Descrizione del progetto
Un modello per passare dalla mitigazione climatica lineare a quella circolare
Un modello di ottimizzazione del sistema energetico chiamato TIMES potrebbe essere usato per aiutare i responsabili decisionali a comprendere le complesse interazioni dei sistemi in materia di consumo energetico. I modelli di mitigazione energetica-climatica di TIMES illustrano l’impiego della tecnologia e dei progressi tecnologici nei percorsi di abbattimento dei gas a effetto serra. Il progetto CO2NSTRUCT, finanziato dall’UE, applicherà TIMES come modello di base per passare dai modelli di mitigazione climatica lineari a quelli circolari. L’attenzione sarà posta su sei materiali da costruzione ad alta intensità di carbonio, ovvero acciaio, cemento, mattoni, vetro, legno e isolanti, per mappare sei catene del valore con circuiti di retroazione espliciti ed effetti rimbalzo quantificati, il che risulta essenziale per le procedure dell’economia circolare. TIMES condurrà numerosi scenari di tipo circolare. Gli esiti saranno tradotti in informazioni utili ed efficaci per sostenere la politica.
Obiettivo
Circular Economy integration into climate action and policy is limiting the EU's advancement to achieve carbon neutrality as fast as possible. Widely applied TIMES energy-climate mitigation models detail the use of technology and technological advances in its GHG abatement pathways. Because CE practices are technical, CO2NSTRUCT deems TIMES the ideal proxy model to shift climate mitigation models from linear to circular. This project will delineate a “circular climate mitigation” framework to augment TIMES models at a first stage, but that can serve as an imprint for other climate mitigation models. The focus will be on six pervasive carbon-intensive construction materials – steel, cement, brick, glass, wood, and insulation – to map six value chains with explicit feedback loops and quantified rebound effects, key of CE practices. Social and environmental externalities will be accounted for, including GHG & air pollutants emissions, water usage, embodied energy, energy poverty, employment, and inequalities. Once these and other CE measures are identified in the key industries of the six materials, CE tools as LCA and MFAs can be coupled to the TIMES model. TIMES will run several CE scenarios to quantify the role of CE for EU+ climate mitigation in the near-term and future, always ensuring carbon. Outcomes will be translated into useful and effective policy support information for sustainable climate mitigation, minimising conflicts across SDGs (both in EU+ and rest of the world). Although the framework is applied to the whole EU+ energy production and consumption system (disaggregated per country), CO2NSTRUCT will emphasize two economic case studies or clusters: (1) offshore renewable energy production and (2) buildings. CO2NSTRUCT anticipates that the framework can be used globally by climate mitigation modelers and policy makers. CE integration into climate action will drive EC’s goal to increase EU GDP by 0.5% by 2030.
Campo scientifico
- engineering and technologyenvironmental engineeringenergy and fuelsrenewable energy
- engineering and technologymaterials engineering
- engineering and technologyenvironmental engineeringair pollution engineering
- social scienceseconomics and businesseconomicssustainable economy
- agricultural sciencesagriculture, forestry, and fisheriesforestry
Parole chiave
Programma(i)
Argomento(i)
Meccanismo di finanziamento
HORIZON-RIA - HORIZON Research and Innovation ActionsCoordinatore
2800 Kongens Lyngby
Danimarca