Objective
CARBOCHANGE will provide the best possible process-based quantification of net ocean carbon uptake under changing climate conditions using past and present ocean carbon cycle changes for a better prediction of future ocean carbon uptake. We will improve the quantitative understanding of key biogeochemical and physical processes through a combination of observations and models. We will upscale new process understanding to large-scale integrative feedbacks of the ocean carbon cycle to climate change and rising carbon dioxide concentrations. We will quantify the vulnerability of the ocean carbon sources and sinks in a probabilistic sense using cutting edge coupled Earth system models under a spectrum of emission scenarios including climate stabilisation scenarios as required for the 5th IPCC assessment report. The drivers for the vulnerabilities will be identified. The most actual observations of the changing ocean carbon sink will be systematically integrated with the newest ocean carbon models, a coupled land-ocean model, an Earth system model of intermediate complexity, and fully fledged Earth system models through a spectrum of data assimilation methods as well as advanced performance assessment tools. Results will be optimal process descriptions and most realistic error margins for future ocean carbon uptake quantifications with models under the presently available observational evidence. The project will deliver calibrated future evolutions of ocean pH and carbonate saturation as required by the research community on ocean acidification in the EU project EPOCA and further projects in this field. The time history of atmosphere-ocean carbon fluxes past, present, and future will be synthesised globally as well as regionally for the transcontinental RECCAP project. Observations and model results will merge into GEOSS/GEO through links with the European coordination action COCOS and will prepare the marine branch of the European Research Infrastructure ICOS.
Fields of science
- humanitieshistory and archaeologyhistory
- natural scienceschemical sciencesinorganic chemistryinorganic compounds
- natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes
- natural sciencescomputer and information sciencessoftwaresoftware applicationssimulation software
Programme(s)
Call for proposal
FP7-ENV-2010
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Funding Scheme
CP-IP - Large-scale integrating projectCoordinator
5020 Bergen
Norway
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Participants (29)
2100 O KOBENHAVN
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29280 Plouzane
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75015 PARIS 15
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75252 PARIS
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27570 Bremerhaven
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80539 Munchen
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28359 Bremen
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121 REYKJAVIK
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H91 Galway
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20000 CASABLANCA
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1797 SZ DEN HOORN TEXEL
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5007 Bergen
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5008 BERGEN
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28006 Madrid
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35001 Las Palmas De Gran Canaria
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405 30 Goeteborg
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8092 Zuerich
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3012 Bern
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EX1 3PB Exeter
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SN2 1EU SWINDON WILTSHIRE
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PL1 3DH Plymouth
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BS8 1QU Bristol
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NR4 7TJ Norwich
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0001 Pretoria
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08544-2001 Princeton, Nj
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B3H 4R2 Halifax
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24148 Kiel
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91390 MORSANG SUR ORGE
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EX4 4QJ Exeter
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