Deliverables
This report will contain details of the development and performance of models for the geomagnetic indices Kp and Dst based on the bilinear (USFD) and Guaranteed NARMAX (SRI) methodologies.
Use of data assimilation technique within VERB code modelThis deliverable, in the form of a journal paper, ready for submission, discusses the results of the incorporation of data assimilation technique into the VERB model and two methods of model couplings
Forecasts of the energetic electron populations within the inner magnetosphereThis report discusses the implementation and use of web page displaying forecasts of the energetic electron populations within the inner magnetosphere.
The database of wave occurrence.This report describes the organisation of the database to store information regarding the occurrence of the various modes of plasma wave activity.
The VERB-IMPTAM low energy seed populationThis report will discuss the coupling of the VERB and IMPTAM models so that low energy seed population from IMPTAM is used to initialise the VERB radiation belt model for high energy electrons.
Solar wind drivers of low energy plasmasheet electronsThis deliverable consists of a journal paper, ready for submission, discussing the solar wind and IMF driven model for low energy electrons in the plasma sheet
On orbit forecasts of the energetic electron populationsThis report discusses the implementation and use of web page displaying forecasts of the energetic electron populations along a user selected satellite orbit
The coupling of the AWSoM and SWIFT codesThis report outlines the process of coupling the AWSoM and SWIFT codes.
Conversion of SWIFT to spherical geometryThis report outlines the process by which the SWIFT code is converted to use a spherical geometry.
The results of individual forecasts of geomagnetic indicesThis report and accompanying web pages outlines the implementation and display of individual forecasts of geomagnetic indices
Existing Dst, Kp, and AEmodelsThis report provides a survey of the currently existing models for the geomagnetic indices Dst, Kp, and AE that are used for forecasts at the beginning of the Project.
Exploitation and Dissemination PlanThis deliverable outlines the methods used by the project for the dissemination and exploitation of the results gained during the Project.
NARMAX models of electron fluxes sat GEOThis deliverable consists of a journal paper ready for submission discussing a set of NARMAX models for the fluxes of electrons at GEO for various energy ranges
Summary of the space weather environmentThis report discusses the implementation and interpretation of a set of web pages that summarise the forecasts of the short term evolution of the space weather environment and the dissemination of this information to stakeholders.
Real-time model implementationThis report will present details of the real time online operation of the Dst, Kp, and AE models.
Collection of data setsThis report provides details regarding the collection of historical data sets that are required by the Dst Kp and AE models as well as the actual indices themselves for comparison with the model output
AE modelsThis report outlines the development and results of new models for the AE index.
Kp and Dst modelsThis report will discuss the further developments to existing Dst and Kp models.
SWIFT documentationThis deliverable will provide full user and developer documentation plus regression test suite for the SWIFT code developed within Project PROGRESS.
Data availability and list of chosen locations for each wave emissionThis report outlines the availability of data sets that will be used to construct the wave models and provide a list of the chosen locations at which the models are evaluated for each wave emission.
Model verificationThis report outlines the results of the verification of the models previously identified in Task 3.1 using the data collected in Task 3.2 using various methodologies.
Results of the VNC model and two methods of model couplingsThis deliverable, a journal paper ready for submission, discusses the results of the two coupling methods used in the VNC model.
The incorporation of diffusion coefficients from VERB into IMPTAMThis deliverable consists of a journal paper, ready for submission, discussing the results of incorporating of diffusion coefficients from VERB into IMPTAM
Results of the Error Reduction Ratio analysisThis deliverable is a journal paper ready for submission on the results of the Error Reduction Ratio analysis
Trial version of forecast model for low energy electronsReport on the trial version of forecast model for low energy electrons
Final version of the statistical wave modelsThis deliverable consists of the final version of the statistical wave models
Publications
Author(s):
N. A. Aseev, Y. Y. Shprits, A. Y. Drozdov, A. C. Kellerman, M. E. Usanova, D. Wang, I. S. Zhelavskaya
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue Volume 122, 2017, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
AGU publications
DOI:
10.1002/2017JA024485
Author(s):
Azlyna Senawi, Hua-Liang Wei, Stephen A. Billings
Published in:
Pattern Recognition, Issue 67, 2017, Page(s) 47-61, ISSN 0031-3203
Publisher:
Pergamon Press
DOI:
10.1016/j.patcog.2017.01.026
Author(s):
D. Borovikov, I. V. Sokolov, W. B. Manchester, M. Jin, T. I. Gombosi
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 122/8, 2017, Page(s) 7979-7984, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
AGU
DOI:
10.1002/2017JA024304
Author(s):
Xing Cao, Yuri Y. Shprits, Binbin Ni, Irina S. Zhelavskaya
Published in:
Scientific Reports, Issue 7/1, 2017, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher:
Nature Publishing Group
DOI:
10.1038/s41598-017-17739-7
Author(s):
Yuanlin Gu, Hua-Liang Wei
Published in:
Information Sciences, Issue 451-452, 2018, Page(s) 195-209, ISSN 0020-0255
Publisher:
Elsevier BV
DOI:
10.1016/j.ins.2018.04.007
Author(s):
Andrey Y. Malykhin, Elena E. Grigorenko, Elena A. Kronberg, Rositza Koleva, Natalia Y. Ganushkina, Ludmila Kozak, Patrick W. Daly
Published in:
Annales Geophysicae, Issue 36/3, 2018, Page(s) 741-760, ISSN 1432-0576
Publisher:
Copernicus Publications
DOI:
10.5194/angeo-36-741-2018
Author(s):
E. E. Grigorenko, S. Dubyagin, A. Yu. Malykhin, Yu V. Khotyaintsev, E. A. Kronberg, B. Lavraud, N. Yu Ganushkina
Published in:
Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 45/2, 2018, Page(s) 602-611, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017GL076303
Author(s):
Marina Kubyshkina, Vladimir Semenov, Nikolay Erkaev, Evgeny Gordeev, Stepan Dubyagin, Natalia Ganushkina, Maria Shukhtina
Published in:
Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 45/9, 2018, Page(s) 3760-3767, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017GL076268
Author(s):
N. Yu. Ganushkina, M. W. Liemohn, S. Dubyagin
Published in:
Reviews of Geophysics, Issue 56/2, 2018, Page(s) 309-332, ISSN 8755-1209
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017RG000590
Author(s):
A. Y. Drozdov, Y. Y. Shprits, N. A. Aseev, A. C. Kellerman, G. D. Reeves
Published in:
Space Weather, Issue 15/1, 2017, Page(s) 150-162, ISSN 1542-7390
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2016SW001426
Author(s):
John D. Haiducek, Daniel T. Welling, Natalia Y. Ganushkina, Steven K. Morley, Dogacan Su Ozturk
Published in:
Space Weather, Issue 15/12, 2017, Page(s) 1567-1587, ISSN 1542-7390
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017SW001695
Author(s):
Peter Wintoft, Magnus Wik, Jürgen Matzka, Yuri Shprits
Published in:
Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, Issue 7, 2017, Page(s) A29, ISSN 2115-7251
Publisher:
EDP Sciences
DOI:
10.1051/swsc/2017027
Author(s):
M. E. Usanova, Y. Y. Shprits
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 122/1, 2017, Page(s) 102-104, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2016JA023614
Author(s):
Binbin Ni, Xing Cao, Yuri Y. Shprits, Danny Summers, Xudong Gu, Song Fu, Yuequn Lou
Published in:
Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 45/1, 2018, Page(s) 21-30, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017GL076028
Author(s):
J. C. Green, J. Likar, Yuri Shprits
Published in:
Space Weather, Issue 15/6, 2017, Page(s) 804-818, ISSN 1542-7390
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017SW001646
Author(s):
Ilkka Sillanpää, N. Yu. Ganushkina, S. Dubyagin, J. V. Rodriguez
Published in:
Space Weather, Issue 15/12, 2017, Page(s) 1602-1614, ISSN 1542-7390
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017SW001698
Author(s):
A. Y. Drozdov, Y. Y. Shprits, M. E. Usanova, N. A. Aseev, A. C. Kellerman, H. Zhu
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 122/8, 2017, Page(s) 8488-8501, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017JA024389
Author(s):
S. Dubyagin, N. Yu. Ganushkina, V. Sergeev
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 123/5, 2018, Page(s) 3436-3459, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017JA024587
Author(s):
Joseph E. Borovsky, Yuri Y. Shprits
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 122/11, 2017, Page(s) 11,543-11,547, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017JA024679
Author(s):
R. J. Boynton, D. Mourenas, M. A. Balikhin
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 122/11, 2017, Page(s) 11,428-11,441, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017JA024523
Author(s):
Natalia Ganushkina, Allison Jaynes, Michael Liemohn
Published in:
Space Science Reviews, Issue 212/3-4, 2017, Page(s) 1315-1344, ISSN 0038-6308
Publisher:
Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI:
10.1007/s11214-017-0412-2
Author(s):
Irina S. Zhelavskaya, Yuri Y. Shprits, Maria Spasojević
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 122/11, 2017, Page(s) 11,227-11,244, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysial Union
DOI:
10.1002/2017JA024406
Author(s):
Jose Roberto Ayala Solares, Hua-Liang Wei, Stephen A. Billings
Published in:
Neural Computing and Applications, 2017, ISSN 0941-0643
Publisher:
Springer Verlag
DOI:
10.1007/s00521-017-2976-x
Author(s):
Y. Y. Shprits, J. D. Menietti, A. Y. Drozdov, R. B. Horne, E. E. Woodfield, J. B. Groene, M. de Soria-Santacruz, T. F. Averkamp, H. Garrett, C. Paranicas, D. A. Gurnett
Published in:
Nature Communications, Issue 9/1, 2018, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher:
Nature Publishing Group
DOI:
10.1038/s41467-018-05431-x
Author(s):
Simon N. Walker, Andrei G. Demekhov, Scott A. Boardsen, Natalia Y. Ganushkina, David G. Sibeck, Michael A. Balikhin
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 2016, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2016JA023287
Author(s):
Jose Roberto Ayala Solares, Hua-Liang Wei, R. J. Boynton, Simon N. Walker, Stephen A. Billings
Published in:
Space Weather, Issue 14/10, 2016, Page(s) 899-916, ISSN 1542-7390
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2016SW001463
Author(s):
Michael W. Liemohn, Natalia Y. Ganushkina, Raluca Ilie, Daniel T. Welling
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 121/7, 2016, Page(s) 6763-6768, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
AGU
DOI:
10.1002/2016JA022948
Author(s):
S. Dubyagin, N. Yu. Ganushkina, I. Sillanpää, A. Runov
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 121/9, 2016, Page(s) 8343-8360, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
AGU
DOI:
10.1002/2016JA022947
Author(s):
E. E. Grigorenko, E. A. Kronberg, P. W. Daly, N. Yu. Ganushkina, B. Lavraud, J.-A. Sauvaud, L. M. Zelenyi
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 121/10, 2016, Page(s) 9985-10,004, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
AGU
DOI:
10.1002/2016JA022874
Author(s):
M. A. Balikhin, J. V. Rodriguez, R. J. Boynton, S. N. Walker, H. Aryan, D. G. Sibeck, S. A. Billings
Published in:
Space Weather, Issue 14/1, 2016, Page(s) 22-31, ISSN 1542-7390
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2015SW001303
Author(s):
Bogdan Uzbekov, Yuri Y. Shprits, Ksenia Orlova
Published in:
Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Issue 148, 2016, Page(s) 22-31, ISSN 1364-6826
Publisher:
Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI:
10.1016/j.jastp.2016.08.004
Author(s):
Yuri Y. Shprits, Alexander Y. Drozdov, Maria Spasojevic, Adam C. Kellerman, Maria E. Usanova, Mark J. Engebretson, Oleksiy V. Agapitov, Irina S. Zhelavskaya, Tero J. Raita, Harlan E. Spence, Daniel N. Baker, Hui Zhu, Nikita A. Aseev
Published in:
Nature Communications, Issue 7, 2016, Page(s) 12883, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher:
Nature Publishing Group
DOI:
10.1038/ncomms12883
Author(s):
M. Spasojevic, Y. Y. Shprits, K. Orlova
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 120/12, 2015, Page(s) 10,370-10,383, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2015JA021803
Author(s):
I. S. Zhelavskaya, M. Spasojevic, Y. Y. Shprits, W. S. Kurth
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 121/5, 2016, Page(s) 4611-4625, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2015JA022132
Author(s):
R. J. Boynton, D. Mourenas, M. A. Balikhin
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 121/9, 2016, Page(s) 8448-8461, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2016JA022916
Author(s):
R. J. Boynton, M. A. Balikhin, D. G. Sibeck, S. N. Walker, S. A. Billings, N. Ganushkina
Published in:
Space Weather, Issue 14/10, 2016, Page(s) 846-860, ISSN 1542-7390
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2016SW001506
Author(s):
J.-F. Ripoll, V. Loridan, G. S. Cunningham, G. D. Reeves, Y. Y. Shprits
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 121/8, 2016, Page(s) 7684-7698, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2015JA022207
Author(s):
V. Shastun, O. Agapitov
Published in:
Advances in Astronomy and Space Physics, Issue 5/2, 2015, Page(s) 104-108, ISSN 2227-1481
Publisher:
Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv
DOI:
10.17721/2227-1481.5.104-108
Author(s):
Tamas I. Gombosi, Bart van der Holst, Ward B. Manchester, Igor V. Sokolov
Published in:
Living Reviews in Solar Physics, Issue 15/1, 2018, ISSN 1614-4961
Publisher:
Max-Planck-Institut fur Sonnensystemforschung
DOI:
10.1007/s41116-018-0014-4
Author(s):
R. J. Boynton, H. Aryan, S. N. Walker, V. Krasnoselskikh, M. A. Balikhin
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 123/11, 2018, Page(s) 9022-9034, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
AGU
DOI:
10.1029/2018JA025704
Author(s):
R. Ilie, N. Ganushkina, G. Toth, S. Dubyagin, M. W. Liemohn
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 120/12, 2015, Page(s) 10,557-10,573, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2015JA021858
Author(s):
N. Y. Ganushkina, M. W. Liemohn, S. Dubyagin, I. A. Daglis, I. Dandouras, D. L. De Zeeuw, Y. Ebihara, R. Ilie, R. Katus, M. Kubyshkina, S. E. Milan, S. Ohtani, N. Ostgaard, J. P. Reistad, P. Tenfjord, F. Toffoletto, S. Zaharia, O. Amariutei
Published in:
Annales Geophysicae, Issue 33/11, 2015, Page(s) 1369-1402, ISSN 1432-0576
Publisher:
Copernicus Publications
DOI:
10.5194/angeo-33-1369-2015
Author(s):
Yuri Y. Shprits, Adam C. Kellerman, Alexander Y. Drozdov, Harlan E. Spence, Geoffrey D. Reeves, Daniel N. Baker
Published in:
Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 42/22, 2015, Page(s) 9600-9608, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2015GL065230
Author(s):
S. Dubyagin, N. Ganushkina, M. Liemohn, M. Kubyshkina
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 120/12, 2015, Page(s) 10,528-10,542, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2015JA022003
Author(s):
S. N. Walker, M. A. Balikhin, D. R. Shklyar, K. H. Yearby, P. Canu, C. M. Carr, I. Dandouras
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 120/11, 2015, Page(s) 9632-9650, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2015JA021746
Author(s):
Michael A. Balikhin, Yuri Y. Shprits, Simon N. Walker, Lunjin Chen, Nicole Cornilleau-Wehrlin, Iannis Dandouras, Ondrej Santolik, Christopher Carr, Keith H. Yearby, Benjamin Weiss
Published in:
Nature Communications, Issue 6, 2015, Page(s) 7703, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher:
Nature Publishing Group
DOI:
10.1038/ncomms8703
Author(s):
R. Ilie, M. W. Liemohn, G. Toth, N. Yu Ganushkina, L. K. S. Daldorff
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 120/6, 2015, Page(s) 4656-4668, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2015JA021157
Author(s):
J. Szente, G. Toth, W. B. Manchester IV, B. van der Holst, E. Landi, T. I. Gombosi, C. R. DeVore, S. K. Antiochos
Published in:
The Astrophysical Journal, Issue 834/2, 2017, Page(s) 123, ISSN 1538-4357
Publisher:
IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI:
10.3847/1538-4357/834/2/123
Author(s):
M. Jin, W. B. Manchester, B. van der Holst, I. Sokolov, G. Tóth, A. Vourlidas, C. A. de Koning, T. I. Gombosi
Published in:
The Astrophysical Journal, Issue 834/2, 2017, Page(s) 172, ISSN 1538-4357
Publisher:
IOP PUBLISHING, LTD
DOI:
10.3847/1538-4357/834/2/172
Author(s):
Yuri Y. Shprits, Adam Kellerman, Nikita Aseev, Alexander Y. Drozdov, Ingo Michaelis
Published in:
Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 44/3, 2017, Page(s) 1204-1209, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
DOI:
10.1002/2016GL072258
Author(s):
M. Jin, W. B. Manchester, B. van der Holst, I. Sokolov, G. Tóth, R. E. Mullinix, A. Taktakishvili, A. Chulaki, T. I. Gombosi
Published in:
The Astrophysical Journal, Issue 834/2, 2017, Page(s) 173, ISSN 1538-4357
Publisher:
IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI:
10.3847/1538-4357/834/2/173
Author(s):
Kyung-Chan Kim, Yuri Shprits
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Issue 122/6, 2017, Page(s) 6022-6034, ISSN 2169-9380
Publisher:
Wiley
DOI:
10.1002/2017JA024094
Author(s):
Sokolov, Igor V.; van der Holst, Bart; Manchester, Ward B.; Ozturk, Doga Can Su; Szente, Judit; Taktakishvili, Aleksandre; Tóth, Gabor; Jin, Meng; Gombosi, Tamas I.
Published in:
Issue 1, 2017
Publisher:
arxiv
Author(s):
Borovikov, D.; Sokolov, I. V.; Roussev, I.; Taktakishvili, A.; Gombosi, T. I.
Published in:
Issue 1, 2018
Publisher:
arxiv
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