IMProved multivariate frequency Analysis of flood extremes by copuLAs in a non-stationary environment

Project Information

IMPALA

Grant agreement ID: 301953

Project closed

Start date 1 February 2013

End date 31 January 2015

Funded under

• Specific programme "People" implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for research, technological development and demonstration activities (2007 to 2013)

Total cost € 187 888,20

EU contribution € 187 888,20

Coordinated by

TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAET WIEN
Austria

Objective

"One of the biggest challenges of the flood frequency analysis that water resources managers have to face recently is modelling two or more inter-dependent flood variables (floods at river confluences; flood and the respective volumes and durations), and accounting for the non-stationarity of the environment. The IMPALA project offers multidisciplinary solution to this problem by copula-based multivariate frequency modelling of flood extremes with the inclusion of information on historical and regional ungauged extremes and respecting the effects of the changing environment, including further development of methods for spatial data extension and their verification on a Europe-wide scale.
Copulas are novel and flexible statistical tool suitable for frequency modelling of multivariate flood extremes. Nevertheless, their application is not trivial, and additionally, the general lack of the available data in the extreme spectrum of the joint distribution makes the flood risk assessment unreliable. The project IMPALA is aimed at improving the multivariate frequency modelling of flood characteristics by increasing the density of the observations in the extreme tails of the marginal distributions. This will be reached by direct inclusion of extraordinary flood data into a univariate flood frequency analysis of marginals, by means of the Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. Depending on the type of the extraordinary data, different strategies will be adopted: (a) flood extremes from ungauged catchments will be included using a regional approach and the stationary concept, while (b) historical flood extremes will be included using the local approach and the non-stationarity assumption. The project IMPALA will take advantage of existing pan-European databases of streamflow records and catchment descriptors such as those held by the FRIEND or HYDRATE projects, and data from the relevant gauging authorities in Slovakia and Austria."

Fields of science

• natural sciences › computer and information sciences › databases
• natural sciences › earth and related environmental sciences › hydrology
• social sciences › sociology › governance › crisis management › flood risk management

Programme(s)

• FP7-PEOPLE - Specific programme "People" implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for research, technological development and demonstration activities (2007 to 2013)

Topic(s)

• FP7-PEOPLE-2011-IEF - Marie-Curie Action: "Intra-European fellowships for career development"

Call for proposal

FP7-PEOPLE-2011-IEF
See other projects for this call

Funding Scheme

MC-IEF - Intra-European Fellowships (IEF)

Coordinator

TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAET WIEN

• EU contribution: € 187 888,20
• Address: KARLSPLATZ 13 ; 1040 Wien ; Austria
• Region: Ostösterreich › Wien › Wien
• Activity type: Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
• Administrative Contact: Jürgen Komma (Dr.)
• Total cost: No data