Real-time Earthquake Risk Reduction for a Resilient Europe

Rezultaty

The European Rapid Loss Assessment service is operational and distributing message to selected and approved subscribers. The service is reviewed and validated in partnership with EPOS.

OEF services in Italy, Switzerland and Europe wide operational

The OEF services in Italy, Switzerland and Europe wide are operational as web-services with defined access rules. Testing of these forecast is also initiated in the EU testing center.

Near real time estimate of parameters of significant European earthquakes based on web

Near real time estimate of parameters of significant earthquakes based on crowdsourced data I modified the title This service will aim in region where the number of users of EarthquakeNetwork and LastQuake is significant to automatically map the rupture geometry of significant earthquakes M7 and to provide rapid constraints on the spatial distribution of shaking

Development of RRE forecasting services in OpenQuake

This deliverable describes the recovery forecasting services in OpenQuake This encompasses the recovery function metadata and operators as well as a set of prototype recovery functions implemented to enable the development of a RRE Recovery and Rebuilding Effort forecasting model The deliverable further described the developed RRE forecasting model and details its validation using available postearthquake recovery data

EU forecast testing centre operational

The Europan forecast testing centre is operation at GFZ, reviewed and validated as an EPOS service. Forecasts for at least three testing regions, linked to OEF models, are automatically created and evaluated. Results are available via a web interface to selected users.

Field evaluation of the risk communication strategy

By combining the work in understanding the current risk communication strategy within Italy, Switzerland and France with the user-centred design work, RISE plans to develop the best, practical system of risk communication that can be implemented in these countries. It will then be important to evaluate this system, comparing it with similar countries in which the system has not been adopted. This evaluation will take into account both costs (such as financial) and benefits (measured in terms of the audiences’ acceptance, comprehension and behaviour as well as financial and mortality improvements should any seismic events occur during the evaluation period).

Harmonised platform for OEF forecasts and ensemble models

A harmonised platform for OEF forecasts and ensemble models in Europe has been created and is available to operate the European test center.

Technical development of prototype big data solutions

We will demonstrate on at least one test data set how technical development of prototype big data solutions can be used to support access by the community using ORFEUSEIDA

Second generation of models for RLA service demonstration for Europe

This deliverable is a demonstrator deliverable, and will mainly constitute a set of pan-European exposure and vulnerability models for the calculation of Rapid Loss Assessment (RLA). A first set of European exposure and vulnerability models will be released as an output of the SERA project, whereas in RISE further improvements and extensions will be made to these models for the purposes of Rapid Loss Assessment. In particular, the vulnerability models will be extended to consider additional risk metrics such as displaced persons, injuries, business interruption, as well the impact of the accumulation of damage from sequences of earthquake events.

Deployment of prototype array

With the help of colleagues from the Swiss telecommunication company SWITCH we will connect several DAS interrogators to urban telecommunication networks in Switzerland This pilot study will be the basis of our extrapolation to larger scales which we will deliver at the end of WP 21

Crowdsourced EEW services

LastQuake and EarthQuakeNetwork will be updated during the course of the project for the citizen to benefit from new results obtained during RISE project.NB this is a joint deliverable with Turnkey D3.5

Review of best practice in communication of dynamic risk in all fields

Risk communication is an important part of many fields from healthcare to health and safety and there are many pockets of good practice and research that have been stuck within the silos of one field before being discovered and applied in another It is thus particularly important in this field for the team to carry out a systematic review of all academic literature and as much grey literature as possible to ensure that all lessons are learned from any prior work in the communication and quantification of dynamic risk The resulting review will be prepared for publication in an academic journal as well as being made publicly available online

Minutes of Meeting of the RISE management board conducted (month 30)

Minutes will include Names of participants Agenda items coveredMeeting minutes will give an accurate record exists of what transpired during the meeting

Advances in performance-based earthquake early warning in Europe

We will report on extensive temporal and spatial correlation analysis like the detrended fluctuation analysis DFA and conditional probability on existing earthquake catalogs from Europe and Israel In addition we will construct earthquake network based on the catalogs and identify the remote connections links between the different sites nodes Based on the results we will optimize the choice of ETAS model parametersthis will improve the prediction of aftershocks

Strategic integration of RISE activities with EPOS-IP

The report will summarize status of EPOS integration of RISE activities after first 18 months with particular attention to relevant related projects initiatives EPOS discussion on ethical issues in realtime services metadata and service data modeling service interfaces Details of the plan for testing validating RISE developments as services for EPOS including service organization business model service providers service governance sustainability will be provided

Second generation of models for RLA service report for Europe

This deliverable is a technical report that accompanies the demonstrator deliverable D41 It will explain the modelling techniques and assumptions that have been used to develop the second generation of exposure and vulnerability models for the RLA service provided in D41

Operational earthquake loss forecasting for Europe

This report will describe the status and outlook for operational earthquake loss forecasting for Europe The report will describe models and procedure to build a prototypal OELF system at the European scale Depending on the available information the deliverable will also discuss the best lossrelated measure to be considered eg expected number of damaged buildings expected number of fatalities etc

New perspectives in OEF models through the analysis of candidate precursors

In this report we will investigate how selected seismic and nonseismic signals are correlated with earthquakes and may be used as seismic precursors

Project management plan updated (month 3)

First update to the detailed project management plan PMP compiled and distributed to all beneficiaries The PMP documents the actions necessary to define prepare integrate and coordinate the various planning activities The PMP defines how the project is executed monitored and controlled and closed

A new generation of OEF models

Description of the scientific aspects behind the new generation of operational earthquake forecasting models with some discussion on their evolution with respect to the present state of the art

Good-practise report on risk-cost-benefit in terms of socio-economic impact

We will produced a goodpractise report on riskcostbenefit in terms of socioeconomic impact

Update PEDR (month 12)

Updated document report excluding the periodic and final reports Update details to dissemination plan dissemination activity timing dissemination management dissemination tools and exploitation plan

Large-scale DAS logistic feasibility study on new applications

We will provide a detailed report on the feasibility of future largescale DAS deployments in urban environments using existing telecommunication cables This will cover aspects such as logistical challenges when using multiple DAS interrogators the storage and realtime processing of massive seismic waveform datasets the handling of data with very heterogeneous quality and the possibility to perform urban and ambient noise interferometry using DAS data

Report on the development of RLA, EEW and OEF at European scale

This deliverable will report on the status of the Rapid Loss Assessment RLA Earthquake Early Warning EEW and Operational Earthquake Forecasting OEF capabilities at a European level at the end of the project showing the integration of the technical achievements of RISE across WPs 2 3 4 and 5 as well as the testing outputs of WP7 Specific demonstration examples of the capabilities through prototypes will be reported in the deliverable and a summary of the testing feedback that will be used for the design of these services as part of EPOS will be included Finally the level of integration of the capabilities into the dynamic risk landscape will be evaluated and documented

Progress of new generation catalogues for public dissemination

Generation of highresolution earthquake catalogues for RISE test regions covering long time windows The events will be relocated using the Double Differences DD location algorithm starting from the existing catalogues of absolute hypocentre locations During the relocation procedure a consistent set of magnitudes will be determined

Report on the temporal change the upper crust properties using ambient noise techniques

In this report we will summarize the temporal change of the upper crust properties that are observed in the Aquila region and surrounding area by analysing seismic noise records

Evaluation of current communications pathways to public and to policy-makers in Italy, Switzerland, and France

RISE aims to produce practical benefit and in order to do so the academic work must be done at a very applied level In WP5 the aim is to produce systems of risk communication that can help policymakers and the public make informed choices in their jobs and in their lives To do this effectively requires a deep understanding of the existing communication pathways for such information and hence how best the RISE work can fit into them This report will be made publicly available online

Exploring the limits of earthquake predictability

We will report the retrospective analysis by computational statistical methods of spatial and temporal variations of various physical eg surface heat flow geodetic strainrate and seismological parameters eg bvalue of the frequency magnitude distribution p and c of the Omori law before strong earthquakes in order to evaluate their forecasting power for the possible inclusion in future OEF models The study will benefit of improvements in seismological datasets and of advances in observational capabilities carried out in Task 2

Update PEDR (month 3)

Initial Document report excluding the periodic and final reports Details dissemination plan dissemination activity timing dissemination management dissemination tools and exploitation plan

Report presenting first results of the prospective study

A report presents first results of the prospective study

Project management plan updated (month 42)

Fourth update to the detailed project management plan PMP compiled and distributed to all beneficiaries The PMP documents the actions necessary to define prepare integrate and coordinate the various planning activities The PMP defines how the project is executed monitored and controlled and closed

Minutes of Meeting of the RISE management board conducted (month 6)

Minutes will include Names of participants Agenda items coveredMeeting minutes will give an accurate record exists of what transpired during the meeting

How to define the best OEF model to be used for societal purposes: ensemble modelling

Description and comparison of different ensemble modeling strategies and evaluation of their capability to improve earthquake forecasting

Assessment of the technology readiness and operational capability

Assessment of the technology readiness and operational capability of access to large volume data sets such as DAS or nodal modes The assessment will be related in a quantitative manner to its current ability to estimate dynamic risk General performance characterization against the technologies ability to aid developing a dynamic risk landscape will be documented

Technical solutions on open, dynamic, high volume, cloud-based services

This report will describe and discuss possible solutions to open dynamic high volume cloudbased services for data storage and data access

Specifications on portable excitation sources and structure selection

We will design and set the specifications for portable excitation sources for structures and ground surface such that we can generate vibrations with amplitudes larger than ambient vibrations That way we extract more information on the linear and nonlinear dynamic characteristics of structures and soil without waiting for an earthquake Excitation sources will be such that they can be disassembled to take up to the top of a building in an elevator We will select a building and a bridge to test the system

Scalability of new OEF techniques from the field to the laboratory to Bedretto URL

This report will describe the scalability and transferability of OEF algorithms between lab scale rock lab scale and field scale

Minutes of Meeting of the RISE management board conducted (month 21)

Minutes will include Names of participants Agenda items coveredMeeting minutes will give an accurate record exists of what transpired during the meeting

Mid-term report of the Scientific Advisory Board

The midterm report of the Scientific Advisory Board is compiled distributed to the participants and available to the EC The report will comment on progress made and suggest changes for the second half of RISE

Description of standards for dynamic risk services

A report that describes the standards for dynamic risk services in terms of metadata access rules etc

Designing & implementing the seismic portion of dynamic risk communication for long-term risks, variable short-term risks, early warnings

WP5 of RISE has the aim of developing through an iterated usercentered design process practical and welltested methods of communicating the seismic portion of dynamic risk information to its audiences This information will be of three different kinds longterm risk for policymakers dynamic shortterm risks for policymakers infrastructure managers and the public and early warnings for all We anticipate that the work that goes into each of these will form the basis for several academic publications but we will also pull it together to form a single report to be made publicly available online

Project management plan updated (month 12)

Second update to the detailed project management plan PMP compiled and distributed to all beneficiaries The PMP documents the actions necessary to define prepare integrate and coordinate the various planning activities The PMP defines how the project is executed monitored and controlled and closed

Detection of landslides and fires from Twitter monitoring

Twitter is already in use at EMSC to detect felt earthquakes However indirect effects such as fires and landslides may significantly contribute to the overall impact andor impend rescue operations This report or article will present the results of tests to detected such indirect effects of earthquakes on Twitter

Report on all DAS field deployments

We will deliver a comprehensive report on a series of DAS deployments in different environments some of which are already underway In addition to the urban applications these will include studies on glaciers in deep boreholes and in underground tunnel systems This report will be the basis of future decisions on where this new technology can be used most effectively The report will provide a first time assessment of how effectively DAS can integrate into the landscape of dynamic risk assessment

Report on the use of building data collected through innovative technology in OELF, RLA, EEW and SHM

RISE will evaluate the building data quality for Europe based on open data as used in the dynamic highresolution exposure model and their improvements through sensor measurements on the RISE test sites THis report will guide future users through a quality assessment as a function of location It will further summarize what information data from dense sensor networks contain in respect to resilience and loss estimates

Minutes of Meeting of the RISE management board conducted (month 36)

Minutes will include Names of participants Agenda items coveredMeeting minutes will give an accurate record exists of what transpired during the meeting

Project management plan updated (month 30)

Third update to the detailed project management plan PMP compiled and distributed to all beneficiaries The PMP documents the actions necessary to define prepare integrate and coordinate the various planning activities The PMP defines how the project is executed monitored and controlled and closed

Framework for the assessment of economic losses in a dynamic risk context

This report will outline the framework RISE adopts to interface with economic factors of relevance for dynamic risk and loss assessment It outlines how we will use quantitative economical assessments for rapid loss assessment riskcostbenefit assessment and optimization and resilience enhancements

The potential of crowdsourced EEWS

This report or article will focus on the performances and limitations of crowdsourced EEWS It will be based on the results of the analysis of the synergies between LastQuake and EarthquakeNetwork appsNB this is a joint deliverable with Turnkey D34

Report on testing OEF and extending earthquake forecasts to loss forecasts in Italy

Statistical testing of the earthquake forecasting models for Italy using both the existing and the new generation of OEF models developed in RISE The set of the best models emerging from the testing phase will be then expanded to calculate different metrics of the seismic risk and to evaluate their uncertainty

Report on the sustainable operation of dynamic risk services within EPOS

A whitepaper on the sustainable operation of dynamic risk services within EPOS is created and distributed to the community

Results of excitation sources and recommendations

We will test the excitation sources on ground surface for site amplification studies and several structures a tall building a bridge and a historical structure record their vibrations and identify their dynamic characteristics These structural characteristics will provide an important metric employed in the developing the dynamic risk landscape We will compare these dynamic characteristics with those identified from ambient vibrations and real earthquakes We will present a report evaluating the effectiveness and advantages of using portable excitation sources and guidelines on their usage The report will provide a first time assessment of how effectively novel excitation sources can integrate into the landscape of dynamic risk assessment

Guideless for experts' judgments in OEF

We will produced a set of guidelines a good practise guide for integrating experts judgments into OEF forecasts

Report on first results of ground-motion testing

RISE will provide a report about the experiences and results from this first set of tests with highdensity networks This report will include an assessment of the feasibility to use such networks for highquality nonlinear GMPEs and for exposurerisk testing by providing information about the data quality for testing

Final report of the Scientific Advisory Board

The final report of the Scientific Advisory Board is compiled distributed to the participants and available to the EC The report will critically review the achievements and suggest pathways to enhance sustainability

Report on first results of key hypothesis testing

RISE will conduct hypothesis testing in targeted experiments within the CSEP framework The results will be presented at conferences and published

Improving earthquake information in a multi-hazard context

This report summarises recommendation for improving earthquake information in a multihazard context

Accuracy and precision of earthquake forecasts using the new generation catalogues for open dissemination

Evaluation of the effect of highresolution seismic catalogues in terms of enhancing earthquake forecasting In particular we provide a comparison of the performance of the best existing earthquake forecasting models when using traditional and highresolution seismic catalogues The experiment will be made for the Italian territory

Final reporting to the EU commission

The final report of the Scientific Advisory Board is compiled distributed to the participants and available to the EC The report will critically review achievements outline the need for future work and recommend strategies to enhance the sustainabilty of RISE

Minutes of Meeting of the RISE management board conducted (month 42)

Minutes will include Names of participants Agenda items coveredMeeting minutes will give an accurate record exists of what transpired during the meeting

Report on the Iceland demonstration site for earthquake predictability and RLA

A report describing the outcomes of activities in Task63 and other supporting tasks This includes i improved observational capabilities in the SISZ and southwest Iceland ii improved EEW capability and operation iii the outcomes of testing of different OEF models including ones which combine geodetic and seismic information and iv other processing implementations

Report on the user-centric dynamic risk framework for Switzerland application

This report describes the status and outlook of the usercentric dynamic risk framework for Switzerland application

Mid-term report, including impact assessment and updated risk register

Minutes of Meeting of the RISE management board conducted (month 12)

Minutes will include Names of participants Agenda items coveredMeeting minutes will give an accurate record exists of what transpired during the meeting

Update PEDR (month 30)

Final Document report excluding the periodic and final reports last update to dissemination plan dissemination activity timing dissemination management dissemination tools and exploitation plan

Good practice recommendations report

At the end of the project we will produce a summary report suitable for nonspecialists outlining lessons to be learned from RISE WP5

Report on the test metrics of non-linear ground-motion models and high-resolution exposure/risk models

This report describes the test metrics of nonlinear groundmotion models and highresolution exposurerisk models

External Newsletter released (month 24)

Release of the first external newsletter describing RISE and the progress achieved by the midterm

External Newsletter released (month 6)

Release of the first external newsletter describing RISE

The use of structural health monitoring for rapid loss assessment

This report will describe the use of structural health monitoring for rapid loss assessment

An open, dynamic, high-resolution dynamic exposure model for Europe

RISE will develop a multilevel exposure model for Europe starting from classical aggregated building classifications to highresolution information about every building where availability of open data permits The exposure data will be delivered as data service to allow for continuous updates as the opendata sources change with time more than 100 000 buildings added globally per day The exposure model will provide the key data about buildings building class number of people inside by time of day and replacement value in a probabilistic way taking into account the estimation uncertainties

External Newsletter released (month 42)

Release of the first external newsletter describing RISE achievements

Testing center software codes for high-density testing of non-linear ground-motion models and high-resolution exposure/risk models

CSEP will expanded within RISE to cover testing of ground-motion models against observation data from high-density sensor networks. In particular, the non-linear aspect requires codes handling observations at the building level, leading to testing exposure and risk models on this very building level. The codes will be disseminated (see D7.1 and D7.7)

Functional next generation sensors and hyper-dense networks and sensor

The dense deployment of small seismic sensors will deliver real-time data of seismic signals. In cooperation with project partners we will deploy seismic networks in regions of interest, and monitor in- and outdoor locations. These networks will deliver the data foundation for calculation of shaking intensities and seismic site responses of the underground and buildings. These empirical information will be integrated into the high-resolution exposure models and seismic vulnerability studies.

Distribute new CSEP2.0 software code

The software development for CSEP2.0 will be coordinated between GFZ and USC and further contributing institutions. RISE will provide a repository of CSEP2.0 software codes for free use (open source).

Distribute ground-motion testing software codes

The codes developed for D7.4 will be disseminated via the CSEP code repository, see D7.1.

Field ready internal next generation sensors

A new generation of affordable, connected seismic sensors will be developed within the RISE project. The delivered IoT devices will be field-ready for self-sufficient outdoor and indoor deployment, and bring easy installation to many different working environments.

Publikacje

Improved earthquake aftershocks forecasting model based on long-term memory

Autorzy: Yongwen Zhang, Dong Zhou, Jingfang Fan, Warner Marzocchi, Yosef Ashkenazy, Shlomo Havlin
Opublikowane w: New Journal of Physics, Numer 23/4, 2021, Strona(/y) 042001, ISSN 1367-2630
Wydawca: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1367-2630/abeb46

Communicating actionable and understandable event-related information on multi-hazard platforms

Autorzy: Irina Dallo; Michael Stauffacher; Michèle Marti
Opublikowane w: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2022, ISSN 2212-4209
Wydawca: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.102917

Model of seismic design lateral force levels for the existing reinforced concrete European building stock

Autorzy: Helen Crowley, Venetia Despotaki, Vitor Silva, Jamal Dabbeek, Xavier Romão, Nuno Pereira, José Miguel Castro, James Daniell, Enes Veliu, Huseyin Bilgin, Christoph Adam, Manya Deyanova, Naida Ademović, Josip Atalic, Evi Riga, Anna Karatzetzou, Bjarni Bessason, Veronika Shendova, Alexandru Tiganescu, Dragos Toma-Danila, Zeljko Zugic, Sinan Akkar & Ufuk Hancilar
Opublikowane w: Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, Numer 19, 2021, ISSN 1573-1456
Wydawca: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s10518-021-01083-3

Introduction to phase transmission fibre-optic sensing of seismic waves

Autorzy: Fichtner, Andreas; Bogris, Adonis; Nikas, Thomas; Bowden, Daniel; Lentas, Konstantinos; Melis, Nikolaos S.; Simos, Christos; Simos, Iraklis; Smolinski, Krystyna
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Journal International, Numer 13, 2022, ISSN 0956-540X
Wydawca: Geological Society by Blackwell Scientific
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2202.13574

Pseudoprospective Evaluation of UCERF3-ETAS Forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest Sequence

Autorzy: William H. Savran, Maximilian J. Werner, Warner Marzocchi, David A. Rhoades, David D. Jackson, Kevin Milner, Edward Field, Andrew Michael
Opublikowane w: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Numer 110/4, 2020, Strona(/y) 1799-1817, ISSN 0037-1106
Wydawca: Seismological Society of America
DOI: 10.1785/0120200026

The Unlocking Process Leading to the 2016 Central Italy Seismic Sequence

Autorzy: M. Sugan1 , S. Campanella1, L. Chiaraluce1,2 , M. Michele2 , and A. Vuan1,
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 2, 2023, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2022GL101838

"Inconsistencies and Lurking Pitfalls in the Magnitude–Frequency Distribution of High-Resolution Earthquake Catalogs"

Autorzy: Herrmann, Marcus; Marzocchi, Warner
Opublikowane w: Seismological Research Letters, Numer 1, 2020, ISSN 0895-0695
Wydawca: Seismological Society of America
DOI: 10.1785/0220200337

Cascading failures in isotropic and anisotropic spatial networks induced by localized attacks and overloads

Autorzy: Ignacio A Perez; Dana Vaknin Ben Porath; Cristian E La Rocca; Sergey V Buldyrev; Lidia A Braunstein; Shlomo Havlin
Opublikowane w: New Journal of Physics, Numer 4, 2022, ISSN 1757-899X
Wydawca: iop publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1367-2630/ac652e

Maximizing the forecasting skill of an ensemble model

Autorzy: Warner Marzocchi; Marcus Herrmann
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Journal International, Numer 13, 2023, ISSN 0956-540X
Wydawca: Geological Society by Blackwell Scientific
DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggad020

New physical implications from revisiting foreshock activity in southern California

Autorzy: Ester Manganiello; Warner Marzocchi; Marcus Herrmann
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 6, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10509908.2

Seismicity and 3-D body-wave velocity models across the Hengill geothermal area, SW Iceland

Autorzy: Obermann, Anne; Wu, Sin-Mei; Ágústsdóttir, Thorbjörg; Duran, Alejandro; Diehl, Tobias; Sánchez Sánchez-Pastor, Maria Del Pilar; Kristjansdóttir, Sigridur; Hjörleifsdóttir, Vala; Wiemer, Stefan; Hersir, Gylfi Páll
Opublikowane w: Frontiers in Earth Science, 10, Numer 4, 2022, ISSN 2296-6463
Wydawca: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/feart.2022.969836

Inhomogeneity of Macroseismic Intensities in Italy and Consequences for Macroseismic Magnitude Estimation

Autorzy: Gianfranco Vannucci; Barbara Lolli; Paolo Gasperini; Paolo Gasperini
Opublikowane w: Seismological Research Letters, Numer 4, 2021, ISSN 0895-0695
Wydawca: Seismological Society of America
DOI: 10.1785/0220200273

Probabilistic Forecasting of Hydraulic Fracturing-Induced Seismicity Using an Injection-Rate Driven ETAS Model

Autorzy: Simone Mancini, Maximilian Jonas Werner, Margarita Segou, Brian Baptie
Opublikowane w: Seismological Research Letters, 2021, ISSN 0895-0695
Wydawca: Seismological Society of America
DOI: 10.1785/0220200454

"""Shaking in 5 seconds!"" A Voluntary Smartphone-based Earthquake Early Warning System"

Autorzy: Rémy Bossu; Francesco Finazzi; Robert Steed; Laure Fallou; István Bondár
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 4, 2022, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2102.06739

Utilization of Crowdsourced Felt Reports to Distinguish High-Impact from Low-Impact Earthquakes Globally within Minutes of an Event

Autorzy: Henning Lilienkamp*1,2 , Rémy Bossu3,4 , Fabrice Cotton1,2 , Francesco Finazzi5 , Matthieu Landès3 , Graeme Weatherill2 , and Sebastian von Specht6
Opublikowane w: The Seismic Record, Numer 13, 2023, ISSN 2694-4006
Wydawca: Seismological Society of America
DOI: 10.1785/0320220039.

Comparing Short-Term Seismic and COVID-19 Fatality Risks in Italy

Autorzy: Eugenio Chioccarelli, Iunio Iervolino
Opublikowane w: Seismological Research Letters, Numer 92/4, 2021, Strona(/y) 2382-2388, ISSN 0895-0695
Wydawca: Seismological Society of America
DOI: 10.1785/0220200368

Asymmetry in Earthquake Interevent Time Intervals

Autorzy: Yongwen Zhang, Yosef Ashkenazy, Shlomo Havlin
Opublikowane w: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Numer 126/9, 2021, ISSN 2169-9313
Wydawca: JGR Solid Earth
DOI: 10.1029/2021jb022454

Spatiotemporal seismic hazard and risk assessment of M9.0 megathrust earthquake sequences of wood‐frame houses in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada

Autorzy: Lizhong Zhang, Katsuichiro Goda, Maximilian J. Werner, Solomon Tesfamariam
Opublikowane w: Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics, Numer 50/1, 2021, Strona(/y) 6-25, ISSN 0098-8847
Wydawca: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/eqe.3286

How well does Poissonian probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) approximate the simulated hazard of epidemic-type earthquake sequences?

Autorzy: Wang, Shaoqing; Werner, Maximilian J.; Yu, Ruifang
Opublikowane w: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Numer 4, 2022, ISSN 0037-1106
Wydawca: Seismological Society of America
DOI: 10.1785/0120210022

Near Real-Time Earthquake Line-Source Models Derived from Felt Reports

Autorzy: Bose Maren; Julien-Laferrière Sylvain; Bossu Rémy; Massin Frédérik
Opublikowane w: Seismological Research Letters, Numer 4, 2021, ISSN 0895-0695
Wydawca: Seismological Society of America
DOI: 10.1785/0220200244

Comment on “High-Definition Mapping of the Gutenberg–Richter <i>b</i>-Value and Its Relevance: A Case Study in Italy” by M. Taroni, J. Zhuang, and W. Marzocchi

Autorzy: Gulia, Laura; Wiemer, Stefan; Gasperini, Paolo
Opublikowane w: Seismological Research Letters, Numer 13, 2022, ISSN 0895-0695
Wydawca: Seismological Society of America
DOI: 10.1785/0220210159

Pseudoprospective Evaluation of the Foreshock Traffic-Light System in Ridgecrest and Implications for Aftershock Hazard Assessment

Autorzy: Laura Gulia, Stefan Wiemer, Gianfranco Vannucci
Opublikowane w: Seismological Research Letters, Numer 91/5, 2020, Strona(/y) 2828-2842, ISSN 0895-0695
Wydawca: Seismological Society of America
DOI: 10.1785/0220190307

Transient evolution of the relative size distribution of earthquakes as a risk indicator for induced seismicity

Autorzy: Ritz, Vanille; id_orcid0000-0002-8773-7608; Rinaldi, Antonio Pio; id_orcid0000-0001-7052-8618; Wiemer, Stefan; id_orcid0000-0002-4919-3283
Opublikowane w: Communications Earth & Environment, 2022, ISSN 1548-7091
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00581-9

Fighting misinformation in seismology: Expert opinion on earthquake facts vs. fiction

Autorzy: Dryhurst, Sarah; Mulder, Femke; Dallo, Irina; Kerr, John R.; McBride, Sara K.; Fallou, Laure; Becker, Julia S.
Opublikowane w: Front. Earth Sci, 2022, ISSN 2296-6463
Wydawca: Lausanne: Frontiers Media S.A.
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000590140

Embracing Data Incompleteness for Better Earthquake Forecasting

Autorzy: Stefan Wiemer; Shyam Nandan; Leila Mizrahi
Opublikowane w: Embracing Data Incompleteness for Better Earthquake1Forecasting, Numer 1, 2021, ISSN 2156-2202
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10507003.1

Sensing Iceland’s Most Active Volcano with a “Buried Hair”

Autorzy: Sara Klaasen; S�lvi Thrastarson; Andreas Fichtner; Yeşim �ubuk-Sabuncu; Krist�n J�nsd�ttir
Opublikowane w: EOS, 103, Numer 3, 2022, ISSN 2576-604X
Wydawca: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2022eo220007

Evaluation of macroseismic intensity, strong ground motion pattern and fault model of the 19 July 2019 Mw5.1 earthquake west of Athens

Autorzy: V. Kouskouna, A. Ganas, M. Kleanthi, I. Kassaras, N. Sakellariou, G. Sakkas, S. Valkaniotis, E. Manousou, G. Bozionelos, V. Tsironi, I. Karamitros, N. Tavoularis, Ch. Papaioannou, R. Bossu
Opublikowane w: Journal of Seismology, Numer 25/3, 2021, Strona(/y) 747-769, ISSN 1383-4649
Wydawca: Kluwer Academic Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10950-021-09990-3

Loss-Based Performance Assessment and Seismic Network Optimization for Earthquake Early Warning

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Using regional earthquake risk models as priors to dynamically assess the impact on residential buildings after an event

Autorzy: Bodenmann, Lukas; id_orcid0000-0002-7742-3306; Reuland, Yves; id_orcid0000-0001-9729-4671; Stojadinovic, Bozidar; id_orcid0000-0002-1713-1977
Opublikowane w: Published papers of 1st Croatian Conference on Earthquake Engineering, 1CroCEE, Zagreb, Croatia, March 22nd to 24nd, 2021, 2021
Wydawca: 1st Croatian Conference on Earthquake Engineering
DOI: 10.5592/co/1crocee.2021.71

Verification of the European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20)

Autorzy: Crowley, H.; Silva, V.; Kalakonas, P.; Martins, L.; Weatherill, G.; Pitilakis, K.; Riga, E.; Borzi, B.; Faravelli, M.
Opublikowane w: 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Numer 4, 2020, ISBN 1-932884-08-4
Wydawca: [Vancouver, B.C.] : [WCEE Secretariat]
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4045883

A Real-Time System for Detecting Landslide Reports on Social Media Using Artificial Intelligence

Autorzy: Ferda Ofli1(B) , Umair Qazi1 , Muhammad Imran1 , Julien Roch2, Catherine Pennington3 , Vanessa Banks3 , and Remy Bossu2,4
Opublikowane w: International Conference on Web Engineering, Numer 4, 2022
Wydawca: 22nd International Conference on Web Engineering
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-09917-5_4

Data-driven model updating for seismic assessment of existing buildings

Autorzy: Martakis, Panagiotis; Reuland, Yves; id_orcid0000-0001-9729-4671; Chatzi, Eleni; id_orcid0000-0002-6870-240X
Opublikowane w: Proceedings of the International Conference on Structural Health Monitoring of Intelligent Infrastructure, 2021
Wydawca: 10th International Conference on Structural Health Monitoring of Intelligent Infrastructure
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.5542284

Amplitude Dependency Effects in the Structural Identification of Historic Masonry Buildings

Autorzy: Panagiotis Martakis; Yves Reuland; Eleni Chatzi
Opublikowane w: Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, 200, Numer 5, 2021
Wydawca: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000520763

Understanding the communication of event-related earthquake information in a multi-hazard context to improve society's resilience

Autorzy: Dallo, Irina Aglaia
Opublikowane w: Numer 8, 2022
Wydawca: ETH
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000535657

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