PRocess-based climate sIMulation: AdVances in high resolution modelling and European climate Risk Assessment

Rezultaty

Model configurations for Stream 1 integrations

Report on model configurations for Stream 1 integrations agreed by all partners and published on project website

Assessment of processes benefitting from increased resolution

Assessment of the impact of large-scale drivers (from WP5) on processes that benefit from increased resolution across the multi-model ensemble, and their sensitivity to climate change based on the WP6 Stream 1 simulations

Statistics and representation of events in CMIP5, CORDEX and first PRIMAVERA output.

Report on statistics and representation of relevant extreme and compound events in CMIP5, CORDEX and from first PRIMAVERA output

Document impact of sea ice and snow changes

Report documenting the impact of sea ice and snow changes on European climate of the most recent period and its sensitivity to resolution and physics choices

Comparison case study for Government

Comparison case study for Government of forms of climate information available from PRIMAVERA and from other sources

Data Management Plan

Produce the data management plan document and post on the project website

Conclusions on minimum requirement for resolution

Conclusions on the minimum requirements in terms of model resolution for a reliable representation of the North Atlantic, Arctic and Pacific climates, the tropical cyclones and their impact on the European climate and on their projected changes in future based on Stream 2 simulations from WP6

Report on end-user requirements

Report for WP leaders documenting end-user requirements for climate information and preferred delivery and visualisation methods

Document detailing where PRIMAVERA outcomes have been presented to end-users

Document on public web site detailing all meetings and workshops where PRIMAVERA outcomes have been presented and which key end-users were present (M48)

Publication of PRIMAVERA Stream 1 data set

Publication of PRIMAVERA data set for Stream 1 through data DOIs and data description publication

Review of DMP and lessons learnt for future projects

Review of outcomes of the DMP and document lessons for future EU and international big data projects

Quantification of aerosol-radiation-cloud interactions.

Quantification of robustness of aerosol-radiation-cloud interactions across models and resolutions

Description of use cases identified

Report describing the use cases, identified by policymakers and end-user needs for information on future extremes and compound events

Assessment of benefits of increased ocean resolution

Assessment of the benefits of increased resolution on the North Atlantic ocean dynamics and processes and the Arctic sea ice conditions and their robustness across the pre-PRIMAVERA multi-model ensemble listed in milestone MS1

Document protocol for forced and coupled sensitivity experiments

Report documenting the selected protocol for both forced and coupled sensitivity experiments in tasks 5.1 and 5.2

Physics of extreme and compound events from PRIMAVERA output.

Report on physics of extreme and compound events from PRIMAVERA output

Quantify impact of resolution on European climate change

Quantify and further consolidate the impact of resolution on future European climate change (including changes in extreme and compound events in cooperation with WP2,10) obtained from all three approaches, and develop a novel measure of European modelling uncertainty by comparing the spread in climate projections from the ensemble of core integrations with that obtained from the multi-model runs performed here

Document impacts of AMV and IPV

Report documenting the impacts of AMV and IPV, and changes in direct radiative forcing, on the European climate of the most recent period and sensitivity to resolution and physics choices

Scientific input for risk assessment

Report with scientific input for risk assessments for policymaker and each end-user

Exploitation of project data by the climate research community

An important action for the PRIMAVERA project is to ensure the climate research community has access to project data for use in research in their areas of specialism. This Deliverable builds on the Data Policies devised for the Stream 1 and Stream 2 datasets and describes a management framework under which data can be disseminated, climate researchers can engage to access data, and policies with respect to intellectual property rights of the data are in place. The success of PRIMAVERA depends on broader engagement with the extra-EU research community – many groups, with foci and expertise complementary to that in PRIMAVERA, would like to analyse PRIMAVERA data. A robust set of guidelines will be developed for how outsiders can collaborate substantively with PRIMAVERA beyond simply downloading the HighResMIP data from the ESGF. The guidelines will indicate points of contact, potential collaboration opportunities, and rules of engagement, including protection of intellectual property rights. The PRIMAVERA data use and engagement guidelines should remain valid beyond the end date of the project to ensure the outcomes endure.

Evaluation report of project outcomes by end-users

Evaluation report of project outcomes by end-users: A user-driven evaluation to summarise a) the user needs for 2050 climate projections, their mode of delivery and their communication within the identified sectors, b) how PRIMAVERA 2050 projections advance CMIP5 2050 projections to answer the user needs and c) how the project outcomes strengthen the competitiveness and growth of companies/organisations and policy. The annex of the report will also contain the minutes of meetings that have been conducted.

Quantification of benefits of increased atmosphere resolution

Quantification of the benefits of increased resolution in the atmosphere only versus in the coupled system as well as their robustness across the WP6 Stream 1 simulations for processes which impact European weatherand climate such as atmospheric blocking oceanseaiceatmosphere interactions in the Arctic region and for tropical cyclones and their extratropical transition

Documenting scenarios for 2015-34 European climate

Report documenting scenarios for European climate in 2015-34, taking into account the potential impacts of oceanic modes, regional phenomena, direct radiative effects due to anthropogenic forcing and the sensitivity of responses to resolution and physics choices.

Report on strategy for integrating metrics software

Report for distribution to WP leaders on strategy for integrating metrics software into different partner institutions

Final summary and synthesis of results

Final Summary Report: This report will synthesise the results, and will quantify and assess the robustness of climate variability and change over Europe to the representation of small scales. This will combine the approaches used in WP2, 3, 4, 5, the metrics from WP1 and model integrations from WP4 and 6, to assess the consequent climate risks to sectors represented in WP10, 11.

Quantification of land-atmosphere coupling strength response

Quantification and attribution of land-atmosphere coupling strength response to atmospheric resolution, forcing (including the temporal distribution of precipitation), land surface physics and robustness across multi-model resolution ensemble

PRIMAVERA Review paper

PRIMAVERA review paper describing the key findings of the project, the role of resolution, physics and sub-grid variability, to inform scientific community via HighResMIP and governments via IPCC AR6 process

First examples of common process-based metrics application

First examples of the application of common process-based metrics to existing climate experiments with a focus on European climate variability and change

Assessment of improved representation of atmospheric processes

Assessment of an improved representation of atmospheric microphysical processes at km-scales, thereby permitting a direct representation of lightning, and the impacts on European climate via cloud-aerosol- microphysics-precipitation interactions. Implications for climate risk due to changes in electrical storms in present day and future climate

End-user Dissemination and Communication plan

Initial plan for communication and dissemination with various user audiences.

Quantification of effect of improved sea ice processes

Quantification of the effect of improved sea ice processes on representing Arctic sea ice and the impact on European climate and robustness across multi-model resolution ensemble

Progress summary following review of WPs

Progress Summary Report: Following the Scientific Coordinators review of work package progress at M24, and the Intra-Project Workshop that will be held, they will produce a report detailing the progress of PRIMAVERA so far and the approach that will be taken for Stream2 of the project.

Assessment of representation of convection influences

Assess the representation of convection influences on the diurnal cycle phase and its impacts on land-surface–atmosphere fluxes, with potential implications for climate change impacts over Southern Europe. Use standard models with parameterised atmospheric convection, stochastic physics models and models with ~5km atmosphere resolution

Quantification of benefits of enhanced upper ocean mixing processes

Quantification of the effect of improved sea ice processes on representing Arctic sea ice and the impact on European climate and robustness across multi-model resolution ensemble

Quantification of the relative cost/performance of different approaches to going beyond simple parameterisation

Quantify the relative cost/performance of the different approaches to going beyond simple parameterisation (making use of the simulated historical period and comparing with observations), the relative strengths and weaknesses of each approach, the consequences for representing particular climate extremes, their impacts on climate risks and sectors considered in WP10,11

Quantification based on WP2 findings and initial sensitivity experiments in WP3

Based on WP2 findings and initial sensitivity experiments performed in WP3, quantification of the relative merits of increased resolution and model developments on the North Atlantic, Arctic, Pacific and tropical climates and their robustness across the PRIMAVERA models to provide recommendations to WP6 for the Stream 2 design

Policy briefings for government target audience

Policy briefings for governments, detailing the significance of PRIMAVERA results

PRIMAVERA User Interface Platform
Sector specific case studies and climate projection factsheets

Communication material: Online delivery of sector specific case studies and climate projection factsheets, via the UIP to a wide end-user cross-sectoral audience

Strategy and metrics for PRIMAVERA and CMIP6 experiments analysis

Strategy and package of metrics, in project repository coded using freely available software, for the analysis of the PRIMAVERA and CMIP6 experiments, with a focus on European climate variability and change

Datasets from all model integrations: fully documented with appropriate meta-data

Datasets from all model integrations, fully documented with appropriate meta-data, available in standard data format, together with methods for accessing from the central JASMIN platform to comply with Open Data Access requirements and for HighResMIP contribution (suitably subsetted or regridded as necessary)

Stream 2 historical AMIP runs

Historical AMIP runs completed at high and low resolution

Stream 1 future AMIP runs

Future AMIP runs completed at high and low resolution

Stream 2 future AMIP runs

Future AMIP runs completed at high and low resolution.

Tools for data conversion to CMOR format

Tools for data conversion to CMOR format and validation procedures for model datasets

Stream 1 control and historic coupled runs

Coupled runs, both control and historic, completed at both high and low resolution

Tools for assessment of climate experiments

Tools for the processbased assessment of the PRIMAVERA climate experiments

PRIMAVERA Public website

Publicfaccing website for PRIMAVERA as part of project communications

Stream 1 historical AMIP runs

Future AMIP runs completed at high and low resolution

Stream 2 control and historic coupled runs

Coupled runs, both control and historic, completed at both high and low resolution

Initial training for JASMIN users

Deliver initial training for users of the JASMIN platform to include onsite training course and webbased documentation the latter to also support Open Data Access

Energy sector visual prototype

Answering user needs with a visual prototype: Online delivery of a sector-specific prototype, via the UIP to a wide end-user audience

Publication of PRIMAVERA Stream 2 data set

Publication of PRIMAVERA data set for Stream 2 through data DOIs and data description publication

Publikacje

Signal and noise in regime systems: A hypothesis on the predictability of the North Atlantic Oscillation

Autorzy: Kristian Strommen, Tim N. Palmer
Opublikowane w: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Numer 145/718, 2019, Strona(/y) 147-163, ISSN 0035-9009
Wydawca: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3414

Deep water formation in the North Atlantic Ocean in high resolution global coupled climate models

Autorzy: Koenigk, T., Fuentes-Franco, R., Meccia, V., Gutjahr, O., Jackson, L. C., New, A. L., Ortega, P., Roberts, C., Roberts, M., Arsouze, T., Iovino, D., Moine, M.-P., and Sein, D. V.
Opublikowane w: Ocean Science discussions, 2020, ISSN 1866-3516
Wydawca: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/os-2020-41

Statistical predictability of the Arctic sea ice volume anomaly: identifying predictors and optimal sampling locations

Autorzy: Leandro Ponsoni, François Massonnet, David Docquier, Guillian Van Achter, Thierry Fichefet
Opublikowane w: The Cryosphere, Numer 14/7, 2020, Strona(/y) 2409-2428, ISSN 1994-0424
Wydawca: CERN
DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-2409-2020

Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP

Autorzy: Axel Lauer, Veronika Eyring, Omar Bellprat, Lisa Bock, Bettina K. Gier, Alasdair Hunter, Ruth Lorenz, Núria Pérez-Zanón, Mattia Righi, Manuel Schlund, Daniel Senftleben, Katja Weigel, Sabrina Zechlau
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Numer 13/9, 2020, Strona(/y) 4205-4228, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020

The Impact of a Stochastic Parameterization Scheme on Climate Sensitivity in EC‐Earth

Autorzy: K. Strommen, P. A. G. Watson, T. N. Palmer
Opublikowane w: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Numer 124/23, 2019, Strona(/y) 12726-12740, ISSN 2169-897X
Wydawca: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2019jd030732

Simulations for CMIP6 With the AWI Climate Model AWI‐CM‐1‐1

Autorzy: Tido Semmler, Sergey Danilov, Paul Gierz, Helge F. Goessling, Jan Hegewald, Claudia Hinrichs, Nikolay Koldunov, Narges Khosravi, Longjiang Mu, Thomas Rackow, Dmitry V. Sein, Dmitry Sidorenko, Qiang Wang, Thomas Jung
Opublikowane w: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numer 12/9, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms002009

Untangling causality in midlatitude aerosol–cloud adjustments

Autorzy: Daniel T. McCoy, Paul Field, Hamish Gordon, Gregory S. Elsaesser, Daniel P. Grosvenor
Opublikowane w: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numer 20/7, 2020, Strona(/y) 4085-4103, ISSN 1680-7324
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-4085-2020

Stochastic Parameterizations and the Climate Response to External Forcing: An Experiment With EC‐Earth

Autorzy: Virna L. Meccia, Federico Fabiano, Paolo Davini, Susanna Corti
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 47/3, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl085951

Impact of climate model resolution on soil moisture projections in central-western Europe

Autorzy: Eveline C. van der Linden, Reindert J. Haarsma, Gerard van der Schrier
Opublikowane w: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Numer 23/1, 2019, Strona(/y) 191-206, ISSN 1607-7938
Wydawca: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/hess-23-191-2019

Impact of the ice thickness distribution discretization on the sea ice concentration variability in the NEMO3.6-LIM3 global ocean–sea ice model

Autorzy: Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro, Pablo Ortega, and François Massonnet
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development discussion, 2019, ISSN 1866-3516
Wydawca: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2019-325

HighResMIP versions of EC-Earth: EC-Earth3P and EC-Earth3P-HR – description, model computational performance and basic validation

Autorzy: Rein Haarsma, Mario Acosta, Rena Bakhshi, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, Louis-Philippe Caron, Miguel Castrillo, Susanna Corti, Paolo Davini, Eleftheria Exarchou, Federico Fabiano, Uwe Fladrich, Ramon Fuentes Franco, Javier García-Serrano, Jost von Hardenberg, Torben Koenigk, Xavier Levine, Virna Loana Meccia, Twan van Noije, Gijs van den Oord, Froila M. Palmeiro, Mario Rodrigo, Yohan Ruprich-Rober
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Numer 13/8, 2020, Strona(/y) 3507-3527, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-3507-2020

On the impact of atmospheric vs oceanic resolutions on the representation of the sea surface temperature in the South Eastern Tropical Atlantic

Autorzy: Alba de la Vara, William Cabos, Dmitry V. Sein, Dmitry Sidorenko, Nikolay V. Koldunov, Shunya Koseki, Pedro M. M. Soares, Sergey Danilov
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, Numer 54/11-12, 2020, Strona(/y) 4733-4757, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05256-9

Climate SPHINX: evaluating the impact of resolution and stochastic physics parameterisations in the EC-Earth global climate model

Autorzy: Paolo Davini, Jost von Hardenberg, Susanna Corti, Hannah M. Christensen, Stephan Juricke, Aneesh Subramanian, Peter A. G. Watson, Antje Weisheimer, Tim N. Palmer
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Numer 10/3, 2017, Strona(/y) 1383-1402, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-1383-2017

The contribution of North Atlantic atmospheric circulation shifts to future wind speed projections for wind power over Europe

Autorzy: Paula L. M. Gonzalez, David J. Brayshaw, Giuseppe Zappa
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, Numer 53/7-8, 2019, Strona(/y) 4095-4113, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04776-3

Sensitivity of the Arctic freshwater content and transport to model resolution

Autorzy: Ramón Fuentes-Franco, Torben Koenigk
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, Numer 53/3-4, 2019, Strona(/y) 1765-1781, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04735-y

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in High‐Resolution Models

Autorzy: Joël J.‐M. Hirschi, Bernard Barnier, Claus Böning, Arne Biastoch, Adam T. Blaker, Andrew Coward, Sergey Danilov, Sybren Drijfhout, Klaus Getzlaff, Stephen M. Griffies, Hiroyasu Hasumi, Helene Hewitt, Doroteaciro Iovino, Takao Kawasaki, Andrew E. Kiss, Nikolay Koldunov, Alice Marzocchi, Jennifer V. Mecking, Ben Moat, Jean‐Marc Molines, Paul G. Myers, Thierry Penduff, Malcolm Roberts, Anne‐M
Opublikowane w: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Numer 125/4, 2020, ISSN 2169-9275
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019JC015522

Sea Ice—Ocean Interactions in the Barents Sea Modeled at Different Resolutions

Autorzy: David Docquier, Ramón Fuentes-Franco, Torben Koenigk, Thierry Fichefet
Opublikowane w: Frontiers in Earth Science, Numer 8, 2020, ISSN 2296-6463
Wydawca: CERN
DOI: 10.3389/feart.2020.00172

The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification

Autorzy: Doug M. Smith; James A. Screen; Clara Deser; Judah Cohen; John C. Fyfe; Javier García-Serrano; Thomas Jung; Vladimir Kattsov; Daniela Matei; Rym Msadek; Yannick Peings; Michael Sigmond; Jinro Ukita; Jin-Ho Yoon; Xiangdong Zhang
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol 12, Pp 1139-1164 (2019), Numer 5, 2018, ISSN 1866-3516
Wydawca: Copernicus Pubications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2018-82

Impact of ocean resolution and mean state on the rate of AMOC weakening

Autorzy: L. C. Jackson, M. J. Roberts, H. T. Hewitt, D. Iovino, T. Koenigk, V. L. Meccia, C. D. Roberts, Y. Ruprich-Robert, R. A. Wood
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, Numer 55/7-8, 2020, Strona(/y) 1711-1732, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05345-9

The Relative Influence of Atmospheric and Oceanic Model Resolution on the Circulation of the North Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled Climate Model

Autorzy: Dmitry V. Sein, Nikolay V. Koldunov, Sergey Danilov, Dmitry Sidorenko, Claudia Wekerle, William Cabos, Thomas Rackow, Patrick Scholz, Tido Semmler, Qiang Wang, Thomas Jung
Opublikowane w: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numer 10/8, 2018, Strona(/y) 2026-2041, ISSN 1942-2466
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001327

Replicability of the EC-Earth3 Earth system model under a change in computing environment

Autorzy: François Massonnet, Martin Ménégoz, Mario Acosta, Xavier Yepes-Arbós, Eleftheria Exarchou, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Numer 13/3, 2020, Strona(/y) 1165-1178, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-1165-2020

Impact of Model Resolution on Tropical Cyclone Simulation Using the HighResMIP–PRIMAVERA Multimodel Ensemble

Autorzy: Malcolm John Roberts, Joanne Camp, Jon Seddon, Pier Luigi Vidale, Kevin Hodges, Benoit Vanniere, Jenny Mecking, Rein Haarsma, Alessio Bellucci, Enrico Scoccimarro, Louis-Philippe Caron, Fabrice Chauvin, Laurent Terray, Sophie Valcke, Marie-Pierre Moine, Dian Putrasahan, Christopher Roberts, Retish Senan, Colin Zarzycki, Paul Ullrich
Opublikowane w: Journal of Climate, Numer 33/7, 2020, Strona(/y) 2557-2583, ISSN 0894-8755
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0639.1

Past long-term summer warming over western Europe in new generation climate models: role of large-scale atmospheric circulation

Autorzy: Julien Boé, Laurent Terray, Marie-Pierre Moine, Sophie Valcke, Alessio Bellucci, Sybren Drijfhout, Rein Haarsma, Katja Lohmann, Dian A. Putrasahan, Chris Roberts, Malcom Roberts, Enrico Scoccimarro, Jon Seddon, Retish Senan, Klaus Wyser
Opublikowane w: Environmental Research Letters, Numer 15/8, 2020, Strona(/y) 084038, ISSN 1748-9326
Wydawca: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab8a89

Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – technical overview

Autorzy: Mattia Righi, Bouwe Andela, Veronika Eyring, Axel Lauer, Valeriu Predoi, Manuel Schlund, Javier Vegas-Regidor, Lisa Bock, Björn Brötz, Lee de Mora, Faruk Diblen, Laura Dreyer, Niels Drost, Paul Earnshaw, Birgit Hassler, Nikolay Koldunov, Bill Little, Saskia Loosveldt Tomas, Klaus Zimmermann
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Numer 13/3, 2020, Strona(/y) 1179-1199, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-1179-2020

Link Between Autumnal Arctic Sea Ice and Northern Hemisphere Winter Forecast Skill

Autorzy: J. C. Acosta Navarro, P. Ortega, L. Batté, D. Smith, P. A. Bretonnière, V. Guemas, F. Massonnet, V. Sicardi, V. Torralba, E. Tourigny, F. J. Doblas‐Reyes
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 47/5, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086753

Sensitivity of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to Model Resolution in CMIP6 HighResMIP Simulations and Implications for Future Changes

Autorzy: Malcolm J. Roberts, Laura C. Jackson, Christopher D. Roberts, Virna Meccia, David Docquier, Torben Koenigk, Pablo Ortega, Eduardo Moreno‐Chamarro, Alessio Bellucci, Andrew Coward, Sybren Drijfhout, Eleftheria Exarchou, Oliver Gutjahr, Helene Hewitt, Doroteaciro Iovino, Katja Lohmann, Dian Putrasahan, Reinhard Schiemann, Jon Seddon, Laurent Terray, Xiaobiao Xu, Qiuying Zhang, Ping Chang, Stephen
Opublikowane w: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Numer 12/8, 2020, ISSN 1942-2466
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms002014

Increasing Atlantic Ocean Heat Transport in the Latest Generation Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models: The Role of Air-Sea Interaction

Autorzy: Jeremy P. Grist, Simon A. Josey, Adrian L. New, Malcolm Roberts, Torben Koenigk, Doroteaciro Iovino
Opublikowane w: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Numer 123/11, 2018, Strona(/y) 8624-8637, ISSN 2169-9275
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018jc014387

The climate change signal in the Mediterranean Sea in a regionally coupled atmosphere–ocean model

Autorzy: Ivan M. Parras-Berrocal, Ruben Vazquez, William Cabos, Dmitry Sein, Rafael Mañanes, Juan Perez-Sanz, Alfredo Izquierdo
Opublikowane w: Ocean Science, Numer 16/3, 2020, Strona(/y) 743-765, ISSN 1812-0792
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/os-16-743-2020

Northern Hemisphere blocking simulation in current climate models: evaluating progress from the Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 to 6 and sensitivity to resolution

Autorzy: Reinhard Schiemann, Panos Athanasiadis, David Barriopedro, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Katja Lohmann, Malcolm J. Roberts, Dmitry V. Sein, Christopher D. Roberts, Laurent Terray, Pier Luigi Vidale
Opublikowane w: Weather and Climate Dynamics, Numer 1/1, 2020, Strona(/y) 277-292, ISSN 2698-4016
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/wcd-1-277-2020

Arctic Sea Ice Decline Significantly Contributed to the Unprecedented Liquid Freshwater Accumulation in the Beaufort Gyre of the Arctic Ocean

Autorzy: Qiang Wang, Claudia Wekerle, Sergey Danilov, Nikolay Koldunov, Dmitry Sidorenko, Dmitry Sein, Benjamin Rabe, Thomas Jung
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 45/10, 2018, Strona(/y) 4956-4964, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl077901

Relationships between Arctic sea ice drift and strength modelled by NEMO-LIM3.6

Autorzy: David Docquier, François Massonnet, Antoine Barthélemy, Neil F. Tandon, Olivier Lecomte, Thierry Fichefet
Opublikowane w: The Cryosphere, Numer 11/6, 2017, Strona(/y) 2829-2846, ISSN 1994-0424
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union / Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/tc-11-2829-2017

Arctic sea-ice change tied to its mean state through thermodynamic processes

Autorzy: François Massonnet, Martin Vancoppenolle, Hugues Goosse, David Docquier, Thierry Fichefet, Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth
Opublikowane w: Nature Climate Change, 2018, ISSN 1758-678X
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0204-z

Record Low Northern Hemisphere Sea Ice Extent in March 2015

Autorzy: Neven S. Fučkar, François Massonnet, Virginie Guemas, Javier García-Serrano, Omar Bellprat, Mario Acosta, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
Opublikowane w: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Numer 97/12, 2016, Strona(/y) S136-S140, ISSN 0003-0007
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-16-0153.1

Aerosol midlatitude cyclone indirect effects in observations and high-resolution simulations

Autorzy: Daniel T. McCoy, Paul R. Field, Anja Schmidt, Daniel P. Grosvenor, Frida A.-M. Bender, Ben J. Shipway, Adrian A. Hill, Jonathan M. Wilkinson, Gregory S. Elsaesser
Opublikowane w: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numer 18/8, 2018, Strona(/y) 5821-5846, ISSN 1680-7324
Wydawca: EGU Journals
DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-5821-2018

Benefits of Increasing the Model Resolution for the Seasonal Forecast Quality in EC-Earth

Autorzy: C. Prodhomme, L. Batté, F. Massonnet, P. Davini, O. Bellprat, V. Guemas, F. J. Doblas-Reyes
Opublikowane w: Journal of Climate, Numer 29/24, 2016, Strona(/y) 9141-9162, ISSN 0894-8755
Wydawca: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-16-0117.1

High atmospheric horizontal resolution eliminates the wind-driven coastal warm bias in the southeastern tropical Atlantic

Autorzy: Sebastian Milinski, Jürgen Bader, Helmuth Haak, Angela Cheska Siongco, Johann H. Jungclaus
Opublikowane w: Geophysical Research Letters, Numer 43/19, 2016, Strona(/y) 10,455-10,462, ISSN 0094-8276
Wydawca: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070530

Predicting decadal trends in cloud droplet number concentration using reanalysis and satellite data

Autorzy: Daniel T. McCoy, Frida A.-M. Bender, Daniel P. Grosvenor, Johannes K. Mohrmann, Dennis L. Hartmann, Robert Wood, Paul R. Field
Opublikowane w: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Numer 18/3, 2018, Strona(/y) 2035-2047, ISSN 1680-7324
Wydawca: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-2035-2018

The Role of Arctic Sea Ice and Sea Surface Temperatures on the Cold 2015 February Over North America

Autorzy: Omar Bellprat, Javier García-Serrano, Neven S. Fučkar, François Massonnet, Virginie Guemas, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
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Characteristics and development of European cyclones with tropical origin in reanalysis data

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Resolution dependence of extreme precipitation and deep convection over the Gulf Stream

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Will high-resolution global ocean models benefit coupled predictions on short-range to climate timescales?

Autorzy: Helene T. Hewitt, Michael J. Bella, Eric P.Chassignet, Arnaud Czaja, David Ferreira, Stephen M. Griffies, Pat Hyder, Julie L. McClean, Adrian L.New, Malcolm J.Roberts
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The benefits of global high-resolution for climate simulation: process-understanding and the enabling of stakeholder decisions at the regional scale.

Autorzy: M. J. Roberts, P. L. Vidale, C. Senior, H.T. Hewitt, C. Bates, S. Berthou, P. Chang, H. M. Christensen, S. Danilov, M.-E. Demory, S. M. Griffies, R. Haarsma, T. Jung, G. Martin, S. Minobe, T. Ringler, M. Satoh, R. Schiemann, E. Scoccimarro, G. Stephens, M. F. Wehner
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Improved Winter European Atmospheric Blocking Frequencies in High-Resolution Global Climate Simulations

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Ocean Modeling on a Mesh With Resolution Following the Local Rossby Radius

Autorzy: Dmitry V. Sein, Nikolay V. Koldunov, Sergey Danilov, Qiang Wang, Dmitry Sidorenko, Irina Fast, Thomas Rackow, William Cabos, Thomas Jung
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Designing variable ocean model resolution based on the observed ocean variability

Autorzy: Dmitry V. Sein, Sergey Danilov, Arne Biastoch, Jonathan V. Durgadoo, Dmitry Sidorenko, Sven Harig, Qiang Wang
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High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP)

Autorzy: R. J. Haarsma, M. Roberts, P. L. Vidale, C. A. Senior, A. Bellucci, Q. Bao, P. Chang, S. Corti, N. S. Fučkar, V. Guemas, J. von Hardenberg, W. Hazeleger, C. Kodama, T. Koenigk, L. R. Leung, J. Lu, J.-J. Luo, J. Mao, M. S. Mizielinski, R. Mizuta, P. Nobre, M. Satoh, E. Scoccimarro, T. Semmler, J. Small, J.-S. von Storch
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Tropical Cyclone Interaction with the Ocean: The Role of High-Frequency (Subdaily) Coupled Processes

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Impact of ocean resolution on coupled air-sea fluxes and large-scale climate

Autorzy: Malcolm J. Roberts, Helene T. Hewitt, Pat Hyder, David Ferreira, Simon A. Josey, Matthew Mizielinski, Ann Shelly
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The Resolution Sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere Blocking in Four 25-km Atmospheric Global Circulation Models

Autorzy: Reinhard Schiemann, Marie-Estelle Demory, Len C. Shaffrey, Jane Strachan, Pier Luigi Vidale, Matthew S. Mizielinski, Malcolm J. Roberts, Mio Matsueda, Michael F. Wehner, Thomas Jung
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Quantifying climate feedbacks in polar regions

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Remote Sensing of Droplet Number Concentration in Warm Clouds: A Review of the Current State of Knowledge and Perspectives

Autorzy: Daniel P. Grosvenor, Odran Sourdeval, Paquita Zuidema, Andrew Ackerman, Mikhail D. Alexandrov, Ralf Bennartz, Reinout Boers, Brian Cairns, J. Christine Chiu, Matthew Christensen, Hartwig Deneke, Michael Diamond, Graham Feingold, Ann Fridlind, Anja Hünerbein, Christine Knist, Pavlos Kollias, Alexander Marshak, Daniel McCoy, Daniel Merk, David Painemal, John Rausch, Daniel Rosenfeld, Herman Russche
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Origin of the warm eastern tropical Atlantic SST bias in a climate model

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On the timescales and length scales of the Arctic sea ice thickness anomalies: a study based on 14 reanalyses

Autorzy: Leandro Ponsoni, François Massonnet, Thierry Fichefet, Matthieu Chevallier, David Docquier
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Assessing bias corrections of oceanic surface conditions for atmospheric models

Autorzy: Julien Beaumet, Gerhard Krinner, Michel Déqué, Rein Haarsma, Laurent Li
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Dynamical prediction of Arctic sea ice modes of variability

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Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM1.2) for the High-Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP)

Autorzy: Oliver Gutjahr, Dian Putrasahan, Katja Lohmann, Johann H. Jungclaus, Jin-Song von Storch, Nils Brüggemann, Helmuth Haak, Achim Stössel
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A statistical and process-oriented evaluation of cloud radiative effects in high-resolution global models

Autorzy: Manu Anna Thomas, Abhay Devasthale, Torben Koenigk, Klaus Wyser, Malcolm Roberts, Christopher Roberts, Katja Lohmann
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"Assessment of the Finite-volumE Sea ice-Ocean Model (FESOM2.0) – Part 1: Description of selected key model elements and comparison to its predecessor version"

Autorzy: Patrick Scholz, Dmitry Sidorenko, Ozgur Gurses, Sergey Danilov, Nikolay Koldunov, Qiang Wang, Dmitry Sein, Margarita Smolentseva, Natalja Rakowsky, Thomas Jung
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Ocean Heat Transport Into the Barents Sea: Distinct Controls on the Upward Trend and Interannual Variability

Autorzy: Qiang Wang, Xuezhu Wang, Claudia Wekerle, Sergey Danilov, Thomas Jung, Nikolay Koldunov, Sigrid Lind, Dmitry Sein, Qi Shu, Dmitry Sidorenko
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Sensitivity of deep ocean biases to horizontal resolution in prototype CMIP6 simulations with AWI-CM1.0

Autorzy: Thomas Rackow, Dmitry V. Sein, Tido Semmler, Sergey Danilov, Nikolay V. Koldunov, Dmitry Sidorenko, Qiang Wang, Thomas Jung
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Surface Flux Drivers for the Slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a High‐Resolution Global Coupled Climate Model

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Climate model configurations of the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (ECMWF-IFS cycle 43r1) for HighResMIP

Autorzy: Christopher D. Roberts, Retish Senan, Franco Molteni, Souhail Boussetta, Michael Mayer, Sarah P. E. Keeley
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On the discretization of the ice thickness distribution in the NEMO3.6-LIM3 global ocean–sea ice model

Autorzy: François Massonnet, Antoine Barthélemy, Koffi Worou, Thierry Fichefet, Martin Vancoppenolle, Clément Rousset, Eduardo Moreno-Chamarro
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The impact of stochastic parametrisations on the representation of the Asian summer monsoon

Autorzy: K. Strømmen, H. M. Christensen, J. Berner, T. N. Palmer
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Climate Models as Guidance for the Design of Observing Systems: the Case of Polar Climate and Sea Ice Prediction

Autorzy: François Massonnet
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The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution

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Evaluation of FESOM2.0 Coupled to ECHAM6.3: Preindustrial and HighResMIP Simulations

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Impact of model resolution on Arctic sea ice and North Atlantic Ocean heat transport

Autorzy: David Docquier, Jeremy P. Grist, Malcolm J. Roberts, Christopher D. Roberts, Tido Semmler, Leandro Ponsoni, François Massonnet, Dmitry Sidorenko, Dmitry V. Sein, Doroteaciro Iovino, Alessio Bellucci, Thierry Fichefet
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On the implementation and consequences of the oceanic currents feedback in ocean–atmosphere coupled models

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The South Atlantic Anticyclone as a key player for the representation of the tropical Atlantic climate in coupled climate models

Autorzy: Cabos, William; Sein, Dmitry V.; Pinto, Joaquim G.; Fink, Andreas H.; Koldunov, Nikolay V.; Alvarez, Francisco; Izquierdo, Alfredo; Keenlyside, Noel; Jacob, Daniela
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Intraseasonal Effects of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on North Atlantic Climate

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Snow water equivalent in the Alps as seen by gridded data sets, CMIP5 and CORDEX climate models

Autorzy: Terzago, Silvia; von Hardenberg, Jost; Palazzi, Elisa; Provenzale, Antonello
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Description of the resolution hierarchy of the global coupled HadGEM3-GC3.1 model as used in CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments

Autorzy: Roberts, Malcolm J.; Baker, Alex; Blockley, Ed W.; Calvert, Daley; Coward, Andrew; Hewitt, Helene T.; Jackson, Laura C.; Kuhlbrodt, Till; Mathiot, Pierre; Roberts, Christopher D.; Schiemann, Reinhard; Seddon, Jon; Vannière, Benoît; Vidale, Pier Luigi
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The impact of the AMV on Eurasian summer hydrological cycle

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Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – an extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP

Autorzy: Veronika Eyring, Lisa Bock, Axel Lauer, Mattia Righi, Manuel Schlund, Bouwe Andela, Enrico Arnone, Omar Bellprat, Björn Brötz, Louis-Philippe Caron, Nuno Carvalhais, Irene Cionni, Nicola Cortesi, Bas Crezee, Edouard L. Davin, Paolo Davini, Kevin Debeire, Lee de Mora, Clara Deser, David Docquier, Paul Earnshaw, Carsten Ehbrecht, Bettina K. Gier, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Paul Goodman, Stefan Hagem
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On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eurasian snow in relation to the winter North Atlantic Oscillation

Autorzy: María Santolaria-Otín, Javier García-Serrano, Martin Menegoz, Joan Bech
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Projected Future Changes in Tropical Cyclones Using the CMIP6 HighResMIP Multimodel Ensemble

Autorzy: Malcolm John Roberts, Joanne Camp, Jon Seddon, Pier Luigi Vidale, Kevin Hodges, Benoît Vannière, Jenny Mecking, Rein Haarsma, Alessio Bellucci, Enrico Scoccimarro, Louis‐Philippe Caron, Fabrice Chauvin, Laurent Terray, Sophie Valcke, Marie‐Pierre Moine, Dian Putrasahan, Christopher D. Roberts, Retish Senan, Colin Zarzycki, Paul Ullrich, Yohei Yamada, Ryo Mizuta, Chihiro Kodama, Dan Fu, Qiuyi
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Euro-Atlantic weather Regimes in the PRIMAVERA coupled climate simulations: impact of resolution and mean state biases on model performance

Autorzy: F. Fabiano, H. M. Christensen, K. Strommen, P. Athanasiadis, A. Baker, R. Schiemann, S. Corti
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Mean and extreme precipitation over European river basins better simulated in a 25 km AGCM

Autorzy: Reinhard Schiemann, Pier Luigi Vidale, Len C. Shaffrey, Stephanie J. Johnson, Malcolm J. Roberts, Marie-Estelle Demory, Matthew S. Mizielinski, Jane Strachan
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Sensitivity of winter North Atlantic-European climate to resolved atmosphere and ocean dynamics

Autorzy: Reindert J. Haarsma, Javier García-Serrano, Chloé Prodhomme, Omar Bellprat, Paolo Davini, Sybren Drijfhout
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Boreal-winter teleconnections with tropical Indo-Pacific rainfall in HighResMIP historical simulations from the PRIMAVERA project

Autorzy: Franco Molteni, Christopher D. Roberts, Retish Senan, Sarah P. E. Keeley, Alessio Bellucci, Susanna Corti, Ramon Fuentes Franco, Rein Haarsma, Xavier Levine, Dian Putrasahan, Malcolm J. Roberts, Laurent Terray
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Impact of Higher Spatial Atmospheric Resolution on Precipitation Extremes Over Land in Global Climate Models

Autorzy: Margot Bador, Julien Boé, Laurent Terray, Lisa V. Alexander, Alexander Baker, Alessio Bellucci, Rein Haarsma, Torben Koenigk, Marie‐Pierre Moine, Katja Lohmann, Dian A. Putrasahan, Chris Roberts, Malcolm Roberts, Enrico Scoccimarro, Reinhard Schiemann, Jon Seddon, Retish Senan, Sophie Valcke, Benoit Vanniere
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Modulation of the occurrence of heat waves over the Euro-Mediterranean region by the intensity of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability

Autorzy: Qasmi, Saïd; Sanchez-Gomez, Emilia; Ruprich-Robert, Yohan; Boé, Julien; Cassou, Christophe
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PRIMAVERA Deliverable D9.1 Data Management Plan

Autorzy: Mizielinski, Matthew S.; Stephens, Ag; van der Linden, Paul; Bretonniere, Pierre Antoine; Fiore, Sandro; von Hardenberg, Jost; Kolax, Michael; Lohmann, Katja; Moine, Marie-Pierre; Le Sager, Philippe; Semmler, Tido; Senan, Retish
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Deliverable D9.6 Review of DMP and lessons learnt for future projects

Autorzy: Seddon, Jon; Mizielinski, Matthew S.; Roberts, Malcolm; Stephens, Ag; Hegewald, Jan; Semmler, Tido; Bretonnière, Pierre-Antoine; Caron, Louis-Philippe; D'Anca, Alessandro; Fiore, Sandro; Moine, Marie-Pierre; Roberts, Chris; Senan, Retish; Fladrich, Uwe
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Engagement with the finance and insurance industry for the PRIMAVERA project: Analysis of European wind storms for catastrophe modelling

Autorzy: Julia Lockwood, Galina Guentchev, and Erika Palin
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The typhoon-induced drying of the Maritime Continent

Autorzy: Enrico Scoccimarro, Silvio Gualdi, Alessio Bellucci, Daniele Peano, Annalisa Cherchi, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Antonio Navarra
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Tropical sources of predictability for summer precipitation over Nordic European countries

Autorzy: Ramón Fuentes Franco and Torben Koenigk
Opublikowane w: EGU2020-5576, 2020
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PRIMAVERA: High resolution climate processes – Impact of model resolution on the North Atlantic Ocean

Autorzy: Eleftheria Exarchou, Roberto Fernandez Bilbao, Virginie Guemas, Francisco Doblas-Reyes
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Impact of snow initialisation in subseasonal-to-seasonal winter forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model

Autorzy: Li Fei; Orsolini Yvan; Keenlyside Noel; Shen Mao-Lin; Counillon Francois; Wang Yiguo
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