Skip to main content
European Commission logo
polski polski
CORDIS - Wyniki badań wspieranych przez UE
CORDIS
CORDIS Web 30th anniversary CORDIS Web 30th anniversary

Forecast of time-varying effects of post-GFC monetary policy + a novel computing application

Cel

Central banks worldwide routinely use models in assessing and forecasting the global and domestic economic outlook in order to determine the most suitable monetary policies. Economies evolve over time and policies that worked in the 1980s might not be viable at the present time, thus models must be flexible to account for these changes. Undoubtedly, it is difficult to identify the exact point in time when a change in macroeconomic behaviour occurs, particularly a change that will trigger a reactive monetary policy to neutralise its negative effects. The current project proposes a new methodology, which due to its local nature can react faster to changes in the process than other existing methodologies. This project aims at breaking new ground in several respects. First, by proposing for the first time a nonparametric local linear estimator of multivariate processes with possible smooth or abrupt changes in the parameters. Second, by developing a user-friendly computational package with the aforementioned functionality. Finally, by investigating the effect for G7 and Eurozone economies of the monetary policies driven by the global financial crisis.

System finansowania

MSCA-IF-EF-ST - Standard EF

Koordynator

BCAM - BASQUE CENTER FOR APPLIED MATHEMATICS
Wkład UE netto
€ 158 121,60
Adres
AL MAZARREDO 14
48009 Bilbao
Hiszpania

Zobacz na mapie

Region
Noreste País Vasco Bizkaia
Rodzaj działalności
Research Organisations
Linki
Koszt całkowity
€ 158 121,60