B. Harper, Chris D. Jones, Peter M. Cox
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/9, 2020, Page(s) 4067-4089, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-4067-2020

Evaluation of natural aerosols in CRESCENDO Earth system models (ESMs): mineral dust

Author(s): Ramiro Checa-Garcia, Yves Balkanski, Samuel Albani, Tommi Bergman, Ken Carslaw, Anne Cozic, Chris Dearden, Beatrice Marticorena, Martine Michou, Twan van Noije, Pierre Nabat, Fiona M. O'Connor, Dirk Olivié, Joseph M. Prospero, Philippe Le Sager, Michael Schulz, Catherine Scott
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 21/13, 2021, Page(s) 10295-10335, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-10295-2021

Arctic Ocean acidification over the 21st century co-driven by anthropogenic carbon increases and freshening in the CMIP6 model ensemble

Author(s): Jens Terhaar, Olivier Torres, Timothée Bourgeois, Lester Kwiatkowski
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 18/6, 2021, Page(s) 2221-2240, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-2221-2021

Disentangling the Impacts of Anthropogenic Aerosols on Terrestrial Carbon Cycle During 1850–2014

Author(s): Yuan Zhang, Philippe Ciais, Olivier Boucher, Fabienne Maignan, Ana Bastos, Daniel Goll, Thibaut Lurton, Nicolas Viovy, Nicolas Bellouin, Laurent Li
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 9/7, 2021, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2021ef002035

Compatible Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions in the CMIP6 Earth System Models’ Historical and Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Experiments of the Twenty-First Century

Author(s): Spencer K. Liddicoat, Andy J. Wiltshire, Chris D. Jones, Vivek K. Arora, Victor Brovkin, Patricia Cadule, Tomohiro Hajima, David M. Lawrence, Julia Pongratz, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Jerry F. Tjiputra, Tilo Ziehn
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 34/8, 2021, Page(s) 2853-2875, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0991.1

A spatial emergent constraint on the sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to global warming

Author(s): Rebecca M. Varney, Sarah E. Chadburn, Pierre Friedlingstein, Eleanor J. Burke, Charles D. Koven, Gustaf Hugelius, Peter M. Cox
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 11/1, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-19208-8

The Tuning Strategy of IPSL‐CM6A‐LR

Author(s): Juliette Mignot, Frédéric Hourdin, Julie Deshayes, Olivier Boucher, Guillaume Gastineau, Ionela Musat, Martin Vancoppenolle, Jérôme Servonnat, Arnaud Caubel, Frédérique Chéruy, Sébastien Denvil, Jean‐Louis Dufresne, Christian Ethé, Laurent Fairhead, Marie‐Alice Foujols, Jean‐Yves Grandpeix, Guillaume Levavasseur, Olivier Marti, Matthew Menary, Catherine Rio, Clément Rousset, Yona S
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 13/5, 2021, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002340

Effective radiative forcing and adjustments in CMIP6 models

Author(s): Christopher J. Smith, Ryan J. Kramer, Gunnar Myhre, Kari Alterskjær, William Collins, Adriana Sima, Olivier Boucher, Jean-Louis Dufresne, Pierre Nabat, Martine Michou, Seiji Yukimoto, Jason Cole, David Paynter, Hideo Shiogama, Fiona M. O'Connor, Eddy Robertson, Andy Wiltshire, Timothy Andrews, Cécile Hannay, Ron Miller, Larissa Nazarenko, Alf Kirkevåg, Dirk Olivié, Stephanie Fiedler, Anna Lewi
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 20/16, 2020, Page(s) 9591-9618, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-9591-2020

The Common Representative Intermediates Mechanism Version 2 in the United Kingdom Chemistry and Aerosols Model

Author(s): S. Archer‐Nicholls, N. L. Abraham, Y. M. Shin, J. Weber, M. R. Russo, D. Lowe, S. R. Utembe, F. M. O'Connor, B. Kerridge, B. Latter, R. Siddans, M. Jenkin, O. Wild, A. T. Archibald
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 13/5, 2021, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002420

Constraining Future Summer Austral Jet Stream Positions in the CMIP5 Ensemble by Process-Oriented Multiple Diagnostic Regression*

Author(s): Sabrina Wenzel, Veronika Eyring, Edwin P. Gerber, Alexey Yu. Karpechko
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 29/2, 2016, Page(s) 673-687, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-15-0412.1

EC-Earth3-AerChem: a global climate model with interactive aerosols and atmospheric chemistry participating in CMIP6

Author(s): Twan van Noije, Tommi Bergman, Philippe Le Sager, Declan O'Donnell, Risto Makkonen, María Gonçalves-Ageitos, Ralf Döscher, Uwe Fladrich, Jost von Hardenberg, Jukka-Pekka Keskinen, Hannele Korhonen, Anton Laakso, Stelios Myriokefalitakis, Pirkka Ollinaho, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Thomas Reerink, Roland Schrödner, Klaus Wyser, Shuting Yang
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 14/9, 2021, Page(s) 5637-5668, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-5637-2021

Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

Author(s): Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/3, 2020, Page(s) 737-750, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-737-2020

Emergent constraints on climate sensitivities

Author(s): Mark S. Williamson, Chad W. Thackeray, Peter M. Cox, Alex Hall, Chris Huntingford, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse
Published in: Reviews of Modern Physics, Issue 93/2, 2021, ISSN 0034-6861
Publisher: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/revmodphys.93.025004

Reconstructing the Preindustrial Coastal Carbon Cycle Through a Global Ocean Circulation Model: Was the Global Continental Shelf Already Both Autotrophic and a CO 2 Sink?

Author(s): Fabrice Lacroix, Tatiana Ilyina, Goulven G. Laruelle, Pierre Regnier
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 35/2, 2021, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006603

Quantifying process-level uncertainty contributions to TCRE and carbon budgets for meeting Paris Agreement climate targets

Author(s): Chris D Jones, Pierre Friedlingstein
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 15/7, 2020, Page(s) 074019, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab858a

Evaluating stratospheric ozone and water vapour changes in CMIP6 models from 1850 to 2100

Author(s): James Keeble, Birgit Hassler, Antara Banerjee, Ramiro Checa-Garcia, Gabriel Chiodo, Sean Davis, Veronika Eyring, Paul T. Griffiths, Olaf Morgenstern, Peer Nowack, Guang Zeng, Jiankai Zhang, Greg Bodeker, Susannah Burrows, Philip Cameron-Smith, David Cugnet, Christopher Danek, Makoto Deushi, Larry W. Horowitz, Anne Kubin, Lijuan Li, Gerrit Lohmann, Martine Michou, Michael J. Mills, Pierre Nabat, Di
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 21/6, 2021, Page(s) 5015-5061, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-5015-2021

Evaluating permafrost physics in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models and their sensitivity to climate change

Author(s): Eleanor J. Burke, Yu Zhang, Gerhard Krinner
Published in: The Cryosphere, Issue 14/9, 2020, Page(s) 3155-3174, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-3155-2020

The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions

Author(s): Chris D. Jones, Thomas L. Frölicher, Charles Koven, Andrew H. MacDougall, H. Damon Matthews, Kirsten Zickfeld, Joeri Rogelj, Katarzyna B. Tokarska, Nathan P. Gillett, Tatiana Ilyina, Malte Meinshausen, Nadine Mengis, Roland Séférian, Michael Eby, Friedrich A. Burger
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 12/10, 2019, Page(s) 4375-4385, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-4375-2019

Solar geoengineering can alleviate climate change pressures on crop yields

Author(s): Yuanchao Fan, Jerry Tjiputra, Helene Muri, Danica Lombardozzi, Chang-Eui Park, Shengjun Wu, David Keith
Published in: Nature Food, Issue 2/5, 2021, Page(s) 373-381, ISSN 2662-1355
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43016-021-00278-w

Microstructure and composition of marine aggregates as co-determinants for vertical particulate organic carbon transfer in the global ocean

Author(s): Joeran Maerz, Katharina D. Six, Irene Stemmler, Soeren Ahmerkamp, Tatiana Ilyina
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/7, 2020, Page(s) 1765-1803, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-1765-2020

Carbon–concentration and carbon–climate feedbacks in CMIP6 models and their comparison to CMIP5 models

Author(s): Vivek K. Arora, Anna Katavouta, Richard G. Williams, Chris D. Jones, Victor Brovkin, Pierre Friedlingstein, Jörg Schwinger, Laurent Bopp, Olivier Boucher, Patricia Cadule, Matthew A. Chamberlain, James R. Christian, Christine Delire, Rosie A. Fisher, Tomohiro Hajima, Tatiana Ilyina, Emilie Joetzjer, Michio Kawamiya, Charles D. Koven, John P. Krasting, Rachel M. Law, David M. Lawrence, Andrew Lent
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/16, 2020, Page(s) 4173-4222, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-4173-2020

Soil carbon sequestration simulated in CMIP6-LUMIP models: implications for climatic mitigation

Author(s): Akihiko Ito, Tomohiro Hajima, David M Lawrence, Victor Brovkin, Christine Delire, Bertrand Guenet, Chris D Jones, Sergey Malyshev, Stefano Materia, Sonali P McDermid, Daniele Peano, Julia Pongratz, Eddy Robertson, Elena Shevliakova, Nicolas Vuichard, David Wårlind, Andy Wiltshire, Tilo Ziehn
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 15/12, 2020, Page(s) 124061, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc912

An investigation of weighting schemes suitable for incorporating large ensembles into multi-model ensembles

Author(s): Anna Louise Merrifield, Lukas Brunner, Ruth Lorenz, Iselin Medhaug, Reto Knutti
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/3, 2020, Page(s) 807-834, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-807-2020

Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability

Author(s): Katarzyna B Tokarska, Vivek K Arora, Nathan P Gillett, Flavio Lehner, Joeri Rogelj, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Roland Séférian, Reto Knutti
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 15/10, 2020, Page(s) 104064, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abaf1b

So What Is in an Earth System Model?

Author(s): C. D. Jones
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 12/2, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001967

Bounding Global Aerosol Radiative Forcing of Climate Change

Author(s): N. Bellouin, J. Quaas, E. Gryspeerdt, S. Kinne, P. Stier, D. Watson‐Parris, O. Boucher, K. S. Carslaw, M. Christensen, A.‐L. Daniau, J.‐L. Dufresne, G. Feingold, S. Fiedler, P. Forster, A. Gettelman, J. M. Haywood, U. Lohmann, F. Malavelle, T. Mauritsen, D. T. McCoy, G. Myhre, J. Mülmenstädt, D. Neubauer, A. Possner, M. Rugenstein, Y. Sato, M. Schulz, S. E. Schwartz, O. Sourdeval, T. Store
Published in: Reviews of Geophysics, Issue 58/1, 2020, ISSN 8755-1209
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019rg000660

Wetter environment and increased grazing reduced the area burned in northern Eurasia from 2002 to 2016

Author(s): Wei Min Hao, Matthew C. Reeves, L. Scott Baggett, Yves Balkanski, Philippe Ciais, Bryce L. Nordgren, Alexander Petkov, Rachel E. Corley, Florent Mouillot, Shawn P. Urbanski, Chao Yue
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 18/8, 2021, Page(s) 2559-2572, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-18-2559-2021

Projecting Exposure to Extreme Climate Impact Events Across Six Event Categories and Three Spatial Scales

Author(s): Stefan Lange, Jan Volkholz, Tobias Geiger, Fang Zhao, Iliusi Vega, Ted Veldkamp, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Lila Warszawski, Veronika Huber, Jonas Jägermeyr, Jacob Schewe, David N. Bresch, Matthias Büchner, Jinfeng Chang, Philippe Ciais, Marie Dury, Kerry Emanuel, Christian Folberth, Dieter Gerten, Simon N. Gosling, Manolis Grillakis, Naota Hanasaki, Alexandra‐Jane Henrot, Thomas Hickler, Yasush
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 8/12, 2020, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001616

Linking Vegetation-Climate-Fire Relationships in Sub-Saharan Africa to Key Ecological Processes in Two Dynamic Global Vegetation Models

Author(s): Donatella D’Onofrio, Mara Baudena, Gitta Lasslop, Lars Peter Nieradzik, David Wårlind, Jost von Hardenberg
Published in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Issue 8, 2020, ISSN 2296-665X
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2020.00136

Around one third of current Arctic Ocean primary production sustained by rivers and coastal erosion

Author(s): Jens Terhaar, Ronny Lauerwald, Pierre Regnier, Nicolas Gruber, Laurent Bopp
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 12/1, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20470-z

The Global Land Carbon Cycle Simulated With ISBA‐CTRIP: Improvements Over the Last Decade

Author(s): Christine Delire, Roland Séférian, Bertrand Decharme, Ramdane Alkama, Jean‐Christophe Calvet, Dominique Carrer, Anne‐Laure Gibelin, Emilie Joetzjer, Xavier Morel, Matthias Rocher, Diane Tzanos
Published in: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Issue 12/9, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001886

Historical and future changes in air pollutants from CMIP6 models

Author(s): Steven T. Turnock, Robert J. Allen, Martin Andrews, Susanne E. Bauer, Makoto Deushi, Louisa Emmons, Peter Good, Larry Horowitz, Jasmin G. John, Martine Michou, Pierre Nabat, Vaishali Naik, David Neubauer, Fiona M. O'Connor, Dirk Olivié, Naga Oshima, Michael Schulz, Alistair Sellar, Sungbo Shim, Toshihiko Takemura, Simone Tilmes, Kostas Tsigaridis, Tongwen Wu, Jie Zhang
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 20/23, 2020, Page(s) 14547-14579, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-14547-2020

Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections

Author(s): Lester Kwiatkowski, Olivier Torres, Laurent Bopp, Olivier Aumont, Matthew Chamberlain, James R. Christian, John P. Dunne, Marion Gehlen, Tatiana Ilyina, Jasmin G. John, Andrew Lenton, Hongmei Li, Nicole S. Lovenduski, James C. Orr, Julien Palmieri, Yeray Santana-Falcón, Jörg Schwinger, Roland Séférian, Charles A. Stock, Alessandro Tagliabue, Yohei Takano, Jerry Tjiputra, Katsuya Toyama, Hiroyu
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/13, 2020, Page(s) 3439-3470, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-3439-2020

Comparing different generations of idealized solar geoengineering simulations in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)

Author(s): Ben Kravitz, Douglas G. MacMartin, Daniele Visioni, Olivier Boucher, Jason N. S. Cole, Jim Haywood, Andy Jones, Thibaut Lurton, Pierre Nabat, Ulrike Niemeier, Alan Robock, Roland Séférian, Simone Tilmes
Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Issue 21/6, 2021, Page(s) 4231-4247, ISSN 1680-7324
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/acp-21-4231-2021

The costs of achieving climate targets and the sources of uncertainty

Author(s): D. P. van Vuuren, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Stijn Marsman, Maarten van den Berg, Andries F. Hof, Chris D. Jones
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 10/4, 2020, Page(s) 329-334, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0732-1

Evaluation of soil carbon dynamics after forest cover change in CMIP6 land models using chronosequences

Author(s): Lena R Boysen, Victor Brovkin, David Wårlind, Daniele Peano, Anne Sofie Lansø, Christine Delire, Eleanor Burke, Christopher Poeplau, Axel Don
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 16/7, 2021, Page(s) 074030, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac0be1

Global Ocean Sediment Composition and Burial Flux in the Deep Sea

Author(s): Christopher T. Hayes, Kassandra M. Costa, Robert F. Anderson, Eva Calvo, Zanna Chase, Ludmila L. Demina, Jean‐Claude Dutay, Christopher R. German, Lars‐Eric Heimbürger‐Boavida, Samuel L. Jaccard, Allison Jacobel, Karen E. Kohfeld, Marina D. Kravchishina, Jörg Lippold, Figen Mekik, Lise Missiaen, Frank J. Pavia, Adina Paytan, Rut Pedrosa‐Pamies, Mariia V. Petrova, Shaily Rahman, Laura F.
Published in: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Issue 35/4, 2021, ISSN 0886-6236
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006769

Tropical climate-vegetation-fire relationships: multivariate evaluation of the land surface model JSBACH . In open review for Biogeosciences. - doi:10.5194/bg-2018-48

Author(s): G. Lasslop; G. Lasslop; T. Moeller; D. D'Onofrio; S. Hantson; S. Kloster
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 1, 2018, ISSN 1726-4189
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5445/ir/1000086931

The generation of gridded emissions data for CMIP6

Author(s): Leyang Feng, Steven J. Smith, Caleb Braun, Monica Crippa, Matthew J. Gidden, Rachel Hoesly, Zbigniew Klimont, Margreet van Marle, Maarten van den Berg, Guido R. van der Werf
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/2, 2020, Page(s) 461-482, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-461-2020

Ensemble projections elucidate effects of uncertainty in terrestrial nitrogen limitation on future carbon uptake

Author(s): Johannes Meyerholt, Kerstin Sickel, Sönke Zaehle
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 26/7, 2020, Page(s) 3978-3996, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15114

Advances in understanding the role of forests in the carbon cycle

Author(s): Matthew J. McGrath, Anne Sofie Lansø, Guillaume Marie, Yi-Ying Chen, Tuomo Kalliokoski, Sebastiaan Luyssaert, Kim Naudts, Philippe Peylin, Aude Valade
Published in: Achieving sustainable management of boreal and temperate forests, 2019, Page(s) 131-176, ISBN 9781786762924
Publisher: Burleigh Dodds Science Publishing
DOI: 10.19103/as.2019.0057.06

Extreme Value Analysis in Dynamical Systems: Two Case Studies

Author(s): Tamás Bódai
Published in: Nonlinear and Stochastic Climate Dynamics, 2016, Page(s) 392-429, ISBN 9781-316339251
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/9781316339251.015

CRESCENDO General Assembly 2021 - Science Talks

Author(s): CRESCENDO
Published in: Issue 11, 2021
Publisher: CRESCENDO
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4618266

Linear response theory applied to geoengineering

Author(s): Bodai, Tamas; Lucarini, Valerio; Lunkeit, Frank
Published in: Issue 18, 2020
Publisher: Cornell University

pyam: a Python Package for the Analysis and Visualization of Models of the Interaction of Climate, Human, and Environmental Systems

Author(s): Matthew Gidden, Daniel Huppmann
Published in: Journal of Open Source Software, Issue 4/33, 2019, Page(s) 1095, ISSN 2475-9066
Publisher: Open Journals
DOI: 10.21105/joss.01095

Energy Budget Constraints on the Time History of Aerosol Forcing and Climate Sensitivity

Author(s): Christopher J. Smith; Glen R. Harris; Matthew D. Palmer; Nicolas Bellouin; William J. Collins; Gunnar Myhre; Michael Schulz; Jean-Christophe Golaz; Mark A. Ringer; Trude Storelvmo; Piers M. Forster
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 24, 2021, ISSN 2169-8996
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10503977.1

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