Assessing Sectoral Perspectives on Climate Transitions to support the Global Stocktake and subsequent NDCs

Resultado final

Report and academic article manuscript with a comparative analysis across the target countries on which factors helped or hindered ambition raising in the 2020 NDCs

This deliverable will review the conditions under which NDC ambition was or was not increased across a range of countries The deliverable will contain an article manuscript for submission in a peerreviewed academic journal

Quality Assurance and Risk Management Plan

This deliverable will contain procedural and organizational measures for ensuring high quality of the published results of the NDC ASPECTS project It will also contain an update and refinement of the identified implementation risk and corresponding measures building on the proposed premortem exercise

Collection of Sectoral Transformation Policy Papers published during the first half of the project

This deliverable will compile all policy papers published before M18 Milestones 710 3538 43 4751

Submission to the Global Stocktake

This deliverable will be a formal submission to the Global Stocktake under the UNFCCCs Paris Agreement The document will synthesise key findings from the Sectoral Conversations WP1 Global Benchmarks WP2 and Sectoral Modelling WP3 Sectoral Transformation Challenges WP4 and insights from the governance research WP6 as relevant to the assessment of collective progress towards achieving the goals of the Paris Agreement

Report and academic article manuscript with a comparative analysis across the target countries on how their NDCs have so far been implemented

The deliverable will synthesise the analysis of the state of implementation of current NDCs across a range of countries The deliverable is targeted towards an academic audience The deliverable will contain an article manuscript for submission in a peerreviewed academic journal

Guidelines and Detailed Process Designs for Sectoral Conversations

This deliverable will contain theoretic and practical guidance for the sectoral conversations as well as a detailed process design for each of the four Sectoral Conversations

Report and academic article manuscript on the contribution of bunker fuels to achieve the Paris Agreement goals

This deliverable will synthesise the findings of modelling the contribution ov international aviation and shipping towards achieving the objectives of the Paris Agreement Task 22 The deliverable will include a manuscript to be submitted to a peerreviewed academic journal

Report and academic article manuscripts on sectoral governance gaps and options to overcome them for industry, transport, buildings and AFOLU

The deliverable will compile for academic article manuscripts on gaps in the global climate governance landscape in each of the four sectors industry transport buildings AFOLU and ways and means to close those gaps with a view to optimizing the global governance for supporting sectoral transformations The deliverable is targeted towards an academic audience Each article manuscript will be submitted for peer review in an appropriate academic journal

Creation of the NDC ASPECTS website

The NDC ASPECTS website will provide an overview of the project make accessible the results of our research and provide an outlet for communication activities

Data Management Plan

This deliverable will outline how data generated in this project will be handled according to the FAIR findable accessible interoperable reusable It will cover data management and storage including organizational and procedural requirements open access ethical aspects of data generation as well as issues related to privacy and protection of personal data

First Update of Data Management Plan

This deliverable will update the first data management plan D82

Publicaciones

The potential of scrap use for EU steel decarbonization

Autores: Annika Tönjes, Süheyb Bilici
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: n.a.

D4.3 - Transformation Opportunities, Challenges and Policy Options - Cover report

Autores: Wolfgang Obergassel, Simon Otto, Lauren Harry-Villain, Chun Xia-Bauer, María José Sanz, Sebastian Oberthür, Annika Tönjes, Lauri Peterson, Hilton Trollip, Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan, Yann Briand, Henri Waisman, Harro van Asselt, Catherine Hall, Frederic Rudolph, Dipti Gupta, Marcio de Almeida D’Agosto, Ricardo Delgado Cadena, Jordi Tovilla, Thalia Hernandez, Nnaemeka Vincent Emodi, Alici
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

Shortening Global Supply Chains as a Key to Decarbonising Transport

Autores: Yann Briand, Sandra Rothbard
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

D6.1a - Planting the Seeds of Mitigation: Climate Governance Gaps and Options for the Land Use Sector

Autores: Vida, Adrián; Sanz, María José; de Jalón, Silvestre García; Van de Ven, Dirk-Jan
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7287486

D2.1 - Contribution of international bunker fuels to the Paris Agreement goals

Autores: Ioannis Tsiropoulos, Panagiotis Fragkos, Tamara Apostolou, Charalampidis Ioannis, Nikos Tsanakas, Panagiotis Karkatsoulis, Vassiliki Sourtzi, Eleftheria Zisarou
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.

D4.3c - Barriers and Policy analysis: Building Decarbonisation

Autores: Chun Xia-Bauer, Sriraj Gokarakonda, Ece Ural, Siyue Guo, Faidra Filippidou, Jyoti R. Maheshwari, Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

D7.8: Collection of Sectoral Transformation Policy Papers published during the first half of the project

Autores: Obergassel, Wolfgang
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7287506

Maximising the Impact of the Global Stocktake: Options for Design and Implementation

Autores: Beuermann, Christiane; Obergassel, Wolfgang; van Asselt, Harro; Häntzschel, Maximilian; Petersmann, Moritz
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7248765

Decarbonising the Land Transport Sector: Options for Enhancing International Cooperation

Autores: Catherine Hall, Harro van Asselt
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

D4.2 - Assessing the implementation risks of NDCs: Lessons from 20 cases

Autores: Lauri Peterson, Harro van Asselt, Francesco Benvegnù, Christiane Beuermann, Rizaldi Boer, Sibel Raquel Ersoy, Amit Garg, Catherine Hall, Maximilian Häntzschel, María José Sanz, Nico Kreibich, Wolfgang Obergassel, Tara Olsen, Simon Otto, Anna Perez-Catala, Madeleine Raabe, Serafima Raskina, Siobhán Rose, Annuri Rossita, Fabio Schojan, Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan, Arzyana Sunkar, Julia Terra
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.

D6.1b - Global Governance for the Decarbonisation of Energy-Intensive Industries: Exploring Sectoral Options

Autores: Otto, Simon; Oberthür, Sebastian
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7287494

D4.3a - Sectoral Analysis of Energy-Intensive Industries

Autores: Simon Otto, Sebastian Oberthür, Annika Tönjes, Lauri Peterson, Hilton Trollip, & Saritha Vishwanathan
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

D6.3b – A Race at All Costs? Economic and Environmental Effects of Industrial Policy Nationalism

Autores: Panagiotis Fragkos, Lukas Hermwille, Kostas Fragkiadakis
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: n.a.

D6.1 - Assessing sectoral governance gaps and policy options

Autores: Oberthür, Sebastian; Otto, Simon; Vida, Adrián; Hall, Catherine; Xia, Chun; Van de Ven, Dirk-Jan; van Asselt, Harro; Sanz, María José; Kreibich, Nicolas; de Jalón, Silvestre García; Obergassel, Wolfgang
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7287480

Contours of an International Plastics Climate Club

Autores: Lukas Hermwille, Alexander Diek
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

Decarbonising the Buildings Sector - Investments and possible rebound effects

Autores: Faidra Filippidou
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: n.a.

D6.3 – Report and academic article manuscripts on sectoral climate clubs (one on the political economy of sectoral climate clubs, and one on the modelling results)

Autores: Lukas Hermwille, Catherine Hall, Panagiotis Fragkos, Kostas Fragkiadakis & Dimitris Fragkiadakis
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: n.a.

D2.3g - The global maritime sector under deep decarbonisation

Autores: Giannis Giannelos, Nikolaos Tsanakas, Yann Briand, Achilleas Zarkaliou, Ioannis Tsiropoulos
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: n.a.

D4.3d - Are national policy frameworks for the AFOLU sector aligned to increase mitigation ambition? Lessons from 10 countries

Autores: M.J. Sanz, I. Ruiz, T., Rouhette
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

Accelerating towards Zero-Emission Vehicles: Options for Strengthening the Breakthrough on Road Transport

Autores: Catherine Hall
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

Enhancing International Cooperation through a Sectoral Perspective

Autores: Wolfgang Obergassel, Harro van Asselt, Catherine Hall, Lukas Hermwille, Sebastian Oberthür, Simon Otto, María José Sanz, Chun Xia-Bauer
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

Global Climate Governance for the Decarbonisation of the Buildings Sector

Autores: Wolfgang Obergassel, Chun Xia-Bauer, Alexander Diek
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

D1.1 - Ensuring an Effective Global Stocktake with a Sectoral Perspective

Autores: Hermwille, Lukas; Obergassel, Wolfgang; Pérez Català, Anna; Fragkos, Panagiotis; Van de Ven, Dirk-Jan; Sanz, María José; Gunfaus, Marta Torres; Briand, Yann; van Asselt, Harro; Oberthür, Sebastian; Kronshage, Stefan; Jochem, Patrick; Xia-Bauer, Chun
Publicado en: Edición 1, 2022
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7249014

D6.1c - Global Climate Governance for the Decarbonisation of the Buildings Sector

Autores: Obergassel, Wolfgang; Xia, Chun
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7287498

D6.1d - On the Road to Somewhere? Assessing Climate Governance Gaps and Options for the Land Transport Sector

Autores: Hall, Catherine; van Asselt, Harro
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7287502

D1.4 - Sectoral Conversations Guidebook

Autores: Hermwille, Lukas; Pérez Català, Anna; Torres Gunfaus, Marta; Ortiz, Willington; Spitzner, Meike
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7249035

D4.3b - Designing comprehensive policy packages for freight transport decarbonization: lessons from an international comparison

Autores: Lauren Harry-Villain, Yann Briand, Henri Waisman, Harro van Asselt, Catherine Hall, Frederic Rudolph, Dipti Gupta, Marcio de Almeida D’Agosto, Ricardo Delgado Cadena, Jordi Tovilla, Thalia Hernandez, Nnaemeka Vincent Emodi, Alicia Zhao, Ryna Cui, Mark Gjerek, Rico Merkert, Maria Rosa Munoz, Sidsel Ahlmann Jensen, Amin Hassani
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

D6.4 - Lessons Learned for the Global Stocktake

Autores: Wolfgang Obergassel, Christiane Beuermann, Carsten Elsner
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: n.a.

Shifting unavoidable private mobility to lighter electric vehicles

Autores: Isheeka Dasgupta, Yann Briand
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: n.a.

A Climate Club for the Plastic Industry

Autores: Lukas Hermwille, Alexander Diek
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

Advancing international cooperation for the decarbonisation of energy-intensive industries: the G7 Climate Club and beyond

Autores: Simon Otto, Sebastian Oberthür
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

D4.1 - What determines climate ambition? Analysing NDC enhancement with a mixed-method design

Autores: van Asselt, Harro; Peterson, Lauri; Hermwille, Lukas; Oberthür, Sebastian; Häntzschel, Maximilian; Benvegnú, Francesco
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7249057

D1.2 - Report on Sectoral Conversations Methodology

Autores: Willington Ortiz, María Cecilia Bonet, Lukas Hermwille, Anna Pérez Català, Marta Torres Gunfaus, María José Sanz, Chun Xia, Faidra Filippidou, Gauri Khandekar, Simon Otto, Yann Briand
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: n.a.

Global Climate Governance for the Decarbonisation of the AFOLU sector

Autores: María J. Sanz, Itxaso Ruiz
Publicado en: 2023
Editor: n.a.

Article 6 and CORSIA after Glasgow: Ready for take-off?

Autores: Hall, Catherine; Kreibich, Nicolas; van Asselt, Harro
Publicado en: 2022
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7248777

Decarbonising residential buildings: a global perspective

Autores: Chun Xia-Bauer, Faidra Filippidou
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: n.a.

D6.3a – Towards Minilateral Climate Governance? Analysing Climate Club Design Options through the lens of CBDR-RC

Autores: Catherine Hall
Publicado en: 2024
Editor: n.a.

COP26 and the Dynamics of Anti-Fossil Fuel Norms

Autores: Harro van Asselt, Fergus Green
Publicado en: WIREs Climate Change, 2023, ISSN 1757-7780
Editor: John Wiley & Sons Inc.

Improving future travel demand projections: a pathway with an open science interdisciplinary approach

Autores: Sonia Yeh, Jorge Gil, Page Kyle, Paul Kishimoto, Pierpaolo Cazzola, Matteo Craglia, Oreane Edelenbosch, Panagiotis Fragkos, Lew Fulton, Yuan Liao
Publicado en: Progress in Energy, Volume 4, Number 4, 2022, ISSN 2516-1083
Editor: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2516-1083/ac86b5

Pathways to an International Agreement to Leave Fossil Fuels in the Ground

Autores: Harro van Asselt, Peter Newell
Publicado en: Global Environmental Politics, Edición 22, 2022, Página(s) 28-47, ISSN 1526-3800
Editor: MIT Press
DOI: 10.1162/glep_a_00674

What determines climate ambition? Analysing NDC enhancement with a mixed-method design

Autores: Lauri Peterson, Harro van Asselt, Lukas Hermwille, Sebastian Oberthür
Publicado en: npj Climate Action, Edición 2, 2023, ISSN 2731-9814
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.1038/s44168-023-00051-8

Comparing net zero pathways across the Atlantic A model inter-comparison exercise between the Energy Modeling Forum 37 and the European Climate and Energy Modeling Forum

Autores: Luis Sarmiento, Johannes Emmerling, Robert Pietzcker, Vassilis Daioglou, Francesco Dalla Longa, Mark M. Dekker, Laurent Drouet, Amir Fattahi, Panagiotis Fragkos, Hauke T. J. Henke, Oliver Fricko, Leonard Göke, Volker Krey, Ellie Lochner, Gunnar Luderer, Nick Macaluso, Kowan T. V. O'Keefe, Kathleen M. Kennedy, Gokul Iyer, Renato Rodrigues, Eric Stewart, William Usher, Bob van der Zwaan, Detlef
Publicado en: Energy and Climate Change, Edición 5, 2024, Página(s) 100144, ISSN 2666-2787
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2024.100144

Analysing the Transformative Changes of Nationally Determined Contributions and Long-Term Targets

Autores: Panagiotis Fragkos, Dirk-Jan van de Ven, Russell Horowitz, Eleftheria Zisarou
Publicado en: Climate, Edición 12, 2024, Página(s) 87, ISSN 2225-1154
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.3390/cli12060087

A climate club to decarbonize the global steel industry

Autores: Lukas Hermwille; Stefan Lechtenböhmer; Max Åhman; Harro van Asselt; Chris Bataille; Stefan Kronshage; Annika Tönjes; Manfred Fischedick; Sebastian Oberthür; Amit Garg; Catherine Hall; Patrick Jochem; Clemens Schneider; Ryna Cui; Wolfgang Obergassel; Panagiotis Fragkos; Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan; Hilton Trollip
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 12, 2022, Página(s) 494-496, ISSN 1758-6798
Editor: NatureSpringer
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01383-9

Is Green Recovery Enough? Analysing the Impacts of Post-COVID-19 Economic Packages

Autores: Pedro Rochedo; Bruno S L Cunha; Alexandre Szklo; Roberto Schaeffer; Panagiotis Fragkos; Lilia Caiado Coelho Beltrao Couto; Luiz Bernardo Baptista; Rafael Garaffa
Publicado en: Energies; Volume 14; Edición 17; Pages: 5567, 2021, ISSN 1996-1073
Editor: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/en14175567

The Impact of U.S. Re‐engagement in Climate on the Paris Targets

Autores: Dirk‐Jan van de Ven, Michael Westphal, Mikel González‐Eguino, Ajay Gambhir, Glen Peters, Ida Sognnaes, Haewon McJeon, Nathan Hultman, Kevin Kennedy, Tom Cyrs, Leon Clarke
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 9, 2023, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.1029/2021ef002077

International cooperation for the decarbonization of energy-intensive industries: unlocking the full potential

Autores: Simon Otto, Sebastian Oberthür
Publicado en: Climate Policy, 2024, Página(s) 1-17, ISSN 1469-3062
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2024.2397437

International shipping in a world below 2oC

Autores: Eduardo Müller-Casseres, Florian Leblanc, Maarten van den Berg, Panagiotis Fragkos, Olivier Dessens, Hesam Naghash, Rebecca Draeger, Thomas Le Gallic, Isabela S. Tagomori, Ioannis Tsiropoulos, Johannes Emmerling, Luiz Bernardo Baptista, Detlef van Vuuren, Anastasis Giannousakis, Laurent Drouet, Joana Portugal-Pereira, Harmen Sytze de Boer, Nikolaos Tsanakas, Pedro RR Rochedo, Alexandre Szklo, Rob
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, 2024, ISSN 1758-6798
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-2958063/v1

Decarbonizing the International Shipping and Aviation Sectors

Autores: Panagiotis Fragkos
Publicado en: Energies, Edición 15, 2023, Página(s) 9650, ISSN 1996-1073
Editor: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/en15249650

Assessing enhanced NDC and climate compatible development pathways for India

Autores: Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan, Panagiotis Fragkos, Konstantinos Fragkiadakis, Amit Garg
Publicado en: Energy Strategy Reviews, Edición 49, 2023, Página(s) 101152, ISSN 2211-467X
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2023.101152

The environmental and economic effects of international cooperation on restricting fossil fuel supply

Autores: Harro van Asselt, Panagiotis Fragkos, Lauri Peterson, Kostas Fragkiadakis
Publicado en: International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Edición 24, 2024, Página(s) 141-166, ISSN 1567-9764
Editor: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10784-023-09623-9

Leveraging the Global Stocktake for effective sectoral climate governance

Autores: Harro van Asselt, Wolfgang Obergassel, Catherine Hall, Lukas Hermwille, Sebastian Oberthür, Simon Otto, María José Sanz, Chun Xia-Bauer
Publicado en: PLOS Climate, Edición 2, 2023, Página(s) e0000229, ISSN 2767-3200
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000229

Assessing the energy system impacts of Morocco's nationally determined contribution and low-emission pathways

Autores: Panagiotis Fragkos
Publicado en: Energy Strategy Reviews, Edición 47, 2024, Página(s) 101081, ISSN 2211-467X
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2023.101081

Comparative analysis of residential building decarbonization policies in major economies: insights from the EU, China, and India

Autores: Chun Xia-Bauer, Sriraj Gokarakonda, Siyue Guo, Faidra Filippidou, Stefan Thomas, Jyoti R. Maheshwari, Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan
Publicado en: Energy Efficiency, Edición 17, 2024, ISSN 1570-646X
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10225-w

Three different directions in which the European Union could replace Russian natural gas

Autores: Alexandros Nikas, Natasha Frilingou, Conall Heussaff, Panagiotis Fragkos, Shivika Mittal, Jon Sampedro, Sara Giarola, Jan-Philipp Sasse, Lorenzo Rinaldi, Haris Doukas, Ajay Gambhir, Anastasis Giannousakis, Nicolò Golinucci, Konstantinos Koasidis, Matteo Vincenzo Rocco, Evelina Trutnevyte, Georgios Xexakis, Georg Zachmann, Eleftheria Zisarou, Emanuela Colombo, Adam Hawkes, Brinda Yarlagadda, Matth
Publicado en: Energy, Edición 290, 2024, Página(s) 130254, ISSN 0360-5442
Editor: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.130254

Energy System Transition in the Context of NDC and Mitigation Strategies in Tunisia

Autores: Panagiotis Fragkos, Eleftheria Zisarou
Publicado en: Climate, Edición 10, 2024, Página(s) 166, ISSN 2225-1154
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.3390/cli10110166

Fossil extraction bans and carbon taxes: Assessing their interplay through multiple models

Autores: Pietro Andreoni, Lara Aleluia Reis, Laurent Drouet, Olivier Dessens, Panagiotis Fragkos, Robert Pietzcker, Steve Pye, Renato Rodrigues, Massimo Tavoni
Publicado en: iScience, Edición 26, 2024, Página(s) 106377, ISSN 2589-0042
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2023.106377

Assessing the Role of Carbon Capture and Storage in Mitigation Pathways of Developing Economies

Autores: Panagiotis Fragkos
Publicado en: Energies, Edición 14, 2024, Página(s) 1879, ISSN 1996-1073
Editor: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/en14071879

Coupling circularity performance and climate action: From disciplinary silos to transdisciplinary modelling science

Autores: Alexandros Nikas, Georgios Xexakis, Konstantinos Koasidis, José Acosta-Fernández, Iñaki Arto, Alvaro Calzadilla, Teresa Domenech, Ajay Gambhir, Stefan Giljum, Mikel Gonzalez-Eguino, Andrea Herbst, Olga Ivanova, Mariësse A. E. van Sluisveld, Dirk-Jan Van De Ven, Anastasios Karamaneas, Haris Doukas
Publicado en: Sustainable Production and Consumption, Edición 30, 2024, Página(s) 269-277, ISSN 2352-5509
Editor: n.a.
DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2021.12.011

Global stocktake and the SDG midterm review as opportunities for integration

Autores: Lukas Hermwille, Adis Dzebo, Gabriela Ileana Iacobuţă, Wolfgang Obergassel
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 13, 2023, Página(s) 1002-1004, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01813-2

Limits to forests-based mitigation in integrated assessment modelling: global potentials and impacts under constraining factors

Autores: Théo Rouhette, Neus Escobar, Xin Zhao, María José Sanz, Dirk-Jan van de Ven
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 19, 2024, Página(s) 114017, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad7748

Strengthening global climate governance and international cooperation for energy-efficient buildings

Autores: Wolfgang Obergassel, Chun Xia-Bauer, Stefan Thomas
Publicado en: Energy Efficiency, Edición 16, 2023, ISSN 1570-646X
Editor: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s12053-023-10177-7

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